Business
Ukraine’s Currency in Free Fall
LONDON – Ukraine’s currency slumped to its lowest level in roughly five years Wednesday, adding to pressure on President Viktor Yanukovych as he navigates between Russia and the West.
The U.S. dollar was quoted above 9.00 against the hryvnia for the first time since February 2009, according to traders, with Ukraine’s national currency going from its recent steady decline into free fall. The exchange rate is widely viewed in Ukraine as a bellwether of economic stability, and the National Bank of Ukraine has for years tightly managed the hryvnia slightly above 8 to the dollar.
Mr. Yanukovych is under pressure from more than two months of street protests against his decision to halt an integration pact with the European Union, instead sealing a $15 billion bailout from Russia. But he is now also facing a financial squeeze after he dismissed his government last week, and the Kremlin said it would pause its bailout until new ministers are appointed.
Analysts said the National Bank appeared to be managing the hryvnia lower. “They are stepping away from the peg. They know they can’t hold it as the Russian money isn’t there. They are trying to conserve reserves,” said Timothy Ash, an analyst at Standard Bank.
U.S. and European Union officials say they are putting together a financial bailout to tempt Mr. Yanukovych to strike a compromise with his opponents and forge a technocrat government that could push through economic overhauls. But prospects for a resolution look dim, as the opposition is demanding that more of the president’s powers be transferred to the cabinet before they agree to take government roles.
Mr. Yanukovych is holding talks in Kiev with EU foreign-policy chief Catherine Ashton, and will meet Assistant U.S. Secretary of State Victoria Nuland tomorrow. He then flies to Russia for talks with President Vladimir Putin. Moscow sent $3 billion to Ukraine late last year, but held up a further $2 billion installment last week.
Ukraine’s acting prime minister, Serhiy Arbuzov, moved to deflect blame for the sliding hryvnia Wednesday. “Political instability is pressing on the currency market. There is strain despite the fact there’s no fundamental economic basis for it,” Mr. Arbuzov told a government meeting Wednesday. “There are no fundamental causes for concern. I again call on everyone to settle the conflict as quickly as possible.”
The hryvnia has been under selling pressure for weeks amid antigovernment protests that have turned violent at times. The currency’s decline has accelerated in recent days. Trading on Wednesday was illiquid with prices quoted erratically and with large variations, traders said, underscoring just how nervous the market had become.
“The National Bank of Ukraine seems to have finally abandoned its four-year hryvnia to dollar peg and will be moving further toward greater foreign-exchange flexibility,” said Vladimir Osakovskiy and Vadim Khramov, analysts at Bank of America BAC -0.73% Merrill Lynch.
As a result, the bank is forecasting the dollar will rise to as high as 10 against the hryvnia by the end of 2014.
“Before the protests the National Bank was coping with downside pressure on the hryvnia by squeezing money-market liquidity and carrying out FX interventions. Given the political uncertainty, pressure on the FX market increased partly due to households’ demand for foreign currencies. And the central bank is not willing to increase the amount of interventions,” said Alexei Pogorelov, economist at Credit Suisse CSGN.VX +0.15% in Moscow.
Analysts suspect the central bank would struggle to keep a lid on an aggressive hryvnia selloff. According to central-bank data, Ukraine had $20.4 billion in international reserves on Jan. 1, a relatively small amount. In December, it spent $942 million of reserves defending the currency.
The hryvnia’s fall could be exacerbated if households lose faith and shift out of the currency, as they did in 2008.
Nervousness spread as gasoline prices continued edging upward Wednesday on the back of the hryvnia’s weakness, increasing the squeeze on Ukrainians.
“The price has gone up by 10-15 kopecks today, and I have no idea what happens next,” said Artur Badenkin, sales manager at a Kiev gas station.
– WALLSTREET JOURNAL
Business
Food Security: AFC Deepens Partnership with Dangote Group with $600m Loan for Fertilizer Expansion
The Dangote Group has strengthened its strategic partnership with the Africa Finance Corporation (AFC) with the signing of a $600 million loan agreement to support the expansion of its fertilizer production capacity, in a major boost to food security across Nigeria and the African continent.
