Business
Dangote Refinery Can Save Nigeria N15tn Import Cost, Generate $11bn FX Inflow Annually – Dele Oye
The Dangote Petroleum Refinery has the capacity to save Nigeria over N15 trillion in fuel import costs and generate an estimated $11 billion in foreign exchange inflows through local refining and petroleum exports per annum.
These are the views of former President of the Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce of Industry, Mines and Agriculture (NACCIMA), Dele Oye, who is also the Chairman of the Alliance for Economic Research and Ethics LTD/GTE, expressed in a media statement.
He emphasised that Nigeria continues to incur massive foreign exchange losses due to its dependence on imported refined petroleum products, despite the operational capacity of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery.
The former Chairman of the Organised Private Sector of Nigeria (OPSN) noted that the continued defence of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd) of fuel import licences undermines Nigeria’s drive toward energy self-sufficiency and economic sovereignty.
Oye explained that Nigeria spent approximately N15.42 trillion on petrol imports in 2024, describing the figure as a significant drain on foreign exchange reserves and a structural weakness in the country’s energy architecture.
According to him, the Dangote Refinery has the ability to meet over 90 per cent of Nigeria’s domestic fuel demand and could significantly reduce import dependence if fully integrated into the national supply system.
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Oye further estimated that increased reliance on local refining could save Nigeria up to $11 billion annually in foreign exchange outflows, reducing pressure on the naira and improving macroeconomic stability.
He argued that NNPC’s justification for continued fuel importation on the grounds of maintaining competition is flawed, insisting that it effectively entrenches dependency on foreign refineries while discouraging domestic industrial growth.
“NNPC’s insistence on maintaining import licences for foreign-sourced products while a domestic facility can meet demand is tantamount to penalising the player who built the stadium while rewarding those who merely show up to play,” Oye said.
He maintained that Nigeria’s legal framework, including the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) 2021 and the Nigerian Oil and Gas Industry Content Development Act, prioritises domestic refining and local value addition, adding that imports are intended only as a short-term measure where local capacity is insufficient.
Besides, Oye questioned the consistency of NNPC’s position, noting that while the company raises concern about monopoly risks from a private refinery, it continues to rely heavily on foreign supply chains for domestic fuel consumption.
He added that sustained fuel importation exposes Nigeria to global price volatility, foreign exchange pressure, and job losses in the domestic economy, while exporting value-added opportunities to foreign refiners and logistics operators.
He further called for a review of import licensing under the PIA, stronger protection for domestic refineries, and fiscal incentives to encourage additional private sector investment in refining infrastructure.
Oye also urged greater transparency in refinery rehabilitation projects and called for accountability in past turnaround maintenance expenditures, arguing that inefficiencies in state-owned refineries have contributed to prolonged import dependence.
He also referenced global models from countries such as Brazil, Saudi Arabia, India and the United States, where domestic refining capacity is protected and supported through targeted industrial policies. According to him, Nigeria risks undermining its industrialisation agenda if it fails to prioritise local refining capacity over import dependence, despite existing domestic production capability.
“The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd) has, in recent court filings, accused Dangote Petroleum Refinery, a $20 billion, 650,000 barrels-per-day facility, Africa’s largest single-train refinery, of seeking to monopolise Nigeria’s fuel market. The state oil company’s argument: that restricting fuel import permits would ‘undermine competition and expose Nigeria to supply disruptions, price instability and threats to national energy security’.
“This position, articulated with the gravitas of institutional authority, conceals a devastating truth: NNPC is not defending competition. It is defending importation. It is not protecting energy security. It is perpetuating dependency. And in doing so, it stands in direct contravention of Nigeria’s own laws, the President’s economic agenda, and the hard-won lessons of nations that have successfully industrialized their petroleum sectors.”
“The Dangote Petroleum Refinery represents what is possible when Nigerian capital, vision, and perseverance confront adversity. Built at a cost of approximately $20 billion, the facility processes 650,000 barrels of crude per day, produces up to 53.6 million litres of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) and 23.6 million litres of Automotive Gas Oil (AGO) daily, has the capacity to meet over 90 per cent of Nigeria’s domestic demand, can save Nigeria between $6–11 billion annually in foreign exchange outflows and is currently exporting jet fuel to European markets, demonstrating global competitiveness.
