Business
Indian Stock Market Set to Climb in 2014
MUMBAI — Indian stocks reached record highs in 2013, but most international investors still lost money here as the rupee’s weakness erased returns.
This year could be better, analysts and investors said, depending on whether pro-business politicians get more power in forthcoming national elections.
While the Indian benchmark, S&P BSE Sensex Index rose around 9% in 2013, touching an all-time high in early December, the MSCI India index, a widely followed measure of Indian stocks bought by global investors, lost close to 6% in dollar terms because of the rupee’s collapse.
Among major Asian stock markets, India was one of the worst performers last year in dollar terms, behind MSCI Thailand Index’s 17% loss and MSCI Indonesia’s 25% loss. The U.S.’s benchmark S&P 500 index gained close to 30%.
Indian equities have had “a massive relative underperformance in dollars,” said Tim Love, London-based head of emerging-market equity at asset-management firm GAM, which manages $62 billion. “It is more about the currency than it is about the stock market.”
The Indian rupee plunged more than 20% between May and August to an all-time low against the dollar due to fear that India would struggle when the U.S. rolled back its easy-money policies. It has regained some ground, but was trading 11% weaker on the last day of 2013 than at the end of 2012.
India-dedicated mutual funds available to U.S. investors lost close to 12% on average in 2013, according to research firm Morningstar Inc. The HSBC Global Investment Funds Indian Equity fund, one of the largest India-dedicated offshore funds with $2.5 billion in assets, lost around 15%.
Despite the dollar losses, foreign funds have been buying in recent months. Some are optimistic India will get a pro-business government in federal elections due before the end of May. Foreign institutional investors have poured a net $8.5 billion into Indian equities since the beginning of September. This reversed a net outflow of $3.8 billion between June and August.
Any further stock-market gains, however, will be tempered next year as decision makers focus on elections and put off dealing with the many problems that have cut India’s gross domestic product growth in half in recent quarters. The Indian economy is expected to record decade-low annual growth of less than 5% in the year ending March 31.
Inflation has been rising and the central bank has been raising interest rates to curb it. Higher rates and delays in government approvals of new projects have persuaded many companies to put off expansion.
“The stress in the economy isn’t reflected in the equity” prices yet, said Anoop Bhaskar, head of equity at UTI Asset Management Co., a Mumbai firm that manages around $11.3 billion.
Many investors blame the Congress-led government for stalling the economy and delaying an economic overhaul. While they hope this will change if Narendra Modi—chief minister of the affluent state of Gujarat and the prime ministerial candidate of the Bharatiya Janata Party, India’s main opposition group—comes to power in the national elections, it wouldn’t be until late in the year that new, growth-boosting policies could be put in place.
There is also a possibility that India could get a coalition government too divided to pass unpopular changes. Some investors want more political certainty before they invest in India.
“I’d wait and see what they’d actually do,” said Khaled Louhichi, emerging-market analyst at Swiss bank Union Bancaire Privée, which manages $85 billion.
– WALLSTREET JOURNAL
Business
Q1 2026: Dangote Cement Grows Exports by 71.6%, Capacity Hits 55MTA
Dangote Cement Plc has recorded a strong performance in the first quarter of 2026, growing its cement and clinker exports from Nigeria by 71.6 per cent, as the Group’s total installed production capacity reached 55 million tonnes per annum (MTA) across Africa.
During the period under review, the company completed 10 clinker shipments from Nigeria to neighbouring markets, further consolidating its position as Africa’s leading cement exporter.
According to the company’s unaudited Q1 2026 financial results, total sales volumes increased by 13.8 per cent year-on-year, driven by growth of 11.5 per cent in Nigeria and 19.5 per cent across its pan‑African operations.
Commenting on the performance, the Group Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Dangote Cement Plc, Arvind Pathak, said the results reflected the strength of the company’s operating model and its disciplined execution across markets.
“We have delivered an outstanding start to 2026, with revenue up 20.4 per cent year‑on‑year to ₦1.198 trillion, driven by a strong rebound in volumes which grew 13.8 per cent across our markets. EBITDA increased by 22.8 per cent to ₦567.1 billion, demonstrating the strength of our operating model, disciplined cost control, and our ability to convert growth into superior profitability,” he said.
For the quarter, Dangote Cement reported a profit before tax of ₦421.1 billion, representing a 35 per cent increase from ₦311.9 billion recorded in the corresponding period of 2025. Earnings per share rose to ₦19.14, up from ₦12.29, underscoring sustained value creation for shareholders.
On exports and expansion, Pathak noted the rapid scaling of Dangote Cement’s export business and progress across key growth projects.
“Our export business continues to scale rapidly, with volumes from Nigeria up 71.6 per cent and 10 clinker shipments completed in the quarter. This performance reinforces our strategic position as Africa’s leading cement exporter,” he said.
“Following the commissioning of our 3Mta grinding plant in Côte d’Ivoire, we are progressing well with our expansion projects in Itori and Ethiopia, alongside other growth initiatives across the continent. These investments will further strengthen our footprint and keep us firmly on track to reach 80Mt of production capacity by 2030.”
Looking ahead to the rest of the year, Pathak expressed confidence in the company’s growth outlook.
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“We have entered the year with strong momentum and a clear strategic focus. Demand across our markets remains resilient, our expansion pipeline is delivering, and our operational discipline continues to drive margin improvement. We remain confident in sustaining this growth trajectory and in consistently delivering long‑term value to our shareholders.”
