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Capital market loses N309bn year to date

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LAGOS – Among the 30 highly capitalised stocks listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE), three banking stocks – Skye Bank plc, Ecobank Transnational Incorporated plc, and Fidelity Bank plc – were most negatively impacted in a recent value loss which took about N309 billion off Nigerian equities.

The sensitivity of the All Share Index (ASI) as benchmark indicator that tracks performance of the entire Nigerian equity market is largely driven by highly capitalised stocks.

BusinessDay tracking of the performance of large cap stocks at the Nigerian bourse (from January 7 to February 7, 2014) shows that Skye Bank plc lost most in the NSE-30 basket after its share price declined by 46.12 percent or N1.96kobo from a high of N4.25kobo to N2.29kobo.

Another big loser in the four-week period to February 7 is Ecobank Transnational Incorporated (ETI), which has declined by 12.82 percent or N2.18kobo from a high of N17 to N14.82kobo.

Similarly, Fidelity Bank plc has lost 11.24 percent or N0.3kobo from the value of its shares, which was N2.67kobo as at January 7 but declined to N2.37kobo as at February 7.

Also, at a low of N6.85kobo from N7.70kobo, Diamond Bank plc lost 11.04 percent or N0.85kobo of the value of its share in the review four-week period.

The value loss recorded in large cap stocks contributed immensely in redirecting the market trajectory to the negative zone of about 1.34 percent at the close of deals last week.

As banks recover from the 2013 regulatory pressures, with appreciable earnings growth expectation, market participants expect a positive correction in the prices of the value names in the sector.

For instance, Bismarck Rewane, CEO, Financial Derivatives Company Limited, noted that “bargain hunters may consider banks with solid fundamentals in this temporary downturn”.

Rewane, who spoke at the Lagos Business School (LBS) executive breakfast meeting, added that “banking stocks on the NSE are trading on average at 8.5x earnings compared with the market P.E. at 14.5x”.

Ashaka Cement plc, United Bank for Africa plc and Access Bank plc also followed the trio earlier mentioned in value loss.

In the four-week period to February 7, Ashaka Cement plc declined by 9.73 percent or N2.06kobo from a high of N21.17kobo to N19.11kobo; United Bank for Africa plc lost 9.72 percent or N0.86kobo from the value of its share from N8.85kobo to N7.99kobo; while Access Bank plc, which traded at a low of N8.79 kobo from N9.7kobo, lost 9.38 percent or N0.91.

As the banking counters occupy top position in this value shed, with associated positives on full-year 2013 earnings releases now in the air, market analysts see recent value shed as an opportunity for bargain hunters to buy into some of these banks, particularly those with strong fundamentals and dividend payment history.

The value of equities traded daily dropped by 49.85 percent or N3.163 billion from N6.344 billion to N3.181 billion; while the volume of equities declined by 34.58 percent or 144.361 million from 417.498 million to 273.137 million.

In addition to the aforementioned equities, Union Bank of Nigeria plc lost 9.09 percent or N0.95kobo from N10.45 to N9.50kobo; FBN Holdings plc declined by 8.69 percent or N1.4kobo from a high of N16.10kobo on January 7 to N14.70kobo as at February 7, 2014; while Nigerian Breweries plc, which opened the review period at N167.5kobo, dropped by 8.06 percent or N13.5kobo to N154.

Guinness Nigeria plc lost 7.91 percent or N18.83 percent from N238.08kobo to N219.25kobo; Lafarge Cement Wapco plc dropped by 6.09 percent or N7 from N115 to N108; while Zenith International Bank plc lost 4.92 percent or N1.15 from N23.38 to N22.23.

Looking further into the performance of stocks in NSE-30 basket, it shows that UACN plc, which stood at N70.35 on January 7, declined to N69 as at February 7, indicating a decline of 1.91 percent or N1.35; while GlaxoSmithKline Nigeria plc gained N1 or 1.47 percent from a low of N68 to N69.

International Breweries plc recorded a decline of 1.36 percent or N0.4kobo from N29.4 to N29; Oando plc lost N0.1kobo or 0.46 percent from N21.73kobo to N21.83kobo; FCMB Group plc declined by N0.11kobo or 2.87 percent from a high of N3.83kobo to N3.72kobo; Transnational Incorporated plc, which stood at N4.05kobo, rose to N4.11kobo, indicating a rise of 1.48 percent or N0.06kobo; while Nestle Nigeria plc declined by N30 or 2.56 percent from N1,170 on January 7 to N1,140 as at February 7.

