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Dangote Refinery Shields Nigeria from Global Fuel Price Shock – S&P

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Dangote Refinery to Open Global Markets for Nigeria’s Downstream, Midstream Sectors

The Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals (DPRP) protects the Nigerian market from external price shocks, maintaining stable domestic fuel prices within a commercially acceptable range despite rising international gasoline prices, higher freight rates and tightening global supply conditions that are increasing costs for fuel importers across West Africa.

The above was set out in the latest market intelligence from S&P Global Commodity Insights, Biztellers can report.

According to the latest market intelligence published by S&P Global Commodity Insights, importers supplying the Nigerian market are becoming increasingly concerned over the sharp rise in international gasoline prices, with traders attributing the pressure to higher global product values and rising shipping costs.

Significantly, market participants told S&P that gasoline prices in Nigeria are effectively being “capped by Dangote prices”, limiting the ability of importers to pass on higher international costs to the domestic market.

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One trader noted that while Ghanaian specification gasoline currently commands higher premiums, Nigerian specification cargoes remain constrained because the DPRP has kept its coastal sales prices unchanged despite mounting international price pressures.

“Lomé values have risen above Dangote sales prices, which has shut the arbitrage,” a trader was quoted as saying, highlighting that importing fuel into Nigeria has become increasingly uneconomic under prevailing market conditions.

The development comes against the backdrop of a sharp increase in global freight rates. According to S&P Global, the cost of transporting clean petroleum products from Northwest Europe to West Africa has risen from US$29.70 per metric tonne at the end of June to US$37.12 per metric tonne, as vessels reposition to serve alternative markets.

At the same time, diesel markets have tightened following reduced supplies of Russian Black Sea cargoes, pushing up prices for high sulphur gasoil across West Africa and further increasing import costs.

Despite these global pressures, Dangote Petroleum Refinery has continued its policy of gradual price moderation.

Since the end of May, the refinery has reduced the ex-depot price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) by more than N200 per litre, Automotive Gas Oil (AGO) by N300 per litre, and Jet A1 aviation fuel by N520 per litre, even while processing crude oil purchased when international prices were substantially higher than current levels.

The refinery has consistently maintained that petroleum product pricing is driven by actual crude procurement costs rather than daily movements in international Brent prices, noting that crude oil is acquired weeks or months before refining under commercial contracts linked to monthly average pricing mechanisms.

Industry analysts say the latest market developments further validate the strategic importance of domestic refining capacity in insulating Nigeria from external supply shocks.

With international product prices rising, freight costs increasing and regional trading hubs such as Lomé recording gasoline prices above those offered by Dangote Refinery, Nigeria’s dependence on imported fuel would likely have translated into significantly higher domestic pump prices had the refinery not been operating at scale.

The latest S&P assessment also reinforces Dangote Refinery’s growing influence on petroleum pricing in West Africa. Market participants increasingly view the refinery’s pricing as the regional benchmark, with importers finding it difficult to compete whenever international replacement costs exceed domestic refinery prices.

Analysts say the development illustrates one of the key objectives behind the establishment of the 700,000-barrel-per-day refinery: shielding Nigeria from global market disruptions, eliminating dependence on imports, conserving foreign exchange and providing greater price stability for consumers and businesses.

As geopolitical tensions, tighter product supplies and higher shipping costs continue to reshape global fuel markets, the Dangote Petroleum Refinery is increasingly emerging not only as Nigeria’s primary source of refined petroleum products but also as a stabilising force for energy markets across West Africa.

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IPO: ADF Opens Wealth Creation Pathway for 2m Vulnerable Nigerian Women

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The Aliko Dangote Foundation (ADF) has unveiled the Women’s Share Subscription Grant Initiative (WSSGI), a pioneering financial inclusion programme aimed at increasing women’s participation in Nigeria’s capital market through the ongoing Initial Public Offering (IPO) of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE (DPRP).

The nationwide initiative is designed to support up to two million Nigerian women, with a special focus on low- and middle-income earners, as well as vulnerable women. Through the programme, ADF seeks to expand access to equity ownership, promote a culture of savings and long-term investing, and empower women with greater opportunities for wealth creation through responsible participation in the capital market.

The initiative is open to several categories of beneficiaries, including independent applicants earning ₦100,000 or less per month, verified participants in designated ADF programmes such as CRoWN, ADFIN, and Mu Shuka Iri, eligible non-commissioned servicewomen and service spouses, as well as verified service widows.

To accommodate different categories of participants, the initiative provides two pathways for entry: Matching Grant Track: Eligible independent applicants who subscribe to a minimum of 10 shares will receive an ADF-funded application for an additional 10 shares in their name.

Unconditional Grant Track
The ADF will fund an application for 20 shares on behalf of eligible beneficiaries who satisfy programme eligibility, investor identification, and Know Your Customer (KYC) requirements.

This category covers verified beneficiaries from designated ADF programmes and verified service widows.

Under both tracks, grant funds will be applied directly through the designated issuing house. No cash payments will be made to beneficiaries, government agencies, or sponsors. Any shares successfully allotted will be credited solely to the beneficiary and held in her name.

