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Yuan’s Decline Hit South Korean Won Hard

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SEOUL – South Korean’s won was the hardest hit among the region’s currencies by the Chinese yuan’s steep fall over the past week, reflecting the expanding trade between the two countries.

The South Korean currency reached its lowest level against the U.S. dollar in more than two weeks Monday, touching 1074.5 just days after the yuan posted its biggest drop in more than three years.

Over the past year, analysts say, the Korean won has become increasingly sensitive to movements in the yuan because of the nations’ trade ties. China is South Korea’s largest trading partner.

Yuan’s Decline Hit South Korean Won Hard“In terms of export markets, South Korea is a big trading partner [of China] and from that perspective there’s exposure. Partly, it is concerns about weakening growth in China; there is competitive issues and there are trade issues and for these reasons, it has some impact on the [Korean] won,” said Mitul Kotecha, global head of currency strategy and global markets research for Asia at Crédit Agricole in Hong Kong.

Data from Morgan Stanley show export exposure to China amounts to 13% of South Korea’s gross domestic product.Mr. Kotecha said the won is less sensitive than other currencies to movements in U.S. Treasury yields, with developments in China having a bigger impact on the South Korean currency.

The correlation, a measure of how different currencies tend to move together, shows that over the past year the Korean won has increasingly been moving in tandem with the Chinese yuan. Other Asian currencies have moved inversely.

While the Korean won declined 1.3% for the week, most emerging-Asia currencies reacted less severely as the Chinese yuan dropped for six consecutive days until Friday. The Malaysian ringgit rose 0.1%, the Philippine peso dropped 0.4% and the Indonesian rupiah rose 0.9% over the same period.

“Given trade links, the Asia ex-Japan [currencies] most affected by the (mini) contagion were the Singapore dollar, Korean won and Taiwanese dollar,” analysts at Morgan Stanley wrote in a note.

Geoff Kendrick, head of Asia foreign exchange and rates strategy at Morgan Stanley in Hong Kong, said the positioning, or the number of people trading the Korean won, is much larger than for the currency’s peers, so the selloff was more pronounced.

The yuan, heavily controlled by China’s central bank and allowed to trade 1% higher or lower each day, has been pushed higher over the past few months. But on Friday, the guidance was set lower, prompting some currency strategists to call the losses a “bloodbath,” as many speculators were forced to cut their bets on an appreciating yuan.

“The shift in CNY dynamics was mainly driven by several factors: weakening economic outlook, policy shift and technical adjustment by market investors,” analysts from J.P. Morgan wrote in a note on Monday.

“The reluctance to see significant CNY depreciation is still deep in the mind of Chinese policy makers, as it may cause large capital outflows, raise political objections from major trading partners, and also impede” the People’s Bank of China’s effort to promote international use of the yuan, the analysts said.

They added that they expect the depreciation in the Chinese yuan to be temporary and forecast that it will appreciate between 1% to 2% through the year.

– WALLSTREET JOURNAL

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Adoption of AI Feature as NIPetGE Pays Courtesy Call at NNPC Ltd

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Enhanced adoption of artificial intelligence and other digital technologies to improve operations in Nigeria’s oil and gas industry is taking the centre stage in relevant circles.

The issue came up strongly when the President-elect of the Nigerian Institute of Petroleum and Gas Engineers NIPetGE, Prisca Kanebi, paid a courtesy call at the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd), Abuja.

Biztellers reports that the Kanebi led delegation was received by the Group Chief Executive Officer of the NNPC Ltd, Bayo Ojulari, represented by the Executive Vice President, Gas, Power and New Energy, Olalekan Ogunleye.

According to a statement made available on Sunday, discussions at the meeting focused on the future of Nigeria’s hydrocarbon industry amid global energy transition concerns, technological changes and sustainability targets.

