Business
Forex Turnover Hits $43.09bn As Naira Faces Mixed Fortunes
The volume of dollars traded in Nigeria’s foreign exchange market surged by 61.9% in the first 11 months of 2024, reaching $43.09 billion compared to $26.6 billion during the same period in 2023.
Data from FMDQ revealed quarterly fluctuations in market activity.
Turnover in the first quarter of 2024 (Q1’24) stood at $12.64 billion but fell by 19% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) to $10.24 billion in Q2’24. The decline persisted in the third quarter, slipping by 0.87% to $10.15 billion.
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However, the market rebounded in the final quarter of the year.
October recorded a dramatic 63% month-on-month (MoM) increase to $5.4 billion from $3.31 billion in September.
In November, turnover rose further by 13.5% to $6.13 billion.
The naira showed a mixed performance across forex market segments in November.
At the official Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM), the naira appreciated by N2.8 or 0.16%, closing at N1,672.69 per dollar compared to N1,675.49 in October.
In contrast, the parallel market saw the naira weaken, losing N10 or 0.5%, to trade at N1,745 per dollar in November, down from N1,730 in October.
This divergence widened the gap between the parallel market rate and the official rate to N72.31 per dollar, up from N54.61 in October.
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) faces mounting pressure to address persistent volatility in the forex market.
In its Communique No. 155, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) expressed concerns over sustained exchange rate pressures driven by high demand.
“Members expressed concern over persisting exchange rate pressure, reflecting continued high demand in the market. Consequently, the Committee urged the Bank to explore measures to boost market liquidity,” the MPC stated.
Business
BUA Group Dismisses Refinery Completion Rumours
The BUA Group has dismissed what it described as ‘misleading report stating that our 200,000 barrels/day refinery is at 90% completion’.
This was contained in a statement on its verified handle on micro-blogging site, X, on Sunday.
The company expressed pride at the ‘remarkable strides on our Akwa Ibom refinery project, we are proud to share that construction is progressing steadily.’
It also used the opportunity to offer updates on its other ongoing industrial projects.
‘The public is advised to verify any news through our official channels and platforms so as not to be misled by mischievous persons,’ it added.
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It wrote, “Contrary to a misleading report stating that our 200,000 barrels/day refinery is at 90% completion, BUA wishes to advise the public to disregard such misleading reports that did not emanate from us.
“As we make remarkable strides on our Akwa Ibom refinery project, we are proud to share that construction is progressing steadily. Whilst the refinery is not at 90% completion, we are however on track to meet our delivery timelines in collaboration with our partners. This BUA Refinery & Petrochemicals project represents a major milestone in strengthening Nigeria’s refining capacity and energy security.
“Our other energy projects, including the construction of a mini-LNG plant and several new hybrid power plants across the country to add additional capacity to our over 1,000MW installed captive power generation capacity, are also progressing rapidly.
“The public is advised to verify any news through our official channels and platforms so as not to be misled by mischievous persons.
“At BUA, we remain committed to transparency and excellence. As we have consistently done with over 12 of our completed mega industrial projects worth over $ 3.5 billion in the past 10 years, we will continue to keep you updated with verifiable and accurate information only where necessary, and as milestones are achieved. We appreciate the public’s interest and enthusiasm for this transformative project as we work together in building a stronger industrial and manufacturing base for a self-reliant Nigeria.”
Business
Affordable Petrol: Ardova, Heyden Enter Bulk Purchase Pact With Dangote Refinery
Motivated by the relief provided by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s crude-for-naira swap initiative, two prominent players in Nigeria’s downstream oil and gas sector — Ardova Plc and Heyden Petroleum — have gone into a bulk purchase agreement with the Dangote Petroleum Refinery.
Biztellers reports that this strategic move is designed to ensure a steady supply of petroleum products at affordable prices, with a view to further stabilising Nigeria’s fuel market and enhancing energy security.
This strategy seeks to build on the example set by MRS Oil Nigeria Plc, which had entered into a similar agreement with Dangote Refinery.
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As a result, MRS Oil had lowered its petrol prices to N935 per litre across all its stations nationwide, addressing the long-standing issue of price disparities between states. On the sideline, MRS Oil’s stock surged to a new 52-week high last Friday, as investors became increasingly optimistic about the company’s future earnings prospects.
It was gathered that the bulk purchase agreement with Dangote Petroleum Refinery would enable both Ardova and Heyden to secure a reliable and consistent supply of petroleum products from the world’s largest single-train refinery, ensuring a stable supply of fuel at competitive prices, benefiting consumers across the country.
The arrangement ensures that Ardova and Heyden will have access to a full range of refined products, thereby securing their operations with a reliable supply chain.
A statement from Ardova Plc underscored the importance of this agreement in fostering a more competitive environment within Nigeria’s downstream oil and gas sector.
