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Opinion/Feature

2025: President Tinubu’s Media Chat, Budget And A Year Of Consolidation

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By Stanley Nkwocha

The year 2024 is winding down; so also is the yuletide season and its festivities. But this particular year, unlike those of previous years, cannot be wished away so soon by Nigerians.

It was a year in which some issues of governance and national interest evoked the most tremendous controversies – from key decisions of the President Bola Ahmed Tinubu administration to the certain policy directions that have, obviously redirected Nigeria to the path of economic growth, widened revenue, increased gross domestic product (GDP), among other salient matters.

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It was the year 2024 which literally made it instructive for President Tinubu to prove his mettle as a firm and decisive leader who is resolute that delivering on key strategic priorities of security, economy and infrastructural revolution is the only way out. These key areas were well reemphasized in the President’s maiden presidential media chat on Monday, December 23, 2024, to the soothing relief of well-meaning Nigerians.

In 2024, the country was drenched in national debates over the impact of fuel subsidy removal, absolute autonomy for local government councils, tax reforms, food security and many more. However, the hallmark of presidential democracy is stewardship and accountability. Are Nigerians entering the new year without President Tinubu @officialABAT accounting for his stewardship in the previous year? Certainly not.

He demonstrated this reality during the presidential media chat which created the platform for him to share some insights into his administration’s efforts to address economic, security and infrastructure challenges, while puncturing misleading criticisms by the cynics in the opposition regarding the 2025 budget and the tragic stampedes that claimed innocent lives in Ibadan, Anambra, and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT).

The President also talked directly to the people who overwhelmingly elected him in 2023, acknowledging the challenges facing the citizens and promising to deliver on his Renewed Hope Agenda with commitment and focus in 2025. Nothing is more comforting than the acknowledgment of Nigeria’s difficult journey of nationhood. The President, as a father and captain of the nation, gave words of hope to Nigerians, assuring them that 2025 would usher in more economic prosperity and growth.

“I seek your understanding. I understand the trouble you’ve been through: the economic problems. It is just 18-month that I took the reigns. We’ll maintain focus. Let’s believe in ourselves and in our country. Tomorrow will bring a glorious dawn,” he stated.

Also, the media chat, for once, put paid to the debate as to President Tinubu’s candour, competence and charisma. In a deft display of craftsmanship, the president succinctly laid out the scorecard of his stewardship in the outgoing year, as well as his vision and next steps in the new year to the soothing relief of well-meaning Nigerians.

Together with his deputy, Vice President Kashim Shettima @officialSKSM, the President is definitely on a salvage operation for Nigeria’s socio-economic fabric. While President Tinubu is striving hard to see that the economy prospers, Senator Shettima has remained a dependable ally who is galvanizing ministries, departments and agencies of government, as well as the state governments to execute and actualize the policies of the administration in his capacity as Chairman of the National Economic Council (NEC).

The revelation by the President that his administration is re-energizing and reorganizing the security apparatus and personnel of the armed forces and the police with a view to enhancing their capacity to keep engaging and dismantling the operations of extremist and criminal groups in some parts of the country is also a pleasant new year gift.

It is on record that under President Tinubu, traveling to states like Maiduguri, Katsina and Kaduna is now safer. The Abuja-Kaduna road is quite safe due to the deployment of security agents manning multiple sections of these routes. In this regard, he said the country’s security chiefs deserve commendation, not probe. “I’m not probing service chiefs. You cannot disrespect the institution because of the threat of war, without investment in technology, weaponry and training,” he noted.

Any nation that is not able to feed itself is vulnerable and living in a compromised security situation. This explains why the issue of national economic diversification agenda raised in the presidential media chat is apt. President Tinubu noted that his administration created the Ministry of Livestock and that over 2,000 tractors are expected in the ongoing agricultural revolution, all as measures to reduce the growing food-related inflation and ensure food security.

Corroborating the hope raised in the presidential media chat is the draft budget of N49.7 trillion for the year 2025 President Tinubu laid before the National Assembly on Wednesday, December 18, 2024. In the appropriation bill, the administration has a revenue target of N34.82 trillion to fund the N49.7 trillion budget, including N15.81 trillion for debt servicing. The Appropriation Bill has been described by economic experts as unprecedented in the history of Nigeria, largely because it aims to consolidate on the gains of the Renewed Hope Administration in 2024, a year that shaped the administration’s policy direction.

