Business
Ukraine’s Currency in Free Fall
LONDON – Ukraine’s currency slumped to its lowest level in roughly five years Wednesday, adding to pressure on President Viktor Yanukovych as he navigates between Russia and the West.
The U.S. dollar was quoted above 9.00 against the hryvnia for the first time since February 2009, according to traders, with Ukraine’s national currency going from its recent steady decline into free fall. The exchange rate is widely viewed in Ukraine as a bellwether of economic stability, and the National Bank of Ukraine has for years tightly managed the hryvnia slightly above 8 to the dollar.
Mr. Yanukovych is under pressure from more than two months of street protests against his decision to halt an integration pact with the European Union, instead sealing a $15 billion bailout from Russia. But he is now also facing a financial squeeze after he dismissed his government last week, and the Kremlin said it would pause its bailout until new ministers are appointed.
Analysts said the National Bank appeared to be managing the hryvnia lower. “They are stepping away from the peg. They know they can’t hold it as the Russian money isn’t there. They are trying to conserve reserves,” said Timothy Ash, an analyst at Standard Bank.
U.S. and European Union officials say they are putting together a financial bailout to tempt Mr. Yanukovych to strike a compromise with his opponents and forge a technocrat government that could push through economic overhauls. But prospects for a resolution look dim, as the opposition is demanding that more of the president’s powers be transferred to the cabinet before they agree to take government roles.
Mr. Yanukovych is holding talks in Kiev with EU foreign-policy chief Catherine Ashton, and will meet Assistant U.S. Secretary of State Victoria Nuland tomorrow. He then flies to Russia for talks with President Vladimir Putin. Moscow sent $3 billion to Ukraine late last year, but held up a further $2 billion installment last week.
Ukraine’s acting prime minister, Serhiy Arbuzov, moved to deflect blame for the sliding hryvnia Wednesday. “Political instability is pressing on the currency market. There is strain despite the fact there’s no fundamental economic basis for it,” Mr. Arbuzov told a government meeting Wednesday. “There are no fundamental causes for concern. I again call on everyone to settle the conflict as quickly as possible.”
The hryvnia has been under selling pressure for weeks amid antigovernment protests that have turned violent at times. The currency’s decline has accelerated in recent days. Trading on Wednesday was illiquid with prices quoted erratically and with large variations, traders said, underscoring just how nervous the market had become.
“The National Bank of Ukraine seems to have finally abandoned its four-year hryvnia to dollar peg and will be moving further toward greater foreign-exchange flexibility,” said Vladimir Osakovskiy and Vadim Khramov, analysts at Bank of America BAC -0.73% Merrill Lynch.
As a result, the bank is forecasting the dollar will rise to as high as 10 against the hryvnia by the end of 2014.
“Before the protests the National Bank was coping with downside pressure on the hryvnia by squeezing money-market liquidity and carrying out FX interventions. Given the political uncertainty, pressure on the FX market increased partly due to households’ demand for foreign currencies. And the central bank is not willing to increase the amount of interventions,” said Alexei Pogorelov, economist at Credit Suisse CSGN.VX +0.15% in Moscow.
Analysts suspect the central bank would struggle to keep a lid on an aggressive hryvnia selloff. According to central-bank data, Ukraine had $20.4 billion in international reserves on Jan. 1, a relatively small amount. In December, it spent $942 million of reserves defending the currency.
The hryvnia’s fall could be exacerbated if households lose faith and shift out of the currency, as they did in 2008.
Nervousness spread as gasoline prices continued edging upward Wednesday on the back of the hryvnia’s weakness, increasing the squeeze on Ukrainians.
“The price has gone up by 10-15 kopecks today, and I have no idea what happens next,” said Artur Badenkin, sales manager at a Kiev gas station.
– WALLSTREET JOURNAL
The need for stronger regional collaboration, government-private sector synergy, and innovative market solutions to unlock Africa’s economic potential has been brought to the fore.
Group CEO of the Nigerian Exchange Group Plc (NGX Group), Temi Popoola, shed light on the transformative potential of Africa’s capital markets at the launch of the Ethiopian Securities Exchange (ESX).
