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IMF Mission Reviews Policy Implementation under the ECF in The Gambia

BANJUL – A mission from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), led by Bhaswar Mukhopadhyay, visited Banjul during November 7- 20, 2013, to review policy implementation of The Gambia’s economic program supported by the IMF’s Extended Credit Facility (ECF).1

The mission met with Vice-President Aja Dr. Isatou Njie Saidy, Secretary General and Minister of Presidential Affairs Momodou Sabally, Finance Minister Kebba S. Touray, Governor of Central Bank of The Gambia (CBG) Amadou Colley, other senior officials, members of parliament, representatives of the private sector, civil society organizations, labor unions, the banking sector, and development partners

At the end of the mission, Mr. Mukhopadhyay issued the following statement:

“Real GDP growth, driven by a continued recovery in agriculture from the severe drought of 2011 and a strong start to the tourism season, is expected to reach 6-6½ percent in 2013, up from 5¼ percent in 2012. Inflation has also edged up since January 2013, increasing to 6.1 percent in September 2013 from just below 5 percent at end-2012, largely due to a weakening of the Gambian dalasi.

“However, fiscal and external imbalances have continued to widen. With sharply higher than budgeted levels of current spending, the fiscal deficit is expected to reach almost 8 percent of GDP in 2013 and push domestic borrowing above 6 percent of GDP. Together with a tightening of the monetary policy stance, this has led to interest rates rising significantly and the domestic interest bill growing to more than 25 percent of domestic revenue in 2013. Public debt is projected to exceed 80 percent of GDP at end-2013. The expansionary fiscal stance has also contributed to increasing pressures on the balance of payments—the level of gross external reserves is expected to fall to about 4 months of imports by the end of the year with persistent pressures on the exchange rate.

“To realize The Gambia’s strong economic potential, it is imperative to restore macroeconomic stability. The mission supports the government’s development agenda outlined in the Program for Accelerated Growth and Employment (PAGE). This agenda emphasizes an acceleration of real GDP growth and employment led by the private sector. These development plans can only be fulfilled under conditions of sustained macroeconomic stability.

“To that end, the mission recommends implementing policies that would address these imbalances and set in motion a virtuous cycle. In particular, fiscal policy should be tightened using a combination of revenue and expenditure measures with the objective of lowering net domestic borrowing to 2.5 percent of GDP in 2014. This would allow the Central Bank of The Gambia to loosen somewhat the tight monetary policy stance, domestic interest rates to decline, and the resulting lower domestic interest payments to create room for spending on priorities identified in the PAGE. It will also provide room for credit growth to the private sector and thus boost GDP growth.

“Addressing the fiscal imbalances will help contain public debt, reduce inflationary pressures and ease the pressures on the exchange rate. In turn this should restore confidence in the dalasi and allow official reserves to rise above 4 months of imports. Since The Gambia is a small open economy that is vulnerable to a wide range of external shocks, rebuilding international reserves buffers, which serve as a shock absorber, should be a priority.

“The mission welcomes the determination expressed by the Gambian authorities to take the necessary difficult measures to restore macroeconomic stability. The IMF stands ready to support the authorities in their endeavor. Strong policy implementation would serve as the basis for presenting the second ECF review for the IMF Executive Board’s consideration in the second half of 2014.

“The mission thanks the authorities for candid and constructive discussions and expresses its appreciation for the excellent cooperation during its visit.”

1 The Extended Credit Facility (ECF) is the Fund’s main tool for providing medium-term support to low-income countries, with higher levels of access to financial resources, more concessional financing terms, more flexible program design features, as well as streamlined and more focused conditionality.

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BANJUL – A mission from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), led by Bhaswar Mukhopadhyay, visited Banjul during November 7- 20, 2013, to review policy implementation of The Gambia’s economic program supported by the IMF’s Extended Credit Facility (ECF).1

The mission met with Vice-President Aja Dr. Isatou Njie Saidy, Secretary General and Minister of Presidential Affairs Momodou Sabally, Finance Minister Kebba S. Touray, Governor of Central Bank of The Gambia (CBG) Amadou Colley, other senior officials, members of parliament, representatives of the private sector, civil society organizations, labor unions, the banking sector, and development partners

At the end of the mission, Mr. Mukhopadhyay issued the following statement:

Vice-President Aja Dr. Isatou Njie Saidy“Real GDP growth, driven by a continued recovery in agriculture from the severe drought of 2011 and a strong start to the tourism season, is expected to reach 6-6½ percent in 2013, up from 5¼ percent in 2012. Inflation has also edged up since January 2013, increasing to 6.1 percent in September 2013 from just below 5 percent at end-2012, largely due to a weakening of the Gambian dalasi.

