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Brent Slide Leads Energy Prices Lower After Iran Nuclear Accord

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LONDON – Brent crude led energy prices from gasoline to heating oil lower after Iran and world powers reached an interim accord on the country’s nuclear program that will ease economic sanctions while keeping a cap on oil sales.

Futures slid as much as 2.7 percent in London, declining for the first time in four days, while West Texas Intermediate fell 1.6 percent in New York. Iran’s oil exports will be held to about 1 million barrels a day under sanctions that remain in force after the deal announced yesterday in Geneva, according to the White House. Gasoline and heating oil futures each slid at least 2.3 percent on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

“We’re seeing both sides come one step closer to each other,” said Andy Sommer, a senior oil analyst at Axpo Trading AG in Dietikon, Switzerland. “The deal doesn’t have a direct impact on oil exports, but there’s still good reason to think a solution is on the horizon in terms of oil. The risk premium has declined.”

BrentBrent for January settlement decreased as much as $3 to $108.05 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange, the biggest intraday loss since Nov. 1. It was at $109.27 at 10:05 a.m. London time. The contract advanced 97 cents to $111.05 on Nov. 22, the highest close since Oct. 11.

WTI for January delivery fell as much as $1.55 to $93.29 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract was at a discount of $15.30 to Brent. It closed at $16.21 on Nov. 22, the widest gap since March 14.

Iran Accord

The six-month agreement, which offers Iran about $7 billion in relief from sanctions in exchange for curbs on its nuclear program, leaves in place banking and financial measures that have hampered its crude exports.

Brent, the benchmark for half the world’s crude, rose the most in almost two weeks on Nov. 8 after U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry downplayed the chances of a nuclear accord. The deal was reached yesterday after foreign ministers from the U.S., Europe, China and Russia made unscheduled trips to Geneva to push the third round of talks in six weeks to a conclusion.

Gasoline futures fell to as low as $2.6598 a gallon on the Nymex, while heating oil contracts dropped to $2.9701. Gasoil in London slid 2.1 percent to $918.50 a metric ton. Natural gas futures were the only major energy contract to rise today, advancing as much as 2.2 percent to $3.849 per million British thermal units in New York amid forecasts for below-normal temperatures in the U.S.

Risk Premium

“There’s still a long way to go, but with each of these steps we should see some sort of response to the risk premium,” said Ric Spooner, a chief market analyst at CMC Markets in Sydney. “The bigger thing for the oil market in terms of the impact on prices is the longer view that this represents a tangible step toward a more final solution that might ultimately see the sanctions lifted altogether.”

Thomas Cook Group Plc and Air France-KLM Group led a gauge of travel stocks higher as oil prices fell after the accord with Iran. Shares of major oil-producing companies were the only component of Europe’s benchmark Stoxx 600 to decline, with BG Group Plc and BP Plc driving the segment lower.

The economic constraints have cut Iranian oil sales by 60 percent since the start of 2012, depriving the country of more than $80 billion in revenue, U.S. President Barack Obama’s administration said in a statement.

Goldman Forecast

“The volume of Iranian crude oil available to the international market will remain largely unchanged over at least the next six months,” Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) predicted in a report published today. Morgan Stanley said in a note that any “substantial weakness” in prices following yesterday’s announcement of a deal would be an “over-reaction.”

Sanctions remain on sales of Iranian refined products, while Iran gains access to $4.2 billion in oil revenue frozen in foreign banks, the White House said. As part of the accord, the European Union will lift a ban on insurance for tankers transporting Iranian oil, making it easier for the Persian Gulf nation’s six remaining customers to take delivery. The EU will continue to prohibit crude imports from Iran.

Officials from Indian Oil Corp., Hindustan Petroleum Corp. and Mangalore Refinery & Petrochemicals Ltd. said the removal of restrictions on shipping cover will enable them to purchase contracted volumes more easily. Still, they said they don’t intend to buy more than previously planned.

‘Downward Pressure’

Loosened sanctions on insurance will let Iran raise exports by nearly 300,000 barrels a day from last month’s level and may put “downward pressure” on Brent prices, Olivier Jakob, managing director of consultant Petromatrix GmbH, said yesterday.

Imports from Iran fell to 715,000 barrels a day in October, compared with 1.26 million in the previous month, the International Energy Agency said in a Nov. 14 market report. Shipments from the country still averaged 1.1 million barrels a day in the first nine months of this year, according to the IEA.

“Oil prices will remain under pressure for the foreseeable future,” Jonathan Barratt, the chief executive officer of Barratt’s Bulletin in Sydney, said in a Bloomberg television interview. “First of all, I think there will be a little bit of a knee-jerk reaction.”

The accord with Iran is a “historic mistake,” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said yesterday. Obama called Netanyahu before departing to the U.S. West Coast in an effort to prevent the agreement from opening a rift between the two nations.

