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Global Stocks put aside U.S. growth setback

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SYDNEY – Stock markets in Europe and Asia looked past gains by Iraqi militants and poor first-quarter growth in the United States on Thursday, with some investors raising their forecasts for a U.S. economic bounce in coming months.

A Sunni insurgency in Iraq has driven oil prices as high as $115 a barrel, threatening to raise costs for businesses around the world. Prices eased on Thursday LCOc1 but remain close to levels not seen since the start of 2013.

The surge in oil prices is the latest setback for a global economy still trying to get back on its feet. In that light, Wednesday’s final estimate of U.S. gross domestic product in the first quarter was only the latest argument that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates at record lows into next year.

Most investment houses are also much more optimistic about the future. Some responded to the U.S. figures by raising their estimates of second-quarter growth.

“There’s a storm in the rear-view mirror, but much brighter sunshine ahead,” said Kit Juckes, a strategist with French bank Societe Generale in London. “The storm does matter, though. There is every reason to be optimistic about upcoming U.S. data, and equally, every reason to expect policy to remain easy.”

European stock markets had retreated after the U.S. figures on Wednesday, then rebounded .EU. Shares in Barclays BARC.L sank 3 percent, though, after New York’s attorney general filed a lawsuit against the UK lender.

Longer-dated bond yields fell and the dollar suffered as funds were forced to move out the yield curve. Investors were willing to accept just 1.26 percent to lend to Germany for 10 years.

U.S. crude CLc1 added 4 cents to $106.54 a barrel, while Brent LCOc1 was unchanged at $114.00. O/R

STABILITY COUNTS

Top of the bill in Europe was the British pound and the impact on it of a Bank of England report on financial stability.

The report is expected to provide the bank’s newly founded Financial Policy Committee with a vehicle to announce more measures to curb a booming British housing market, which some worry may be overheating again, six years after the 2008 crash.

Such “macroprudential” steps, particularly if aggressive, might push back expectations of a rise in interest rates that have driven sterling 10 percent higher in a year.

“There’s quite a lot of uncertainty because this is all quite new for UK assets,” said Paul Robson, a currency strategist with RBS in London.

“The devil will be in the detail, but the rule of thumb is that the tighter macroprudential policy becomes, the looser conventional monetary policy can be – i.e., interest rates might not have to be raised quite as early or aggressively as they would have otherwise been.”

The prospect of the Fed keeping rates low for longer encouraged equity investors, though some were cautious in case a key measure of U.S. inflation due later Thursday surprised on the high side.

The price index for personal consumption expenditures is the Fed’s favoured measure of inflation and looks likely to have reached its highest since late 2012 in May. ECONUS

Most Asian markets ended in the black with MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS up 1.08 percent. Japan’s Nikkei .N225 gained 0.3 percent and Australia .AXJO 1.15 percent.

“You can make the argument that the weaker the number for Q1, the more that Q2 is going to pay back in terms of growth,” said Alessandro Tentori, global head of rates strategy at Citi.

“This is on the assumption that Q1 has been influenced by emerging markets weakness and weather related factors.”

– REUTERS

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FG Reiterates Commitment To Utilise Gas For Economic Growth, Prosperity

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. . . Tinubu Lauds NNPC Ltd, Partners Over Three Commissioned Gas Projects

In line with its renewed hope agenda, the Federal Government has reiterated determination to utilize Nigeria’s abundant gas resources towards revamping her industrial growth and kick-starting economic prosperity.

Biztellers reports that President Bola Ahmed Tinubu made the assertion while commissioning three critical gas infrastructure projects executed by the NNPC Limited and its partners in Ohaji-Egbema, in Imo State and Kwale, in Delta States, on Wednesday.

The three projects commissioned include the expansion of the AHL Gas Processing Plant, the ANOH Gas Processing Plant and the 23.3km ANOH to Obiafu-Obrikom-Oben (OB3) Custody Transfer Metering Station Gas Pipeline Projects.

He said, “It is pleasing that approximately, 500MMscf of gas in aggregate would be supplied to the domestic market from these two Gas Processing Plants, which represents over 25% incremental growth in gas supply.

“In practical terms, this translates into more gas to the Power Sector, Gas-Based Industries, and other critical segments of the economy.”

The President pointed out that from the onset, his administration was clear of its intention to leverage on the virtually unlimited capacity of gas to deepen domestic gas utilization, increase national power generation capacity, revitalize industries, and create multiple job opportunities for economic growth.

He said aside the Presidential Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) Initiative which is aimed at moving Nigerians away from petrol and diesel as vehicular combustion fuel, significant progress has also been recorded in incentivizing gas development through Presidential Executive Orders.