The loan facility to GreenView Fertilizer Corporation (Greenview), the Dangote Fertlizer Holding Company will part finance the expansion of its urea fertilizer production capacity in Nigeria and the development of the plant in Ethiopia.
The investment forms part of Dangote Group’s broader US$7 billion fertilizer expansion programme, which is expected to increase Dangote Fertilizer’s production capacity in Nigeria from 3 million metric tonnes per annum (“MTPA”) to 9 MTPA, while also supporting the development of a new 3 MTPA urea fertilizer plant in Ethiopia. The programme is expected to materially expand Africa’s fertilizer production capacity, strengthen regional food security, support agricultural productivity, and reduce the continent’s dependence on imported fertilizer.
The financing underscores AFC’s continued confidence in Dangote Group’s vision to drive industrial growth and agricultural transformation through large-scale investments in critical infrastructure. The facility will be deployed towards expanding the Dangote Fertilizer Plant, one of the largest granulated urea fertilizer complexes in the world, located in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos State.
This expansion is expected to significantly scale up production capacity, enhance supply chain efficiency, and ensure the steady availability of high-quality fertilizers to farmers across Africa. It will also help reduce dependency on fertilizer imports, stabilize prices, and improve agricultural yields, thereby strengthening the continent’s food security framework.
Speaking on the development, President of Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote says the expansion is expected to generate over $4 billion annually in export earnings within the next three years.: “What he’s actually given us this money for is a company where by the next three years we’ll be able to have an export of over $4 billion worth of urea fertilizer, and I think it is a big contribution to the foreign exchange income of the country… You can continue to count on us. When we say that we want to grow our group to $100 billion by 2030, it doesn’t mean that we want to grow alone, we want to grow together, especially with African Finance Corporation among other notable institutions in Africa”
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Commenting on the transaction, Samaila Zubairu, President & CEO of Africa Finance Corporation, said: “This transaction demonstrates AFC’s capital recycling model in action. Following the successful repayment of our earlier investment in Dangote Industries Limited, we are redeploying and doubling that capital into Dangote Group’s next phase of growth. By supporting the expansion of Dangote Fertilizer, AFC is backing a proven African industrial champion whose investments will strengthen food security, reduce import dependence, and create long-term economic value across the continent.”
The Dangote Fertilizer Plant currently plays a pivotal role in meeting domestic demand while also exporting to international markets, generating foreign exchange earnings for Nigeria. With the planned expansion, the company aims to further consolidate its leadership in the global fertilizer market.
Business
NGX Poised for Dollar Denominated DPRP IPO, Pioneer African Exchanges Linkage Project
The Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX Group) is set for the Initial Public Offering (IPO) of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals (DPRP), which would have three billion ordinary shares on offer at $0.35 per share.
Chairman of the (NGX Group), Dr. Umaru Kwairanga, spoke of the IPO at the weekend during a visit to the Abu Dhabi Stock Exchange (ADX), United Arab Emirates (UAE), adding that investor demand already exceeded $2 billion.
During a meeting with ADX’s board and management, Dr. Kwairanga said: “In Nigeria, we are also preparing for Dangote Refinery IPO which is seen as a continental project. Hopefully, the refinery, which is one of the biggest refineries in the world, will consider a dual listing in a global financial centre and we hope to have the active participation of Middle East investors with roadshows likely in the UAE.”
Quoting sources and a placement document, Reuters on Friday reported that the refinery is offering 3 billion ordinary shares at $0.35 per share, with investor demand already exceeding $2 billion.
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According to the report, investors must subscribe to a minimum of one million shares ($350,000), with additional purchases in multiples of 500,000 shares, adding that shares will be subject to a 365-day lock-up period.
Proceeds will be used for expansion and general corporate purposes as the refinery ramps up operations and strengthens its market position, the document showed.
During the meeting with the executives of the UAE-based exchange at the weekend, Kwairanga solicited collaborative efforts between the NGX and ADX, noting that both markets could explore knowledge sharing and training programmes.
He expressed delight that despite the ongoing geopolitical tensions, the Abu Dhabi Exchange and the UAE in general are working and peaceful and still a global destination of choice for business.