“While Israel and the Saudis won’t be happy, the oil bears will,” Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at the Price Futures Group in Chicago, said by e-mail today.

– BLOOMBERG

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Oil

FG Introduces New Incentives To Revitalize Nigeria’s Oil & Gas Industry

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In a strategic move to revitalize Nigeria’s oil and gas sector, the Federal Government has unveiled two key fiscal incentives aimed at attracting investment and enhancing energy security.

The announcement was made by Mr. Wale Edun, the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy on Wednesday.

The first initiative, the Value Added Tax (VAT) Modification Order 2024, introduces critical exemptions for essential energy products and infrastructure, including Diesel, Feed Gas, Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG), Compressed Natural Gas (CNG), Electric Vehicles, Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) infrastructure, and Clean Cooking Equipment.

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These exemptions are designed to reduce living costs for Nigerians, promote energy security, and accelerate the transition to cleaner energy alternatives.

The second initiative, the Notice of Tax Incentives for Deep Offshore Oil & Gas Production, offers new tax relief options for deep offshore exploration projects.

This measure aims to position Nigeria’s deep offshore basin as a premier destination for international oil and gas investments, boosting the country’s appeal to foreign investors.

These reforms are part of a broader set of policy initiatives, known as Policy Directives 40-42, endorsed by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

The directives reflect the administration’s commitment to fostering sustainable development in the energy sector and enhancing Nigeria’s competitive edge in the global oil and gas market.

 

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Tinubu set to approve ExxonMobil-Seplat oil deal, expands CNG bus initiative

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By Yemie Adeoye

NIGERIA’s President Bola Tinubu has announced that the protracted ExxonMobil-Seplat upstream oil divestment will be formally approved by the Minister of petroleum within a matter of days, just as he announced his government’s intention to expand the Compress natural Gas, CNG buses initiative.

The President who stated this during his Independence day nationwide broadcast stated that the move is in line with his administration’s commitment to free enterprise, free entry and free exit in investments which is the hallmark of his administration investment policy.

“Fellow compatriots, our administration is committed to free enterprise, free entry, and free exit in investments while maintaining the sanctity and efficacy of our regulatory processes. This principle guides the divestment transactions in our upstream petroleum sector, where we are committed to changing the fortune positively. As such, the ExxonMobil Seplat divestment will receive ministerial approval in a matter of days, having been concluded by the regulator, NUPRC, in line with the Petroleum Industry Act, PIA. This was done in the same manner as other qualified divestments approved in the sector.”

The President also seized the opportunity to plead with Nigerians to be patient with his administration’s reform policies. “As your President, I assure you that we are committed to finding sustainable solutions to alleviate the suffering of our citizens. Once again, I plead for your patience as the reforms we are implementing show positive signs, and we are beginning to see light at the end of the tunnel”.

“Our energy transition programme is on course. We are expanding the adoption of the Presidential Initiative on Compressed Natural Gas for mass transit with private sector players. The Federal Government is ready to assist the thirty-six States and FCT in acquiring CNG buses for cheaper public transportation.

Fellow Nigerians, while we are working to stabilise the economy and secure the country, we also seek to foster national unity and build social harmony and cohesion. Our economy can only thrive when there is peace”. he enthused.

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ExxonMobil To Invest $10bn In Nigeria’s Deep-Water Oil Operations

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As part of the administration’s push to improve Ease of Doing Business (EoDB), Nigeria’s Vice President Kashim Shettima has expressed support for ExxonMobil’s plan to invest $10 billion in the country’s deep-water oil sector.

Speaking on Wednesday, September 25, 2024, during a meeting with ExxonMobil executives at the 79th United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) in New York, Shettima called the investment “a clear testament to the administration’s economic reforms and investor-friendly policies.”

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This announcement follows news that international maritime company DP World intends to develop a multibillion-dollar port project in Nigeria.

Stanley Nkwocha, Senior Special Assistant to the President on Media and Communications, shared the development in a statement on Wednesday. He quoted Shettima as saying: “ExxonMobil’s potential investment aligns with the vision of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration for a more investment-friendly Nigeria.

We are committed to fostering an environment that supports such transformative projects.”Shettima also discussed the administration’s broader efforts to improve the ease of doing business, highlighting the “Renewed Hope Agenda,” which aims to simplify bureaucratic processes, enhance transparency, and offer fiscal incentives to attract global investors.

“Our administration has taken bold steps to unify the exchange rate, remove fuel subsidies, and implement tax reforms. These measures, though challenging in the short term, are intended to create a stable and predictable business environment in the long term,” he added.

On the oil and gas sector, Shettima mentioned that the government is revising the fiscal framework for deep-water operations to attract investment while ensuring fair returns for the Nigerian people.

 

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