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Energy Analyst, Adeoye Highlights Complexities Of Nigeria’s Petrol Pricing Amid Dangote Refinery Launch
Energy policy analyst, Adeyemi Adeoye has highlighted the complexities of Nigeria’s petrol pricing following the launch of the Dangote Refinery, stressing the importance of informed dialogue and the critical role of negotiations between private refineries and the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd).
He shared his views during an appearance on TVC News on Friday, which was monitored by our correspondent.
Adeoye emphasized that the emotional responses to petrol pricing have diminished since the refinery’s inauguration. “When we take sentiment out of the conversation, then the real talk can begin,” he remarked, advocating for a more rational dialogue about the oil industry.
He clarified that the NNPC Ltd was not serving as a regulator in the current deregulated environment, a point, which he contends remains misunderstood by many.
He explained, “The sentiment and undue emotions surrounding this conversation since the advent of the Dangote Refinery are subsiding. When we take the sentiment out of the conversation, then the real discussion can begin.
“The oil industry has an operational manual; there is a way it functions. We all own the NNPC. Ordinarily, if it is representing the interests of Nigeria, in this deregulated system we have seen, especially since the PIA (Petroleum Industry Act) came into effect. The NNPC is not a regulator.
“This is a point many people still do not understand. If it were a regulator, its role would be to come out in the open, maybe via a press conference, and announce the price at which the government would be selling. But, as we’ve seen, it is still the Dangote Refinery that announces the prices, and we also need to take this into consideration.
“What is happening now is a joint venture. The NNPC is familiar with joint ventures. They have joint ventures all over the upstream sector with different international oil companies operating in Nigeria, and this is what has developed between the Dangote Refinery and the NNPC — it’s a joint venture.
“The NNPC supplies Dangote Refinery with crude oil and, in return, gets refined products for Nigerians. Essentially, this is the ongoing relationship, and that is why negotiation was important. If you observe, you will notice that Dangote Refinery has not announced a price.
“Dangote did not announce a price because they need to negotiate properly, and the NNPC is the chief negotiator in this instance because it supplies the crude oil, just as the government supplies crude to Dangote.
“Dangote is also sourcing crude from Brazil and the U.S., but the NNPC is supplying crude, and on the strength of that, it goes into the negotiation.
“The key takeaway for Nigerians is that the NNPC has announced that Dangote Refinery is free to deal with any marketer on a willing buyer, willing seller basis. However, the negotiation did not start at the price announced by NNPC or Dangote. The negotiation started at a higher price, for very obvious reasons.
“In the United States (US), the average price for gas (petrol) is $3.33 per gallon. If you divide a gallon, which is about 4 liters, you get around N5,279. Breaking it down, that’s about N1,119.75 per liter. So, this is the amount Dangote would have sold it for.
“It wouldn’t have been less than N1,300. If Dangote is allowed to operate purely as a business entity, there is nothing wrong with that. But without negotiations, Nigerians could have been paying no less than N1,300 for fuel because it is an international product.
“Nigerians need to understand that to refine crude oil, you first need to produce crude oil, and producing crude oil involves what is called an oil rig.
“The cheapest oil rig you can get costs around $100,000 to $150,000 per day. So, if you have a marginal field and you are paying $150,000 per day for your crude, you will also have to pay for the vessel to transport it to Dangote.
“Dangote is not going to pay you in Naira; it is going to pay you in dollars. These are all factors that affect the pricing. It is not like other commodities; it is an internationally determined commodity, and the pricing is not something easy to determine.
“That’s why Dangote couldn’t come out to announce pricing immediately. It had to first negotiate with its suppliers, which in this case is the NNPC.” he added
Former presidential candidate of the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), Peter Obi, has called on President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to resign over what he described as “failure in governance,” drawing comparisons with political accountability in other democracies following the resignation announcement of UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer.
In a statement posted on his official X account on Monday, Obi said he had followed Starmer’s resignation speech and reflected on what he described as the importance of leadership responsibility in democratic governance.
ALSO READ: UK PM Keir Starmer Resigns
“As a keen observer of global politics, my primary interest lies in examining what successful nations do right and the structural factors that cause others to lag or struggle with governance and development,” Obi said.
He noted that Starmer’s decision followed growing public dissatisfaction over economic challenges, rising cost of living, and unmet campaign promises in the United Kingdom.
