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Financial Analysts says Nigeria’s economy at risk over composition of reserves

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Laz IBEABUCHI
LAGOS– THE increased composition of foreign portfolio investment in Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserve buildup will put the economy of the country at risk and leave the country vulnerable to volatility in the global financial markets, according to analysts at Asset and Resource Management Company Limited, ARM.
The Analysts, in their Economic Update for the month of August 2012, also stated that if the trend continues, the Nigerian economy will be exposed to the ever-changing market perceptions, especially about socio-political stability in the country.
The analysts are also of the view that the country’s inclusion in the JP Morgan Government Bond Index would likely alter the bond market dynamics and outlook significantly.
According to the analysts, based on the criteria for inclusion, the 2017 bond could become a strong contender after the implementation of the bond switch programme, especially as Nigeria’s yields significantly exceed the benchmark’s 5.8 per ce

Coordinating Minister for the Economy

nt average, which suggests that it could attract capital inflows that are likely to be disproportionate to its 0.59 per cent or $1 billion capitalisation weight in the index.

“Moreover, along with more stable currency outlook and a rally in the country’s Eurobond to an all time low yield of 4.84 per cent at the end of August, this development points to a much stronger impetus for overall bond yield declines and could substantially alter market outlook in the medium term,”  the analysts declared.
In their analysis for the month of August, the analysts said, “Sustained high energy prices and an increase in volume of oil exports with its attendant accretive value on foreign reserves, which grew by six per cent from the end of July to $38.6billion over August 2012–has seen the official exchange rate remain flat at N155.5 to a dollar through half year 2012.
“At the interbank, the naira appreciated by two per cent from N160.74 to the dollar at the end of July to close at N158.1 to the dollar as at the end of August, but had been subject to significant bouts of volatility with changing energy price and global investment outlook.
“Official market sales dipped over the three week period supported by increased autonomous supply to the interbank market. Reuters’ reports that this supply is as a result of foreign investor purchase of Nigerian debt which we believe is linked to the country’s inclusion in the J.P Morgan bond index.
“However, we are also of the view that increased autonomous supply reflects a shift away from speculative bets on the naira among local institutions in view of improving crude sales—and dollar revenue outlook.
“We believe market expectations for the naira on this basis should remain positive into the medium term.”
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Naira Slumps 4.60% Against Dollar

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Naira To Dollar Exchanges At N464.67

In a sharp turn of events, the Nigerian Naira took a significant tumble on Tuesday, plunging to N1,416.57 against the US dollar at the official market.

This staggering drop of N62.36 from the previous trading day represents a 4.60 percent loss, sparking concerns among investors and analysts alike.

Data from the FMDQ Exchange, overseeing the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM), revealed this unsettling trend.

Despite the currency’s downward spiral, trading activity surged, with the daily turnover soaring to $160.77 million, compared to Monday’s $84.83 million.

Meanwhile, at the Investor’s and Exporter’s (I&E) window, the Naira’s performance remained volatile, trading between N1,445 and N1,301 against the dollar, underscoring the currency’s precarious position in the market.

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Dangote Restates Commitment To Host Communities’ Capacity Building

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Dangote Tackle forex shortage with sugar

The management of Dangote Cement Plc., Ibese Plant has assured that it would continue to complement the efforts of the Ogun State Government in the development of its host communities through capacity building for the people, especially the youths.

In a statement, the company declared its commitment to development for the prosperity of the people and host communities for which it is placing a premium on the developmental needs of the communities and empowerment of their indigenes.

During a capacity development workshop for Host Community Representatives, General Manager, Human Asset Management/Admin, Aina Olugbenga, said, Dangote Cement remained committed to implementing value-adding empowerment programs to uplift the people and develop the host communities.

The workshop themed: “Team Building, Inclusivity and Stewardship, a panacea to effective Community Representatives” according to him, was to equip the Community reps with the right skills to offer quality representation for their people. He stated: this capacity building workshop is aimed at developing and strengthening the skills, instincts, and abilities of the communities through their representatives adapt and thrive in a fast-changing world.

Olugbenga noted that the workshop is part of the management’s strategy to improve relationships with the host communities and urged the participants to leverage the knowledge acquired from the workshop to improve service delivery to their people and the Cement plant.

According to him, Dangote Cement, Ibese Plant is committed to building the capacity of the people and institutions in the communities by identifying skill gaps and partnering to up their skills for economic prosperity. This, he stated, was in anticipation that other stakeholders will continue to play their part by partnering and supporting the Company to ensure peaceful co-existence and shared prosperity for all.

Said he, “Apart from reciprocating the good gesture of Dangote Cement by ensuring peace at all times and keeping an open and trusting mind towards the organization, we also desire from our community leaders and representatives who are present here, the ownership of all Social Investment programme, be it training or infrastructure because they are meant for the betterment of our people.”

On behalf of the Community Representatives, Hon. Dayo Ogunyinka thanked the Dangote Cement management for the workshop while assuring continued commitment to effective, efficient and selfless discharge of their roles and responsibilities to their various communities and the Plant.

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JUST IN: NDIC Boosts Deposit Insurance For Banks

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The Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) has announced revisions to the Maximum Deposit Insurance Coverage for banks operating within the country.

NDIC’s Managing Director, Bello Hassan, disclosed the updated coverage benchmarks during a media briefing in Abuja on Thursday.

The coverage for Deposit Money Banks has been increased from N500,000 to N5 million, for Microfinance Banks from N200,000 to N2 million, for Primary Mortgage Banks from N500,000 to N2 million, and for Mobile Money Operators subscribers’ pass-through from N500,000 to N5 million per subscriber.

Hassan underscored that the objective of the update is to enhance depositor safety, foster public trust, promote the inclusivity of financial services, and ensure the overall stability of the financial sector.

 

 

More to follow.. . .. . 

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