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Dollar Gains for Third Day Versus Yen as Fed Meets

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…Rand Slides

NEW YORK – The dollar rose for a third day against the yen as the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee began a two-day meeting amid forecasts it won’t announce any major changes to its asset-purchase program.

The Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Index climbed to the highest level in more than a week before the policy makers issue a statement tomorrow. Australia’s dollar slid versus all of its 16 major peers after Reserve Bank Governor Glenn Stevens said it will probably become “materially lower,” and the South African rand dropped against all but the Aussie. The yen gained earlier versus the dollar as jobs and retail sales rose before a Bank of Japan meeting this week.

DOLLAR“Ahead of the FOMC, people might be a bit more prudent and reducing risk positions,” Sebastien Galy, a senior foreign-exchange strategist at Societe Generale SA in New York, said in a phone interview. “The foreign-exchange market in general is more reticent to take on risk than the stock market.”

The dollar strengthened 0.5 percent to 98.19 yen at 5 p.m. New York time, reversing a decline that saw it weaken as much as 0.2 percent. The greenback appreciated 0.3 percent to $1.3745 per euro and touched $1.3737, the strongest level in a week. It has fallen 1.6 percent versus the 17-nation currency this month. The euro gained 0.2 percent to 134.96 yen.

Bloomberg’s dollar gauge, which monitors the greenback against 10 other major currencies, advanced 0.4 percent to 1,006.12 and reached 1,066.22, the highest since Oct. 17. The index dropped on Oct. 23 to 997.94, the least since February.
Stocks rose, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index gaining 0.6 percent.

Volatility Increases

A gauge of price swings among the currencies of Group of Seven nations rose. The JPMorgan G7 Volatility Index was at 7.63 percent after falling yesterday to 7.48 percent, the lowest level since Dec. 21. The 2013 average is 9.39 percent.

South Africa’s rand fell against the dollar for a third day after demand for credit in the country slowed more than predicted, adding to evidence that growth in Africa’s biggest economy is losing momentum. The currency declined 0.6 percent to 9.8919 per dollar.

The Australian dollar dropped for a third day versus its U.S. peer after the Reserve Bank of Australia’s Stevens said the South Pacific currency’s level wasn’t supported by costs and productivity in the economy. The Aussie slid 1 percent to 94.79 U.S. cents.

The greenback lost 0.5 percent over the past month in a basket of 10 developed-market currencies tracked by Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Indexes. The yen fell 0.4 percent, while the euro gained 1.3 percent.

‘Showing Strength

“The dollar is showing strength across the board,” Brian Daingerfield, a Stamford, Connecticut-based currency strategist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc’s RBS Securities unit, said in a telephone interview. “It’s already been very well priced-in that the Fed doesn’t change policy tomorrow. With the dollar being sold off over the last couple of weeks, there could be some profit-taking and positioning ahead of the meeting.”

The Federal Reserve will pare its $85 billion in monthly bond buying at its March meeting, according to a Bloomberg survey of analysts on Oct. 17-18. The purchases, made to push down long-term yields and spur growth, tend to debase the greenback. Policy makers last month refrained from slowing the stimulus to await further evidence of economic recovery.

Japanese retail sales climbed 1.8 percent in September from the previous month, the nation’s statistics bureau said. The unemployment rate fell to 4 percent.

Bank of Japan

The Bank of Japan buys more than 7 trillion yen ($71 billion) of government bonds every month in its bid to combat deflation. It meets Oct. 31. An exchange rate of 100 yen per dollar would be good for the economy, Koichi Hamada, an adviser to Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, said on Jan. 18.

“The Japanese government generally said at the beginning of the year that they’d like to see dollar-yen around about 98-100,” said Neil Mellor, a foreign-exchange strategist at Bank of New York Mellon in London. “The yen has been going sideways ever since because the market believes that’s where the government wants it and will actively strive to keep it.”

Morgan Stanley entered long positions on the dollar and euro versus the yen, according to a client note written by analysts led by Hans Redeker, the firm’s London-based head of global strategy. Long positions are bets currencies will gain.

Japanese policy makers have repeatedly said a weaker yen is important to reaching their 2 percent inflation target, and the firm believes “they will deliver on their promises,” the analysts said. Morgan Stanley’s targets are 105 yen per dollar and 139 yen per euro, the analysts said.

Canada’s Currency

The Canadian dollar slid to the weakest level in seven weeks after Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz told lawmakers in Ottawa he would extend a three-year pause in interest-rate increases. The currency depreciated 0.2 percent to C$1.0469 and touched C$1.0471, the least since Sept. 6. It rose earlier amid bets it had reached a low point.

Trading in over-the-counter foreign-exchange options totaled $49 billion, from $30 billion yesterday, according to data reported by U.S. banks to the Depository Trust Clearing Corp. and tracked by Bloomberg. Volume in options on the U.S.- Canada-dollar exchange rate amounted to $9.7 billion, the largest share of trades at 20 percent. Options on the dollar-yen rate totaled $8.9 billion, or 18 percent.

