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IMF Approves New Extended Credit Facility Arrangement for Mali and US$9.2 Million Disbursement

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BAMAKO – The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) today approved a new arrangement under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) for Mali for an amount equivalent to SDR 30 million (about US$ 46.2 million or 32 percent of quota). The approval enables the immediate disbursement of an amount equivalent to SDR 6 million (about US$9.2 million).

The authorities’ program is designed to reduce balance-of-payments vulnerabilities and lay foundations for stronger, more inclusive growth. Reform efforts are focused on tax policy and revenue administration, public financial management and improving the business environment.

The new Fund-supported program builds on the success of the authorities’ policies supported by disbursements under the Rapid Credit Facility in 2013

Following the Executive Board’s discussion, Mr. Min Zhu, Deputy Managing Director and Acting Chair issued the following statement:

“Mali’s authorities have succeeded in maintaining macroeconomic stability in very difficult circumstances. The economy is recovering and the outlook is improving with the resumption of donor support and a gradual return of investor confidence. However, significant challenges remain. Against this background, a new Fund-supported arrangement under the Extended Credit Facility will help support the authorities’ economic program to sustain growth, maintain fiscal sustainability, and reduce poverty.

“Higher domestic revenue mobilization and increased efficiency of public spending will create fiscal space for needed development spending. Limited government recourse to domestic bank borrowing will safeguard credit to the private sector. Improved public financial management will ensure that donor funding is put to effective use, and improved internal expenditure controls will help prevent the accumulation of domestic arrears. More broadly, a prudent debt management centered on concessional borrowing will be needed in the period ahead.

“Far-reaching reforms will help improve the business environment, promote economic diversification, and boost Mali’s growth prospects. Priority areas include increasing financial development, combating corruption, streamlining tax procedures, improving infrastructure, and increasing labor productivity through improved education and health spending. Well communicated reforms in the production and pricing of energy are also important for fostering durable growth and reducing poverty.”

Annex

Recent economic developments

Mali is emerging from the most serious security and political crisis in its recent history.

The recent arrival of a UN security force (MINUSMA) is helping the government restore law and order in the north. Political normalization is well under way with the successful presidential and parliamentary elections. International financial support has been successfully mobilized: in May 2013, at the international donor conference in Brussels, donors pledged €3.25 billion ($4.4 billion) in financial assistance.

In the meantime, the economy is recovering and inflationary pressures have abated. After a 0.4 percent GDP decline in 2012, the improvement in the security situation and the resumption of donor assistance has helped revive business confidence. Activity is picking up in the service sectors hardest hit by the crisis (commerce, hotels, and restaurants). Favorable rainfall has boosted agricultural production. Average inflation declined from 5.3 percent in 2012 to negative 0.1 percent by October 2013 as food prices declined following the good harvest.

Prospects for the remainder of 2013 and for 2014 are generally favorable. The nascent recovery should gather strength as donor support builds up and credit to economy picks up. Real GDP is projected to increase by 5.1 percent in 2013 and 6.6 percent in 2014 supported by the rebound in agricultural output, the establishment of a third mobile phone operator, recovery in the service sector, and restart of construction projects. After 2014, growth is projected to settle in the 5–6 percent range. Average inflation is projected to remain close to zero in 2013 and reach 2 percent in 2014, below the 3 percent West African Economic and Monetary Union’s (WAEMU) ceiling.

The positive outlook is subject to several risks. Agricultural output is vulnerable to adverse weather conditions. Because of strong export concentration on gold (70 percent of the total) and cotton (15 percent of the total), export revenues depend to a large extent on volatile international gold and cotton prices. The security situation remains fragile despite recent improvements. Any setbacks in peace consolidation could weaken consumer, investor, and donor confidence and derail the incipient recovery. On the other hand, Mali is not significantly exposed to negative risks in the euro area because its exports are inelastic toward traditional trade partners’ growth. The banking sector is mostly financed by local deposits and is not directly exposed to the ongoing deleveraging of European banks.

Program Summary

The authorities’ programs aims at promoting policies that: (i) maintain macroeconomic stability, while allocating sufficient resources to poverty-reducing and other priority spending, including in the North; (ii) mobilize more government revenue;

(iii) strengthen public financial management; and (iv) improve the business environment, including by implementing anti-corruption measures.