“It has the capacity to meet 100 per cent of Nigeria’s requirement for all refined liquid products, including petrol, diesel, kerosene and aviation fuel, with surplus volumes available for export, currently exports petrol, diesel and jet fuel across global markets, including Africa, Asia, the Americas and Europe, demonstrating strong international competitiveness,” Oye argued.
He maintained that the NNPC’s litigation against Dangote Refinery using the language of ‘monopoly’ to defend importation is not merely a policy error, but a moral failure.
“It betrays the Nigerian entrepreneur who builds despite crushing interest rates. It betrays the Nigerian worker who could be employed in domestic refining. It betrays the Nigerian taxpayer whose resources are diverted to foreign suppliers. And it betrays the Nigerian future that depends on industrial self-sufficiency.
“The laws are clear. The economics are compelling. The global precedents are overwhelming. What is lacking is not knowledge but political will and the courage to prioritise Nigerian industries over foreign suppliers, Nigerian jobs over foreign profits, and Nigerian sovereignty over convenient dependency,” he added.
According to him, President Bola Tinubu’s economic agenda calls for production over consumption, industrialisation over importation, and sovereignty over subservience, stressing that NNPC must align with this agenda or be reformed until it does.
“The Dangote Refinery is not a monopoly threat. It is a sovereignty achievement. It is proof that Nigerians can build world-class industrial infrastructure when given the opportunity. The task of the government is not to stifle this achievement with import competition but to nurture it with protective policies that other nations take for granted.
“Nigeria does not need to import refined petroleum products. Nigeria needs to refine its own petroleum, by its own people, in its own facilities, for its own benefit. Anything less is a continuation of the colonial economic model that has kept Africa resource-rich but development-poor for generations,” he insisted.
Business
Again, Aradel Shifts Results Release Forward
After failing to meet its previously announced May 29, 2026 target, Aradel Holdings Plc has extended the filing and publication deadline for its 2025 audited financial statements and first-quarter 2026 unaudited financial statements.
This was detailed in a notice to the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), shareholders and the investing public, which had it that both reports will now be released on or before June 19, 2026.
The company blamed challenges arising from the consolidation of its recently acquired additional 40 per cent equity interest in ND Western Limited.
Aradel had earlier informed the market on March 2, 2026, that the delay in filing its financial statements was linked to the acquisition and had subsequently indicated that the reports would be released on or before May 29, 2026.
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Explaining the latest postponement, the company said unforeseen complexities emerged during the consolidation process following the integration of the newly acquired stake into the Group’s reporting framework.
According to the notice, “The delay is due to unforeseen complexities encountered in the consolidation process arising from the integration of the newly acquired interest in ND Western Limited into the Group’s reporting framework. Additional time is required to ensure that the consolidated results fairly present the financial position of the enlarged Group in line with applicable accounting standards and regulatory requirements.”
“The Company is working closely with its external auditors to complete the process without compromising the quality, accuracy or integrity of the financial statements. Both the FY 2025 Audited Financial Statements and the Q1 2026 Unaudited Interim Financial Statements will now be released on or before 19 June 2026,” Aradel said.
The extension means the company’s closed period, which commenced on January 1, 2026, will remain in effect until 24 hours after the financial statements are released to the market. During the closed period, insiders and other restricted persons are prohibited from trading in the company’s shares.
The company noted that trading in its securities by affected persons would resume after the expiration of the extended closed period. Aradel further reiterated its commitment to regulatory compliance and transparency in its financial reporting.
Business
Savannah Energy Posts Strong Four-Month Performance
Ahead of its Annual General Meeting (AGM) billed for June 1, 2026, Savannah Energy, has provided a trading update on its Nigerian operations and other markets in Africa for the four months to April 30, 2026, reflecting continued operational progress and a strong focus on cash discipline.
It reports that following the completion of the SIPEC Acquisition in March 2025, the production expansion programme underway at its Stubb Creek has delivered an 8% increase in average gross daily production to 3.1 Kbopd for the period, compared to 2.8 Kbopd during the same period in 2025.
Its group average gross daily production for the four-month period stood at 15.7 Kboepd (FY 2025: 18.8 Kboepd) with gas production volumes constrained as a result of the ongoing drilling and operational activity, and customer gas demand.
The update shows that its Revenues increased by 17% year-on-year to US$104.1 million, compared to US$89.1 million in the same period last year. It also shows that its trade receivables balance declined by 22% to US$395.2 million from US$507.2 million at year-end 2025.
