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IMF’s “A Rocky Recovery” Report: Global Growth To Bottom Out In 2023

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According to the IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) Update Report for April 2023 titled “A Rocky Recovery”, global growth will bottom out at 2.8% in 2023 before rising modestly to 3.0% in 2024. The report states that the baseline forecast is for growth to fall from 3.4% in 2022 to 2.8% in 2023, before settling at 3.0% in 2024.

 

The report mentions that advanced economies will experience a pronounced growth slow down, from 2.7% in 2022 to 1.3% in 2023. The report further highlights that the economic slowdown this year is concentrated in advanced economies, especially in the Euro area and the United Kingdom. The report predicts that growth will fall to 0.8% and -0.3% this year before rebounding to 1.4% and 1% respectively.

 

The report also states that, despite a 0.5 percentage point downward revision, many emerging markets and developing economies are picking up, with year-end to year-end growth accelerating to 4.5% in 2023 from 2.8% in 2022.

 

Economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa is projected to remain moderate at 3.6% in 2023 before picking up to 4.2% in 2024. Economic growth in Nigeria is projected at 3.2% in 2023 and 3.0% in 2024.

 

The report predicts that global inflation will fall, though, more slowly than initially anticipated, from 8.7% last year to seven percent in 2023 and 4.9% in 2024. The report also warns that inflation is slowly falling, but economic growth remains historically low, and financial risks have risen.

 

It also states that policymakers need a steady hand and clear communication. With financial instability contained, monetary policy should remain focused on bringing inflation down but stand ready to quickly adjust to financial developments.

 

Fiscal policy, it states, can also play an active role by cooling off economic activity, tighter fiscal policy would support monetary policy, allowing real interest rates to return faster to a low natural levels.

 

It also admonishes regulators and supervisors to act now to ensure that remaining financial fragilities do not morph into a full-blown crisis by strengthening oversight and actively managing market strains.

 

The report also highlights the importance of ensuring proper access to the Global Financial Safety Net, including the IMF’s precautionary arrangement for emerging markets and developing economies.

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SERAP, BudgIT, 136 Nigerians Ask Court To Order Tinubu To Stop Cybersecurity Levy

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The Socio-Economic Rights and Accountability Project (SERAP), BudgIT and 136 concerned Nigerians have filed a lawsuit against the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) “over its failure to withdraw the patently unlawful ‘Circular’ directing all banks and other financial institutions to deduct from customers’ account a ‘cybersecurity levy’.”

Recall that the CBN had last week directed banks to implement a levy of 0.5% (0.005) equivalent to a half percent of all electronic transactions, and to remit the levy to the ‘national cybersecurity fund.’ The CBN relied on the Cybercrime Act 2015 [as amended]. The directive is to be implemented by Monday, May 20, 2024.

In the suit number FHC/L/CS/822/2024 filed last Friday at the Federal High Court, Lagos, the Plaintiffs are asking the court to determine “whether the CBN Circular dated 6th May 2024, directing financial institutions to deduct from customers’ accounts a cybersecurity levy is unlawful and therefore ultra vires the CBN.”

The Plaintiffs are also asking the court to determine “whether the CBN Circular dated 6th May 2024, directing financial institutions to deduct from customers’ accounts a cybersecurity levy and section 44(2)(a) of the Cybercrimes Act are not in breach of sections 14(2), 44(1) and 162(1) of the Nigerian Constitution 1999 [as amended], and therefore unconstitutional, null, and void.”

The Plaintiffs are asking the court for “a declaration that the CBN Circular dated 6th May 2024 directing all banks and other financial institutions to deduct from customers’ accounts a cybersecurity levy is contrary to the provisions of the Cybercrimes Act and ultra vires the CBN, and therefore is illegal null and void.”

The Plaintiffs are seeking “an order of interim injunction restraining the CBN, its office, agents, privies, assigns, or any other persons acting on its instructions from enforcing the Circular dated 6th May 2024, pending the hearing and determination of the motion on notice filed contemporaneously in this suit.”