U.S.-Canada options trading was 900 percent more than the average for the past five Tuesdays at a similar time in the day, according to Bloomberg analysis. Dollar-yen options trading was 32 percent above average.

– BLOOMBERG

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Nigeria’s Economy Shows Resilience With 3.46% GDP Growth In Q3 2024

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Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 3.46% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2024, marking a strong performance compared to the 2.54% growth recorded during the same period in 2023 and 3.19% in Q2 2024, according to the latest data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The growth was largely fueled by the services sector, which expanded by 5.19% and contributed 53.58% to the overall GDP.

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“The performance of the GDP in the third quarter of 2024 was driven mainly by the services sector,” the NBS stated in its report.

Key areas in this sector, including financial institutions, telecommunications, and trade, played significant roles in the economy’s growth.

The agriculture sector, while still positive, showed a slight slowdown, growing by 1.14%, compared to 1.30% in Q3 2023.

The industrial sector, however, posted a notable recovery, increasing by 2.18%, a marked improvement from the 0.46% recorded in the same quarter of 2023.

In nominal terms, Nigeria’s GDP at basic price for Q3 2024 reached N71.13 trillion, a substantial 17.26% increase from the N60.66 trillion recorded in Q3 2023.

“This performance is higher when compared to the third quarter of 2023, which recorded an aggregate GDP of N60,658,600.37 million, indicating a year-on-year nominal growth of 17.26%,” the NBS added.

The non-oil sector also showed strong performance, growing by 3.37% in real terms during Q3 2024, outperforming the 2.75% growth seen in the same quarter of 2023 and exceeding the 2.80% growth recorded in Q2 2024.

“The sector was driven in the third quarter of 2024 mainly by financial and insurance (financial institutions); information and communication (telecommunications); agriculture (crop production); transportation and storage (road transport); trade; and construction, accounting for positive GDP growth,” the NBS explained.

Despite the growth in the non-oil sector, its share of the total GDP decreased slightly to 94.43%, compared to 94.52% in Q3 2023, though it remained higher than 94.30% in Q2 2024.

The oil sector, in contrast, recorded a 5.17% year-on-year growth in Q3 2024, reversing the -0.85% decline seen in the same period in 2023.

However, growth slowed from the 10.15% recorded in Q2 2024. The NBS reported that Nigeria’s oil production averaged 1.47 million barrels per day (mbpd) during the third quarter, a slight increase from 1.45 mbpd in Q3 2023 and 1.41 mbpd in Q2 2024.

 

 

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How Family-Owned Businesses Drive Global Economic Success – Halima Dangote

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Family-owned businesses (FOBs) can continue to drive economic success, create value for shareholders, and positively impact their communities worldwide by staying true to their core values and adopting strategic practices that prioritise long-term growth, efficiency, and resilience.

This was part of the submission made by the Group Executive Director of Dangote Industries Limited, Halima Aliko-Dangote, during the Forbes Global CEO Conference in Bangkok, Thailand.

Halima, who is also the Executive Director, Family Office, spoke at the panel session on Family Business: Looking at the Next Frontier, opined that family-owned businesses have demonstrated exceptional resilience, navigating challenges and thriving over multiple decades.

Other speakers include the Managing Director and CEO of Worldwide Hotels, Carolyn Choo; the Managing Director of Damen Yachting, Rose Damen, a third-generation family shareholder of Damen Shipyards Group; and Co-Chairman of B.GRIMM Pharma, President of B. Grimm Joint Venture, and Board Member of B. Grimm Power, Caroline Link.

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According to her, success in family-owned businesses starts with shared values, goals, governance policies and alignment adding that reputation is part of ‘family capital’.

She maintained that governance structure, adherence to core values, customer satisfaction, optimization of shareholder value, meritocracy, integrity, leadership, brand equity, diversification/growth, philanthropy and preserving generational wealth play key roles to the success of our businesses.

Halima revealed that Dangote Group’s governance policies do not allow board and management to operate in silos as each business unit has at least three independent directors who offer a holistic view.

On other factors of success for Dangote Group, Halima emphasized, “We family-owned businesses have to stick to our tradition of asset rich-cash moderate or as my father will correct me, asset rich-cash poor. We as Dangote perpetuate a profitable business with strong values and strong governance structure. We make money while building our nation by contributing heavily to the global economy, creating massive jobs, thinking of our great grand kids and contributing excessively to humanity.”

Highlighting the significant contribution of FOBs to the global economy, Halima noted that studies by Mckinsey showed that they account for more than 70% of global GDP, generate annual turnovers of between $60 trillion and $70 trillion, and provide around 60% of global employment.

