Business
Indian Stock Market Set to Climb in 2014
MUMBAI — Indian stocks reached record highs in 2013, but most international investors still lost money here as the rupee’s weakness erased returns.
This year could be better, analysts and investors said, depending on whether pro-business politicians get more power in forthcoming national elections.
While the Indian benchmark, S&P BSE Sensex Index rose around 9% in 2013, touching an all-time high in early December, the MSCI India index, a widely followed measure of Indian stocks bought by global investors, lost close to 6% in dollar terms because of the rupee’s collapse.
Among major Asian stock markets, India was one of the worst performers last year in dollar terms, behind MSCI Thailand Index’s 17% loss and MSCI Indonesia’s 25% loss. The U.S.’s benchmark S&P 500 index gained close to 30%.
Indian equities have had “a massive relative underperformance in dollars,” said Tim Love, London-based head of emerging-market equity at asset-management firm GAM, which manages $62 billion. “It is more about the currency than it is about the stock market.”
The Indian rupee plunged more than 20% between May and August to an all-time low against the dollar due to fear that India would struggle when the U.S. rolled back its easy-money policies. It has regained some ground, but was trading 11% weaker on the last day of 2013 than at the end of 2012.
India-dedicated mutual funds available to U.S. investors lost close to 12% on average in 2013, according to research firm Morningstar Inc. The HSBC Global Investment Funds Indian Equity fund, one of the largest India-dedicated offshore funds with $2.5 billion in assets, lost around 15%.
Despite the dollar losses, foreign funds have been buying in recent months. Some are optimistic India will get a pro-business government in federal elections due before the end of May. Foreign institutional investors have poured a net $8.5 billion into Indian equities since the beginning of September. This reversed a net outflow of $3.8 billion between June and August.
Any further stock-market gains, however, will be tempered next year as decision makers focus on elections and put off dealing with the many problems that have cut India’s gross domestic product growth in half in recent quarters. The Indian economy is expected to record decade-low annual growth of less than 5% in the year ending March 31.
Inflation has been rising and the central bank has been raising interest rates to curb it. Higher rates and delays in government approvals of new projects have persuaded many companies to put off expansion.
“The stress in the economy isn’t reflected in the equity” prices yet, said Anoop Bhaskar, head of equity at UTI Asset Management Co., a Mumbai firm that manages around $11.3 billion.
Many investors blame the Congress-led government for stalling the economy and delaying an economic overhaul. While they hope this will change if Narendra Modi—chief minister of the affluent state of Gujarat and the prime ministerial candidate of the Bharatiya Janata Party, India’s main opposition group—comes to power in the national elections, it wouldn’t be until late in the year that new, growth-boosting policies could be put in place.
There is also a possibility that India could get a coalition government too divided to pass unpopular changes. Some investors want more political certainty before they invest in India.
“I’d wait and see what they’d actually do,” said Khaled Louhichi, emerging-market analyst at Swiss bank Union Bancaire Privée, which manages $85 billion.
– WALLSTREET JOURNAL
Business
PENGASSAN Urges Strategic Focus on Local Refining Expansion
The Nigerian authorities have been called upon to focus on strengthening domestic refining capacity.
The Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN) made the call in a communiqué issued at the end of the three-day PENGASSAN Energy and Labour Summit (PEALS 2026).
It stressed the need for adequate protection for refineries operating in the country.
The PENGASSAN said Nigeria must reduce the economic inefficiency of exporting crude oil while importing significant volumes of refined petroleum products by creating an environment that supports domestic refining and other value‑adding activities.
The communiqué, signed by the union President, Festus Osifo, and General Secretary, Jerry Amah, stressed the need to protect refineries, including Dangote Refinery and Waltersmith Refinery.
The association said the expansion would enable Nigeria to retain a greater share of the value generated from its petroleum resources while creating jobs, conserving foreign exchange and stimulating industrial development. PENGASSAN linked the growth to wider opportunities in petrochemicals, gas processing and other downstream activities.
