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IMF Executive Board Concludes 2013 Article IV Consultation with Togo

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LOME – The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on December 6, 2013 concluded the Article IV consultation with Togo

Togo has made significant progress in macroeconomic stability, but challenges remain in accelerating economic reforms and reducing poverty.

Real economic growth accelerated from almost 4½ in 2010-11 to 5¾ in 2012-13, reflecting dynamism in agriculture, mining, construction and public works, particularly in transportation infrastructure. Growth has been accompanied by a widening of the current account deficit, financed mainly through foreign direct investment. Inflation has been low, on average slightly below 2½ percent during 2012-13.

Under election-related pressures, fiscal policy deteriorated in 2012 and early 2013, with the approval of expansionary budgets that led to financing shortfalls. In mid-2013 the authorities took strong corrective measures, including by adopting a revised budget. These measures have placed Togo on a path of fiscal consolidation, anchored by an improvement in the primary domestic fiscal balance that could lead to a gradual reduction of debt.

On the fiscal policy front, challenges remain in achieving greater prioritization of public investment projects, reducing fuel subsidies, and containing the public wage bill, in order to create the needed fiscal space for higher social and infrastructure spending. More generally, there is need to formulate annual budgets in the context of medium-term budget policies and improve public debt management to ensure continued debt sustainability.

Progress in structural reforms has recently accelerated with a re-energized program of public financial management reform, and the project to establish a revenue authority by merging tax and customs administrations. The proposed revenue authority could be leveraged to modernize revenue administration efficiency and increase revenue by bringing appropriate structures, operations, and management processes to modern international standards.

Poverty declined during 2006-2011. However, growth has not been inclusive as income distribution worsened. Poverty in rural areas has actually increased, while it declined, across all income levels, in the capital area where most economic growth is concentrated. Internal migration contributed to poverty reduction.

Sustainable growth is hampered by major obstacles. Chief among these are infrastructure bottlenecks, particularly in the electricity and transport sectors, high telecommunication costs, and a generally weak business environment.

Togo’s financial sector has deepened and its aggregate financial indicators are sound. Two state-owned banks have been privatized, new banks are expanding operations, and the microfinance sector has grown rapidly. The authorities’ objective remains to divest from the banking sector. However, individual banks face difficult situations and the authorities have taken initial steps to stem asset deterioration. The supervision framework of the micro-finance sector needs to be improved, licensing regulations enforced and pyramid-like schemes closed.

Executive Board Assessment2

Directors commended the authorities’ actions to control the fiscal deficit and to set Togo on a sustainable debt path. They emphasized the importance of improving debt management and seeking financing on terms consistent with debt sustainability. To free budget space for social and infrastructure expenditure, Directors encouraged a progressive reduction in poorly-targeted fuel subsidies and lower growth of public sector wages. They noted that improvements in the financing and management of projects will be necessary to support a scaling-up of public investment. Directors also recommended the swift implementation of long-planned fiscal reforms, including the establishment of a single treasury account and a new revenue authority, which should enhance revenue administration and mobilization.

Directors took note of the progress made in promoting financial development. Nonetheless, they underscored the need to intensify financial sector oversight and resolve problem banks. Specifically, they called for stronger supervision of microfinance institutions and further restructuring of public banks.

Directors agreed that structural reforms remain critical to improve competitiveness and reduce poverty. In this context, they encouraged the authorities to address bottlenecks in the energy sector, reform public enterprises, and make further efforts to improve the business environment. More effective poverty reduction policies and renewed attention to agricultural productivity and employment should also remain top policy priorities.

Directors welcomed the authorities’ intention to remain in close engagement with the Fund, including through a possible Fund-supported program and continued technical assistance in key reform areas.

 

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MAN Counts On Govt’s Support For Dangote Refinery To Boost More Downstream Investments

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The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has expressed the view that support of both Nigerians and the government for the Dangote Refinery, would enable the giant refinery to perform optimally.