The NGX Group’s strategic investment in ESX underscores its leadership in advancing Africa’s capital market infrastructure. “The launch of ESX represents a pivotal moment for Ethiopia and the broader African financial landscape,” Popoola stated. “ESX will serve as a crucial mechanism for capital formation and market liquidity, driving sustainable economic growth.”
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Expounding on NGX Group’s investment rationale, Popoola highlighted Ethiopia’s immense market potential and the shared vision of fostering economic growth through innovation. “Our partnership transcends traditional investment parameters,” he explained. “It is about ensuring that ESX evolves into a key player in Africa’s financial ecosystem, enabling cross-border investments and setting benchmarks for market development.”
Popoola also drew parallels with global success stories like India, which has leveraged its capital markets to achieve significant economic transformation. He emphasized the importance of responsible market opening to attract local and continental capital. “By following this path, Ethiopia can become a financial hub in Africa,” he remarked.
Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed lauded the launch of ESX as a transformative milestone in the country’s journey toward economic modernization. “Today, we have officially rung the bell to launch the Ethiopian Securities Exchange, our nation’s first stock exchange,” the Prime Minister announced on X. “This is a call to global investors: Ethiopia offers immense potential, a fast-growing economy, and a clear trajectory toward shared prosperity.”
CEO of the Ethiopian Securities Exchange, Tilahun Esmael Kassahun, expressed confidence in the partnership with NGX Group. “We are pleased to welcome NGX Group as a strategic partner, building upon the existing support we continue to receive from them,” he said. Kassahun also emphasized the value of NGX Group’s expertise in shaping ESX’s growth and success.
Drawing from NGX Group’s six decades of experience, Popoola shared insights on diversifying financial instruments and expanding access to investment opportunities. “With the right mix of innovation, policy support, and regional collaboration, Ethiopia’s capital market can play a transformative role in driving economic development and establish itself as a leader in Africa’s financial ecosystem,” he concluded.
With the ESX poised to redefine Ethiopia’s financial landscape, NGX Group’s involvement highlights the critical role of partnerships and shared expertise in advancing Africa’s economic narrative.
The Office of the Auditor-General of the Federation has uncovered financial irregularities amounting to ₦514 billion in the 2021 operations of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd).
The revelations were contained in a comprehensive audit report highlighting non-compliance and internal control weaknesses within Ministries, Departments, and Agencies (MDAs) during the 2021 financial year.
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Breakdown of Infractions
The audit detailed four major financial discrepancies within NNPCL:
“Irregular Deductions: A total of ₦343.64 billion was deducted from domestic crude oil sales at source without proper documentation.
“Sinking Fund Deposits: ₦83.66 billion, categorized as miscellaneous income, was retained in a sinking fund account.
“Unauthorised Refinery Deductions: ₦82.95 billion was deducted from federation revenue purportedly for refinery rehabilitation.
“Unsubstantiated Payments: ₦3.75 billion was flagged for transactions related to petrol sales that lacked proper verification.
The Auditor-General’s report stated that these financial activities violated the 1999 Constitution and the Financial Regulations Act of 2009, underscoring significant lapses in compliance with statutory guidelines.
According to the report, NNPCL generated ₦484.73 billion from domestic crude oil sales in March and May 2021.
However, ₦343.64 billion was deducted for various purposes, including “Value Shortfall,” “Strategic Stock Holding Cost,” and “Pipeline Maintenance.”
The deductions were made unilaterally by NNPCL without adequate documentation or justification.
Additionally, the report flagged ₦50 billion of the net payable amount for May 2021 as unaccounted for, creating a significant gap in the federation’s revenue.
“Audit observed from the review of NNPC SAP payment record for March and May 2021 payments that the sum of ₦484.73bn was the gross amount generated for the sale of domestic crude for the months of March and May 2021.
“The sum of ₦343.64bn from the gross amount was unilaterally deducted from the gross domestic crude sales as NNPC Value shortfall, Strategic Stock Holding Cost, Crude Oil and Products Pipeline Losses, as well as the pipelines maintenance and management costs.
“The details of each of the cost components deducted were not provided for audit review. Hence, the reasons for the deductions could not be justified by the management.”
On the unremitted ₦50 billion from May 2021, the report noted: “In the month of May, the net payable that could have been remitted ought to have been ₦127.075bn, but only the sum of ₦77.075bn was remitted, leaving an unremitted balance of N50bn to the Federation Account, which has remained unaccounted for.”