The proposed 2025 budget, as the President succinctly puts it, seeks to achieve restoration of macroeconomic stability, enhancement of the business environment, fostering of inclusive growth, including employment and poverty reduction, as well as the promotion of equitable income distribution and human capital development.

Tagged, “2025 Budget of Restoration: Securing Peace, Rebuilding Prosperity,” the appropriation bill is, indeed, a categorical and exhilarating story of the direction the Tinubu administration is poised to take in 2025. After matching the grit of visionary and honest leaders who are courageous enough to reset their countries on the part of prosperity, with stringent policies in 2024, President Tinubu is set to revamp the nation’s economy in 2025 and wriggle Nigerians out of the socio-economic morass they had hitherto been enmeshed in due to years of misgovernance.

The 2025 appropriation bill received a deafening ovation. The thinking is that in modern Nigerian history, we have never had a national budget so prioritised crucial areas like security, education, health, job creation, poverty reduction, human capital development, infrastructure, and all that tend to improve the welfare of the citizens. This alignment with crucial national concerns will potentially address pressing issues and spur development in 2025.

The resounding acclamation that greeted the fiscal document as well as the presidential media chat notwithstanding, opposition elements have – true to type – descended on the budget, claiming it is anti-people and inadequate to address Nigeria’s structural and economic challenges. They went further to claim that the presidential media chat confirmed the administration’s insensitivity to the hardship being faced by Nigerians.

This, of course, is to be expected because different shades have different interests to protect. While self-serving opposition actors continue to carpet the presidential media chat and the 2025 appropriation bill as a result of their pedestal interests, notable economic experts have praised the proposed budget, suggesting the best ways it can be implemented to meet the demands of the citizens.

Unfortunately, what has become of opposition politics in our clime is heartrending. What we have today is blind criticism without offering a better way out. This is crude opposition, and it must be disregarded. In other climes, the voice of opposition offers constructive criticism of government policies and programmes aimed at providing alternative solutions. This way, the quality of governance is enriched.

A balanced outlook of the 2025 budget devoid of partisanship shows how ambitious the Tinubu administration is to turn around Nigeria’s economic fortune for good. Total proposed expenditure: N49.7 trillion; Non-debt recurrent expenditure: N14. 21 trillion; Debt servicing: 15.81 trillion; Capital expenditure: N8.7 trillion; projected deficit: N36.35 trillion (3.96 percent of GDP).

Key allocations in the budget include N4.92 trillion for defence and security, N4.06 trillion for infrastructure, N4.48 trillion for health, and N3.52 trillion for education. The idea of giving highest priority to these sectors is to increase investment in defense and law enforcement to address internal security challenges, creating a safer environment for business and investment.

It also aims to complete some legacy projects the administration has embarked on, including the Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway and the Sokoto-Badagry Road. Others are rail, and power projects, which are key to reducing business costs and enhancing economic growth. Also, social services such as education and healthcare funding are significantly increased in order to improve access and quality to strengthen Nigeria’s human capital.

The 2025 budget is targeting a fiscal deficit of 3.96 percent of GDP and projected revenue of N36.35 trillion. This affirms President Tinubu’s resolve to strengthen the nation’s economy to pave the groundwork for a prosperous future for Nigeria. It signifies some remarkable progress towards fiscal consolidation and reduced reliance on borrowing.

Additionally, the 2025 budget places emphasis on job creation. Its focus on job-rich economic growth suggests a commitment to tackling unemployment, a major challenge in Nigeria. Any effort aimed at mopping the army of our jobless youths off the streets should receive unalloyed support from all Nigerians.

Simple security intelligence is enough to draw a correlation between unemployment, poverty, and insecurity. As a time-tested truism goes, “An idle mind is the devil’s workshop. Nigeria has witnessed a steady rise in youth restiveness, characterised by protests, in the last two decades owing to the inability of successive governments to properly implement job creation initiatives. That is why the Tinubu administration does not take youth empowerment for granted.

The draft 2025 budget is premised on a base crude oil production assumption of 2.06 million barrels per day (mbd) which was adopted after a careful review of global oil market trends. A Naira to U.S. Dollar exchange rate of N1,500 to a dollar was adopted for 2025 as well.