READ ALSO: Umar Cautions Against Irregular Policies in Nigeria’s Oil Industry
The communiqué reads in part: “The summit called for sustained policies and investments to expand Nigeria’s domestic refining capacity and reduce the economic inefficiency of exporting crude oil while importing significant volumes of refined petroleum products. The need to protect refineries (such as Dangote Refinery, Waltersmith Refinery, etc.) within Nigeria’s jurisdiction was emphasised.
“Nigeria must progressively retain more value from its petroleum resources through domestic refining, petrochemicals, gas processing and other value‑adding activities capable of generating employment, conserving foreign exchange and stimulating industrial growth.
“Ultimately, the strength of Nigeria’s oil and gas industry will not be measured merely by the resources beneath the ground, but by the projects delivered, the value created, the Nigerian capabilities developed, the decent jobs sustained and the prosperity generated for the Nigerian people.”
The association also warned that abrupt policy changes, overlapping mandates, repetitive approvals and conflicting directives increase the cost of doing business and weaken Nigeria’s competitiveness for global energy capital.
The PENGASSAN called for faster regulatory approvals, digitalised processes and clearer timelines, arguing that the effectiveness of regulation should be measured by its impact on investment, production, government revenue, job creation and national value rather than simply by the number of licences or approvals issued.
On gas, the PENGASSAN advocated an integrated approach to developing Nigeria’s more than 215 trillion cubic feet of proven reserves, including investments in processing facilities, pipelines, storage, LNG, LPG and CNG infrastructure. It said gas should be deployed more aggressively for power generation, manufacturing, transportation, fertiliser and petrochemical production.
The association also urged stronger protection of workers’ rights, occupational safety and employment during mergers, acquisitions, divestments and asset transfers, saying sustainable investment requires skilled and fairly treated workers and that increased production must not come at the expense of workers’ lives and wellbeing.
In addition, the PENGASSAN said the next phase of Nigeria’s petroleum industry must focus on execution with measurable targets and clearly assigned responsibilities to ensure policies translate into projects, production, investment and sustainable employment.
Business
PENGASSAN to Link Up with NUPRC to Unlock 3mmbopd
Two key stakeholders in Nigeria’s oil and gas industry have resolved to work closed to unlock three million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil by 2030.
The Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN), and the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), according to the new President of former, Comrade Bosun Olabiyi-Agoro, would be working closely with each other to attain the objective.
He made the disclosure on Wednesday while on a visit to the NUPRC corporate headquarters.
The Head, Media and Corporate Communications, NUPRC, Eniola Akinkuotu, who made the disclosure in a statement, also credited the PENGASSAN President with declaring that inasmuch as the union is open to negotiations, issues bordering on the rights of workers to freely associate and join the union are non-negotiable.
READ ALSO: Tinubu Banks on NLNG Train 7 to Boost Nigeria’s Gas-led Economy
He made it public that issues surrounding contract staffing will be one of the key issues his administration will address.
“The President of Nigeria has an ambition which he runs through the CCE which is to make sure that by 2030 we are able to produce three million barrels per day. All of us have to work to make that happen. It will be our happiness to make sure that that target is actually attained. We can assure you that we are here to collaborate. We will be very reasonable,” Olabiyi-Agoro assured.
On her part, the Commission Chief Executive, Oritsemeyiwa Eyesan, said the President Bola Tinubu-led Federal Government had been working assiduously to increase production as evidenced by the latest executive order which is targeted at deep offshore investments. She noted that production had risen from a low of 1.1mmbopd a few years ago to an estimated 1.755mmbopd in 2026.
Seeking the support of PENGASSAN to achieve this target, Eyesan, said industrial stability remained critical to hitting higher production targets.
“As you settle into your new role, be assured that the commission will give you 150 per cent cooperation. In addition to the support we will give you, we want to ask that we work very closely to actualise government objectives.