Obi then drew parallels with Nigeria, recalling that before the 2015 general elections, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu had repeatedly called on then-President Goodluck Jonathan to resign over insecurity.
“During the Chibok school kidnapping incident, he demanded the immediate resignation of President Jonathan, arguing that the government had failed in its most fundamental duty of protecting lives,” Obi stated.
He also referenced campaign promises made by Tinubu during the 2023 elections, including commitments to improve electricity supply, tackle corruption, and enhance the welfare of Nigerians.
“President Bola Ahmed Tinubu made several promises, including improved electricity supply. He also challenged the electorate not to vote for him for a second term if he failed to deliver on those commitments,” Obi said.
According to him, conditions in the country have since deteriorated, with persistent power shortages, worsening insecurity, and deepening economic hardship.
“At present, however, these conditions have worsened. Electricity supply remains unreliable, insecurity has intensified in many areas, including kidnappings, and economic hardship has deepened rather than eased,” he added.
Obi further argued that other sectors, including infrastructure, transportation, and anti-corruption efforts, had also suffered setbacks, insisting that Nigeria is currently in “the worst possible condition.”
The opposition figure therefore called on President Tinubu to step down, saying such a move would promote accountability in public office.
“I, therefore, join Nigerians of goodwill in calling for the resignation of the President over monumental failure in governance,” Obi said.
He added that resignation would help foster “a political culture rooted in accountability and responsibility” and reinforce the idea that “public office is a sacred trust, not an entitlement,” stressing the need for what he called “a New Nigeria that is possible.”
Former Inspector General of Police, Usman Alkali Baba, has formally declared his intention to contest the 2027 governorship election in Yobe State, promising to tackle insecurity and rebuild the state’s economy.
In a statement released Tuesday following a consultation meeting in the state, the retired police chief said his ambition is driven by a desire to restore peace, strengthen institutions, and accelerate development across all sectors.
Alkali pledged to “wipe out insurgency” and revive economic activities disrupted by years of insecurity, noting that his administration would prioritise intelligence-driven security and community partnerships.
“My vision for Yobe State is clear. I want a state where security is strengthened through intelligence and community partnership. I want a state where farmers can return to their farms with confidence, traders can move freely, and children can go to school without fear,” he said.
The former police boss emphasised his experience in national security management, stating that his years in public service have equipped him with the discipline and strategic thinking needed to govern effectively.
According to him, Yobe State requires leadership that understands security, institutional coordination, and human development, adding that insecurity has significantly hindered growth and deepened poverty in the region.
He also outlined plans to boost agriculture, expand infrastructure, and invest in education and youth empowerment. Alkali promised to provide microcredit support for women and equip young people with technical skills and startup kits to drive commerce and industry.
On healthcare, he pledged to combat child-killer diseases, including polio, and introduce free maternal healthcare services, as well as free medical care for children aged zero to five.
“Mothers will not die during childbirth, and children will live and thrive. They will go to school and graduate in a safe and secure environment,” he assured.
Alkali further stated that his administration would focus on inclusive governance, ensuring development reaches all local government areas without discrimination.
While expressing readiness to build on the achievements of the current administration, he maintained that governance must go beyond rhetoric and propaganda, stressing that it requires “vision, action, and the courage to make tough decisions.”
Bayern Munich have made a strong statement over the future of winger Michael Olise, with Vice-President Karl-Heinz Rummenigge insisting the club would reject even a €200 million offer for the player.
The comments, reported by transfer expert Fabrizio Romano on Monday, highlight Bayern’s long-standing policy of prioritising sporting stability over financial gain.
SEE ALSO: BREAKING: Chelsea Hit With £10.75m Fine, Transfer Ban
Rummenigge explained that the club’s position is rooted in a historic decision made in 2009, when Bayern received a massive bid from Chelsea for Franck Ribéry.
After internal discussions involving then CFO Karl Hopfner and former president Uli Hoeneß, the club chose to reject the offer — a decision that shaped its modern transfer philosophy.
According to him, that principle remains unchanged today.
He stressed that Bayern do not consider selling players who are essential to the team, adding that even a record-breaking €200 million bid would not change their stance on Olise.
The statement is expected to fuel further transfer speculation across Europe, but Bayern officials maintain that Olise is a key part of their long-term sporting project and not for sale.
Bayern Munich continue to uphold their “untouchable players” policy, while Michael Olise remains central to their squad plans.
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