We must not take for granted President Tinubu’s avowed commitment to broad-based and shared economic prosperity as he pointed out in the presidential media chat. This, he has demonstrated by the ongoing comprehensive review of human capital development, Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) through the Expanded National MSME Clinics, as well as the Aso Accord on Economic and Financial Inclusion, all spearheaded and executed by the Office of the Vice President.

Other initiatives being spearheaded by the office of the Vice President to this effect include the State Action Plans on Durable Solution to Internal Displacement, a United Nations Secretary General’s solution agenda on Internal Displacement; the plan to improve nutrition across Nigeria under the National Council on Nutrition and the Nutrition 774 Initiative; the Light Up Nigeria Initiative, and the Investment in Digital and Creative Enterprises Program (iDICE), a federal government initiative aimed at promoting investment in digital and creative industries as well as creating more sustainable jobs for its youthful population, among others.

The 2025 Budget of Restoration is specifically designed to actualize all these things. Before now, one of the biggest hurdles to attracting Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) to Nigeria was a difficult business environment, and poor infrastructures. But under the current administration, we have witnessed a gradual paradigm shift. There is a growing confidence among international partners in Nigeria’s economic potential. President Tinubu and VP Shettima have deployed their marketing skills to restore investors’ confidence in the country’s business climate.

The battle cry of the Tinubu administration in the year 2025 is a significant cut-down on insecurity and poverty, and in their stead ensure enhanced transparency in the conduct of government affairs and management of the nation’s commonwealth, increased provision of infrastructures as well as the enhanced economic condition of Nigerians.

Of utmost importance is the understanding that instead of listening to critics in the opposition who blindly condemn every action of the government without offering constructive alternative views, Nigerians will do well to hold President Tinubu by his promise to “contain financial leakages through the effective implementation of key public financial management reforms.”

With words of hope from President Tinubu at the presidential media chat and the target of the 2025 budget, Nigerians can also be rest assured that the Renewed Hope administration is set to take the country by storm in the coming year, as it consolidates on its reforms and the gains of 2024.

Nkwocha, Senior Special Assistant to the President on Media & Communications (Office of The Vice President), wrote in from Abuja.

Opinion/Feature

Downstream Deregulation: Between Obasanjo’s Half-measures And Tinubu’s Bold Leadership