“We want to grow production from our current level to 3 million barrels in 2030. For gas, we are still doing under 8bcf and we want to grow that to 12bcf by 2030. So, let’s make that happen,” she stated.
Business
Tinubu Banks on NLNG Train 7 to Boost Nigeria’s Gas-led Economy
As the multi-billion-dollar Nigeria LNG Limited (NLNG) Train 7 Project reaches more than 90 percent completion, President Bola Tinubu has described it as critical to Nigeria’s gas-led economic agenda.
According to Tinubu, the successful delivery of the project would help expand Nigeria’s gas exports, create jobs, deepen local capacity and strengthen investor confidence in the country’s oil and gas sector.
The President spoke at the State House, Abuja, on Thursday when he received an NLNG delegation led by its Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Adeleye Falade.
The delegation briefed the President on the progress of Train 7, prospects for further expansion and challenges affecting the company’s operations and contributions to the national economy.
The discussions also covered the pricing and accessibility of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), trucking along the Bonny-Bodo Road corridor, NLNG’s contribution to public revenue, its investments in the Bonny-Bodo Road and other social-impact projects, and the need for a more enabling business environment.
Tinubu congratulated Falade on his appointment, describing his assumption of office as coming at a defining period for the NLNG and Nigeria’s gas development ambitions.
Tinubu expressed the view that the completion of the Train 7 project must translate the country’s vast gas reserves into jobs, increased exports, industrial growth and long-term economic value.
“I congratulate you, Leye, on your appointment. Train 7 is at the centre of our national gas agenda. Its success matters not only to NLNG, but to Nigeria’s economic future,” the President said.
Tinubu commended the progress recorded on the project, describing Train 7 as a benchmark for project delivery, partnership, Nigerian content development and investor confidence.
He assured the NLNG management that the Federal Government would continue to improve the business environment, provide greater regulatory clarity and remove bottlenecks affecting major oil and gas investments.
“Nigeria is open for business, but it must be business that creates value at home — building capacity, supporting communities, protecting the environment and contributing to national prosperity. NLNG must continue to lead by example,” he added.
Responding, Falade thanked the President for his administration’s support for NLNG and the broader gas sector, assuring him that the company remained committed to the safe and successful completion of Train 7.
“With the project now over 90 percent complete, our immediate priority is to deliver the remaining work safely, efficiently and to the required quality, while preparing the plant for reliable and sustainable operations,” Falade said.
He said the project would increase Nigeria’s LNG production capacity, support export growth, create opportunities for Nigerian workers and businesses, deepen local participation and generate greater long-term value from the country’s gas resources.
Falade also restated NLNG’s commitment to supporting the domestic LPG market and improving access to cleaner cooking fuel for households and businesses.
He, however, called for coordinated action among the Federal Government, regulators and industry operators to increase domestic supply, improve storage and distribution infrastructure, eliminate avoidable costs and create a more transparent and efficient LPG market.
“Improving LPG accessibility is important to Nigeria’s energy transition and to the wellbeing of millions of Nigerian households. NLNG remains committed to supporting the domestic market, but improving affordability requires coordinated action across the entire LPG value chain,” he said.
The NLNG chief also sought the President’s intervention in addressing ease-of-doing-business challenges, particularly the proliferation of taxes, levies, charges and regulatory demands imposed by different tiers and agencies of government.
According to him, multiple and sometimes conflicting fiscal and regulatory obligations raise operating costs, create uncertainty and could discourage existing operations and future investments.
Falade assured the President that NLNG was ready to align more closely with the Federal Government’s development agenda and explore additional areas of partnership.
The meeting ended with a renewed commitment by the Federal Government and NLNG to sustain momentum on Train 7 as the project enters its final phase.
Both sides also agreed to strengthen their partnership to support the project’s successful delivery and NLNG’s broader contribution to Nigeria’s gas development and economic growth.





