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Fuel Crisis Looms As NCSCN Urges Dangote Refinery To Address Fuel Pricing, Supply Issues

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The controversy between Dangote Refinery and the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd) has drawn significant attention due to the conflicting reports about the pricing of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) and supply levels.

The National Civil Society Council of Nigeria (NCSCN), led by Executive Director Blessing Akinlosotu, has demanded transparency from Dangote Refinery on the issue, urging the company to clarify its pricing structure and supply volume.

The controversy began when NNPCL claimed it had purchased PMS from Dangote Refinery at an inflated price of N898 per liter, a claim the refinery has since denied.

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In response, NNPCL has published estimated PMS prices for its retail stations across the country, intensifying the dispute.

“We are deeply concerned about the conflicting reports from Dangote Refinery and NNPCL,” said Blessing Akinlosotu, Executive Director of NCSCN.

“Nigerians deserve to know the truth about the actual costs and pricing of PMS. We urge Dangote Refinery to come forward and provide the necessary clarifications.”

The NCSCN has expressed its support for NNPCL’s firm stance against what it perceives as potential exploitation.

Akinlosotu emphasized that the council will continue to closely monitor the situation, ensuring that Nigerians’ interests are fully protected.

Fuel supply concerns have also emerged, as Dangote Refinery has reportedly failed to meet NNPCL’s daily demand for 25 million liters of PMS, supplying only 16.8 million liters.

This shortfall has raised alarms about a potential disruption in Nigeria’s fuel supply chain, which could lead to scarcity and increased prices at the pump.

“This shortage poses a serious risk to the nation’s fuel supply chain,” Akinlosotu warned. “Dangote Refinery must take responsibility and ensure Nigerians have access to affordable fuel by meeting the required supply.”

A key point of contention raised by NCSCN is Dangote Refinery’s apparent delay in setting its PMS prices, despite the deregulated nature of the market.

The civil society council questioned why the refinery appears to be awaiting a deal with NNPCL instead of allowing market forces to determine the price.

“Why is Dangote Refinery waiting for a deal with NNPCL to fix PMS prices in a deregulated market?” Akinlosotu questioned, adding that Nigerians deserve transparency on the pricing of domestic crude and how it aligns with global market trends.

Industry experts have weighed in on the issue, emphasizing the importance of transparency in Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

Dr. Muda Yusuf, Director-General of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, said the dispute highlights the urgent need for stronger regulatory oversight in the industry.

Meanwhile, Auwal Musa Rafsanjani, Executive Director of the Civil Society Legislative Advocacy Centre, described the situation as a “wake-up call” for the sector to prioritize transparency and accountability.

As the controversy unfolds, the NCSCN is calling on Dangote Refinery to publicly refute NNPCL’s allegations regarding pricing and supply issues.

The civil society council insists that the refinery must disclose exactly how much PMS has been released to NNPCL, the price at which it was sold, and how future pricing will be determined based on market realities.

“Nigerians will not tolerate any attempt to exploit them,” Akinlosotu declared. “We will continue to advocate for their rights and ensure that the truth comes to light.”

With tensions rising, the NCSCN has urged the government to intervene and ensure that Nigerians are not unfairly burdened by disputes between major players in the oil industry.

The council vowed to keep advocating for greater transparency and regulatory oversight to protect the public interest as the situation develops.

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DPRP to Favour Small Investors in Event of IPO Oversubscription

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President and Chief Executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Aliko Dangote, has reaffirmed his commitment to making the ongoing Initial Public Offering (IPO) of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals (DPRP) a truly “People’s IPO,” assuring retail and small investors that they will receive priority allocation should the offer become oversubscribed

Dangote said, the offer was deliberately structured to broaden ownership of one of Africa’s most strategic industrial assets and provide millions of Nigerians with an opportunity to participate directly in the refinery’s growth and future value creation. The IPO is designed to deepen financial inclusion and democratise wealth creation by opening ownership to a wider segment of society.

Dangote stated that one of the core objectives of the offer is to build one of the largest shareholder communities in Africa, with a target of attracting not less than 10 million investors from Nigeria and across the continent

Speaking on the public offer, Aliko Dangote said: “This is more than a capital-raising exercise. It is a historic opportunity to deepen financial inclusion, democratise wealth creation and enable ordinary Nigerians to become co-owners of a world-class industrial enterprise. From the beginning, our vision has been to create a genuine People’s IPO that allows millions of Nigerians to share directly in the success of this refinery.”

READ ALSO: Olaniwun Ajayi Weighs In on Dangote Refinery IPO

Dangote emphasised that while the Company welcomes participation from all categories of investors, allocation decisions in the event of oversubscription would be guided by the principle of broad-based ownership.

