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Experts point to Solar, Coal, Hydro power, as gas challenges persist

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ABUJA – Gas supply shortages affecting power supply in many parts of the country have reinforced the need for the government to speed up efforts at diversifying the nation’s power generation mix, which is currently largely dependent on gas, analysts have said.

Nigeria’s electricity generation has continued to fluctuate between 2,500 megawatts (MW) and 4,600 MW in recent years, with the failure of the federal government to achieve its planned 10,000 MW by December 2013.

Meanwhile, the country, with a population of about 170 million people, is estimated to need about 40,000 MW of electricity over the next decade, but current generation capacity falls far short of the almost 13,000 MW required to meet current peak demand.

Experts say diversification of the generation mix would help to lift power supply in the nation.

Experts point to Solar, Coal, Hydro power, as gas challenges persistThey add that to minimise the current supply challenges being faced with gas supply, other fuel sources such as solar, coal and hydro-power should be fully explored in order to ensure diversified electricity sources that will promote electricity availability and reliability.

The need for more incentives to boost the commercialisation of renewable energy technology in the country as alternative source of electricity supply was identified as critical to facilitating further investments.

“There is no doubt Nigeria needs to diversify its energy resource inputs for power. Gas is better as a peak demand source. Coal serves well as a base-load source. I am an advocate of energy resource mix in the power sector. The use of oil to power generators is ludicrous and a waste of a scarce resource.

“ Nigeria must wake up to that. But if we have to rely on gas as a transition fuel, we must explore more aggressively, but we are not. Neither are we doing much for coal as we should,” said Wumi Iledare, president of the International Association for Energy Economics and director, Emerald Energy Institute, University of Port Harcourt.

Atedo Peterside, chairman of the Technical Committee, National Council on Privatisation, speaking at a conference weeks back, had said that while gas supply constraints arising from capacity shortfalls/lags could be foreseen, the impact of pipeline vandalisation was not so predictable and could induce damaging shocks to the health of the entire electricity value chain.

“It has become increasingly likely that renewable energies will provide more of the world’s electricity than gas-fired power plants by 2016, as its declining cost profile positions it to compete more vigorously with fossil fuels”, says a new report by Ecobank Oil, Gas and Energy Research headed by Rolake Akinkugbe.

According to the report titled ‘Fully charged: Key dynamics in Middle Africa’s Power Sector in 2014’, Ghana is leading the rest of West Africa in driving the renewable energy agenda with its 2011 Renewable Energy Act. The country plans to invest at least $1 billion in renewable energy projects in next 7 years to 2020.

“Costs tend to be high for renewable energy projects in Africa due to equipment imports, higher internal transport costs, import levies. Developing local manufacturing capabilities and increasing the share of local content for renewable power generation projects can help reduce costs, which are predicted to decline over time,” the report said.

Adeola Adenikinju, president of Nigerian Association for Energy Economics and director, Centre for Petroleum, Energy Economics and Law, University of Ibadan, said in the short term, the focus would remain on gas due to a number of economic factors and the relatively shorter term of completing a gas-fired thermal plant.

“However, in the medium term and to avoid or minimise the current challenges we are facing with gas supply, we must be thinking of dual-fuel plants, and other fuel sources both renewable and non-renewable, in order to ensure energy security, a diversified electricity source that will promote electricity availability, reliability and enhance electricity access,” he said.

Adenikinju added that there are currently very limited incentives to boost commercialisation of renewable energy technology as alternative source to electricity supply, citing Germany and China as examples worth studying for Nigeria.

The Ecobank report released on January 30, 2014 stated that the full penetration of renewable energy into the African market would largely hinge on investment security underpinned by regulation.

“Many countries in sub-Saharan Africa have renewable potential that is many times their current demand for electricity, but most private sector executives view national targets and Feed-in-Tariffs as the most powerful incentive mechanisms required to accelerate renewable energy development in the region,” the report said.

Oladiran Ajayi, energy expert and a senior associate with Templars law firm, said considering the relative costs of alternative sources of energy, the nation should pursue them, but not at the expense of gas development.

Last year in August, the federal government signed a $3.7bn memorandum of understanding with a Nigerian-Chinese consortium, HTG-Pacific Energy, for the development of a 1000- to 1200-MW coal-fired power plant in Enugu state. The plant is expected to be operational in the next four years.

Also, in late January the government said it was building over 200 new dams in order to achieve its target of 10,000MW of electricity at the end of this year, according to Vice President Namadi Sambo.

