Business
Dollar Rises Against Euro as Pound Strengthens
NEW YORK – The U.S. dollar rose against the euro on Tuesday after the European Commission lowered its forecasts for euro-zone growth, while the British pound strengthened on news of record growth in the U.K.’s services sector.
The euro (EURUSD) declined to $1.3467 from $1.3510 late Monday.
The commission downgraded its euro-zone gross domestic product forecast for 2014 to 1.1% from 1.2%, and lifted its unemployment projection to 12.2% from 12.1%. For 2013, the commission expects the economy to contract 0.4%, with joblessness at 12.2%, both unchanged from the May forecast. The euro came under heavy pressure last week, in part due to data showing slowing inflation in the currency bloc, raising the chances for further easing there.
“Some economists are even calling for another rate cut by the [European Central Bank] on Thursday. While we believe this forecast is overly aggressive, the reasoning is sound because inflation is a top priority for the central bank, and there’s a good chance that [ECB President] Mario Draghi will be less optimistic and appear more inclined to ease monetary policy,” said BK Asset Management managing director Kathy Lien.
The ICE dollar index (DXY), which tracks the U.S. currency against six others, edged up to 80.677 from 80.606 late Monday in North America. The WSJ Dollar Index , a rival gauge of the U.S. unit, was unchanged at 72.89.
Noting a nearly 2% gain for the ICE dollar index the previous week, Crédit Agricole analysts said the U.S. currency “is likely to consolidate its gains over the short term ahead of Friday’s U.S. October employment report.”
“Despite some near-term consolidation, the [dollar] looks set to gain further over the coming weeks, helped by the fact that the market had already squared a lot of long positions over past weeks,” Crédit Agricole said in a note Tuesday.
expect October nonfarm payrolls to rise 100,000 after a 148,000 increase in September, with the unemployment rate ticking higher to 7.4% from 7.2%.
BK Asset Management’s Lien said a weaker U.S. jobs report would likely be a function of last month’s government shutdown, dampening the effect of any surprises in the data. “We should see the dollar sell off if payrolls are weak, but the losses could be limited,” Lien wrote late Monday.
“The bigger reaction could actually be to a stronger payrolls report. If [the gains in nonfarm payrolls] exceed 150,000, we expect to see an aggressive short squeeze in the dollar, because the stronger number would be consistent with the Fed’s less pessimistic views,” she said, referring to the outlook from the Federal Reserve.
The British pound (GBPUSD) rose to $1.6045 from $1.5951 on Monday. The pound rose as high as $1.6063 intraday. The move came after the Markit/CIPS U.K. Services PMI for October rose to 62.5 in October, versus September’s 60.3, the biggest increase in activity since May 2007. Gains were driven by a sharp rise in new business.
The Japanese yen (USDJPY) strengthened, with the U.S. dollar fetching Yen98.37 compared to late Monday’s Yen98.68.
The Australian dollar (AUDUSD) was little changed in recent trade, buying 95.09 U.S. cents versus 95.08 U.S. cents late Monday. Earlier Tuesday, the Aussie dollar fell after the Reserve Bank of Australia held interest rates steady, with its governor saying the currency remained overvalued.
“The Australian dollar, while below its level earlier in the year, is still uncomfortably high,” said Gov. Glenn Stevens in a statement accompanying Tuesday’s policy decision. “A lower level of the exchange rate is likely to be needed to achieve balanced growth in the economy.”
The remarks echoed similarly dovish comments from the central-bank chief last week.
– NASDAQ
Business
OPEC+ Hikes Oil Production Quotas, Silent on UAE Pull-out
Saudi Arabia, Russia and five other OPEC+ countries increased their oil production quota on Sunday in an expected move aimed at demonstrating continuity at the cartel after the shock withdrawal of the United Arab Emirates.
The seven major producers will add 188,000 barrels per day to their total production quota for June amid the price pressure unleashed by the Mideast war, as part of “their collective commitment to support oil market stability”, according to a statement published by OPEC+.
The statement, following an online meeting of Algeria, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Oman, Russia and Saudi Arabia, made no mention of the United Arab Emirates, which quit the body on Friday, three days after announcing its withdrawal.
Rystad Energy analyst Jorge Leon told AFP that the silence on the UAE’s departure was a sign of tense relations.
Oil market analysts had widely expected the increase of 188,000 barrels, similar to the 206,000-barrel daily increases OPEC+ announced in both March and April when the portion allotted to the UAE was subtracted.
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“By sticking to the same production path — just minus the UAE — it’s acting as if nothing has happened, deliberately downplaying internal fractures and projecting stability,” Leon said.
Strait of Hormuz Bottleneck Remains
But raising the quota on paper may not have much impact on actual production, which is already short of the limit.
Untapped OPEC+ reserves are mainly located in the Gulf region, and exports there are trapped by the blockade of the vital Strait of Hormuz, imposed by Iran in response to the US-Israeli strikes that started the war on February 28.
Leon, the Rystad Energy analyst, told AFP on Sunday that the cartel was looking to send “a two-layer message” that the UAE’s exit would not disrupt how OPEC+ operates and that the group still exerts control over global oil markets despite massive disruption to oil trade due to the war.