“However, fiscal and external imbalances have continued to widen. With sharply higher than budgeted levels of current spending, the fiscal deficit is expected to reach almost 8 percent of GDP in 2013 and push domestic borrowing above 6 percent of GDP. Together with a tightening of the monetary policy stance, this has led to interest rates rising significantly and the domestic interest bill growing to more than 25 percent of domestic revenue in 2013. Public debt is projected to exceed 80 percent of GDP at end-2013. The expansionary fiscal stance has also contributed to increasing pressures on the balance of payments—the level of gross external reserves is expected to fall to about 4 months of imports by the end of the year with persistent pressures on the exchange rate.

“To realize The Gambia’s strong economic potential, it is imperative to restore macroeconomic stability. The mission supports the government’s development agenda outlined in the Program for Accelerated Growth and Employment (PAGE). This agenda emphasizes an acceleration of real GDP growth and employment led by the private sector. These development plans can only be fulfilled under conditions of sustained macroeconomic stability.

“To that end, the mission recommends implementing policies that would address these imbalances and set in motion a virtuous cycle. In particular, fiscal policy should be tightened using a combination of revenue and expenditure measures with the objective of lowering net domestic borrowing to 2.5 percent of GDP in 2014. This would allow the Central Bank of The Gambia to loosen somewhat the tight monetary policy stance, domestic interest rates to decline, and the resulting lower domestic interest payments to create room for spending on priorities identified in the PAGE. It will also provide room for credit growth to the private sector and thus boost GDP growth.

“Addressing the fiscal imbalances will help contain public debt, reduce inflationary pressures and ease the pressures on the exchange rate. In turn this should restore confidence in the dalasi and allow official reserves to rise above 4 months of imports. Since The Gambia is a small open economy that is vulnerable to a wide range of external shocks, rebuilding international reserves buffers, which serve as a shock absorber, should be a priority.

“The mission welcomes the determination expressed by the Gambian authorities to take the necessary difficult measures to restore macroeconomic stability. The IMF stands ready to support the authorities in their endeavor. Strong policy implementation would serve as the basis for presenting the second ECF review for the IMF Executive Board’s consideration in the second half of 2014.

“The mission thanks the authorities for candid and constructive discussions and expresses its appreciation for the excellent cooperation during its visit.”

1 The Extended Credit Facility (ECF) is the Fund’s main tool for providing medium-term support to low-income countries, with higher levels of access to financial resources, more concessional financing terms, more flexible program design features, as well as streamlined and more focused conditionality.

 

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OPEC+ Hikes Oil Production Quotas, Silent on UAE Pull-out

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Saudi Arabia, Russia and five other OPEC+ countries increased their oil production quota on Sunday in an expected move aimed at demonstrating continuity at the cartel after the shock withdrawal of the United Arab Emirates.

The seven major producers will add 188,000 barrels per day to their total production quota for June amid the price pressure unleashed by the Mideast war, as part of “their collective commitment to support oil market stability”, according to a statement published by OPEC+.

The statement, following an online meeting of Algeria, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Oman, Russia and Saudi Arabia, made no mention of the United Arab Emirates, which quit the body on Friday, three days after announcing its withdrawal.

Rystad Energy analyst Jorge Leon told AFP that the silence on the UAE’s departure was a sign of tense relations.

Oil market analysts had widely expected the increase of 188,000 barrels, similar to the 206,000-barrel daily increases OPEC+ announced in both March and April when the portion allotted to the UAE was subtracted.

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“By sticking to the same production path — just minus the UAE — it’s acting as if nothing has happened, deliberately downplaying internal fractures and projecting stability,” Leon said.

Strait of Hormuz Bottleneck Remains
But raising the quota on paper may not have much impact on actual production, which is already short of the limit.
Untapped OPEC+ reserves are mainly located in the Gulf region, and exports there are trapped by the blockade of the vital Strait of Hormuz, imposed by Iran in response to the US-Israeli strikes that started the war on February 28.

Leon, the Rystad Energy analyst, told AFP on Sunday that the cartel was looking to send “a two-layer message” that the UAE’s exit would not disrupt how OPEC+ operates and that the group still exerts control over global oil markets despite massive disruption to oil trade due to the war.

“While output is increasing on paper, the real impact on physical supply remains very limited given the Strait of Hormuz constraints,” Leon told AFP. “This is less about adding barrels and more about signalling that OPEC+ still calls the shots.”

The Strait of Hormuz blockade is hitting Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The latter’s production will no longer count towards OPEC quotas.

“Total OPEC+ output with quota fell to 27.68 million bpd in March, against a monthly quota of 36.73 million bpd, a shortfall of approximately 9 million bpd driven almost entirely by war-related disruption rather than voluntary restraint,” said Priya Walia, another analyst at Rystad Energy, ahead of Sunday’s meeting.