Nigeria, with a population of about 170 million people, is estimated to need about 40,000 MW of electricity over the next decade, but current generation capacity falls far short of the almost 13,000 MW required to meet peak demand.

– BUSINESS DAY

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Energy

Gas Industry Must Commercialise Methane – NLNG

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Gas producers must stop treating methane reduction as an environmental cost, because methane released into the atmosphere represents lost gas, lost revenue and lost energy that could otherwise be recovered and sold.

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Nigeria LNG Limited (NLNG) Adeleye Falade, made the declaration during a panel titled “Capturing the Lost Opportunity: Driving Global Alignment on Methane Abatement Across Natural Gas Supply Chains,” at the Gastech 2026 Exhibition and Conference in Bangkok, Thailand.

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Taking from the company’s experience, he highlighted that investments in methane abatement could pay for themselves while improving plant efficiency and asset reliability.

The NLNG CEO said the commercial value of recovering lost gas should become a central part of the global industry’s approach to methane management.

“Every tonne emitted is lost product, lost revenue and lost energy; gas we could have sold. Every molecule of methane avoided is both an emissions reduction and a recovered energy resource.”

According to him, the NLNG’s new boil-off gas compressor and start-up gas recovery project demonstrate the business case for methane reduction, with each project expected to deliver methane reductions of about 10–15 percent while also recording positive projected net present values. “The most compelling business case is the simplest one: the projects that cut our methane also pay for themselves.

“The same discipline that reduces methane also improves asset reliability and plant efficiency. The returns show up in more places than the emissions ledger,” Falade said.

He added that the starting point for methane abatement was credible measurement of gas losses, which enables companies to identify where methane is being lost, channel investment towards the right interventions and independently verify the results.

According to Falade, the NLNG had demonstrated that producers in developing economies could meet globally recognised standards for emissions measurement and reporting, despite infrastructure and other constraints.

He disclosed that the NLNG had achieved Gold Standard recognition under the Oil and Gas Methane Partnership (OGMP) 2.0 and became the first company in Africa to attain Level 5 methane emissions reporting.

Its measurement, reporting and verification system is independently assured by DNV in line with ISO 14064.

The NLNG’s methane-management programme includes site-wide optical gas imaging, a structured Leak Detection and Repair programme, as well as phased deployment of continuous monitoring and real-time emissions dashboards across its plant and vessels.

Falade said methane reduction was also being incorporated into the design of Train 7, which is expected to raise the NLNG’s LNG production capacity from 22 million tonnes per annum to 30 million tonnes.

The commercial case for emissions abatement was not new to Nigeria, he added, pointing to the NLNG’s longstanding role in converting gas that would otherwise have been flared into a marketable product.

According to him, the company’s activities have contributed to reducing Nigeria’s gas-flaring rate from above 65 percent to below 20 percent.

Beyond its own operations, Falade revealed that the NLNG was extending methane-management requirements across its supply chain through its Scope 3 Advocacy Plan.

The company engages feed-gas suppliers and contractors to measure, disclose and reduce emissions, while verified upstream emissions data and emissions-related criteria are incorporated into supplier selection and evaluation.

Falade also called for greater consistency in methane measurement and reporting requirements across jurisdictions, arguing that divergent standards make enforcement uneven and complicate meaningful comparisons between producers.

“The industry does not need weaker standards; it needs stronger, shared ones backed by real measurement,” he said.

On the tension between emissions reduction, energy access and affordability, Falade said developing economies should not be forced to choose between economic development and climate action.

“Developing economies cannot be asked to choose between economic development and emissions reduction. Both must progress together,” he said.

Other panellists were Zubin Bamji of the World Bank, Niels Dijksman of Brunei LNG and Hiroyuki Mori of JOGMEC.

The session was moderated by energy economist Dr Carole Nakhle of Crystol Energy.

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Energy

NLNG’s $10 Billion Train 7 LNG Project to Begin Operations by 2027

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Expectations are high that the $10 billion Train 7 project of the Nigeria Liquefied Natural Gas Limited (NLNG) would go into operation by the end of 2027.

Managing Director of NLNG, Adeleye Falade, made the disclosure on the side-lines of the Gastech conference, yesterday, in Bangkok, Reuters reported.

This is part of a grand strategy by the company to raise production and address persistent gas supply constraints.

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Train 7 project, located on Bonny Island, Rivers State, is expected to increase NLNG’s production capacity to 30 million metric tonnes per annum (mtpa), from the current 22 mtpa.

The project has suffered repeated delays, including disruptions associated with the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war.

Falade also disclosed that NLNG remained under a force majeure declared in 2022 following widespread flooding that disrupted gas supplies to the company.