ALSO READ: NNPC Ltd, IOCs Raise Crude Supply to Local Refineries by 103% in 4 Months

The statement indicated that the NNPC Ltd acknowledged the role of NIPetGE in policy advocacy, technical development and innovation within the sector.

Speaking during the meeting, Kanebi highlighted recommendations from the institute’s recent conference, including the proposed establishment of a national centre for intelligent energy systems to support the deployment of artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things and robotics across the petroleum value chain.

She also commended the Federal Government’s decarbonisation efforts and reiterated the institute’s support for policies aimed at improving sustainability in the industry.

The institute also recommended the creation of a hydrocarbon-linked emissions trading system to allow Nigeria to take part in global carbon markets.

The institute also proposed fiscal incentives to support local manufacturing and service delivery in the oil and gas sector, as well as the expansion of the Energy Transition Plan to include measurable upstream decarbonisation targets backed by tax credits.

Other proposals included increased public-private partnerships in emission control infrastructure, carbon capture projects and hybrid renewable energy initiatives.

Both organisations also stressed the need for stronger collaboration between industry and academic institutions to improve professional capacity and align petroleum engineering practice in Nigeria with international standards.

The institute further disclosed that its bill seeking chartered status had passed second reading and was progressing towards a third hearing at the National Assembly.

It added that NNPC Ltd pledged support for future collaborations with the institute on initiatives aimed at improving efficiency and innovation in the energy sector.

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FHC Orders NUPRC to Comply with PIA

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Local Firms Lead Revival of Idle Oil Wells – SPE

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Nigeria’s indigenous oil and gas companies are reopening dormant wells and ramping up production from assets acquired from international oil companies (IOCs) to boost crude oil output.

The Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE), Nigeria Council, made the assertion through its Chairman, Francis Nwaochie, on the sideline of the Offshore Technology Conference (OTC) which ended at the weekend in Houston, Texas.
Nwaochie said indigenous operators were already taking advantage of opportunities created by disruptions in the global energy market to increase production from existing assets.

According to him, local firms that recently acquired onshore and shallow water assets from IOCs were aggressively reviving inactive wells and maximizing available infrastructure to raise output levels.

“What we are seeing now is that indigenous companies are reopening wells from the assets they acquired from the IOCs. Some of them have almost doubled production from those existing assets,”.

He explained that the renewed focus on dormant wells and existing facilities had become critical at a time the global oil market was facing supply shortages triggered by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

The SPE Nigeria Council Chairman noted that Africa, particularly Nigeria, was well positioned to benefit from the supply gap because of the continent’s relative stability compared to some other oil-producing regions.

“There is a huge opportunity for Africa right now. The focus is gradually shifting to Africa because of the volatile environment in many other producing regions.”

He stated that indigenous operators were leveraging digital technologies, financing opportunities and local expertise to improve production efficiency and optimise existing fields.

He added that stronger implementation of local content policies was also helping to create a more stable operating environment for oil and gas investments.

“Local content is very critical. Once communities and local companies clearly understand their roles and benefits, then you create peace across the industry. Business only thrives in peaceful environments.”

ALSO READ: Nigerian Navy Recovers Large Cache of Illegal Refined Petroleum Products

Nwaochie also stressed the need for Nigeria to move beyond crude oil production and begin developing indigenous technologies for the energy industry.

According to him, SPE Nigeria Council was actively supporting innovation and technology development among young Nigerian engineers and researchers.

He disclosed that the association was engaging the National Universities Commission(NUC) on reforms to engineering curricula in universities to better prepare graduates for the future of the energy industry.

“One of our major focuses in SPE is technology development. We should not only import machines and equipment, we must begin to develop our own technologies locally.”

Nwaochie revealed that SPE was already supporting local innovators working on technologies such as remotely operated underwater vehicles (ROVs), noting that indigenous technology development will strengthen Nigeria’s economy and deepen local participation in the oil and gas sector.

“We may not get everything right immediately but we must start somewhere. That is how countries that dominate the global energy industry built their capacities.”

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