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Nigerian Electricity Firms Grapple With $2.5bn Capital Shortfall

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Nigerian electricity firms is facing a shortfall of approximately 2 trillion naira ($2.5 billion) in capital, highlighting the urgent need for new investors to rejuvenate an industry struggling to meet the power demands of its 200 million residents.

Olu Verheijen, an adviser to President Bola Tinubu on energy, highlighted in an interview that the companies are burdened by excessive debt and insufficient capital, constraining their ability to invest in the distribution of electricity to households.

Due to insufficient pricing structures, irregular revenue collection, and a deteriorating national grid, the majority of residents in Africa’s most populated nation resort to generating their own power through noisy generators.

An example is Lagos, where the grid provides merely 1,000 megawatts to a city of 25 million people. In contrast, a city like Shanghai, with a similar population size, supplies over 30,000 megawatts during peak demand.

The adviser emphasized the necessity of implementing policies that support reorganization, recapitalization, and the introduction of new partners with fresh capital.

The adviser said “We need to set policies that facilitate reorganization and recapitalization and bring in new partners with new capital.”

However, no specific date or further details regarding the plan were provided.

Recall that President Bola Tinubu made a commitment on January 1 to enhance electricity provision in the West African nation.

The recapitalization efforts will align with strategies aimed at adjusting electricity tariffs to reflect costs, thereby enhancing the financial stability and sustainability of the power sector, as indicated by Verheijen.

Although the country privatized generation and distribution in 2013, tariffs are regulated by the Nigeria Electricity Regulatory Commission, a government-controlled entity.

Power companies are unable to charge adequately to cover the distribution expenses, leading the government to compensate the shortfall by providing subsidies to companies within the sector.

Without a revision in tariffs, the depreciation of the naira by 50% against the dollar last year, coupled with soaring inflation rates, may escalate energy subsidies to 1.6 trillion naira this year, a substantial increase from the 600 billion naira in 2023, as indicated by the regulator.

Verheijen remarked, “Given the current constrained fiscal conditions, the government faces challenges in covering this deficit. These challenges have further worsened the financial liquidity issues within the sector.”

Out of Nigeria’s total installed capacity of 13,000 megawatts for electricity generation, only 4,000 megawatts are effectively distributed to households and businesses.

In comparison, South Africa, with a population a third the size of Nigeria’s and an economy hampered by nearly daily power outages last year, boasts approximately 52,000 megawatts of capacity.

Three-quarters of this capacity is derived from a debt-laden state-owned utility managing aged power plants.

 

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Energy

IEA Puts UAE’s Oil Output at 5.3mbpd for September

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Oil output from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) rose to record levels in September, underscoring its resilience even amidst the Middle East crises and liberation from OPEC+ limits.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) issued the data in its monthly report, adding that Abu Dhabi raised total oil production, including condensates, by 400,000 bpd to 5.3 MMbpd.

According to the IEA, the UAE bolstered crude output to more than 4.4 MMbpd, nearing its maximum capacity, which surpasses the previous highs for total oil in August, and crude oil in June.

READ ALSO: Africa’s Energy Security Conversations Pull Industry Executives Together

The UAE has been one of the most successful among regional producers in restoring flows through the Strait of Hormuz, by drawing on a fleet of tankers to discreetly shuttle cargoes through the chokepoint and then transfer them onto other vessels. In addition, the country’s decision to leave the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) as of May has freed it from the group’s output caps, a source of frustration for years.

Its gains contributed to a wider recovery in flows from Gulf producers, which reached more than 75% of pre-war levels in September, led by Saudi Arabia, according to the Paris-based IEA.

Still, it’s unclear how far the regional rebound has withstood a new wave of Iranian attacks on tankers transiting Hormuz, and escalating hostilities carried out by the Houthi rebel faction in Yemen.

The UAE depleted its observable above-ground inventories at a record pace of more than 270,000 bpd in September, drawing them to an all-time low, according to the IEA.

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Energy

Africa’s Energy Security Conversations Pull Industry Executives Together

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Africa’s gas potential and strengthening the continent’s energy security would take centre stage at the Africa Interviews Sustainability Forum (AISF 2026) scheduled for Wednesday, October 21, in Lagos.

