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OPEC Reports Significant Global Market Shifts As Dangote Refinery Exports Fuel

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Nigeria’s crude oil production averaged 1.238m bpd in June – OPEC

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has highlighted the significant impact of Nigeria’s Dangote Petroleum Refinery on the global Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) market, particularly in Europe.

The refinery, which began operations in January 2024 with a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day, started PMS production in September.

This marked a turning point for Nigeria, a nation that had long depended on petroleum product imports.

READ MORE: Affordable Petrol: Ardova, Heyden Enter Bulk Purchase Pact With Dangote Refinery

Since production commenced, the refinery has been exporting petrol, diesel, and aviation fuel to markets across Africa and beyond.

In its report released on Wednesday, OPEC noted that the Dangote Refinery has substantially reduced the importation of petroleum products into Nigeria, reshaping global trade flows.

“The ongoing operational ramp-up efforts at Nigeria’s new Dangote refinery and its gasoline (petrol) exports to the international market will likely weigh further on the European gasoline market,” OPEC stated.

“Continued gasoline production in Nigeria, a country that has relied heavily on imports to meet its domestic fuel needs in the past, will most likely continue to free up gasoline volumes in international markets, which will call for new destinations and flow adjustments for the extra volumes going forward.”

Impact on Europe’s Gasoline Market

OPEC’s report indicated that Europe is already feeling the effects of this shift, with reduced gasoline exports to Nigeria leading to inventory builds at storage hubs in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp region.

The gasoline crack spread in Rotterdam against Brent crude saw a slight increase, supported by strong exports.

However, OPEC warned that the winter season’s lower demand could exacerbate the growing gasoline surplus in the Atlantic Basin, adding pressure to an already bearish market.

The report also revealed a rise in Nigeria’s crude oil production.

According to OPEC’s data from secondary sources, Nigeria produced an average of 1.507 million barrels per day (mbpd) in December 2024, a 12,000bpd increase from the previous month.

Government data showed a slightly lower figure of 1.485mbpd for the same period, aligning with figures from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission.

The $20 billion Dangote Refinery has been ranked above Europe’s largest refineries in terms of capacity.

With its ability to process 650,000 barrels per day, it surpasses Shell’s Pernis refinery in the Netherlands (404,000bpd) and BP Rotterdam (380,000bpd).

Other major European refineries include the GOI Energy ISAB refinery in Italy (360,000bpd), TotalEnergies Antwerp in Belgium (338,000bpd), and the ExxonMobil Antwerp refinery (307,000bpd).

OPEC’s analysis underscores the refinery’s transformative potential. By reducing Nigeria’s dependence on imports and exporting refined products, the Dangote Refinery is reshaping global petroleum markets while enhancing Nigeria’s energy security.

 

 

NEWS

Political Earthquake Brewing? Peter Obi, Bala Mohammed in Closed-Door Talks

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Former Labour Party presidential candidate in the 2023 general election, Peter Obi, on Thursday visited Bauchi State for a closed-door meeting with Governor Bala Mohammed amid growing political realignments in the country.

Obi, who is also a chieftain of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) opposition coalition, arrived at the Bauchi State Government House where he proceeded to a private meeting with the governor at the Presidential Lounge.

SEE MORE: PDP Chieftain Explains Why Peter Obi Could Restore National Hope in Nigeria

The purpose of the visit was not immediately known as both politicians held discussions behind closed doors.

Details of the meeting remained undisclosed at the time of filing this report.

However, sources within the Government House suggested that the meeting may be connected to recent political developments and possible alignments ahead of future elections, though this could not be independently verified.

Both leaders are expected to brief journalists after the meeting concludes.
Governor Bala Mohammed, who serves as Chairman of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) Governors’ Forum, has recently been at the center of political speculation regarding his party allegiance.

On March 31, he reportedly hinted at a possible political shift during a meeting with a delegation of the African Democratic Congress led by former Secretary to the Government of the Federation, Babachir Lawal, at the Government House in Bauchi.

However, his political engagements appeared to take a different turn shortly after, as he also hosted the National Chairman of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Nentawe Yilwatda, alongside Kano State Governor, Abba Yusuf, on April 1 at the same venue.

The latest meeting with Obi has further intensified speculation about ongoing political consultations and possible future alignments among key political actors.

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JUST IN: Nigeria’s Debt Profile Set to Rise as Tinubu Requests Fresh $516m Foreign Loan

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President Bola Tinubu has requested the approval of the Senate for a fresh external borrowing of $516.33 million, in a move that is expected to further raise concerns over Nigeria’s growing debt profile.

The request was contained in a letter addressed to the President of the Senate, Godswill Akpabio, and was read during plenary on Thursday at the National Assembly.

READ MORE: WC 2026: Don’t Go Into Debt to Support Scotland, Coach Warns Fans

According to the letter, the proposed loan is to be sourced from Deutsche Bank and will be used to finance a key infrastructure component under the government’s already approved borrowing programme—the Sokoto–Badagry Super Highway project, a major road corridor designed to enhance connectivity across the country.

President Tinubu, in the request, urged the Senate to give the proposal expedited consideration and approval, stressing the importance of the project to national infrastructure development and economic growth.

Following the reading of the letter, Senate President Akpabio referred the request to the Senate Committee on Local and Foreign Debts, directing the committee to examine the proposal and submit its report within one week.

The latest borrowing request comes amid ongoing national debates over Nigeria’s debt sustainability, as the federal government continues to rely on external loans to fund large-scale infrastructure projects.

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Shock as Court Rejects El-Rufai’s Bail Application, Orders Continued Detention

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A Kaduna State High Court has rejected the bail application filed by former Kaduna State Governor, Nasir El-Rufai, ordering that he remain in the custody of the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission (ICPC) pending the determination of his trial.

The ruling was delivered by Justice D.H. Khobo, who held that the seriousness of the allegations against the former governor, as well as concerns over possible interference with ongoing investigations, made the grant of bail inappropriate at this stage.

ALSO READ: Pastor Bakare, El Rufai Devastated by PMB’s Failure

El-Rufai had approached the court seeking release on bail pending trial over a nine-count charge filed by the Federal Government through the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission.

He argued that the offences were not capital in nature and that he posed no flight risk, citing his community ties, fixed residences, and willingness to cooperate with investigators.

He also told the court that he voluntarily returned to Nigeria to honour official invitations and challenged the validity of the charges, describing them as defective.

Additionally, he raised health concerns, requesting bail on medical grounds.

However, the prosecution opposed the application, insisting that the alleged offences were serious and economically damaging, with a likelihood that the defendant could interfere with witnesses and ongoing investigations.

In his ruling, Justice Khobo held that the gravity of the charges and the risk of interference outweighed the arguments for bail.

The court also ruled that insufficient medical evidence had been provided to justify release on health grounds.

The judge therefore ordered that El-Rufai remain in ICPC custody and directed that the trial proceed on an accelerated basis, fixing early hearing dates for the case.

The former governor will remain detained as proceedings continue in the high-profile corruption trial.

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