While congratulating the projects partners (NNPC Limited, Sterling Oil Exploration & Energy Production Company Limited (SEEPCO) and Seplat Energy for the successful implementation of the three projects, Tinubu particularly charged the NNPC Limited to, as the national energy company of choice, sustain its relentless efforts and record more successes in the energy sector for the benefit of all Nigerians.

President Tinubu described the commissioning as a highly significant milestone for Nigeria as it demonstrates his administration’s efforts to accelerate the development of critical gas infrastructure geared at enhancing the supply of energy to boost industrial growth and create employment opportunities.

He said the projects were fully in line with the Federal Government’s Decade of Gas initiative, and his administration’s quest to grow value from the Nation’s abundant gas assets while concurrently eliminating gas flaring and accelerating industrialization.

“I wish to assure the citizenry that these are just the beginning, as the federal government is stepping up its coordination of other landmark projects and initiatives that will ensure the earliest realization of gas fueled prosperity in our country.

“Consequently, I wish to assure investors in the energy space that this is an investment enabling government and we will not relent in facilitating the ease of doing business,” the President noted.

Earlier in his address, the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Gas) Rt. Hon. Ekperikpe Ekpo highlighted the efforts of his ministry to continue to champion the utilisation of gas as a transition fuel as Nigeria moves towards achieving clean energy efficiency and security by 2060.

Ekpo commended the President for his leadership and support towards the success of the three projects.

In his remarks, the GCEO NNPC, Mele Kyari described the commissioning as a demonstration of Mr. President’s commitment and support to grow the domestic utilization of natural gas for power generation, as feedstock for gas-based industries and overall rapid industrialization of Nigeria on the back of the enormous gas resources in the country.

Kyari assured that as part of its mandate, NNPC Ltd remains committed to maintaining energy security by executing more strategic gas projects for the benefit of Nigeria.

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FG Lists N4.214bn April Savings Bonds On NGX

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DMO Commemorates Listings of Eurobonds, Sukuk on NGX

The Nigerian Government has listed her April 2024 Savings Bonds worth N4.214 billion on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) platform.

This was disclosed in the market bulletin signed by the Head, Issuers Regulation Department of NGX, Godstime Iwenekhai.

According to the bulletin, “Trading License Holders are hereby notified that the April 2024 Issue of the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) Savings Bonds was listed on Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) on May 13, 2024.”

Details of the Bonds include FGS April 2026, 1.228 million units valued at N1.228 billion at a coupon rate of 17.046%, while FGS April 2027, 2.986 million units amounted to N2.986 billion at a coupon rate of 18.046%.

The bonds are backed by the full faith and credit of the FGN and charged upon the general assets of Nigeria, according to the debt office.

FGN Savings Bond is issued monthly in tenors of two and three years with quarterly payment of coupons (interest) at a rate predetermined and published by the DMO every month.

The retail savings bond product was introduced by the DMO on behalf of the FGN in 2017 to democratise its activities in the bond market by making it easily accessible to Nigerians to ensure continuous development of the domestic market and bridge infrastructure deficit which has been a constraint to economic growth.

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JUST IN: Nigeria’s Inflation Soars To 33.69%

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Nigeria’s inflation rate surged to 33.69% in April 2024, up from 33.20% in March, according to the latest data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, released Wednesday, shows a 0.49 percentage point rise within a month.

Year-on-year, the inflation rate has surged by 11.47 percentage points, compared to 22.22% in April 2023, highlighting the ongoing economic challenges and rising costs for consumers.

The report reads “In April 2024, the headline inflation rate increased to 33.69% relative to the March 2024 head line inflation rate which was 33.20%.

“On a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 11.47% points higher compared to the rate recorded in April 2023, which was 22.22%.

This shows that the headline inflation rate (year-on-year basis) increased in the month of April 2024 when compared to the same month in the preceding year (i.e., April 2023).

“Furthermore, on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate in April 2024 was 2.29%, which was 0.73% lower than the rate recorded in March 2024 (3.02%).

“This means that in the month of April 2024, the rate of increase in the average price level is less than the rate of in crease in the average price level in March 2024.”

Prices of food and basic commodities have surged dramatically in recent weeks, as Nigerians grapple with a soaring cost of living and one of the nation’s most severe economic crises.

The crisis has been intensified by the government’s removal of petrol subsidies and the unification of forex windows.

The naira, which had appreciated against the dollar in April, has since plummeted from about N1,100/$1 to roughly N1,500/$1.

Following the latest inflation report from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is anticipated to review the country’s interest rate, currently set at 24.75%.

 

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