Biztellers reports that top officials of Oando Plc and Renaissance Africa Energy Company Limited, Ayotola Jagun and Tony Attah, respectively, will be leading other industry leaders in the discussion.

Jagun, Oando’s Executive Director, Chief Corporate Services and Sustainability Officer, and Attah, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Renaissance Africa Energy Company Limited, will participate in a panel discussion alongside Lamé Verre of Lean In Equity & Sustainability (LiNES) and Dapo Filani, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Waltersmith.

The panel will examine Africa’s energy security and the role of natural gas in the continent’s energy transition.

READ ALSO: 30 Nigerians Bag Postgraduate Scholarship from NNPC Ltd, Eni

The forum, launched in 2024, is holding its third edition under the theme, “Energy Security and Africa’s Energy Transition: Defining the Role of Gas.”

This year’s gathering will explore how African countries can strengthen energy security, attract investment in gas development and balance growing energy demand with sustainability objectives.

Verre, a London-based energy and sustainability executive, is Co-founder and Chair of the Advisory Board of LiNES. She will bring her international experience in sustainability, decarbonisation and low-carbon development to the discussion. Her work spans low-carbon initiatives across sectors, including marine, the built environment, forestry, land and agriculture.

Jagun brings extensive experience in corporate governance, regulatory compliance, enterprise risk management and sustainability. Her contribution will provide a corporate sustainability and governance perspective on the relationship between energy development, environmental responsibility and Africa’s transition priorities.

Attah, a former Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Nigeria LNG Limited, has extensive experience in the oil and gas industry, particularly in natural gas development and major energy operations.

Filani leads Waltersmith, an indigenous Nigerian energy company with interests across the oil and gas value chain. His participation will highlight the role of indigenous energy companies in strengthening domestic energy capacity and supporting economic development.

The panel will consider what is required to unlock greater investment in Africa’s gas sector, how natural gas can support industrial growth while advancing sustainability, and what practical measures could help translate the continent’s energy ambitions into tangible outcomes.

Beyond the panel discussion, AISF 2026 will provide opportunities for engagement among senior energy executives, policymakers, investors and business leaders.

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Energy

Middle East Push, G7’s Strategic Reserve Release Arrest Oil Prices

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Oil prices on Monday went south, after crude exports from the Middle East rose above pre-war levels, while the Group of Seven nations pledged to release 100 million barrels of crude and diesel from emergency reserves.

Brent crude futures fell by $1.20, or 1.17 percent, to $101.05 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude declined by $1.16, or 1.27 percent, to $89.95 per barrel, according to Reuters.

Middle Eastern crude exports exceeded pre-war levels on four of the seven days in the final week of September, shipping data showed, despite attacks on vessels passing through the strategic Strait of Hormuz.

The increase in exports, combined with the G7’s planned release of emergency stocks, helped put downward pressure on crude prices.

The G7 countries agreed on Friday to release 100 million barrels of diesel and crude from emergency reserves and pledged to refrain from energy export restrictions following pressure from United States President Donald Trump.

READ ALSO: Ndindi Nyoro Gives Ruto 14 Days to Disclose Dangote Refinery Deal

However, the scale of the additional supply remained uncertain.

IEA Executive Director, Fatih Birol, said last week that member countries had already released about two-thirds of the 400-million-barrel volume.

Meanwhile, supply concerns remained elevated as fighting continued across parts of the Middle East.

Saudi Aramco Chief Executive Officer, Amin Nasser, also warned that crude oil and refined fuel supplies were expected to remain stretched.

He said rebuilding global stockpiles after emergency withdrawals could take two years.

The United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve fell to 283 million barrels last week, its lowest level since October 1982, according to data from the US Department of Energy.

The supply outlook was further complicated by the continuing conflict involving Saudi Arabia and Iran-backed Houthi forces in Yemen.

Yemeni government forces attacked Houthi positions in the Dhubab district overlooking the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on Monday, according to two military sources.

The development came a day after the internationally recognised government launched a campaign to retake Houthi-held territory.

Meanwhile, OPEC+ postponed a review that would determine its 2027 oil output quotas after the war involving Iran disrupted projects aimed at expanding production capacity across the Middle East.

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