“If the offer is oversubscribed, retail and small investors will receive priority consideration. We are determined to ensure that ordinary Nigerians are not crowded out by large subscriptions. Our objective is not merely to raise capital, but to create millions of shareholders who can participate in the growth and prosperity of the Dangote Refinery. We want as many people as possible to own a stake in this national asset.”

According to Dangote, prioritising retail investors is consistent with his long-held belief that economic development should go hand in hand with widespread citizen participation and ownership.

“We believe prosperity should be shared by the many, not concentrated in the hands of a few. This refinery was built to transform Nigeria’s energy landscape, and we want millions of Nigerians to be part owners of that transformation.”

Dangote further noted that the IPO represents a significant step towards building an ownership economy in which civil servants, artisans, traders, professionals, cooperative societies, pension contributors, young entrepreneurs and Nigerians in the diaspora can participate directly in one of Africa’s most important industrial enterprises.

He added that the offer has been designed to be simple, transparent and technology-driven, with BVN-enabled subscription channels helping to remove traditional barriers that have historically limited participation in the capital market.

Expressing confidence in the success of the offer, Dangote said the IPO would not only deepen Nigeria’s capital market but also stand as a landmark example of inclusive wealth creation.

“Our ambition is clear. We want to build a shareholder base of at least 10 million investors and create one of the most widely owned companies in Africa. That is the essence of the People’s IPO. It reflects our conviction that every Nigerian should have the opportunity to participate in the value being created by this world-class refinery.”

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Dangote Refinery IPO: Why Nigerians Are Being Urged to Own a Stake in Oil Business — Madaki Ameh

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Oil and gas expert and Convener of the Oil, Gas and Power Forum, Madaki Ameh, has urged Nigerians to take advantage of the Dangote Refinery Initial Public Offering (IPO), describing it as a rare opportunity for ordinary citizens to own a stake in one of the country’s biggest refining businesses.

Ameh said the IPO, priced at ₦525 per share, has created an accessible entry point for Nigerians who want to participate in the oil and gas industry, noting that investors can buy shares with as little as ₦5,000.

He made the remarks while speaking on Arise News, where he described the offer as an opportunity Nigerians should seriously consider.

ALSO READ: Africa’s Biggest IPO: Dangote Promises Strong Returns, Generational Wealth for Investors

“The Dangote Refinery IPO gives Nigerians a rare opportunity to own a piece of a refinery. Most of us will not be able to build our own refineries in our lifetime, so this is a very good opportunity.

“The IPO is coming at an extremely good price—at 525 Naira per share, the shares are worth less than $1 (around 30 cents). Nobody would sell shares of an organization like Dangote Refinery for that low.”

According to Ameh, the relatively low entry point could generate significant interest among retail investors and potentially lead to substantial oversubscription.

“Ordinarily, I expect a huge level of interest—maybe a 200% to 300% oversubscription within a month. They have made it easy for anyone to buy; if you have up to 5,000 Naira, you can own a piece of Dangote Refinery. It is a very smart, strategic move,” he said.

Shares Could Double Within Six Months

Ameh also projected significant growth in the value of the refinery’s shares, citing plans by the company to increase its refining capacity from 650,000 barrels per day to 1.4 million barrels per day.

“From the way this IPO is priced, and considering that the refinery plans to double its capacity from 650,000 barrels per day to 1.4 million barrels per day in a short while, informed investors see that these shares are priced almost like penny stocks with the capacity to double within six months.

“In an inflationary environment, money kept in the bank loses value. Putting your money here is a prudent choice, as it can grow exponentially within a short time.”

He encouraged Nigerians to consider participating in the IPO, arguing that the minimum investment required was relatively small compared with the potential opportunity.

“As they say, no risk, no reward. If the risk threshold is low—5,000 Naira can hardly buy a decent meal in this country—and people are not ready to take a chance to buy ten shares, then they are not ready to make money.

“Nigerians should encourage themselves to be part of this massive business. This is money you make even while sleeping once you have investable funds.”

Dangote Should Be Encouraged

Ameh also dismissed concerns that the Dangote Refinery could create a monopoly in Nigeria’s oil and gas sector, arguing that the company should instead be encouraged for taking the risk of investing billions of dollars in domestic refining.

He recalled that Dangote began developing the refinery about a decade ago, at a time when there was uncertainty over whether the massive project would be completed.

“Dangote started this refinery about ten years ago when nobody gave him much of a chance. Dangote took personal courage and committed his own resources, recognizing that the future still required refining.

“He set up a private refinery that is now operational and delivering value. Now he is going to Kenya to set up another massive refinery in East Africa to handle the oil and gas value chain in that region.”

Responding to concerns about competition, Ameh argued that other investors had opportunities to establish refineries but failed to commit the necessary resources.