This, he observed, was a clear demonstration of the solid foundation laid by the founding fathers and the resilience, determination and focus of current leaders, adding that he had no doubt that the UAE will emerge stronger from present issues.
He said the NGX, which he chairs, and the Nigerian capital market have witnessed dramatic improvement in performance and operations over the last couple of years.
“Our index and market capitalisation has more than doubled in the last couple of years and we have been attracting renewed interest from investors from all parts of the globe, including the Middle East.
“I recall that our President, Bola Ahmed Tinubu, who is Nigeria’s leader and chief marketer was in Abu Dhabi earlier this year to inform investors about ongoing economic reforms in Nigeria and why it is a very attractive destination for business,” Kwairanga said in a statement which he made personally signed.
The NGX Chairman said the exchange is also at the forefront of the African Exchanges Linkage Project, which will seamlessly link stock exchanges in several African countries for intra African trading and broaden the continent’s capital markets significantly.
“I believe during this visit, we will discuss areas for collaboration between our two exchanges in areas such as exchange of knowledge and training programmes, especially product development, cross border listings, openings in Nigeria for UAE quoted companies that may wish to expand. One product/platform that I believe we can work on is Tabadul.
“In Nigeria, we are also preparing for Dangote Refinery IPO which is seen as a continental project. Hopefully, the refinery, which is one of the biggest refineries in the world, will consider a dual listing in a global financial centre and we hope to have the active participation of Middle East investors with roadshows likely in the UAE,” he said.
Business
Ekpo Urges Entrepreneurs to Harness Nigeria’s Gas Resources for Economic Growth, General Wellbeing
The Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Gas), Hon. Ekperikpe Ekpo, has urged investors to unlock Nigeria’s vast natural gas resources to drive industrialisation, economic growth, job creation, and improved living standards for all Nigerians.
Ekpo made this appeal when he delivered a keynote address at the Association of Local Distributors of Gas (ALDG) Business Forum 2026 held in Abuja, where he spoke on the theme, ‘From Gas Abundance to Gas Access: Reassessing Nigeria’s Gas Distribution Imperatives’.
The minister who was represented by the Director of Midstream and Downstream at the ministry, Mrs. Ikenma Irene, told stakeholders that while Nigeria possessed over 209 trillion cubic feet of proven natural gas reserves—making it one of the most gas-endowed nations globally—the country’s true challenge was actually on how to ensure widespread access and utilisation of this strategic resource.
“Nigeria’s development will not be measured by the volume of gas beneath our soil, but by the extent to which that gas powers industries, supports households, creates jobs, and fuels sustainable economic growth,” the minister stated.
The minister commended ALDG for providing a strategic platform for collaboration and dialogue among key stakeholders, noting that the Forum intervened at a critical period in Nigeria’s energy transition journey.
He highlighted the federal government’s continued commitment under the leadership of President Bola Tinubu to deepen domestic gas utilisation through the Decade of Gas initiative and other transformative reforms designed to position Nigeria as a gas-powered economy.
The minister further noted that the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) 2021 has strengthened the legal and regulatory framework necessary to attract investment, encourage private sector participation, expand infrastructure, and promote market efficiency throughout the gas sector.
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According to the minister, industrialised nations achieved economic advancement not merely because of resource endowment but because they built systems that enabled reliable energy access, industrial utilisation, and efficient markets.
He said, “Nigeria must now move decisively from gas abundance to gas accessibility.
“The success of this vision requires policy consistency, strong institutions, strategic investments, infrastructure expansion, security collaboration, and sustainable stakeholder partnerships.”
He urged stakeholders participating in the Forum to focus on developing practical, investment-driven solutions that expand gas access and deliver measurable benefits to Nigerians.
“As we deliberate today, let us remain focused on building a gas sector that delivers real value to Nigerians — one that powers industries, supports households, creates jobs, enhances energy security, and drives inclusive national development,” the minister stated.
“Let us move from gas abundance to gas access. Let us move from policy to implementation. Let us build a gas economy that works for all Nigerians,” he added.