“While output is increasing on paper, the real impact on physical supply remains very limited given the Strait of Hormuz constraints,” Leon told AFP. “This is less about adding barrels and more about signalling that OPEC+ still calls the shots.”
The Strait of Hormuz blockade is hitting Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The latter’s production will no longer count towards OPEC quotas.
“Total OPEC+ output with quota fell to 27.68 million bpd in March, against a monthly quota of 36.73 million bpd, a shortfall of approximately 9 million bpd driven almost entirely by war-related disruption rather than voluntary restraint,” said Priya Walia, another analyst at Rystad Energy, ahead of Sunday’s meeting.
Iran, whose exports are now the target of a retaliatory US blockade, is an OPEC+ member but is not subject to quotas.
Russia, the group’s second-biggest producer, has been the main beneficiary of the situation. But despite soaring energy prices, it appears to be struggling to produce at the level of its current quotas as its own war in Ukraine drags on and Ukrainian drones hit oil industry facilities.
‘A Big Deal’
Amena Bakr, an analyst at Kpler, described the UAE’s exist as “a big deal” for OPEC.
Previous withdrawals from the group by Qatar in 2019 and Angola in 2023 were less significant by comparison, Bakr told a video conference on the UAE withdrawal.
The UAE has invested massively in infrastructure in recent years, and state-owned oil company ADNOC plans to increase output by five million barrels a day by 2027 — far above the country’s last quota of around 3.5 million barrels.
ADNOC also pledged on Sunday to spend $55 billion on new projects over the next two years, confirming that the company is “accelerating growth and delivery of its strategy”.
There is also the risk for OPEC+ that other countries will leave such as Iraq and Kazakhstan, which have faced repeated accusations of surpassing their quotas.
AFP
Business
Shareholders Laud NGX Group at 65th AGM
Shareholders of Nigerian Exchange Group Plc (NGX Group) have commended the Board and Management for the Group’s performance and strategic direction, urging continued focus on growth and long-term value creation.
At the Group’s 65th Annual General Meeting (AGM), shareholders approved the audited financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2025, alongside key resolutions including a final dividend of ₦2.00 per share, a one-for-three bonus share issue, and the corresponding increase in share capital. The re-election of Dr. Umaru Kwairanga, Group Chairman, Board of Directors, Dr. Okechukwu Itanyi, Independent Non-Executive Director and Mrs. Ojinika Olaghere, Independent Non-Executive Director reinforced continuity in governance and oversight.
They acknowledged the Group’s disciplined execution and its role in strengthening the Nigerian capital market, noting that recent developments reflect a more structured and better-regulated market environment.
Speaking during the meeting, the President, New Dimension Shareholders Association, Patrick Ajudua, commended the leadership of the Group for delivering a strong financial outcome, noting that the results reflect both improved market conditions and deliberate strategic execution. “The numbers speak to a business that is gaining strength and direction,” he said.
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Similarly, the Chairman of the Progressive Shareholders Association of Nigeria, Boniface Okezie, lauded the Group’s commitment to innovation and infrastructure development. “The market is becoming more forward-looking, supported by strong leadership at the Group level. Initiatives around market infrastructure and participation are yielding results, and this is positive for investors,” he noted.
Commenting during the AGM, Chairman of NGX Group, Umaru Kwairanga, appreciated shareholders for their continued support and reaffirmed the Board’s commitment to sustainable value delivery. He said, “The progress recorded reflects the strength of the Group’s strategy and the performance of its operating businesses. As a Board, our responsibility is to ensure disciplined oversight, uphold strong governance standards, and position NGX Group to deliver sustainable, long-term value to shareholders.”
Temi Popoola, group managing director/chief executive officer, focused on execution priorities, noting that the Group is positioning for scale. He said, “This next phase is about deepening momentum. Our priority is to scale infrastructure, broaden participation, and unlock new pathways for capital formation.”
The meeting reflected strong shareholder confidence in NGX Group’s leadership, with the Group reaffirming its commitment to playing a central role in the evolution of Nigeria’s capital market while delivering sustained returns to investors.
Business
S’Leone Inks $225m Offshore Oil Deal with Nigeria’s Marginal Energy
Sierra Leone has announced the signing of a petroleum licence agreement with Nigeria‑based Marginal Energy Limited, granting the company offshore exploration and production rights as the government seeks to revive interest in its under‑explored upstream sector.
The licence, signed through the Petroleum Directorate of Sierra Leone (PDSL), covers offshore blocks G‑145, G‑146, G‑147, G‑160 and G‑161, spanning about 6,800 square kilometres, according to a government statement, a Reuters report said.
Marginal Energy, a Nigerian independent, has committed to a seismic and drilling programme with exploration spending expected to exceed $225 million.
Under the agreement, the state will hold a 10 percent carried interest in oil projects and 5 percent in gas during exploration and development, with an option to acquire an additional participating interest on a paid basis of up to 9 percent once production begins.
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The deal was signed at the Invest in African Energy conference in Paris, where Sierra Leone has been promoting offshore licensing opportunities to international investors, the report added.