Public spending will support national reconciliation, growth and poverty reduction. Budgetary allocations will be in line with the Growth and Poverty Reduction Strategy (G-PRSP) and the Plan for Sustainable Recovery (PRED). To that end, the authorities are committed to giving priority social spending—health, education and social development.

To increase tax revenue and lighten the administrative burden on the taxpayer, the Government will implement ambitious tax policy and administration reforms. Transparency will be used to build political support for a reduction of tax exemptions. In that context, the authorities intend to reform fuel pricing. Starting in 2013, the budget law has begun presenting estimates of the cost to the budget of the failure to adjust fuel prices to international oil price movements. To stem, and ultimately reverse, the erosion of tax revenue from petroleum products, the authorities will abandon the practice of setting the administrative value (used for tax calculation) below the market value. In order to improve the business climate, the government will take steps to address the most problematic factors for doing business. Investors consider access to financing, corruption, poor infrastructure (including electricity), tax regulation are key ingredients. The state electricity company will be reformed with the view of putting it on a sound financial footing.

The authorities have also stated their deep commitment to combating corruption. They will put in place concrete actions, one of which is a systematic follow up of all recommendations of varying control agencies, with regular reports on judicial or administrative actions taken. Another is the publication of judicial decisions.

Given the early stage of Mali’s recovery from the recent political and security crisis, reforms will be implemented progressively. The initial phase—through mid–2014—focuses on strengthening institutional capacity and developing strategies to address the most pressing issues. The following phases of the program will involve rolling out policy actions in these areas. These actions will be specified at the time of the first and subsequent reviews of the arrangement.

 

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CBN Warns Banks Against Sale Of Naira Notes To Hawkers, Announces Stiff Penalties

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has issued a stern warning to Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) over the illegal sale of mint Naira notes to currency hawkers.

The apex bank, in a circular signed by the Acting Director of Currency Operations, Mr. Solaja Olayemi, on Friday, emphasized that erring banks would face stringent penalties.

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As part of its efforts to curb the abuse of the national currency, the CBN announced plans to conduct nationwide checks to seize mint notes sold by hawkers.

Banks found to have released such notes will be required to pay a fine of 10% of the value of the affected cash withdrawn from the CBN on the date in question.

Subsequent violations will attract an additional penalty incrementally increased by 5%.

The CBN also reiterated its commitment to enforcing the Clean Notes Policy, warning that banks involved in hoarding, diversion, or any actions that disrupt efficient cash distribution would face appropriate sanctions.

With the festive season fast approaching, the apex bank urged DMBs to enhance internal controls to ensure transparent cash distribution.

It highlighted the need for proper utilization of Automated Teller Machines (ATMs) to ensure easy access to new notes by the public.

Furthermore, the CBN disclosed plans to intensify its mystery shopping and spot checks, working closely with law enforcement agencies to clamp down on any practices that undermine the integrity of the Naira.

 

 

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JUST IN: Inflation Woes Continue As Nigerian Rates Climb To 33.88%

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Nigeria’s inflation rate surged to 33.88% in October 2024, up from 32.7% in September, according to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Friday.

The month-on-month increase of 1.18 percentage points marks yet another strain on the nation’s economy, with transportation and food costs cited as the main drivers of inflation.

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Steep Year-on-Year Increase

Compared to October 2023, when the inflation rate stood at 27.33%, the October 2024 figure reflects a significant rise of 6.55 percentage points. This sustained upward trend highlights the worsening cost-of-living crisis for Nigerians.

Month-on-Month Breakdown

Inflation on a month-on-month basis also showed an uptick, rising to 2.64% in October 2024 from 2.52% in September. The faster rate of price increases further underscores the growing economic pressure on households.

Food Inflation Soars to 39.16%

Food inflation, a major component of the headline rate, reached 39.16% in October 2024, up from 31.52% in the same month last year.

The increase was driven by higher prices of staple items, including: Cereals and Tubers: Guinea Corn, Rice, Maize Grains, Yam, Water Yam, and Coco Yam. Oils and Fats: Palm Oil and Vegetable Oil. Beverages: Milo, Lipton, and Bourvita.