Unilever Nigeria plc was in the gainers league in our four-week trend watch after rising by 1.44 percent or N0.77kobo from N53.24kobo to N54.01kobo; Stanbic IBTC Holdings plc lost 6.98 or N1.5kobo from a high of N21.50kobo to N20; Flour Mills of Nigeria plc also dropped by 0.07 percent or N0.06kobo from N87.06kobo to N87; GTBank plc dipped by N0.92kobo or 3.31 percent from N28.4kobo to N27.48kobo; while Total Nigeria plc lost 0.26 percent or N0.45kobo from N175.46kobo to N175.01kobo.

Forte Oil plc recorded a value rise of 14.84 percent or N13.21 from N89 to N102.21; Dangote Cement plc gained N5 or 2.13 percent from N235 to N240; Dangote Sugar Refinery declined by 1.36 percent or N0.16 from N11.8 to N11.64; Julius Berger was down by 1.78 percent or N1.29 from N72.29 to N71; while PZ Cussons Nigeria plc gained N0.1 or 0.26 percent from N37.90 to N38.

– BUSINESS DAY

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Airlines Threaten Shutdown over Skyrocketing Fuel Price

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Alleging unbearable and unsustainable aviation fuel prices, domestic operators have set Thursday, April 30, 2026 as the shutdown date of local flights in Nigeria.

According to industry insiders, the airlines had engaged both the Federal Government and oil marketers without a breakthrough, and appeared left with no option but to ground flights from Thursday.

The looming shutdown comes after several complaints by operators, who have watched the price of Jet A1 surge by over 300 per cent compared to February levels, pushing operating costs to the brink.

Passengers, many of whom rely on domestic flights for business and urgent travel, now face uncertainty.

In a bid to avert the crisis, the Minister of Aviation and Aerospace Development, Festus Keyamo, convened a meeting with airline operators and fuel marketers in Abuja last week. However, findings indicate that the tripartite talks ended in a deadlock, with operators unwilling to shift their stance unless decisive action is taken.

ALSO READ: Dangote Leads East Africa’s Industrial Revolution

At the end of the two-day meeting, the minister announced a 30 percent reduction in aviation-related taxes as part of efforts to ease the burden on airlines. While the gesture was acknowledged, operators insist it falls short of addressing the root problem.

On the first day of the meeting, Vice President of the Airline Operators of Nigeria, Allen Onyema, welcomed the government’s intervention but maintained that fuel marketers must account for the sharp rise in prices.

Onyema said, “This government has helped the industry more than anyone since 1999, and the President is even willing to waive 30 percent of the debts airlines are owing.

“But the truth is that the marketers must be brought to book to explain how they came about the 300 percent increase when even Dangote is surprised because what he is selling to us is still the cheapest.”

At the end of the second day, Onyema issued a stark warning, giving a seven-day ultimatum from midnight last Thursday for action to be taken. “Since the advent of the US-Iran war, there has been a spike in aviation fuel in Nigeria, which we, the Airline Operators of Nigeria, feel is not proportionate to the hike internationally.

“We expect that in the next 48 hours something drastic should be done because no airline will fly in this country in the next seven days if nothing is done, not because they don’t want to fly, but because fuel may not be available to us at sustainable pricing.”

Providing further insight into the financial strain, Onyema disclosed that fuel prices have skyrocketed from about N900 per litre before the crisis to between N2,700 and N2,900, with some marketers selling as high as N3,500.

“Before the crisis, we were buying fuel at about N900 per litre. Now it has risen to between N2,700 and N2,900, with some selling as high as N3,300 to N3,500,” he said.

According to him, airlines are now operating primarily to service fuel costs. “All the airlines in Nigeria have been flying to pay fuel marketers only, and you don’t want to compromise safety,” he added.

Despite speculations about indebtedness, senior airline officials who spoke to our correspondent in confidence on Sunday, due to the sensitive nature of the matter, insisted that operators are up to date with payments to key aviation agencies, including the Federal Airports Authority of Nigeria (FAAN) and the Nigerian Airspace Management Agency (NAMA).

Consequently, the Airline Operators of Nigeria (AON) have formally requested additional relief measures from the government.

In the letter dated April 21 and signed by AON President Abdulmunaf Sarina, the group called for the immediate suspension of aviation taxes, fees, and charges for at least six months.

The operators argued that the unprecedented rise in fuel costs threatens not only airline operations but also jobs and the stability of the aviation sector. Among other demands, the AON proposed the introduction of a non-taxable fuel surcharge, a standard practice in international aviation to help airlines manage rising costs.

They also urged the government to direct oil marketers to issue credit notes to airlines affected by what they described as excessive and arbitrary price hikes. In addition, the group called for the establishment of an industry tax reform committee to review existing charges, assess their relevance, and align them with global standards.