“People complain about a monopoly, but nobody prevented others from doing business. Many people hold refinery licenses today and have not laid a single brick.

“A man who had the courage to take the bull by the horns should be encouraged to reap the benefits. I fully align with the need to continue encouraging private industry, and Dangote is leading the way in Africa.”

He further argued that the risks associated with Dangote’s investment should be viewed in the context of the enormous scale of the project.

“The risks mentioned are minimal when looking at the entire risk profile. Dangote knows how to manage big companies. For a private individual to import and install every component shows immense confidence in this economy. We need many more investors like Dangote doing this level of work,” Ameh told Arise News.

Ameh Wants Government to Sell Crude to Local Refiners at $10

Beyond the IPO, Ameh called for broader reforms in Nigeria’s oil industry, including the sale of crude oil to domestic refiners at wellhead prices of no more than $10 per barrel.

He said the policy would strengthen local refining, increase domestic production and reduce the foreign exchange burden associated with importing refined petroleum products.

“Since 2012, I have consistently advocated that Nigeria needs a strategic plan to exit OPEC at some point. We have no business selling unrefined crude oil; we should refine everything we produce.

“Producing between 1.7 and 1.8 million barrels in total is not enough to grow this economy to where it ought to be.”

Ameh argued that the government should shift the focus of petroleum subsidies from consumption to production.

“The country needs to shift the subsidy from the consumption end to the production end. If you sell crude oil at the wellhead cost (which should not be more than $10 a barrel) to local refiners, you energize the economy significantly.

“This stops the drain on foreign exchange from importing products we can produce in abundance locally.”

Dangote Should Enter Upstream Sector

Ameh also called on Dangote to consider entering the upstream oil sector to secure crude feedstock for the refinery, particularly as its refining capacity expands.

“The government should encourage Dangote to enter the upstream sector himself to produce the feedstock for his refinery. When he expands to 1.4 million barrels per day and starts production in Kenya, finding enough crude to refine will become difficult.”

He said the government could support backward integration by allocating oil-producing assets to serious local refiners.

“If we have serious local refiners, why not farm out acreages in prolific fields and allow them to engage in backward integration? That way, the refinery produces its own feedstock,” he said.

Dangote Refinery Shares Could Double By December

Ameh further expressed optimism about the valuation prospects of Dangote Refinery, saying its share price could almost double or more than double by December 2026.

He linked the projection to expected strong demand for the refinery’s products in both domestic and international markets.

“When Dangote says the refinery will be the most valuable by December, he means that based on current projections and demand both locally and internationally, the value of these shares on listing could almost double or more than double by the end of the year,” Ameh said.

The comments come as the Dangote Refinery IPO attracts growing attention from Nigerian investors, with the offer providing retail investors an opportunity to participate directly in the ownership of a major player in the country’s oil and gas value chain.

However, while Ameh expressed strong optimism about the potential returns, investment in equities remains subject to market risks, and future share-price performance is not guaranteed.

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Shettima Returns To Nigeria After High-Stakes BRICS Summit In India

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Vice President Kashim Shettima has returned to Nigeria after representing President Bola Tinubu at the 18th BRICS Leaders’ Summit in New Delhi, India.

Shettima’s return followed a series of high-level engagements focused on strengthening Nigeria’s economic and diplomatic interests and expanding the country’s partnerships with BRICS member and partner countries.

According to a statement issued on Tuesday by the Senior Special Assistant to the President on Media and Communications, Office of the Vice President, Stanley Nkwocha, Shettima participated in high-level sessions at the summit and held bilateral meetings with key international leaders.

ALSO READ: BRICS 2026: Modi Seeks More Nigerian Crude as Shettima Meets Indian PM

Among his major engagements was a meeting with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, where discussions focused on strengthening economic ties between Nigeria and India.

The discussions covered renewed crude oil trade, investment, pharmaceuticals, defence, digital technology, fintech, renewable energy and other strategic sectors.

Shettima also met with the Director-General of the World Trade Organisation, Dr Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, reaffirming Nigeria’s support for multilateralism and a more inclusive global economic order.

At the BRICS summit, Shettima delivered President Tinubu’s message calling for reforms of global governance structures and international financial institutions to reflect current economic realities.

He also positioned Nigeria as a gateway to Africa’s expanding market under the African Continental Free Trade Area.

Nigeria further used its participation at the summit to deepen engagement with BRICS member and partner countries in key sectors, including agriculture, artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure, manufacturing, healthcare, energy and human-capital development.

The Vice President’s participation forms part of the Federal Government’s broader efforts to strengthen Nigeria’s international economic partnerships, attract investment and create new opportunities across strategic sectors of the economy.

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