She stressed the crucial role these businesses play in creating jobs, sustaining communities, and driving development in sectors such as manufacturing, education, healthcare, and infrastructure across the world.

“Family-owned businesses (FOBs) have proven to be resilient, weathering challenges and thriving across multiple decades. Despite facing external pressures, many FOBs not only survive but also grow, contributing significantly to the global economy in ways that are often underestimated or overlooked,” she said.

She also pointed out that family-owned businesses often employ two key approaches in preparing the next generation for leadership roles: internal and external capacity building. Regarding internal capacity building, Halima explained that many families create internship programmes for young family members interested in taking over the business or assuming leadership positions.

“In Nigeria, we train the next generation so they can grow organically to leadership roles in family businesses. My dad’s approach is for you to start from ground up knowing you will get to leadership role if you work hard and do your job right. These experiences make it easier for you to learn the ropes and be prepared for leadership role in the future,” she pointed out.

On external capacity building, Halima discussed the practice of sending younger generations to work in non-family businesses. This approach enables them to acquire new skills, learn better processes, and gain diverse perspectives that can benefit the family business in the long run.

Halima revealed that she started her career as an Analyst at KPMG before joining Dangote Industries Limited.

The approach, she explained “removes the familiarity tag as the young generation got employed as other people and supervised to monitor their performance. This has been a common avenue business families have chosen to pursue for many years, having their next generation spend three to five years working outside the family business before eventually joining with a new set of skills and business knowledge.”

Addressing the challenges of succession planning, Halima emphasised the importance of involving the younger generation in the business early on.

She suggested that this creates a space for open communication, where the next generation can share their thoughts, ideas, and aspirations, while the senior generation provides critical information to help the next leaders make informed decisions.

She stressed the need for a balance between tradition and innovation in family-owned businesses. While tradition provides continuity and stability, she noted that innovation is vital to staying relevant and competitive in the modern marketplace.

“Successful family businesses recognise the need to adapt to changing consumer preferences, technological advancements, and market trends. Family businesses often have a wealth of experience and deep-rooted traditions. They can also benefit from external expertise and fresh perspectives,” she concluded.

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Shell LiveWIRE Initiative Empowers 9,000 Niger Delta Youths With Entrepreneurial Skills

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A total of 9,000 youths in the Niger Delta have acquired entrepreneurial skills under the LiveWIRE programme of The Shell Petroleum Development Company of Nigeria Limited (SPDC) since it was introduced in 2003 as part of efforts to boost employment opportunities among people aged 18 – 35 years.

It was gathered that the recipients were trained and supported with start-up grants and business mentorship enabling them to launch their own businesses and become employers of labour.

The latest training, sponsored by the SPDC Joint Venture which includes the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, TotalEnergies and Nigerian Agip Oil Company, involved more than 1,000 young entrepreneurs from host communities in Rivers, Bayelsa and Delta states. They graduated last week in Port Harcourt having developed business plans and pitched them to experts as part of the training. 654 trainees were selected as best-performers.

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“We’re delighted at the success of the LiveWIRE programme,” SPDC Director and Head Corporate Relations, Igo Weli, said at the graduation ceremony. “This training is set aside for young people from our host communities which means they can also enjoy the benefits of the programme and join the teeming number of entrepreneurs, several of whom now have the chance to participate in SPDC’s business as vendors. LIveWIRE is one of many ways through which Shell and her partners are powering progress in Nigeria.”

The graduation ceremony featured a technical conference with the theme, “Unlocking Growth: Leveraging Policies to Build an Inclusive Tech Eco System in the Niger Delta.” The keynote speaker, Iyke Kemabonta, and panelists, Soala Jumbo, Davies Awongo, Kalada Briggs, Vivien Ene and Ezieke Amaefula, challenged the beneficiaries to grow their businesses, overcome environmental challenges and enable the Niger Delta to reap the rewards of the programme.

Trainees from the 2023 Regional LiveWIRE programme from Rivers, Delta, Bayelsa, Imo, Abia, Akwa Ibom, Cross River and Edo states also joined the graduation ceremony. Beneficiaries were inducted into the LiveWIRE Alumni Group by three previous participants who now run their own businesses — Precious Adeho, Queen Esther Bolou-Ebi and Kalada Briggs. The trio encouraged the recipients to use the opportunity as launching pads into international recognition and success.

In a notable achievement, five previous beneficiaries won the LiveWIRE International “Go and Trade Enterprise Linkage Award” which enabled them to embark on trade visits to London, Dubai, Malaysia, and neighboring Ghana. Livewire Nigeria also offers beneficiaries the chance to compete for the Global Shell LiveWIRE Top Ten Innovators Award which comes with huge rewards.

LiveWIRE is Shell’s global enterprise development initiative for small businesses and is active in 18 countries. As at 2023, the programme had trained about 3,400 people and helped create more than 1,200 jobs around the world.

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