It added that such support will also serve as an impetus for other investors to invest in the downstream sector of the petroleum industry in Nigeria.

The President of MAN, Otunba Francis Meshioye, who made the call after a tour of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, Petrochemical Complex and Fertilizer Plant advocated that Nigerians and the government should do all they can to support the multi-billion-dollar company, which he described as a source of pride and a gift not only to Nigeria but also to the African continent and the whole world.

He described the Dangote Refinery as a game-changer in the Nigerian oil and gas industry, saying that it is not only creating jobs and driving economic growth but also contributing to our nation’s energy security and self-sufficiency.

According to him, the project is quite inspiring, and he admired the inspiration of the promoter of the project, Aliko Dangote.

He said, “To have been inspired to establish this facility is very magnificent, it is the first ever in Africa and the first ever of such refinery in the whole world. It has many first, first and first.”

ALSO READ: Petrol Prices To Drop As IPMAN, Dangote Strike Supply Deal

The company has the capacity to produce all our needs locally, petroleum, and other similar products: no one would come to the facility and he would not be inspired or encouraged to ensure that all the support that the company requires should be given to it.

The MAN President said the government should do all that is humanly possible to ensure that the facility works Optimally. “It is prudent and expedient that the   necessary supports are given to the company for the economic benefits of Nigeria.

“If the facility can produce 650,000 barrels of crude per day and Nigeria is producing far above this volume per day, she should give the facility all crude it needed to produce”.

He noted that apart from the fact that the facility can give Nigerians what they need locally, the excess will be exported, and when they are exported, the country benefits because it will earn foreign exchange for the government.

“So, whichever way we look at it, the facility requires the government’s support to be able to operate optimally.  We have seen the laboratory which is in a class of its own. It is first among equals around the world. It is functioning very well. It is a complex on its own.

“With this kind of facility that starts from quality control to quality assurance, just to ensure that the harmful effects of the products are at zero level, what can be greater than this? This is very unique and I will encourage all stakeholders to give maximum support, and not by the way support, but maximum support.

“I cannot see anything that is lacking in this company, we have been here since morning and went through all the units. The facility can deliver products between 1760 trucks to 1800 trucks per day. So if you have such several trucks going out of the facility a day to various destinations in Nigeria, so many people will benefit from it. There will be more jobs, many families will be comfortable because of the jobs this will create, many artisans will benefit and it will have a spillover effect on so many sectors of the economy.

“If they can produce AGO, gasoline and Jet A fuel, this is good and the government should have no reason not to ensure the facility gets its backing to carry out its activities, because it is going to benefit massively,” he added.

The MAN boss who stated that his organization is an advocacy group, said to a large extent it will support the Dangote Refinery by pushing its case with the government, and also solicit the support of necessary government agencies that can ensure that it operates fully.

The association, he said, always discusses with the government issues that affect its members and it has always listened to it , and always finds solutions to those issues, stating further that Dangote Refinery’s case will not be different.

“The sheer scale and ambition of this project is truly impressive, and we applaud the vision and determination of the Dangote Group in making this refinery a reality.

As manufacturers, we understand the importance of reliable and affordable energy in driving our businesses forward. The Dangote Refinery will undoubtedly have a positive impact on the entire manufacturing value chain, providing a reliable source of fuel and petrochemical products that are essential for capacity utilisation and value addition.

“I believe that the success of the Dangote Refinery serves as an inspiration to all of us in the manufacturing sector. It demonstrates what is possible when we combine innovation, technology, and investment to create world-class facilities that benefit the entire nation,” he asserted.

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Bitcoin Hits Record High Of $91,705

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Bitcoin surpassed the $91,000 mark for the first time on Wednesday, continuing its postelection momentum as traders digested the latest U.S. inflation data.

The cryptocurrency climbed over 2% in trading, reaching a high of $91,705.

READ ALSO: Massive Blaze Ravages Eco Fitness Hub In Abuja

The surge came after the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed prices increased by 0.2%, bringing the annual inflation rate to 2.6%, a result that was largely in line with analysts’ expectations.

