Business
China concerns hit stocks, Europe sags after data
LONDON – Concerns over a slowdown in China’s economy triggered a third day of falls for world shares on Monday and extended a spritely rebound in gold to leave it at a near three-week high.
Asian shares had fallen to a three-week low after growth in China’s services sector slowed sharply last month, and Tokyo’s Nikkei .N225 had endured a rocky first day of 2014 trading as the jitters prompted its biggest drop in over two-months.
European markets were digesting a raft of services sector data that shed additional light on the divergence between top economies Germany and France as well as the gradual recovery in Italy and Spain.
The pan-regional FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 had opened on the back foot following the difficult day in Asia and the data left London’s FTSE .FTSE, Paris’s CAC 40 .FCHI and Frankfurt’s Dax .GDAXI down between 0.1 and 0.2 percent.
Safe-haven European bonds made early ground amid the uncertainty, while in the currency market the dollar hovered near a four-week high as it also benefited from Friday’s upbeat view for the United States from Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke.
Philippe Gudin de Vallerin, head of European economics research at Barclays, said the euro zone PMI data underscored two trends going on in the region.
“It has confirmed there is a growing divergence between Germany and France… And the second one is on Spain on Italy. There are some ups and down but more or less the trend is confirmed and the trend is an upward one.”
CHINA
Concerns that China’s powerhouse economy is slowing remained the main thorny issue for markets though after growth in its services sector slowed sharply in December to its lowest point since August 2011.
The figures followed a similar official survey on Friday and two other PMIs last week that showed factory activity also soured.
China’s CSI300 share index .CSI300 sagged 2.3 percent on Monday, hitting a five-month low and MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS slid 0.8 percent to a three-week trough.
The Chinese index is now down 3.9 percent since the start of the year, adding to last year’s 7.6 percent decline.
“The focal point of the Asian markets is more on Chinese growth and on Chinese political situation and how it’s going to pan out this year, rather than worrying about (U.S.) tapering,” said Guy Stear, Asian credit and equity strategist at Societe Generale in Hong Kong.
GOLD RUSH
The main beneficiary of the Asian tensions remained gold as it continued to rebound from last year’s worst run in over three decades.
After the initial flurry of dealing in London it was sitting at $1,240 an ounce, it’s highest in three weeks and on course for a fifth day of back-to-back gains.
“Weaker equities will have more of an impact on gold prices than a stronger dollar,” said Helen Lau, an analyst at UOB-Kay Hian Securities in Hong Kong. “It is all about allocation by funds.”
On the opposite side of the China coin was the South Korean won as it hit a near six-week low. Ongoing political uncertainty in Thailand also left the baht at a near four-year trough and Thai stocks .SETI at a 16-month low.
With Japanese equities taking a beating, the yen got some respite against the dollar, up 0.3 percent at 104.55 yen, not far from a two-week high of 104.08 yen touched last Friday. The euro edged back above $1.36 after it had slumped to a five-week low.
Wednesday’s December Fed meeting minutes and then Friday’s non-farm payrolls data will give further clues on how quickly the Fed could unwind the stimulus that has been a major driver for global risk assets in the past few years.
“With the Fed having set the tapering process in motion, it would likely take a fairly significant miss to derail tapering expectations and push yields significantly lower from their year-end levels,” analysts at BNP Paribas wrote in a note.
– REUTERS
Business
JUST IN: Inflation Woes Continue As Nigerian Rates Climb To 33.88%
Nigeria’s inflation rate surged to 33.88% in October 2024, up from 32.7% in September, according to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Friday.
The month-on-month increase of 1.18 percentage points marks yet another strain on the nation’s economy, with transportation and food costs cited as the main drivers of inflation.
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Steep Year-on-Year Increase
Compared to October 2023, when the inflation rate stood at 27.33%, the October 2024 figure reflects a significant rise of 6.55 percentage points. This sustained upward trend highlights the worsening cost-of-living crisis for Nigerians.
Month-on-Month Breakdown
Inflation on a month-on-month basis also showed an uptick, rising to 2.64% in October 2024 from 2.52% in September. The faster rate of price increases further underscores the growing economic pressure on households.
Food Inflation Soars to 39.16%
Food inflation, a major component of the headline rate, reached 39.16% in October 2024, up from 31.52% in the same month last year.
The increase was driven by higher prices of staple items, including: Cereals and Tubers: Guinea Corn, Rice, Maize Grains, Yam, Water Yam, and Coco Yam. Oils and Fats: Palm Oil and Vegetable Oil. Beverages: Milo, Lipton, and Bourvita.
On a month-on-month basis, food inflation rose by 0.30 percentage points to 2.94% in October, up from 2.64% in September.
Price hikes in Palm Oil, Vegetable Oil, Fish, Meat, and Bread categories were major contributors.
Annual Food Inflation Hits 38.12%
The average annual food inflation rate over the past 12 months climbed to 38.12%, a sharp increase of 11.79 percentage points from the 26.33% recorded in October 2023.