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By Temitope Ajayi
A video of former President Olusegun Obasanjo’s interview with News Central Television has been trending on social media platforms for the past week. In the interview, the former President, in a veiled reference to the current administration, said Nigeria has a President who came into office without a plan. Yet, the same ‘planless’ president is implementing a bold economic reform programme that Obasanjo initiated and abandoned mid-way.
This intervention is essentially about a tale of two leaders and how they both handled fuel subsidy removal, a very touchy issue every president of Nigeria has avoided since 1973 because of its disruptive nature and potential to precipitate a pushback that may lead to civil unrest. This serious matter in itself can make a difference between a bold and courageous leader from one that is pretentious and hesitant.
It is a fact of history that one of the things former President Obasanjo set out to do, among other reforms his administration embarked upon, was complete deregulation of the downstream oil industry. But hard as he tried, he failed to actualise it. Obasanjo faced so much opposition from organised labour and civil society groups that he abandoned a good policy that would have led to massive economic gains for the country. All he could muster the courage to do was to raise the pump price four times during his two-term tenure.
Twenty years after Obasanjo failed to implement complete downstream deregulation, President Bola Tinubu had the courage of his conviction to implement the policy, redirect the economy, and ensure efficiency in the management of public finance.
Despite his foibles and messianic complex, former President Obasanjo is no doubt a remarkable leader. His administration opened the economy and implemented essential reforms that his immediate successor should have continued with. What most critics find offensive about the former president is how he sees himself as the only saviour God created for Nigeria. As far as he is concerned, no other leader before and after him has been good enough. For context and clarity, it is essential to recall the former president’s position on deregulating the downstream oil sector when he was in charge.
In a national broadcast on October 8, 2003, President Obasanjo expressed his frustration and anger at the Nigeria Labour Congress for its opposition to the deregulation of the downstream sector to the point of accusing labour leaders of sedition thus:
“As you are aware, my government has embarked on fundamental reforms designed to depart from the waste and unproductive exercises of the past and leave lasting legacies for the prosperity and improved welfare and well-being of all Nigerians. Since 1999, we have gradually but steadily embarked on the programme of liberalisation and deregulation of the Nigerian economy to promote efficiency and effectiveness of service delivery. Most Nigerians and certainly all organised key stakeholders in the Nigerian economy, including the Nigeria Labour Congress, have endorsed the deregulation programme of government.
“It is a fitting symbol of our administration’s commitment to the welfare of workers and in an effort to cushion the effects of deregulation that the government provided 80 buses to the NLC in 2002. The transliner buses were delivered to the Congress for management without government interference. It is noteworthy that every step taken to deregulate the downstream oil sector has been dogged by, sometimes, irresponsible opposition by the Labour Congress. The result has been that we took too little steps to achieve no meaningful and satisfactory progress. We have tolerated all of these in the interest of promoting popular dialogue and informed dissent.
“Let me inform Nigerians that when government first came up with the deregulation programme, it was endorsed by the NLC and other stakeholders. In fact, the NLC had requested that we call it a “liberalisation” programme. It was thus more a matter of label than of substance. If we had been successful in implementing the deregulation or liberalisation of the downstream oil sector as earlier agreed by all stakeholders, including labour, we would not have been worrying about the periodic and unsatisfactory price-fixing which has led no where except to frustration. The failure to fully deregulate or liberalise has also cost Nigerians billions of naira which are currently wasted on millions of man-hours in queues at the petrol stations.
“The tens of billions of naira currently being lost in money that could have been used to increase capital spending in the universities, fund agriculture, repair and rehabilitate our roads, invest in education and health, improve security with extra police for security of lives and property.
“Realising that the investment of well over $400 million (excluding pipelines and depots) in the last six years mostly on Turn Around Maintenance (TAM) and repairs had not improved the performance of the refineries significantly, government had decided that it was unwise to put additional money into the repair of the Kaduna and Port Harcourt refineries before privatising them.
“What most Nigerians must know is that the contracts for the Turn Around Maintenance for the Kaduna and Port Harcourt refineries were awarded with 50% of the cost paid upfront before the advent of this administration in 1999. Allow me to add that two of the three refinery locations in the country today, were built by my administration as military head of state. This means that if for no other reason, I should be interested in keeping them working. Already, 18 private firms have been licensed to build refineries but they have been reluctant to go into the industry because of Government’s price control in the sector.
“If only 30% of these firms had been able to establish and operate private refineries, thousands of jobs would have been created and Nigeria would have been in a position to even export refined oil products. All these benefits and more have been denied to Nigerians by the stop-go approach to the deregulation or liberalisation programme, and only a few Nigerians are benefiting from the prevailing government-controlled system. In fact, the NLC’s approach has been counter-productive, and inflicted more pains on Nigerian workers. Each time there is a small increase of three naira or more, transporters have used the opportunity to jerk up transportation cost thereby making the ordinary worker poorer.
“A once-and-for-all total deregulation would have meant a once-and-for-all increase in transport cost and the pump price for petroleum products. Without a doubt, a once-and-for-all total deregulation would have resolved the problem of availability and thus bring down prices for those outside Abuja, Lagos, Port Harcourt and their environs who have always paid much more than the official posted price. Pump prices arising from the present total deregulation would, in reality, amount to a reduction in prices of majority of Nigerians.”
Interestingly, excerpts from the 2003 national broadcast by President Obasanjo present a contrast between the former leader and President Tinubu. They also showcase two leadership visions. One leader saw the need to fight for the country’s long-term sustainability but chickened out because he lacked the courage to upset the status quo. Two decades later, another leader saw the damage the failure to make the right economic decision had caused the country. He decided to correct it to avert a looming calamity. While former President Obasanjo left the most challenging task of his presidency undone, President Tinubu tackled head-on what has become an existential threat to our collective well-being from his first day in office. He has remained focused on the bigger picture.
President Tinubu recognises the burden of leadership and responsibility he bears on behalf of Nigerians. In discharging this burden, he knew from day one that he would have to make the right but unpopular decisions that would ultimately serve the best interest of the country and her people.
It is certainly not correct to say this president came to the office without a plan. President Tinubu came into the office with a clear plan titled “Renewed Hope 2023: Action Plan for a Better Nigeria.” It was a well-thought-out programme, with which he canvassed for votes across the country and was elected by our people.
In the past 17 months, he has remained faithful to the document as he implements the distilled eight-point agenda.
At the heart of President Tinubu’s economic revitalisation is gas development and expansion of gas pipeline infrastructure to enable Nigeria to compete with Russia in the European markets. In fairness to him, former President Obasanjo himself recently lamented he did not pay adequate attention to gas during his term of office.
Expanding the pool of available talents and human capital through granting of loans to young Nigerians who are the future of the country to enable them acquire tertiary or vocational education is part of the plans that propelled Tinubu into office. Consumer credit initiative that will promote local production and further stimulate the economy is also high on Tinubu’s action plan. To the President’s credit, these two important policy initiatives among several others are being implemented through NELFUND and Nigerian Consumer Credit Corporation (CrediCorp).
If there is one President of Nigeria that came prepared and well armed with a clear cut plan to reposition the country across sectors for better outcomes, that President, undoubtedly, is President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
-Ajayi is Senior Special Assistant to President Tinubu on Media and Publicity
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Opinion/Feature