The steady inflation data fueled investor confidence in assets like Bitcoin, which is often viewed as a hedge against inflation due to its limited supply.

Bitcoin’s recent rally has coincided with a broader uptick in risk assets since the U.S. presidential election.

Investors seem optimistic that fiscal policies under the new administration could drive further growth in the crypto market, though some remain cautious about inflationary pressures.

Other major cryptocurrencies followed Bitcoin’s upward trajectory.

Ether and Solana both saw gains of around 1%.

Dogecoin, meanwhile, soared by 8%, building on its postelection boost.

The meme-inspired token has seen increased attention following the news that Tesla CEO Elon Musk played a role in President-elect Donald Trump’s campaign and has join his administration,

Analysts say that this shift could continue as inflation and fiscal policy debates evolve in the months ahead.

 

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How Oil Cabals Crippled Govt Refineries, Now Scheming Against Dangote Refinery – Pastor Adeboye

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The General Overseer of the Redeemed Christian Church of God (RCCG), Pastor Enoch Adeboye, has urged Nigerians to pray for divine intervention in the face of efforts by unscrupulous oil marketers to thwart the operations of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, following the previous sabotage of Nigeria’s four state-owned refineries.

The respected clergyman made the call for nationwide prayers during the November 2024 Abuja Special Holy Ghost Service themed ‘Total Restoration’, in Nigeria’s capital city.

Though Pastor Adeboye did not explicitly name the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, many read his remarks to have echoed ongoing attempts by oil marketers to prevent the refinery from functioning as it was designed to.

ALSO READ: FIRS Names Dangote Group Most Tax Complaint Business

With the Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos based Dangote Refinery about the only facility currently refining petrol in Nigeria, many read Pastor Adeboye’s comments to reflect the dispute between the refinery and oil marketers, who seek to continue importing refined products.

Pastor Adeboye reminded the congregation that it was God who raised Aliko Dangote to establish a refinery after years of failed attempts to revive Nigeria’s four public refineries, which had consumed billions of Naira with little result.

He questioned the persistence of fuel imports despite Nigeria’s status as a major crude oil producer.

“Are we under a curse?” he asked. “We have four refineries, we poured all kinds of money into them, none of them is working. But God raised someone to build a refinery that works. He is not my relative, he is not from my village. He is not even a Christian, but he is a Nigerian who says, ‘Why should my people suffer when I have the means to build a refinery that can work?’ Now he is refining petrol, and some people want to stop him from selling it, so they can keep importing.”

Pastor Adeboye also pointed out the damage caused by the fuel subsidy, describing it as a significant drain on Nigeria’s resources, contributing to the country’s mounting debts and corruption.

He stressed that when President Bola Ahmed Tinubu announced the end of the subsidy in 2023, Nigerians largely welcomed the decision, but oil marketers, who benefitted from the subsidy regime, were furious.

The marketers, according to the renowned pastor, appear to have gone into alliances with some International Oil Companies (IOCs) and other powerful interests to obstruct the Dangote Petroleum Refinery. This includes restricting access to crude oil, forcing Dangote to import crude from countries like the United States, among others.

He called for prayer for the total restoration of the country, noting that the Nigerian people are suffering the consequences, as the prices of essential goods have soared, pushing many items beyond the reach of ordinary citizens. “The masses are the ones suffering because these marketers, who are bent on keeping imports alive, already have more money than they can ever spend,” he said.

Despite the Dangote Petroleum Refinery’s capacity to meet Nigeria’s entire demand for petroleum products – and even to export surplus fuel – oil marketers continue to pressurise the government to allow ongoing petrol imports. This has placed additional strain on the Naira, which has continued to depreciate.

Recall that the Crude Oil Refineries Owners Association of Nigeria (CORAN) had urged the government to protect local refineries from unfair competition posed by importers and international petroleum traders, in line with provisions in the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA).

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