The suit filed on behalf of the Plaintiffs by their lawyer Ebun-Olu Adegboruwa, SAN, read in part: “The CBN Circular is unlawful and an outright violation of the provisions of the Nigerian Constitution and the country’s international obligations.

“Unless the reliefs sought are granted, the CBN will enforce its Circular directing banks to deduct from customers’ accounts a cybersecurity levy. Millions of Nigerians with active bank accounts would suffer irreparable damage from the unlawful deduction of cybersecurity levies from their accounts.

“The provisions of the Cybercrimes Act on payment of cybersecurity levy strictly apply only to businesses listed in the Second Schedule to the Act. These provisions make no reference to bank customers, contrary to the CBN Circular to all banks and other financial institutions.

“The Nigerian government has a legal responsibility to ensure the security and welfare of the people, as provided for under section 14(2)(b) of the Nigerian Constitution and human rights treaties to which Nigeria is a state party.

“The CBN Circular is also a blatant violation of Nigerians’ human rights including the right to property guaranteed under section 44 of the Nigerian Constitution and article 14 of the African Charter on Human and Peoples’ Rights to which Nigeria is a state party.

“We urge the Honourable (Court) to grant the reliefs sought in the public interest and the interest of justice as well as to prevent arbitrariness and ensure the rule of law in the country.

“Any deduction of cybersecurity levy from Nigerians’ accounts would be contrary to the provisions of section 44(2)(a) of the Cybercrimes Act 2015 as amended by the Cybercrimes Prohibition, Prevention etc) (Amendment) Act 2024 and ultra vires the CBN, and therefore illegal, null and void.

“Section 162 (1) of the Nigerian Constitution provides that all revenues collected by or on behalf of the Government of the Federation are mandatorily required to be paid into the Federation Account save the revenue excepted by the provisions of the section.

“The National Cybersecurity Fund established by section 44(1) of the Cybercrimes Act 2015 [as amended] into which it is required to be paid the levy of 0.5% chargeable on all electronic transactions instead of the Federation Account is unconstitutional, null, and void.

“The CBN Circular is a breach and misinterpretation of Sections 44(2)(a) and 58 of the Cybercrimes Act [as amended], in that it purports to incorporate customers of the bank (neither defined by the Act nor designated by the CBN as financial institutions) as those to pay the cybersecurity levy.

“The Plaintiffs are customers of commercial banks in Nigeria with accounts domiciled with many commercial banks in Nigeria. The CBN is the statutory agency charged with the overall control and administration of the monetary and financial sector policies of the Federal Government.

“The Plaintiffs are included in the statistics of Nigerians with active bank accounts as the Plaintiffs are owners of accounts in different Banks and other financial institutions.

“As of 30 April 2024, commercial banks in Nigeria already charge exorbitant fees for electronic transactions, including Electronic Transfer Charges at N53.75 on any amount above N10,000, Stamp Duty of N50 on every transaction and Account Maintenance Charge deducted per month.”

The Plaintiffs are therefore asking the court for the following reliefs:

“A DECLARATION that the Circular issued by the CBN and dated 6th May 2024 directing all banks and other financial institutions to deduct from customers’ accounts cybersecurity levy is manifestly misleading, extorting and a breach and misinterpretation of the provisions of Section 44, 58 and Second Schedule of the Cybercrimes (Prohibition, Prevention, ETC) (Amendment) Act 2024 and ultra vires the CBN, and therefore is illegal, null and void.

“A DECLARATION that the Circular issued by the CBN and dated 6th May 2024 directing all banks and other financial institutions to deduct from customers’ accounts cybersecurity levy and section 44(2)(a) of the Cybercrimes Act are inconsistent with, and a breach of the provisions of Section 14(2), 44 (1) 162 of the Nigerian Constitution 1999 [as amended] and therefore unconstitutional, null and void.

