Energy
Sahara Group Urges More Refining, Storage To Boost Africa’s Downstream
Inadequate refining capacity, insufficient storage, and impeded product movement across Africa are the three major impediments slowing the growth of the continent’s downstream oil sector, Wale Ajibade, Executive Director, Sahara Group has said.
Ajibade expressed his views in a paper “Africa Downstream Market Developments and Forecast” presented at the recently concluded Africa Refiners and Distributors Association (ARDA) Week 2024 in Cape Town, South Africa.
He maintained that addressing these gaps would transform Africa’s downstream petroleum industry.
Biztellers reports that the ARDA Week 2024 is Africa’s foremost gathering of stakeholders in the downstream oil industry.
Ajibade noted that shoring up the continent’s refining capacity was critical to sustaining efficiency, availability and accessibility in the sector.
He explained that as Africa explored ways of achieving hitch-free energy transition, efforts must be made to ensure optimisation of the sector’s value responsibly and collaboratively.
In his words, “Many African countries lack sufficient refining capacity to meet domestic demand, leading to heavy reliance on imports. This lack of self-sufficiency leaves these markets vulnerable to supply disruptions.
“Addressing this would require fresh investments and collaboration across the sector’s value chain.”
On insufficient storage infrastructure, Ajibade pointed out that this has continued to hamper the ability to maintain strategic reserves and ensure reliable supply during times of high demand or supply chain disruptions.
“In East Africa, shippers at Beira, Dar es Salaam and Mombasa — the key entry ports for refined products — are experiencing significant demurrage. Ageing and poorly maintained pipeline networks result in significant product losses and distribution bottlenecks,” he stated.
According to him, a collaborative solution which involves regulators, operators, investors, financial institutions, and government owned oil companies is required to help the African downstream sector to reach its full potential and provide reliable and affordable energy access to the continent’s growing population.
“Africa’s downstream Market leaders will need to work closely with her the various governments and agencies to carefully navigate the complex challenges through regulation and technology adoption while pushing for sustainable growth across Africa,” he added.
He also stated that the continent increasingly relied on imports of refined products to support consumption growth, primarily due to the underutilisation of existing refineries caused by technical issues.
He called for, “Investments in refinery upgrades, pipeline modernisation, and the construction of new storage facilities will be crucial to overcoming these challenges and unlocking the region’s energy security and economic development.”
Highlighting some positive trends in the sector, Ajibade said the African downstream market is experiencing rapid growth and transformation, driven by soaring energy demand, population growth, and the focus on industrialisation, urbanisation, and economic He explained that these would drive the demand for refined petroleum products, petrochemicals, and related downstream services is forecasted to grow by up to 30% by 2040.
“Africa is experiencing a lot of migration from rural to urban areas. In 2015, Africa had only six cities with more than five residents compared to 17 expected in 2030. Africa has experienced an increase in the number and capacity of industries across the continent, with industrial GDP set to double by 2025,” he said.
On the promotion of regional and cross-border trade, Ajibade noted that initiatives such as the African Continental Free Trade Area are promoting regional integration and facilitating cross-border trade in downstream products.
“This is encouraging investments in integrated downstream assets, logistical infrastructure, and harmonised regulatory frameworks to capitalise on the expanded market opportunities,” concluding that production of chemicals, plastics, lubricants, and specialty products would foster self-sufficiency and spur economic growth through increased job creation, reduced import reliance and enhanced technological innovation,” he added.
Oil output from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) rose to record levels in September, underscoring its resilience even amidst the Middle East crises and liberation from OPEC+ limits.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) issued the data in its monthly report, adding that Abu Dhabi raised total oil production, including condensates, by 400,000 bpd to 5.3 MMbpd.
According to the IEA, the UAE bolstered crude output to more than 4.4 MMbpd, nearing its maximum capacity, which surpasses the previous highs for total oil in August, and crude oil in June.
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The UAE has been one of the most successful among regional producers in restoring flows through the Strait of Hormuz, by drawing on a fleet of tankers to discreetly shuttle cargoes through the chokepoint and then transfer them onto other vessels. In addition, the country’s decision to leave the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) as of May has freed it from the group’s output caps, a source of frustration for years.
Its gains contributed to a wider recovery in flows from Gulf producers, which reached more than 75% of pre-war levels in September, led by Saudi Arabia, according to the Paris-based IEA.