Ardova has been a key off-taker from the Dangote Refinery since its inception, but this new framework is expected to formalise and strengthen the partnership between the two companies, creating long-term benefits for both parties.
“This framework will see Ardova Plc offtake a full slate of petroleum products from the refinery. While Ardova Plc has been a significant off-taker from the refinery since its inception, this new framework will institutionalise a more robust relationship between the two companies to further enhance the emerging competitive landscape in the downstream oil and gas industry in the country,” noted the statement.
The partnership with Dangote Refinery is poised to have a transformative impact on Nigeria’s oil and gas market. By ensuring a stable and affordable supply of fuel products in the over 1,000 retail outlets of the two companies, the agreement will help to alleviate the recurring issue of fuel scarcity that has long plagued Nigeria.
The Dangote Refinery, which began production in 2024, has already played a pivotal role in addressing these challenges. Its large-scale operations have helped alleviate the supply pressures that often lead to price hikes and fuel shortages.
During the festive season, Nigerians enjoyed a relatively smooth period, with stable fuel availability and no significant price increases at the pump. Unlike previous years, when the country faced fuel shortages and arbitrary price hikes during peak periods, the Dangote Refinery has significantly contributed to stabilising the market and maintaining price consistency.
Business
NGX Bucks 2015 To 2019 Trend, Thrives In Roaring 20s
. . . ASI Closes 2024 At +37.65%
The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) has marked a remarkable turnaround, breaking away from the poor performance of the 2015–2019 period to thrive in the 2020s.
Biztellers reports that the poor run came on the heels of the oil price crash in 2015 and the ensuing recession in 2016, the 2020s have ushered in a period of unprecedented growth for Nigeria’s stock market.
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Since 2020, the NGX All-Share Index (ASI) has delivered a stellar return of 283.45%, climbing from 26,842.07 points at the end of 2019 to 102,926.40 points as of December 2024. Standout years include 2020, 2023, and 2024, as investors sought higher real returns from equities amid negative yields in the fixed-income markets. The index closed 2024 with an impressive annual growth of 37.65%.
The depreciation of the naira, driven by macroeconomic reforms by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Federal Government, has significantly boosted the performance of the stock market. Foreign capital inflow has steadily increased, rising from a low of 4% in mid-2023 to an average of 16% by November 2024.
Additionally, high-profile listings have energized trading activities on the exchange, providing investors with a broader range of blue-chip stocks. Notable entries include Geregu Power Plc, Transcorp Power Plc, Aradel Holdings, and BUA Foods.
These listings have propelled the market capitalization from N12.79 trillion at the end of 2019 to N62.76 trillion as of December 2024, representing a meteoric increase of N49.97 trillion.
At the Closing Gong Ceremony marking the end of 2024 trading activities, NGX’s Chief Executive Officer, Jude Chiemeka, represented by the Head of Trading and Products, Abimbola Babalola, commended key stakeholders, including the stockbroking community represented by the Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers (CIS) and the Association of Securities Dealing Houses of Nigeria (ASHON).
“The year 2024 witnessed significant activity in the secondary market, a testament to the efforts of our trading license holders. Complementary macroeconomic fundamentals were instrumental, and we appreciate the impactful policymaking by the CBN and the Federal Ministry of Finance. We also commend the Securities and Exchange Commission for its effective oversight, especially during the smooth banking recapitalization process,” he said.
CIS President and Chairman of Council, Oluropo Dada, and ASHON Chairman, Sam Onukwue, represented by the 2nd Vice Chairman, Ify Rita Ejezie, emphasized the pivotal role of stockbrokers in driving capital market growth.
They reiterated their commitment to advocating for policies that enhance market development.
Despite the impressive growth, challenges remain. According to Proshare’s 2025 market outlook, Nigeria’s capital market continues to grapple with high transaction costs, information asymmetry, monetary tightening, low trading volumes, and wide bid-ask spreads, all of which stifle liquidity.
However, the report underscores the potential of leveraging the equity market through the listing of national assets, such as NNPC, to unlock liquidity and stimulate domestic and foreign investment.
GMD/CEO of Nigerian Exchange Group, Temi Popoola, reflected on the market’s resilience and growth trajectory, thus, “Nigeria’s capital market has proven itself as a hub of resilience and innovation, consistently offering valuable opportunities for investors. The strong performance of our blue-chip companies over the past decade has been a key driver of returns, even amid challenging economic cycles. Inflationary pressures have made equities an attractive hedge, and strategic new listings have significantly boosted market activity.”
He further highlighted the transformative impact of policy reforms, “Macroeconomic shifts, particularly in the oil and gas sectors and currency devaluation, have been transformative. These changes, coupled with the liberalization of exchange rates, have enhanced operational efficiency and contributed to the robust performance of listed companies. As we approach 2025, we remain optimistic that continued reforms and a stable macroeconomic environment will sustain growth, boost liquidity, enhance investor confidence, and deliver long-term value for all market participants.”