As the deadline approaches, uncertainty hangs over Nigeria’s aviation sector. Another airline executive, who spoke anonymously on Sunday because he was not authorised to comment publicly, warned that the shutdown threat remains real. “If nothing is done, no airline will be flying by Thursday,” he said.

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Dangote Leads East Africa’s Industrial Revolution

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The ship of industrial revolution is about to berth in East Africa, with the continent’s leading industrialist, Alhaji Aliko Dangote, making clear his intention to take the driver’s seat on investments conceived to lead the continent into energy security and industrial revolution.

To this end, Alhaji Dangote whose company operates the largest petroleum refinery on the continent has offered to lead a consortium to build a major crude oil refinery in East Africa, as governments across the region push for greater energy self-sufficiency following supply disruptions linked to the Iran conflict.

The cost profile of the proposed East Africa Refinery was not disclosed but the proposed facility, to be located in the Tanzanian port city of Tanga, is expected to mirror the scale and capacity of Dangote’s flagship refinery in Lagos, which processes about 650,000 barrels per day.

The project is being discussed as a joint regional initiative, with crude supplies expected from Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, South Sudan and Uganda.

Kenyan President William Ruto stated at a conference in London that the refinery would serve multiple East African economies, many of which remain heavily dependent on imported refined petroleum products.

The region currently relies largely on supplies from the Middle East, leaving it exposed to global price volatility and logistical disruptions, including those caused by instability around the Strait of Hormuz.

Dangote said he would take the lead in delivering the project if participating governments reached agreement, with a proposed construction timeline of four to five years.

The move reflects a broader shift across Africa toward building domestic refining capacity after recent geopolitical shocks exposed vulnerabilities in fuel supply chains.

ALSO READ: Why Osun is Tapping into $2 Trillion Global Creative Industry Economy

In Nigeria, Dangote’s refinery has already reshaped the domestic energy landscape since operations began in 2024, significantly reducing the country’s long-standing dependence on imported fuel despite being Africa’s largest crude producer.

The facility has also positioned the Dangote Group as a central player in regional energy markets.

The proposed East African refinery is expected to complement emerging upstream production in the region, particularly in Uganda, which is preparing to begin commercial oil output. Kampala has also announced separate plans for a smaller refinery project in partnership with a United Arab Emirates-based investor.

Beyond refining, Dangote indicated plans to expand industrial investments across the continent, including the development of around 20 fertilizer blending plants by 2028 to support agricultural productivity and reduce import dependence.

He also signaled that a future listing of the Nigerian refinery could be opened to African investors, encouraging broader continental participation.

According to Dangote, the expansion strategy is aimed at building integrated industrial capacity that keeps more value within Africa while reducing exposure to external supply shocks.

Analysts say the success of the Tanga project will depend on regional coordination, regulatory alignment and financing, but note that it represents one of the most ambitious attempts yet to create a shared energy infrastructure serving multiple African economies.

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NNPC Ltd Denies Selling Refinery Scrap

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The NNPC Limited has raised alarm over what it described as a growing wave of fraudulent claims suggesting that the company is selling refinery scrap materials and equipment to individuals and private entities.

‎In a public notice by its Chief Corporate Communications Officer, Andy Odeh, the company categorically dismissed the claims as false, clarifying that it has not initiated or approved any process for the sale of scrap metals, refinery components, or equipment from any of its facilities.

‎According to the company, it has neither issued requests for bids, tenders, nor expressions of interest relating to such transactions, contrary to information being circulated in some quarters.

‎More troubling, the company revealed that certain individuals have been impersonating NNPC officials, falsely presenting themselves as authorised agents to facilitate the sale of so-called refinery scrap.

ALSO READ: ‎Why Osun is Tapping into $2 Trillion Global Creative Industry Economy

‎“These individuals are not authorised by NNPC Limited and are attempting to mislead members of the public,” the statement noted, highlighting the sophistication of the fraudulent scheme.

‎The development raises concerns about the exploitation of public trust and the potential financial risks to unsuspecting individuals and businesses.

‎NNPC therefore urged stakeholders, corporate organisations, and the general public to exercise vigilance and avoid engaging in any transaction linked to such claims.

‎“For the avoidance of doubt, NNPC Limited is not conducting, nor has it authorised, any sale of refinery scrap or equipment,” the company reiterated.

‎It further emphasised that any legitimate disposal of assets would be carried out through transparent, regulated processes and communicated through its official platforms.

‎The company also encouraged the public to report suspected fraudsters to law enforcement agencies, as part of efforts to curb the spread of such criminal activities.

‎NNPC reaffirmed its commitment to transparency, accountability, and the responsible stewardship of Nigeria’s energy assets.

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