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Asian Stocks Rise After Fed Begins Tapering

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…China Shares Slide

TOKYO – Asian stocks rose after the Federal Reserve expressed enough confidence in the U.S. labor market to taper asset purchases while promising to hold interest rates close to zero. Shares in China and Hong Kong fell on concern higher funding costs will hurt growth.

Fast Retailing Co., Asia’s biggest apparel chain, climbed 4.5 percent, pushing Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average to its highest close since 2007 after the yen touched a five-year low to the dollar overnight. Fanuc Corp. (6954), a maker of factory robotics, rose 4.1 percent to a record in Tokyo. Caltex Australia Ltd. surged 13 percent as the petroleum refiner said profit may climb to A$340 million ($301 million). Hang Lung Properties Ltd., a Hong Kong developer that invests in mainland malls, fell 4.6 percent.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index advanced 0.1 percent to 138.45, with more than five stocks rising for every four that fell. The Fed said it will cut monthly bond purchases to $75 billion from $85 billion, a first step in unwinding unprecedented stimulus put in place to help the economy recover from the worst recession since the 1930s.

“It’s a win-win for markets,” Shane Oliver, who helps oversee $131 billion as head of investment strategy at AMP Capital Investors Ltd. in Sydney, said by phone. “They are more optimistic on the employment rate and the economy while still keeping loose monetary policy in place with low rates to support the economy. We’re happy to stay overweight equities and if anything buy a bit more.”

Regional Gauges
Japan’s Topix index rose 1 percent. The Nikkei 225 climbed 1.7 percent, the highest since Dec. 12, 2007, as the yen touched the lowest intraday level since October 2008 overnight. It traded at 104.01 per dollar as of 3:07 p.m. in Tokyo. Fast Retailing soared 4.5 percent to 40,750 yen. Fanuc gained 4.1 percent to 18,680 yen.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index (AS51) jumped 2.1 percent. Volume was 26 percent higher than the 30-day average as equity index and single stock options contracts expired. Caltex gained 13 percent to A$19.12.

New Zealand’s NZX 50 Index added 0.7 percent after economic growth accelerated to the fastest in almost four years in the third quarter. South Korea’s Kospi index added less than 0.1 percent.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slid fell 1.1 percent, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of mainland shares traded in the city lost 1.7 percent. The Shanghai Composite Index retreated 1 percent. China’s interest-rate swaps jumped the most since July, touching a record, as the central bank refrained from injecting cash into the financial system. Hang Lung Properties slid 4.6 percent to HK$24.00 in Hong Kong.

Taiwan’s Taiex index added 0.7 percent, while Singapore’s Straits Times Index added 0.3 percent.

Rate Outlook
The Fed said its benchmark interest rate is likely to stay low “well past the time that the unemployment rate declines below 6.5 percent, especially if projected inflation continues to run below” the Fed’s 2 percent goal.

“Reflecting cumulative progress and an improved outlook for the job market, the committee decided today to modestly reduce the monthly pace at which it is adding to the longer-term securities on its balance sheet,” Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke told reporters in Washington yesterday after concluding the two-day meeting where the decision was made to reduce stimulus.

The U.S. Senate yesterday cleared and sent to President Barack Obama a $1.01 trillion budget deal, lowering the U.S. deficit over 10 years and easing $63 billion in automatic spending cuts. The plan keeps in place about half of the reductions known as sequestration for next year, and about three-quarters of the planned cuts for 2015.

Relative Value
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained 7 percent this year as central-bank stimulus shored up global economic growth. The gauge trades at 13.7 times estimated earnings, compared with 16.3 for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index and 15 for the Stoxx Europe 600 Index, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The Topix rose 47 percent this year, the most among 24 major developed markets tracked by Bloomberg, amid unprecedented stimulus by the Bank of Japan in support of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s efforts to end 15 years of deflation.

The Bank of Japan began a two-day policy meeting today. Central-bank officials see significant scope to increase government-bond purchases if needed to achieve their 2 percent inflation target, according to people familiar with the discussions.

Futures on the S&P 500 Index dropped less than 0.1 percent today after the equities gauge surged 1.7 percent to a record yesterday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 1.8 percent, also rising to an all-time high. The cost of protecting against equity losses as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index slid 15 percent, the biggest drop in two months.

Fu Shou Yuan International Group Ltd. jumped 45 percent to HK$4.82 in the graveyard builder’s Hong Kong trading debut.

– BLOOMBERG

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CBN Warns Banks Against Sale Of Naira Notes To Hawkers, Announces Stiff Penalties

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has issued a stern warning to Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) over the illegal sale of mint Naira notes to currency hawkers.

The apex bank, in a circular signed by the Acting Director of Currency Operations, Mr. Solaja Olayemi, on Friday, emphasized that erring banks would face stringent penalties.

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As part of its efforts to curb the abuse of the national currency, the CBN announced plans to conduct nationwide checks to seize mint notes sold by hawkers.

Banks found to have released such notes will be required to pay a fine of 10% of the value of the affected cash withdrawn from the CBN on the date in question.

Subsequent violations will attract an additional penalty incrementally increased by 5%.

The CBN also reiterated its commitment to enforcing the Clean Notes Policy, warning that banks involved in hoarding, diversion, or any actions that disrupt efficient cash distribution would face appropriate sanctions.

With the festive season fast approaching, the apex bank urged DMBs to enhance internal controls to ensure transparent cash distribution.

It highlighted the need for proper utilization of Automated Teller Machines (ATMs) to ensure easy access to new notes by the public.