On a month-on-month basis, food inflation rose by 0.30 percentage points to 2.94% in October, up from 2.64% in September.

Price hikes in Palm Oil, Vegetable Oil, Fish, Meat, and Bread categories were major contributors.

Annual Food Inflation Hits 38.12%

The average annual food inflation rate over the past 12 months climbed to 38.12%, a sharp increase of 11.79 percentage points from the 26.33% recorded in October 2023.

The consistent rise in inflation, particularly food and transportation costs, continues to erode the purchasing power of Nigerians.

 

 

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MAN Counts On Govt’s Support For Dangote Refinery To Boost More Downstream Investments

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The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has expressed the view that support of both Nigerians and the government for the Dangote Refinery, would enable the giant refinery to perform optimally.

It added that such support will also serve as an impetus for other investors to invest in the downstream sector of the petroleum industry in Nigeria.

The President of MAN, Otunba Francis Meshioye, who made the call after a tour of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, Petrochemical Complex and Fertilizer Plant advocated that Nigerians and the government should do all they can to support the multi-billion-dollar company, which he described as a source of pride and a gift not only to Nigeria but also to the African continent and the whole world.

He described the Dangote Refinery as a game-changer in the Nigerian oil and gas industry, saying that it is not only creating jobs and driving economic growth but also contributing to our nation’s energy security and self-sufficiency.

According to him, the project is quite inspiring, and he admired the inspiration of the promoter of the project, Aliko Dangote.

He said, “To have been inspired to establish this facility is very magnificent, it is the first ever in Africa and the first ever of such refinery in the whole world. It has many first, first and first.”

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The company has the capacity to produce all our needs locally, petroleum, and other similar products: no one would come to the facility and he would not be inspired or encouraged to ensure that all the support that the company requires should be given to it.

The MAN President said the government should do all that is humanly possible to ensure that the facility works Optimally. “It is prudent and expedient that the   necessary supports are given to the company for the economic benefits of Nigeria.

“If the facility can produce 650,000 barrels of crude per day and Nigeria is producing far above this volume per day, she should give the facility all crude it needed to produce”.

He noted that apart from the fact that the facility can give Nigerians what they need locally, the excess will be exported, and when they are exported, the country benefits because it will earn foreign exchange for the government.

“So, whichever way we look at it, the facility requires the government’s support to be able to operate optimally.  We have seen the laboratory which is in a class of its own. It is first among equals around the world. It is functioning very well. It is a complex on its own.

“With this kind of facility that starts from quality control to quality assurance, just to ensure that the harmful effects of the products are at zero level, what can be greater than this? This is very unique and I will encourage all stakeholders to give maximum support, and not by the way support, but maximum support.

“I cannot see anything that is lacking in this company, we have been here since morning and went through all the units. The facility can deliver products between 1760 trucks to 1800 trucks per day. So if you have such several trucks going out of the facility a day to various destinations in Nigeria, so many people will benefit from it. There will be more jobs, many families will be comfortable because of the jobs this will create, many artisans will benefit and it will have a spillover effect on so many sectors of the economy.

“If they can produce AGO, gasoline and Jet A fuel, this is good and the government should have no reason not to ensure the facility gets its backing to carry out its activities, because it is going to benefit massively,” he added.

The MAN boss who stated that his organization is an advocacy group, said to a large extent it will support the Dangote Refinery by pushing its case with the government, and also solicit the support of necessary government agencies that can ensure that it operates fully.

The association, he said, always discusses with the government issues that affect its members and it has always listened to it , and always finds solutions to those issues, stating further that Dangote Refinery’s case will not be different.

“The sheer scale and ambition of this project is truly impressive, and we applaud the vision and determination of the Dangote Group in making this refinery a reality.

As manufacturers, we understand the importance of reliable and affordable energy in driving our businesses forward. The Dangote Refinery will undoubtedly have a positive impact on the entire manufacturing value chain, providing a reliable source of fuel and petrochemical products that are essential for capacity utilisation and value addition.

“I believe that the success of the Dangote Refinery serves as an inspiration to all of us in the manufacturing sector. It demonstrates what is possible when we combine innovation, technology, and investment to create world-class facilities that benefit the entire nation,” he asserted.

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