The consistent rise in inflation, particularly food and transportation costs, continues to erode the purchasing power of Nigerians.
Business
MAN Counts On Govt’s Support For Dangote Refinery To Boost More Downstream Investments
The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has expressed the view that support of both Nigerians and the government for the Dangote Refinery, would enable the giant refinery to perform optimally.
It added that such support will also serve as an impetus for other investors to invest in the downstream sector of the petroleum industry in Nigeria.
The President of MAN, Otunba Francis Meshioye, who made the call after a tour of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, Petrochemical Complex and Fertilizer Plant advocated that Nigerians and the government should do all they can to support the multi-billion-dollar company, which he described as a source of pride and a gift not only to Nigeria but also to the African continent and the whole world.
He described the Dangote Refinery as a game-changer in the Nigerian oil and gas industry, saying that it is not only creating jobs and driving economic growth but also contributing to our nation’s energy security and self-sufficiency.
According to him, the project is quite inspiring, and he admired the inspiration of the promoter of the project, Aliko Dangote.
He said, “To have been inspired to establish this facility is very magnificent, it is the first ever in Africa and the first ever of such refinery in the whole world. It has many first, first and first.”
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The company has the capacity to produce all our needs locally, petroleum, and other similar products: no one would come to the facility and he would not be inspired or encouraged to ensure that all the support that the company requires should be given to it.
The MAN President said the government should do all that is humanly possible to ensure that the facility works Optimally. “It is prudent and expedient that the necessary supports are given to the company for the economic benefits of Nigeria.
“If the facility can produce 650,000 barrels of crude per day and Nigeria is producing far above this volume per day, she should give the facility all crude it needed to produce”.
He noted that apart from the fact that the facility can give Nigerians what they need locally, the excess will be exported, and when they are exported, the country benefits because it will earn foreign exchange for the government.
“So, whichever way we look at it, the facility requires the government’s support to be able to operate optimally. We have seen the laboratory which is in a class of its own. It is first among equals around the world. It is functioning very well. It is a complex on its own.
“With this kind of facility that starts from quality control to quality assurance, just to ensure that the harmful effects of the products are at zero level, what can be greater than this? This is very unique and I will encourage all stakeholders to give maximum support, and not by the way support, but maximum support.
“I cannot see anything that is lacking in this company, we have been here since morning and went through all the units. The facility can deliver products between 1760 trucks to 1800 trucks per day. So if you have such several trucks going out of the facility a day to various destinations in Nigeria, so many people will benefit from it. There will be more jobs, many families will be comfortable because of the jobs this will create, many artisans will benefit and it will have a spillover effect on so many sectors of the economy.
“If they can produce AGO, gasoline and Jet A fuel, this is good and the government should have no reason not to ensure the facility gets its backing to carry out its activities, because it is going to benefit massively,” he added.
The MAN boss who stated that his organization is an advocacy group, said to a large extent it will support the Dangote Refinery by pushing its case with the government, and also solicit the support of necessary government agencies that can ensure that it operates fully.
The association, he said, always discusses with the government issues that affect its members and it has always listened to it , and always finds solutions to those issues, stating further that Dangote Refinery’s case will not be different.
“The sheer scale and ambition of this project is truly impressive, and we applaud the vision and determination of the Dangote Group in making this refinery a reality.
As manufacturers, we understand the importance of reliable and affordable energy in driving our businesses forward. The Dangote Refinery will undoubtedly have a positive impact on the entire manufacturing value chain, providing a reliable source of fuel and petrochemical products that are essential for capacity utilisation and value addition.
“I believe that the success of the Dangote Refinery serves as an inspiration to all of us in the manufacturing sector. It demonstrates what is possible when we combine innovation, technology, and investment to create world-class facilities that benefit the entire nation,” he asserted.
Business
Bitcoin Hits Record High Of $91,705
Bitcoin surpassed the $91,000 mark for the first time on Wednesday, continuing its postelection momentum as traders digested the latest U.S. inflation data.
The cryptocurrency climbed over 2% in trading, reaching a high of $91,705.
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The surge came after the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed prices increased by 0.2%, bringing the annual inflation rate to 2.6%, a result that was largely in line with analysts’ expectations.
The steady inflation data fueled investor confidence in assets like Bitcoin, which is often viewed as a hedge against inflation due to its limited supply.
Bitcoin’s recent rally has coincided with a broader uptick in risk assets since the U.S. presidential election.
Investors seem optimistic that fiscal policies under the new administration could drive further growth in the crypto market, though some remain cautious about inflationary pressures.
Other major cryptocurrencies followed Bitcoin’s upward trajectory.
Ether and Solana both saw gains of around 1%.
Dogecoin, meanwhile, soared by 8%, building on its postelection boost.
The meme-inspired token has seen increased attention following the news that Tesla CEO Elon Musk played a role in President-elect Donald Trump’s campaign and has join his administration,
Analysts say that this shift could continue as inflation and fiscal policy debates evolve in the months ahead.