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Higher Local Supply Fails to Stem Fuel Imports Surge to 97%

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Subsidy Removal: NMDPRA Assures Smooth Fuel Supply

The importation of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), known along the streets as petrol, in Nigeria went up by about 96.7% in March, in comparison to February.

This was revealed by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) in its March 2026 fact sheet.

According to the factsheet petrol import volumes climbed from 3.0 million litres per day in February to 5.9 million litres per day in March, which shows a renewed reliance on foreign supply amid shifting domestic dynamics.

The report read, “Petrol import volumes rose significantly in March from 3.0 million litres per day in February to 5.9 million litres per day in March.”

ALSO READ: Guinness Nigeria Surpasses ₦1 Trillion Market Capitalisation

At the same time, the NMDPRA said local supply is gradually improving. This growth is being driven by domestic refiners, including the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, which is quickly becoming a major player in the market.

It added that domestic petrol supply rose significantly from 30.5 million litres per day to 34.2 million litres per day, underscoring growing contributions from local refining capacity.

Overall, total daily petrol supply increased marginally from 39.5 million litres to 40.1 million litres during the period under review.

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IEA Puts UAE’s Oil Output at 5.3mbpd for September

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Oil output from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) rose to record levels in September, underscoring its resilience even amidst the Middle East crises and liberation from OPEC+ limits.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) issued the data in its monthly report, adding that Abu Dhabi raised total oil production, including condensates, by 400,000 bpd to 5.3 MMbpd.

According to the IEA, the UAE bolstered crude output to more than 4.4 MMbpd, nearing its maximum capacity, which surpasses the previous highs for total oil in August, and crude oil in June.

READ ALSO: Africa’s Energy Security Conversations Pull Industry Executives Together

The UAE has been one of the most successful among regional producers in restoring flows through the Strait of Hormuz, by drawing on a fleet of tankers to discreetly shuttle cargoes through the chokepoint and then transfer them onto other vessels. In addition, the country’s decision to leave the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) as of May has freed it from the group’s output caps, a source of frustration for years.

Its gains contributed to a wider recovery in flows from Gulf producers, which reached more than 75% of pre-war levels in September, led by Saudi Arabia, according to the Paris-based IEA.

Still, it’s unclear how far the regional rebound has withstood a new wave of Iranian attacks on tankers transiting Hormuz, and escalating hostilities carried out by the Houthi rebel faction in Yemen.

The UAE depleted its observable above-ground inventories at a record pace of more than 270,000 bpd in September, drawing them to an all-time low, according to the IEA.

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Africa’s Energy Security Conversations Pull Industry Executives Together

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Africa’s gas potential and strengthening the continent’s energy security would take centre stage at the Africa Interviews Sustainability Forum (AISF 2026) scheduled for Wednesday, October 21, in Lagos.

Biztellers reports that top officials of Oando Plc and Renaissance Africa Energy Company Limited, Ayotola Jagun and Tony Attah, respectively, will be leading other industry leaders in the discussion.

Jagun, Oando’s Executive Director, Chief Corporate Services and Sustainability Officer, and Attah, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Renaissance Africa Energy Company Limited, will participate in a panel discussion alongside Lamé Verre of Lean In Equity & Sustainability (LiNES) and Dapo Filani, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Waltersmith.

The panel will examine Africa’s energy security and the role of natural gas in the continent’s energy transition.

READ ALSO: 30 Nigerians Bag Postgraduate Scholarship from NNPC Ltd, Eni

The forum, launched in 2024, is holding its third edition under the theme, “Energy Security and Africa’s Energy Transition: Defining the Role of Gas.”

This year’s gathering will explore how African countries can strengthen energy security, attract investment in gas development and balance growing energy demand with sustainability objectives.

Verre, a London-based energy and sustainability executive, is Co-founder and Chair of the Advisory Board of LiNES. She will bring her international experience in sustainability, decarbonisation and low-carbon development to the discussion. Her work spans low-carbon initiatives across sectors, including marine, the built environment, forestry, land and agriculture.

Jagun brings extensive experience in corporate governance, regulatory compliance, enterprise risk management and sustainability. Her contribution will provide a corporate sustainability and governance perspective on the relationship between energy development, environmental responsibility and Africa’s transition priorities.

Attah, a former Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Nigeria LNG Limited, has extensive experience in the oil and gas industry, particularly in natural gas development and major energy operations.

Filani leads Waltersmith, an indigenous Nigerian energy company with interests across the oil and gas value chain. His participation will highlight the role of indigenous energy companies in strengthening domestic energy capacity and supporting economic development.

The panel will consider what is required to unlock greater investment in Africa’s gas sector, how natural gas can support industrial growth while advancing sustainability, and what practical measures could help translate the continent’s energy ambitions into tangible outcomes.

Beyond the panel discussion, AISF 2026 will provide opportunities for engagement among senior energy executives, policymakers, investors and business leaders.

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Middle East Push, G7’s Strategic Reserve Release Arrest Oil Prices

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Oil prices on Monday went south, after crude exports from the Middle East rose above pre-war levels, while the Group of Seven nations pledged to release 100 million barrels of crude and diesel from emergency reserves.

Brent crude futures fell by $1.20, or 1.17 percent, to $101.05 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude declined by $1.16, or 1.27 percent, to $89.95 per barrel, according to Reuters.

Middle Eastern crude exports exceeded pre-war levels on four of the seven days in the final week of September, shipping data showed, despite attacks on vessels passing through the strategic Strait of Hormuz.

The increase in exports, combined with the G7’s planned release of emergency stocks, helped put downward pressure on crude prices.

The G7 countries agreed on Friday to release 100 million barrels of diesel and crude from emergency reserves and pledged to refrain from energy export restrictions following pressure from United States President Donald Trump.

READ ALSO: Ndindi Nyoro Gives Ruto 14 Days to Disclose Dangote Refinery Deal

However, the scale of the additional supply remained uncertain.

IEA Executive Director, Fatih Birol, said last week that member countries had already released about two-thirds of the 400-million-barrel volume.

Meanwhile, supply concerns remained elevated as fighting continued across parts of the Middle East.

Saudi Aramco Chief Executive Officer, Amin Nasser, also warned that crude oil and refined fuel supplies were expected to remain stretched.

He said rebuilding global stockpiles after emergency withdrawals could take two years.

The United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve fell to 283 million barrels last week, its lowest level since October 1982, according to data from the US Department of Energy.

The supply outlook was further complicated by the continuing conflict involving Saudi Arabia and Iran-backed Houthi forces in Yemen.

Yemeni government forces attacked Houthi positions in the Dhubab district overlooking the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on Monday, according to two military sources.

The development came a day after the internationally recognised government launched a campaign to retake Houthi-held territory.

Meanwhile, OPEC+ postponed a review that would determine its 2027 oil output quotas after the war involving Iran disrupted projects aimed at expanding production capacity across the Middle East.

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