According to him, the company would lift the force majeure when it reaches a 90 per cent utilisation rate, with the plant currently operating at between 82 per cent and 83 per cent.

“We still have a delta of about 15 per cent that we need to close,” Falade said. “Operationally, we are able to do that, but our biggest constraint is gas supply, and we’re working with all the relevant people, including the government, to be able to get more gas to flow into the plant,” he added.

He said NLNG was focused on meeting its existing contractual obligations to buyers while the company worked to increase production.

Falade added that interest in additional LNG volumes and spot cargoes had increased after exports through the Strait of Hormuz were curtailed by the Iran war.

“People are looking at more diversified, reliable sources of supply,” he said.

“Our priority currently is to continue to make sure that we fulfil our obligations to our existing customers and maximize as much production opportunity as possible that we have,” he added.

The NLNG is majority-owned by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd), while Shell, TotalEnergies and Eni are its international partners.

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Smart Filling Stations: NNPC Ltd Assuages Job-loss Worries

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Public concerns that the introduction of smart and self-service filling stations would lead to job losses in the downstream petroleum sector have been dismissed by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd).

According to the state oil major, the deployment of automated stations was part of efforts to improve efficiency and customer experience. It added that the technology would create new opportunities rather than simply eliminate existing jobs.

The NNPC Ltd also disclosed plans to transform about 900 of its existing retail outlets across the country into modern energy hubs, as it adapts its retail business to changing consumer needs and developments in the downstream sector.

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The disclosures were made in Abuja, during the commissioning of a 24-hour smart, self-service filling station at the headquarters of the Nigeria Immigration Service (NIS).

The Executive Director, Retail Operations and Mobility, NNPC Retail Limited, Shettima Kukawa, said the new model was designed to provide customers with faster, more convenient and technology-driven services.

Kukawa added that the transformation of the company’s retail outlets was not about simply replacing workers with machines, but about creating a modern retail environment capable of providing more services to customers.

He explained that the smart station allows motorists to purchase fuel through the NNPC fuel app, fund their digital wallets and dispense the exact quantity of fuel they have paid for using a self-service code.

The station has a storage capacity of 180,000 litres of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) and 45,000 litres of Automotive Gas Oil (AGO), with 16 PMS pumps and two AGO pumps.

It also has a six-point electric vehicle (EV) charging facility and is primarily powered by a solar system with more than 200kWh capacity.

Managing Director, NNPC Retail Limited, Hubb Stokman, said the downstream industry was undergoing significant changes following fuel deregulation and the commencement of operations at the Dangote Refinery.

Stokman said consumers were also demanding more services at filling stations, pointing out that the traditional fuel-only model was no longer sufficient to meet their expectations.

“Today shows that the downstream industry is changing after the fuel deregulation and also the start-up of the Dangote Refinery. Our industry is rapidly changing, and I think that more than ever, we need to meet the needs of the Nigerian consumer and their wishes.

“They want to see more services, like a fast food restaurant, convenience shop, maybe a coffee shop, banks. They would like to have a lounge or car wash. All these things that you will see here,” he said.

Also speaking, the Executive Vice President, Downstream, NNPC Limited, Dr Mumuni Dagazau, said the company was moving beyond the traditional concept of a filling station by integrating technology and alternative energy solutions into its retail network.

He said the development represented the type of modern retail infrastructure that should be replicated across the country, stressing that Nigerians deserved improved quality and service.

“Our objective at NNPC is not simply to provide fuel, it is to provide reliable energy solutions and a better retail experience supported by technology and innovation.

“We deserve these sort of stations throughout this country. We need to move away from where we have been and deliver this sort of quality and the service to our people in the community,” Dagazau said.

On his part, the Comptroller-General of Nigeria Immigration Service, Kemi Nandap, commended NNPC Limited for integrating EV charging with conventional fuelling.

Represented by Saidu Daura, the Deputy Comptroller-General, Nandap said the development aligned with global trends in energy transition, climate action and smart mobility, describing it as a practical step towards a cleaner, more sustainable and technology-driven economy.

She said the shift to technologies such as electric mobility could create opportunities for investment, employment, skills transfer and industrial growth.

“Today’s commissioning goes beyond the opening of a service station. It is a statement of confidence in Nigeria’s future and a contribution to building a resilient, green, and technologically advanced nation,” she said.

Nandap called for stronger collaboration between government institutions, the private sector and other stakeholders to promote sustainable development and national progress.

The station operates round-the-clock and includes automated services designed to reduce waiting time and give motorists greater control over their transactions.

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