“AN ORDER setting aside the Circular issued by the CBN and dated 6th May 2024 directing all banks and other financial institutions to deduct from customers’ accounts cybersecurity levy, for being misleading, extorting and a breach of the provisions of Section 44, 58 and Second Schedule of the Cybercrimes (Prohibition, Prevention, ETC) (Amendment) Act 2024.

“AN ORDER setting aside the Circular issued by the CBN and dated 6th May 2024 directing all banks and other financial institutions to deduct from customers’ accounts cybersecurity levy and section 44(2)(a) of the Cybercrimes Act, for being inconsistent with, and a breach of the provisions of Section 14(2), 44 (1) and 162 of the Nigerian Constitution 1999 [as amended] and therefore unconstitutional, null and void.

“AN ORDER restraining the Central Bank of Nigeria, including its agents, assigns, privies and or representatives or such other persons acting on its behalf, from enforcing the Circular issued by the CBN and dated 6th May 2024 against all banks and other financial institutions and their customers.

“ANY ORDER(S) that the Honorable Court may deem fit to make in the circumstance of this suit.”

No date has been fixed for the hearing of the suit.

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Naira Slumps 4.60% Against Dollar

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Naira To Dollar Exchanges At N464.67

In a sharp turn of events, the Nigerian Naira took a significant tumble on Tuesday, plunging to N1,416.57 against the US dollar at the official market.

This staggering drop of N62.36 from the previous trading day represents a 4.60 percent loss, sparking concerns among investors and analysts alike.

Data from the FMDQ Exchange, overseeing the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM), revealed this unsettling trend.

Despite the currency’s downward spiral, trading activity surged, with the daily turnover soaring to $160.77 million, compared to Monday’s $84.83 million.

Meanwhile, at the Investor’s and Exporter’s (I&E) window, the Naira’s performance remained volatile, trading between N1,445 and N1,301 against the dollar, underscoring the currency’s precarious position in the market.

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Dangote Restates Commitment To Host Communities’ Capacity Building

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Dangote Tackle forex shortage with sugar

The management of Dangote Cement Plc., Ibese Plant has assured that it would continue to complement the efforts of the Ogun State Government in the development of its host communities through capacity building for the people, especially the youths.

In a statement, the company declared its commitment to development for the prosperity of the people and host communities for which it is placing a premium on the developmental needs of the communities and empowerment of their indigenes.

During a capacity development workshop for Host Community Representatives, General Manager, Human Asset Management/Admin, Aina Olugbenga, said, Dangote Cement remained committed to implementing value-adding empowerment programs to uplift the people and develop the host communities.

The workshop themed: “Team Building, Inclusivity and Stewardship, a panacea to effective Community Representatives” according to him, was to equip the Community reps with the right skills to offer quality representation for their people. He stated: this capacity building workshop is aimed at developing and strengthening the skills, instincts, and abilities of the communities through their representatives adapt and thrive in a fast-changing world.

Olugbenga noted that the workshop is part of the management’s strategy to improve relationships with the host communities and urged the participants to leverage the knowledge acquired from the workshop to improve service delivery to their people and the Cement plant.

According to him, Dangote Cement, Ibese Plant is committed to building the capacity of the people and institutions in the communities by identifying skill gaps and partnering to up their skills for economic prosperity. This, he stated, was in anticipation that other stakeholders will continue to play their part by partnering and supporting the Company to ensure peaceful co-existence and shared prosperity for all.

Said he, “Apart from reciprocating the good gesture of Dangote Cement by ensuring peace at all times and keeping an open and trusting mind towards the organization, we also desire from our community leaders and representatives who are present here, the ownership of all Social Investment programme, be it training or infrastructure because they are meant for the betterment of our people.”

On behalf of the Community Representatives, Hon. Dayo Ogunyinka thanked the Dangote Cement management for the workshop while assuring continued commitment to effective, efficient and selfless discharge of their roles and responsibilities to their various communities and the Plant.

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