Eligibility Requirements
Applicants must be Nigerian women aged 18 years and above; resident in Nigeria; meet the eligibility requirements of their respective participation category; successfully complete all required identity verification and KYC processes; and receive no more than one ADF share grant across all Foundation share grant schemes.

The ADF is implementing the initiative in partnership with Vetiva Capital Management and the Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX) through the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)-approved IPO subscription infrastructure.

The Foundation will not receive, collect, or hold applicants’ or sponsors’ subscription funds. All applications, payments, allotments, and refunds will be handled in accordance with the IPO Prospectus, applicable regulatory requirements, and the approved basis of allotment.

Participation in the programme is entirely voluntary. Prospective investors should note that share prices may fluctuate, dividends are only payable when declared, and neither allotment nor investment returns are guaranteed.

To facilitate broad participation, applicants are not required to have an existing Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) account. Where necessary, accounts will be created through Vetiva upon successful completion of the IPO’s KYC requirements.

Eligible independent applicants may submit their applications exclusively through the official ADF portal at ipo.alikodangotefoundation.org.

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Beneficiaries affiliated with the ADF programmes and verified service widows will receive application guidance through approved Foundation channels.

The offer closes on 13 October 2026.

The ADF urges prospective participants to remain vigilant against fraud. Applicants should not make payments to agents, individuals, or personal bank accounts in exchange for grants or promises of guaranteed allotment. Passwords, PINs, and one-time passwords (OTPs) should never be shared, and any unexpected payment request or online link should be verified through official channels before action is taken.

Through this initiative, the ADF is reinforcing its commitment to inclusive economic empowerment, broadening access to investment opportunities, and enabling more Nigerian women to participate meaningfully in the nation’s wealth creation journey.

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NUPRC Outlines Major Offshore Investment Pipelines

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The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) has unveiled a pipeline of major offshore projects with the potential to attract significant new investment into Nigeria’s upstream petroleum sector.

This is as the commission has intensified efforts to convert the country’s substantial hydrocarbon resources into producing assets and sustainable economic value, the NUPRC said in a statement.

According to the statement, Nigeria’s upstream investment outlook was presented at the Nigeria Investment Forum 2026 in New York by the Commission Chief Executive (CCE), Oritsemeyiwa Eyesan.

Eyesan, who was represented by the Executive Commissioner, Corporate Services and Administration, Dr. Kelechi Ofoegbu, highlighted the emerging investment opportunities across Nigeria’s offshore, gas and brownfield assets, noting that the combination of regulatory reforms, improved project economics and a growing pipeline of development-ready assets is creating new opportunities for investors and industry partners.

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A key feature of the presentation, it said, was the identification of 22 major offshore projects, comprising 12 deepwater and 10 shallow-water developments, as part of the pipeline capable of driving substantial new capital into the sector.

According to the commission, the projects include major developments such as Bonga Southwest, Aparo, Zaba Zaba, Owowo, Bosi and Egina South.

The NUPRC also highlighted recent capital commitments across projects including Bonga North, Obeta Gas Development, HIN Associated Gas Development and Iseni Gas Development, demonstrating the movement of investment interest towards actual project development.

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Petrol, Diesel Prices Rise 86% in Eight Months – Report

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The average prices of petrol and diesel have risen by 86 percent in 2026, with the two products reaching their highest average price levels for the year by September 22, according to the latest fuel price trend report by priceandpromo.

The report stated that the average price of Premium Motor Spirit, popularly known as petrol, rose to N1,378 per litre by September 22, while automotive gas oil, commonly known as diesel, increased to N1,899/litre.

It puts the increase in the price of petrol at 80.8 percent from the January 13 base, while diesel recorded a 91.8 percent rise over the same period. The average increase of the two products is 86.3 percent, which rounds to 86 percent.

The report stated, “The latest priceandpromo fuel price trend shows renewed upward movement following the relative stability observed between April and July.

“Petrol rose to an average of N1,378 per litre by 22 September, while diesel increased to an average N1,899 per litre, the highest average price levels recorded for both products in the displayed 2026 series.”

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According to the report, petrol prices had increased sharply in March before remaining relatively stable at elevated levels between April and July. “After the sharp March increase, fuel prices stabilised at higher levels through July before rising again in August and September,” it added.

The renewed increase came amid heightened volatility in the international energy market, according to the report, which noted that the domestic market remained exposed to movements in global energy costs.

“The renewed increase comes amid heightened global energy-market volatility, highlighting the domestic market’s continued exposure to shifts in international energy costs,” the report added.

The report indicated that the latest movement in fuel prices could have wider implications for transportation, logistics and the cost of distributing goods, given the importance of petrol and diesel to economic activities.

The report noted that fuel prices remained an important channel through which changes in energy costs could feed into transportation and other consumer costs.

The report further warned that the renewed increase in both products is a development to monitor because of its potential implications for the movement of people and goods.

It said, “The renewed increase in both petrol and diesel is therefore an important market signal to watch, particularly for its potential implications for mobility, logistics costs and the wider cost of moving goods through the market.”

The report’s figures show that the increase in diesel prices has outpaced that of petrol, with AGO rising by 91.8 percent compared with PMS’s 80.8 percent increase.

Courtesy – The PUNCH

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