Dangote Cement is Africa’s leading cement producer, with 55.0MTA installed capacity across the continent. A fully integrated quarry‑to‑customer producer, the company operates 35.25MTA capacity in Nigeria, where its Obajana plant in Kogi State—the largest in Africa—has 16.25MTA capacity across five lines. The Ibese plant in Ogun State has 12MTA, Gboko plant in Benue State has 4MTA, while Okpella plant in Edo State has 3MTA.
Through sustained investments, Dangote Cement has eliminated Nigeria’s reliance on imported cement and transformed the country into a net exporter of cement and clinker, supplying markets across West and Central Africa.
CAPTION: Aliko Dangote in Norway:
President/Chief Executive, Dangote Industries Limited, Aliko Dangote (right) presenting a souvenir to the Chief Executive Officer of Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), Nicolai Tangen during a meeting in Norway.
Business
Nigeria Looks to New Oil Markets to Decrease Dependence on OPEC – PETAN
In the face of continued global crude market disruptions, Nigeria is gearing efforts towards new markets.
Chairman, the Petroleum Technology Association of Nigeria (PETAN), Wole Ogunsanya, made the revelation at the opening ceremony of the Offshore Technology Conference (OTC) in Houston, Texas on Monday.
He opined that Nigeria must move beyond traditional buyers and aggressively seek alternative markets to remain competitive and maximise revenue.
According to him, recent developments within the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), including moves by some members to act independently, signal the need for Nigeria to rethink its crude marketing strategy.
“We must start developing markets outside our traditional destinations. It is not enough to rely solely on OPEC frameworks; we need to secure buyers for our crude in a more proactive manner,” he said.
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Ogunsanya noted that Nigeria produces some of the best crude grades globally and should leverage this advantage to penetrate new markets across Africa, Europe and other regions.
He stressed that expanding market access has become even more critical as Nigeria pushes to increase oil production and support the growing capacity of domestic refineries.
“With refining capacity in Nigeria expected to ramp up significantly, we must ensure consistent supply while also identifying external markets for excess production,” he added.
The PETAN chairman said participation in OTC provides a strategic platform to engage potential investors, partners and off-takers, as well as to showcase Nigeria’s capabilities in the oil and gas sector.
He also highlighted ongoing efforts to strengthen collaboration among African countries through the African Local Content initiative, which he said would support cross-border investments and market expansion.
Ogunsanya further emphasised the need for improved efficiency and adoption of modern technology to keep Nigeria’s crude competitive in the global market.
He warned that failure to secure new markets could expose the country to price volatility and reduced earnings, especially in a rapidly changing global energy landscape.
Despite challenges such as visa constraints affecting participation at this year’s OTC, he said Nigeria’s strong presence at the conference demonstrates its determination to remain a key player in the global oil and gas industry.
Business
Exxon, Chevron’s Q1 Earnings Down 46%, 37% Despite Soaring Oil Prices
As crude oil deliveries bow to supply disruptions in the Middle East, oil giants, Exxon Mobil and Chevron have reported drops in profit in the first quarter of 2026 despite surging oil prices.
Exxon’s quarterly earnings fell to $4.2 billion from about $7.7 billion the same quarter last year, a decline of about 46 per cent, while Chevron’s profits fell to $2.2 billion from about $3.5 billion, down about 37 per cent. Still, both companies beat Wall Street expectations.
However, America’s two largest oil companies are still expected to eventually reap the benefits of soaring oil prices, which reached levels unseen since 2022 this week as the war in Iran continues, Reuters reported.
In a prepared statement, Exxon said that “timing effects” and volume impacts in the Middle East reduced reported earnings; when excluding those effects, the company reported $8.8 billion in profit. At Chevron, unfavourable timing effects totaled about $3 billion for the quarter, according to the company.
“One of the things that we called out in our press release was the timing,” Darren Woods, Exxon’s chair and chief executive officer, said in an interview. “As you close the quarter in the volatile market, you book the hedges, the paper, but the physical barrels are in inventory until they get delivered.
“So you get this deferred profit that we wanted to basically highlight, and make sure that our investors understood that the work that we’re actually doing to meet the demands today are resulting in benefits not necessarily booked in the quarter,” Woods added.
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At the start of the war, Donald Trump declared on Truth Social: “The United States is the largest Oil Producer in the World, by far, so when oil prices go up, we make a lot of money.”
Certain oil and gas companies are already reaping the benefits. BP announced that its profits more than doubled in the last quarter, crediting “exceptional oil trading” for its highest quarterly profit since 2023 – an announcement that led advocacy groups and some European finance ministers to call for greater taxes on windfall profits.
Other earnings reports indicate that it may take longer for oil companies to report clear gains. ConocoPhillips, a partner in Qatar’s state gas company, cut its forecast annual output due to disruptions in Qatar’s liquified natural gas operations caused by the war. Iranian attacks on QatarEnergy LNG’s export plant will take years to repair, state energy officials have said.
Chevron and Exxon’s stock jumped at the start of the war but eased in April as the US and Iran agreed on a ceasefire and the reopening of the strait of Hormuz. And Lockheed Martin, a key defense contractor with the federal government, initially saw its stock jump 25 per cent since the start of the year, but has since dropped to roughly the same levels.
Meanwhile, gas prices at the pump continue to climb, with the current average reaching $4.39, up from $3.187 a year ago. Americans are also facing fears of elevated inflation and slow job growth amid turmoil in the Middle East.