The report attributed these anomalies to weaknesses in NNPCL’s internal control systems, warning of the risks they pose to public funds.
It read, “The above anomalies could be attributed to weaknesses in the internal control system at NNPC, now NNPC Ltd. This is a potential loss of Federation revenue, diversion of public funds, or misapplication or misappropriation of funds.”
The success of the maiden edition of the Lagos Shopping Festival (LSF), Africa’s first 72-hour non-stop commerce and entertainment event has been credited to the Governor of Lagos State, Babajide Sanwo-Olu.
This is the view of Managing Director/Chief Strategist of Chain Reactions Africa Ltd, Israel Jaiye Opayemi, one of the main organisers of the event.
According to Opayemi, though Chain Reactions Africa conceptualised the event, the festival could be rightly described as the Governor’s baby and owes its success to his leadership. “Firstly, the Lagos Shopping Festival could not have come to fruition if the Governor did not buy into our audacious plan when we first presented the idea to him during the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. Secondly, it was the Governor’s exemplary leadership of the project as its Chief Marketing Officer which attracted the buy-in of key sponsors like Zenith Bank, Tolaram Group, First Bank Plc, and Guinness Nigeria Plc,” Opayemi revealed.
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While the duo of Zenith Bank and First Bank provided their bank on wheel platforms for buyers at the Lagos Shopping Festival, they also supported the Vendors with special Point of Sale Machines with which to process payments from buyers. The banks were also seen marketing their diverse banking products to guests within the shopping arena.
For Tolaram, it was a time to support the citizens and give back to society. Guests at the Lagos Shopping Festival were freely given some of the products of the group such as PowerOil, Indomie and Kellogg’s packaged into goodie bags and given out to prospective buyers at the shopping arena. The Children’s Arena was however activated by Indomie with the children entertained by Santa Claus within a well-equipped arena manned by the Indomie Brands team and the Lagos State Safety Marshalls. The children were daily treated to free Indomie meals daily and given various gifts to go home with.
On its part, Guinness Nigeria came through as the real life of the Nigerian party by organizing product sampling activation for the teeming guests at the festival using brands such as Singleton, Johnnie Walker, Ciroc, Don Royale and Captain Morgan to deliver pleasant experiences to guests aside from Guinness and Malta Guinness.
While unveiling the identity of the festival last month, Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu had thanked the management of Zenith Bank Plc, Tolaram Africa Group, Guinness Nigeria Plc and First Bank of Nigeria for supporting the idea of a Lagos Shopping Festival, describing it as a value addition on the state’s tourism calendar and the overall efforts to grow the State’s GDP. The Governor further said, “I must specially acknowledge your pioneering sponsorship role. It is easy for a corporate sponsor to jump on the sponsorship band wagon of an already established festival and fund it. But you are supporting the maiden edition of this Lagos Shopping Festival with us. The competition is watching you now. Do not build this brand with us and yield the space for the competition to take over. I do hope you would all commit long term to this brilliant initiative.”
On his part, Girish Sharma, CEO Guinness Nigeria Plc, expressed enthusiasm for the initiative. “Lagos is the commercial heartbeat of Nigeria and Africa’s entertainment capital, and the Lagos Shopping Festival captures its essence. We see opportunities in this initiative because it is a creative fusion of commerce and entertainment. This partnership reflects our dedication to fostering economic opportunities and support the nation’s vibrant entertainment industry.”
A first-of-its-kind, the festival was a convergence of commerce and entertainment, bringing together buyers and sellers in the MSME ecosystem, and hordes of fun-seekers who were entertained with thrilling performances by A-list entertainers, including Adekunle Gold, Wande Coal, Teni, Young Jonn, BNXN, Ayo Maff, SB Live and EmmaOMG. The list also included some of Nigeria’s most sought after DJs such as DJ Neptune, DJ YK Mule, DJ Baddo while Gbenga Adeyinka the 1st and Larry J dished out rib-cracking comedy performances.
Held from 23rd to 25th Day of December 2024, at the iconic Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Onikan Stadium, Lagos, the Lagos Shopping Festival saw thousands of fans throng the main venue and select Lagos malls during the three-day period to bag the latest bargains from local and top global brands.
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