UNCOMMON SCHOLAR, EXCEPTIONAL ADMINISTRATOR: MY TRIBUTE TO PROF. OLOYEDE AT 70

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By President Bola Tinubu

As Professor Ishaq Oloyede turns 70 tomorrow, October 10, I pay a special tribute to this astute administrator, educator, author, and scholar, currently the Joint Admissions and Matriculation Board (JAMB) Registrar.

As the former Vice Chancellor of the University of Ilorin, Prof. Oloyede’s invaluable contributions to the nation through academia and public-sector administration have significantly impacted the academic community.

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His impactful tenure at the University of Ilorin, during which he introduced landmark ideas and innovations that helped the institution attain enviable heights, is on record.

Through patriotic dedication and commitment to his craft, Prof Oloyede imparted knowledge and character to thousands of students who underwent his teaching during his glorious and impactful academic career.

Indeed, the bedrock of development lies in education. Developing nations, including Nigeria, are in dire need of more scholars like Prof. Oloyede. His selfless sacrifices and innovative approaches to learning and leadership give hope for a brighter future.

Perhaps more remarkable is Prof. Oloyede’s transformative leadership at JAMB. He pioneered and sustained a series of reforms and technological innovations that have made the admission process in Nigeria transparent and credible.

In his eight years of stewardship at the board, thus far, Prof. Oloyede has demonstrated an uncommon commitment to financial integrity and accountability in public service. He has also raised the bar in administration and management.

I am proud of Prof. Oloyede’s accomplishments.

The nation owes the Professor of Islamic Jurisprudence a debt of gratitude for transforming JAMB, traditionally a non-revenue-generating government agency, into a consistent contributor to the national treasury through efficient financial management. His contributions to JAMB are invaluable and greatly appreciated.

On this occasion of his 70th birthday, I join members of the academic community, students, JAMB staff, and well-wishers in celebrating this scholar who, in words and deeds, has also done a lot to propagate the Islamic religion.

I pray that Almighty Allah will continue to honour the distinguished professor with health, wisdom and strength to serve the nation for many more years.

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Opinion/Feature

Clarification On NNPCL Refinery Operations

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By Sen. Heineken Lokpobiri PhD

My attention has been drawn to statements made by Engr. Kamoru Busari, Director of Upstream in the Ministry of Petroleum Resources, who represented me at a recent conference in Lagos. I wish to categorically state that the claim that I directed the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) to stop running its own refineries and focus solely on equity participation in other refineries is false. This does not represent my position as Minister overseeing the oil sector, nor does it reflect the stance of the Federal Government.

It is important to clarify that NNPCL is a company governed under the Companies and Allied Matters Act (CAMA), with a functional board and management. The Ministry of Petroleum Resources does not control or run NNPCL, as it operates independently like any corporate entity.

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The oil and gas sector is fully deregulated, and the Nigerian government remains committed to promoting in-country refining. We encourage companies, including NNPCL, to operate independently, following global best practices. While we provide strategic guidance, we do not interfere directly in the operations of these companies.

I reaffirm our commitment to supporting the growth and independence of NNPCL, ensuring that its operations are in line with international standards for efficiency and transparency and profitability.

Sen. Heineken Lokpobiri PhD, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Oil), wrote from Abuja, Nigeria

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