Still, it’s unclear how far the regional rebound has withstood a new wave of Iranian attacks on tankers transiting Hormuz, and escalating hostilities carried out by the Houthi rebel faction in Yemen.
The UAE depleted its observable above-ground inventories at a record pace of more than 270,000 bpd in September, drawing them to an all-time low, according to the IEA.
Africa’s gas potential and strengthening the continent’s energy security would take centre stage at the Africa Interviews Sustainability Forum (AISF 2026) scheduled for Wednesday, October 21, in Lagos.
Biztellers reports that top officials of Oando Plc and Renaissance Africa Energy Company Limited, Ayotola Jagun and Tony Attah, respectively, will be leading other industry leaders in the discussion.
Jagun, Oando’s Executive Director, Chief Corporate Services and Sustainability Officer, and Attah, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Renaissance Africa Energy Company Limited, will participate in a panel discussion alongside Lamé Verre of Lean In Equity & Sustainability (LiNES) and Dapo Filani, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Waltersmith.
The panel will examine Africa’s energy security and the role of natural gas in the continent’s energy transition.
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The forum, launched in 2024, is holding its third edition under the theme, “Energy Security and Africa’s Energy Transition: Defining the Role of Gas.”
This year’s gathering will explore how African countries can strengthen energy security, attract investment in gas development and balance growing energy demand with sustainability objectives.
Verre, a London-based energy and sustainability executive, is Co-founder and Chair of the Advisory Board of LiNES. She will bring her international experience in sustainability, decarbonisation and low-carbon development to the discussion. Her work spans low-carbon initiatives across sectors, including marine, the built environment, forestry, land and agriculture.
Jagun brings extensive experience in corporate governance, regulatory compliance, enterprise risk management and sustainability. Her contribution will provide a corporate sustainability and governance perspective on the relationship between energy development, environmental responsibility and Africa’s transition priorities.
Attah, a former Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Nigeria LNG Limited, has extensive experience in the oil and gas industry, particularly in natural gas development and major energy operations.
Filani leads Waltersmith, an indigenous Nigerian energy company with interests across the oil and gas value chain. His participation will highlight the role of indigenous energy companies in strengthening domestic energy capacity and supporting economic development.
The panel will consider what is required to unlock greater investment in Africa’s gas sector, how natural gas can support industrial growth while advancing sustainability, and what practical measures could help translate the continent’s energy ambitions into tangible outcomes.
Beyond the panel discussion, AISF 2026 will provide opportunities for engagement among senior energy executives, policymakers, investors and business leaders.
Oil prices on Monday went south, after crude exports from the Middle East rose above pre-war levels, while the Group of Seven nations pledged to release 100 million barrels of crude and diesel from emergency reserves.
Brent crude futures fell by $1.20, or 1.17 percent, to $101.05 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude declined by $1.16, or 1.27 percent, to $89.95 per barrel, according to Reuters.
Middle Eastern crude exports exceeded pre-war levels on four of the seven days in the final week of September, shipping data showed, despite attacks on vessels passing through the strategic Strait of Hormuz.
The increase in exports, combined with the G7’s planned release of emergency stocks, helped put downward pressure on crude prices.
The G7 countries agreed on Friday to release 100 million barrels of diesel and crude from emergency reserves and pledged to refrain from energy export restrictions following pressure from United States President Donald Trump.
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However, the scale of the additional supply remained uncertain.
IEA Executive Director, Fatih Birol, said last week that member countries had already released about two-thirds of the 400-million-barrel volume.
Meanwhile, supply concerns remained elevated as fighting continued across parts of the Middle East.
Saudi Aramco Chief Executive Officer, Amin Nasser, also warned that crude oil and refined fuel supplies were expected to remain stretched.
He said rebuilding global stockpiles after emergency withdrawals could take two years.
The United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve fell to 283 million barrels last week, its lowest level since October 1982, according to data from the US Department of Energy.
The supply outlook was further complicated by the continuing conflict involving Saudi Arabia and Iran-backed Houthi forces in Yemen.
Yemeni government forces attacked Houthi positions in the Dhubab district overlooking the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on Monday, according to two military sources.
The development came a day after the internationally recognised government launched a campaign to retake Houthi-held territory.
Meanwhile, OPEC+ postponed a review that would determine its 2027 oil output quotas after the war involving Iran disrupted projects aimed at expanding production capacity across the Middle East.
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