It also reported cash balances of US$64.7 million during the four-month period, compared to the 31 December 2025 figure of US$42.8 million, with its net debt standing at US$641.7 million compared to the 31 December 2025 figure of US$658.6 million.
According to the update, Savannah’s cash collections for the four months ended April 30 amounted to US$183.5 million, a 48% increase from the US$89.1 million it received during the same period in 2025.
Savannah also reported that it has entered into a new £32 million unsecured loan facility with NIPCO plc, its largest shareholder. The facility is structured in two tranches: £20 million available immediately and £12 million available from July 1. The loan carries a 4.5% annual interest rate and has a 36-month term.
The facility includes a conversion option that allows Savannah to repay the loan through the issuance of new shares at 8 pence per share. NIPCO cannot require conversion, and Savannah is under no obligation to issue shares. The transaction constitutes a related party transaction under AIM rules.
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The report highlighted the operational progress being made across key African assets, including Uquo and Stubb Creek, as well as continued advancement of its wind, solar and hydropower projects. It reports that drilling and completion activities at the Uquo NE well location have now been concluded, with rig-down operations currently underway ahead of mobilisation to the next well.
It also reports that the flowline installation is in its final stages, with tie-in activities ongoing at the Uquo CPF, while tie-in works at the well pad are expected to commence shortly, with first gas targeted for early July 2026, supporting the higher forecast gas production expected in H2 2026. Site construction activities at the Uquo South exploration well location, it said, are progressing well, with the site expected to be ready by early June 2026, just as conductor piling operations are also ongoing in preparation for the rig move from the Uquo NE location.
In Niger, Savannah reports that its Parc Eolien de la Tarka project has made significant progress to date, with the Minister of Energy confirming that the project is on the Government’s list of priority projects. It expects the timing and sequencing of further development activities in relation to the project to be linked to the timing and outcome of the Company’s ongoing discussions with the Government of Niger regarding the R1234 PSC and the potential recommencement of oil activities.
In Cameroon, negotiations with the Government are at an advanced stage regarding a Joint Development Agreement for the up to 95 MW Bini, a Warak hybrid hydroelectric and solar project. This is expected to replace the Memorandum of Agreement signed in April 2023 and secure the terms under which Savannah will collaborate with the Government of Cameroon to further develop the project.
Andrew Knott, CEO of Savannah Energy, said: “Savannah continues to deliver against the nine core focus areas we set out for the business at the start of 2025. In Nigeria, we have seen a significant improvement in cash collections, with a 48% year-on-year increase in the first four months of the year, alongside a 17% year-on-year increase in Revenues and a 22% reduction in our trade receivables balance since year-end 2025. This reflects our ongoing focus on disciplined cash collections and receivables management, which remains a key priority for the business this year.
“Operationally, we are advancing a number of important projects, including the drilling of two new gas wells at the Uquo field, and the production expansion programme at Stubb Creek which has already delivered an 8% increase in average daily production (compared to the first four months of 2025). In our power division, we continue to progress our greenfield wind, solar and hydro portfolio.
“Alongside this, we continue to pursue further value-accretive acquisitions across both hydrocarbons and power, with several opportunities under active discussion. We are also pleased to have secured a new £32 million loan facility from NIPCO plc (“NIPCO”), our largest shareholder, strengthening our financial flexibility and further underpinning our confidence in delivering continued operational, financial and strategic progress through 2026 and 2027.”
Business
Dangote Refinery Cuts Petrol, Diesel Prices Again
In a move reinforcing its commitment to making refined petroleum products more affordable and supporting economic activities across Nigeria, the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals has announced a fresh reduction in the ex-depot prices of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) and Automotive Gas Oil (AGO).
Under the latest price adjustment, the refinery reduced the ex-depot price of PMS, commonly known as petrol, to N1,250 per litre from N1,275 per litre, while the price of AGO (diesel) was cut to N1,700 per litre from N1,800 per litre.
The price review comes amid the refinery’s continued efforts to improve supply efficiency, deepen domestic refining, and provide cost relief to consumers and businesses that depend heavily on petroleum products for transportation, power generation and industrial operations.
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Since commencing operations, the 650,000 barrels per day refinery has increasingly supplied the domestic market with refined products aimed at eliminating the country’s dependence on imported fuels.