Furthermore, the CBN disclosed plans to intensify its mystery shopping and spot checks, working closely with law enforcement agencies to clamp down on any practices that undermine the integrity of the Naira.

 

 

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JUST IN: Inflation Woes Continue As Nigerian Rates Climb To 33.88%

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Nigeria’s inflation rate surged to 33.88% in October 2024, up from 32.7% in September, according to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Friday.

The month-on-month increase of 1.18 percentage points marks yet another strain on the nation’s economy, with transportation and food costs cited as the main drivers of inflation.

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Steep Year-on-Year Increase

Compared to October 2023, when the inflation rate stood at 27.33%, the October 2024 figure reflects a significant rise of 6.55 percentage points. This sustained upward trend highlights the worsening cost-of-living crisis for Nigerians.

Month-on-Month Breakdown

Inflation on a month-on-month basis also showed an uptick, rising to 2.64% in October 2024 from 2.52% in September. The faster rate of price increases further underscores the growing economic pressure on households.

Food Inflation Soars to 39.16%

Food inflation, a major component of the headline rate, reached 39.16% in October 2024, up from 31.52% in the same month last year.

The increase was driven by higher prices of staple items, including: Cereals and Tubers: Guinea Corn, Rice, Maize Grains, Yam, Water Yam, and Coco Yam. Oils and Fats: Palm Oil and Vegetable Oil. Beverages: Milo, Lipton, and Bourvita.

On a month-on-month basis, food inflation rose by 0.30 percentage points to 2.94% in October, up from 2.64% in September.

Price hikes in Palm Oil, Vegetable Oil, Fish, Meat, and Bread categories were major contributors.

Annual Food Inflation Hits 38.12%

The average annual food inflation rate over the past 12 months climbed to 38.12%, a sharp increase of 11.79 percentage points from the 26.33% recorded in October 2023.

The consistent rise in inflation, particularly food and transportation costs, continues to erode the purchasing power of Nigerians.

 

 

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MAN Counts On Govt’s Support For Dangote Refinery To Boost More Downstream Investments

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The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has expressed the view that support of both Nigerians and the government for the Dangote Refinery, would enable the giant refinery to perform optimally.

It added that such support will also serve as an impetus for other investors to invest in the downstream sector of the petroleum industry in Nigeria.

The President of MAN, Otunba Francis Meshioye, who made the call after a tour of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, Petrochemical Complex and Fertilizer Plant advocated that Nigerians and the government should do all they can to support the multi-billion-dollar company, which he described as a source of pride and a gift not only to Nigeria but also to the African continent and the whole world.

He described the Dangote Refinery as a game-changer in the Nigerian oil and gas industry, saying that it is not only creating jobs and driving economic growth but also contributing to our nation’s energy security and self-sufficiency.

According to him, the project is quite inspiring, and he admired the inspiration of the promoter of the project, Aliko Dangote.

He said, “To have been inspired to establish this facility is very magnificent, it is the first ever in Africa and the first ever of such refinery in the whole world. It has many first, first and first.”

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The company has the capacity to produce all our needs locally, petroleum, and other similar products: no one would come to the facility and he would not be inspired or encouraged to ensure that all the support that the company requires should be given to it.

The MAN President said the government should do all that is humanly possible to ensure that the facility works Optimally. “It is prudent and expedient that the   necessary supports are given to the company for the economic benefits of Nigeria.

“If the facility can produce 650,000 barrels of crude per day and Nigeria is producing far above this volume per day, she should give the facility all crude it needed to produce”.

He noted that apart from the fact that the facility can give Nigerians what they need locally, the excess will be exported, and when they are exported, the country benefits because it will earn foreign exchange for the government.

“So, whichever way we look at it, the facility requires the government’s support to be able to operate optimally.  We have seen the laboratory which is in a class of its own. It is first among equals around the world. It is functioning very well. It is a complex on its own.

“With this kind of facility that starts from quality control to quality assurance, just to ensure that the harmful effects of the products are at zero level, what can be greater than this? This is very unique and I will encourage all stakeholders to give maximum support, and not by the way support, but maximum support.

“I cannot see anything that is lacking in this company, we have been here since morning and went through all the units. The facility can deliver products between 1760 trucks to 1800 trucks per day. So if you have such several trucks going out of the facility a day to various destinations in Nigeria, so many people will benefit from it. There will be more jobs, many families will be comfortable because of the jobs this will create, many artisans will benefit and it will have a spillover effect on so many sectors of the economy.

“If they can produce AGO, gasoline and Jet A fuel, this is good and the government should have no reason not to ensure the facility gets its backing to carry out its activities, because it is going to benefit massively,” he added.

The MAN boss who stated that his organization is an advocacy group, said to a large extent it will support the Dangote Refinery by pushing its case with the government, and also solicit the support of necessary government agencies that can ensure that it operates fully.

The association, he said, always discusses with the government issues that affect its members and it has always listened to it , and always finds solutions to those issues, stating further that Dangote Refinery’s case will not be different.

“The sheer scale and ambition of this project is truly impressive, and we applaud the vision and determination of the Dangote Group in making this refinery a reality.

As manufacturers, we understand the importance of reliable and affordable energy in driving our businesses forward. The Dangote Refinery will undoubtedly have a positive impact on the entire manufacturing value chain, providing a reliable source of fuel and petrochemical products that are essential for capacity utilisation and value addition.

“I believe that the success of the Dangote Refinery serves as an inspiration to all of us in the manufacturing sector. It demonstrates what is possible when we combine innovation, technology, and investment to create world-class facilities that benefit the entire nation,” he asserted.

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