Iran, whose exports are now the target of a retaliatory US blockade, is an OPEC+ member but is not subject to quotas.

Russia, the group’s second-biggest producer, has been the main beneficiary of the situation. But despite soaring energy prices, it appears to be struggling to produce at the level of its current quotas as its own war in Ukraine drags on and Ukrainian drones hit oil industry facilities.

‘A Big Deal’
Amena Bakr, an analyst at Kpler, described the UAE’s exist as “a big deal” for OPEC.

Previous withdrawals from the group by Qatar in 2019 and Angola in 2023 were less significant by comparison, Bakr told a video conference on the UAE withdrawal.

The UAE has invested massively in infrastructure in recent years, and state-owned oil company ADNOC plans to increase output by five million barrels a day by 2027 — far above the country’s last quota of around 3.5 million barrels.

ADNOC also pledged on Sunday to spend $55 billion on new projects over the next two years, confirming that the company is “accelerating growth and delivery of its strategy”.

There is also the risk for OPEC+ that other countries will leave such as Iraq and Kazakhstan, which have faced repeated accusations of surpassing their quotas.

AFP

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Shareholders Laud NGX Group at 65th AGM

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Shareholders of Nigerian Exchange Group Plc (NGX Group) have commended the Board and Management for the Group’s performance and strategic direction, urging continued focus on growth and long-term value creation.

At the Group’s 65th Annual General Meeting (AGM), shareholders approved the audited financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2025, alongside key resolutions including a final dividend of ₦2.00 per share, a one-for-three bonus share issue, and the corresponding increase in share capital. The re-election of Dr. Umaru Kwairanga, Group Chairman, Board of Directors, Dr. Okechukwu Itanyi, Independent Non-Executive Director and Mrs. Ojinika Olaghere, Independent Non-Executive Director reinforced continuity in governance and oversight.

They acknowledged the Group’s disciplined execution and its role in strengthening the Nigerian capital market, noting that recent developments reflect a more structured and better-regulated market environment.

Speaking during the meeting, the President, New Dimension Shareholders Association, Patrick Ajudua, commended the leadership of the Group for delivering a strong financial outcome, noting that the results reflect both improved market conditions and deliberate strategic execution. “The numbers speak to a business that is gaining strength and direction,” he said.

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Similarly, the Chairman of the Progressive Shareholders Association of Nigeria, Boniface Okezie, lauded the Group’s commitment to innovation and infrastructure development. “The market is becoming more forward-looking, supported by strong leadership at the Group level. Initiatives around market infrastructure and participation are yielding results, and this is positive for investors,” he noted.

Commenting during the AGM, Chairman of NGX Group, Umaru Kwairanga, appreciated shareholders for their continued support and reaffirmed the Board’s commitment to sustainable value delivery. He said, “The progress recorded reflects the strength of the Group’s strategy and the performance of its operating businesses. As a Board, our responsibility is to ensure disciplined oversight, uphold strong governance standards, and position NGX Group to deliver sustainable, long-term value to shareholders.”

Temi Popoola, group managing director/chief executive officer, focused on execution priorities, noting that the Group is positioning for scale. He said, “This next phase is about deepening momentum. Our priority is to scale infrastructure, broaden participation, and unlock new pathways for capital formation.”

The meeting reflected strong shareholder confidence in NGX Group’s leadership, with the Group reaffirming its commitment to playing a central role in the evolution of Nigeria’s capital market while delivering sustained returns to investors.

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S’Leone Inks $225m Offshore Oil Deal with Nigeria’s Marginal Energy

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Sierra Leone has announced the signing of a petroleum licence agreement with Nigeria‑based ​Marginal Energy Limited, granting the company offshore exploration ‌and production rights as the government seeks to revive interest in its under‑explored upstream sector.

The licence, signed through the ​Petroleum Directorate of Sierra Leone (PDSL), covers offshore ​blocks G‑145, G‑146, G‑147, G‑160 and G‑161, spanning ⁠about 6,800 square kilometres, according to a government ​statement, a Reuters report said.

Marginal Energy, a Nigerian independent, has committed to ​a seismic and drilling programme with exploration spending expected to exceed $225 million.

Under the agreement, the state will hold a 10 percent ​carried interest in oil projects and 5 percent in ​gas during exploration and development, with an option to acquire an ‌additional ⁠participating interest on a paid basis of up to 9 percent once production begins.

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The deal was signed at the Invest in African Energy conference in Paris, ​where Sierra ​Leone has been ⁠promoting offshore licensing opportunities to international investors, the report added.

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