Business
Dollar Gains for Third Day Versus Yen as Fed Meets
…Rand Slides
NEW YORK – The dollar rose for a third day against the yen as the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee began a two-day meeting amid forecasts it won’t announce any major changes to its asset-purchase program.
The Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Index climbed to the highest level in more than a week before the policy makers issue a statement tomorrow. Australia’s dollar slid versus all of its 16 major peers after Reserve Bank Governor Glenn Stevens said it will probably become “materially lower,” and the South African rand dropped against all but the Aussie. The yen gained earlier versus the dollar as jobs and retail sales rose before a Bank of Japan meeting this week.
“Ahead of the FOMC, people might be a bit more prudent and reducing risk positions,” Sebastien Galy, a senior foreign-exchange strategist at Societe Generale SA in New York, said in a phone interview. “The foreign-exchange market in general is more reticent to take on risk than the stock market.”
The dollar strengthened 0.5 percent to 98.19 yen at 5 p.m. New York time, reversing a decline that saw it weaken as much as 0.2 percent. The greenback appreciated 0.3 percent to $1.3745 per euro and touched $1.3737, the strongest level in a week. It has fallen 1.6 percent versus the 17-nation currency this month. The euro gained 0.2 percent to 134.96 yen.
Bloomberg’s dollar gauge, which monitors the greenback against 10 other major currencies, advanced 0.4 percent to 1,006.12 and reached 1,066.22, the highest since Oct. 17. The index dropped on Oct. 23 to 997.94, the least since February.
Stocks rose, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index gaining 0.6 percent.
Volatility Increases
A gauge of price swings among the currencies of Group of Seven nations rose. The JPMorgan G7 Volatility Index was at 7.63 percent after falling yesterday to 7.48 percent, the lowest level since Dec. 21. The 2013 average is 9.39 percent.
South Africa’s rand fell against the dollar for a third day after demand for credit in the country slowed more than predicted, adding to evidence that growth in Africa’s biggest economy is losing momentum. The currency declined 0.6 percent to 9.8919 per dollar.
The Australian dollar dropped for a third day versus its U.S. peer after the Reserve Bank of Australia’s Stevens said the South Pacific currency’s level wasn’t supported by costs and productivity in the economy. The Aussie slid 1 percent to 94.79 U.S. cents.
The greenback lost 0.5 percent over the past month in a basket of 10 developed-market currencies tracked by Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Indexes. The yen fell 0.4 percent, while the euro gained 1.3 percent.
‘Showing Strength’
“The dollar is showing strength across the board,” Brian Daingerfield, a Stamford, Connecticut-based currency strategist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc’s RBS Securities unit, said in a telephone interview. “It’s already been very well priced-in that the Fed doesn’t change policy tomorrow. With the dollar being sold off over the last couple of weeks, there could be some profit-taking and positioning ahead of the meeting.”
The Federal Reserve will pare its $85 billion in monthly bond buying at its March meeting, according to a Bloomberg survey of analysts on Oct. 17-18. The purchases, made to push down long-term yields and spur growth, tend to debase the greenback. Policy makers last month refrained from slowing the stimulus to await further evidence of economic recovery.
Japanese retail sales climbed 1.8 percent in September from the previous month, the nation’s statistics bureau said. The unemployment rate fell to 4 percent.
Bank of Japan
The Bank of Japan buys more than 7 trillion yen ($71 billion) of government bonds every month in its bid to combat deflation. It meets Oct. 31. An exchange rate of 100 yen per dollar would be good for the economy, Koichi Hamada, an adviser to Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, said on Jan. 18.
“The Japanese government generally said at the beginning of the year that they’d like to see dollar-yen around about 98-100,” said Neil Mellor, a foreign-exchange strategist at Bank of New York Mellon in London. “The yen has been going sideways ever since because the market believes that’s where the government wants it and will actively strive to keep it.”
Morgan Stanley entered long positions on the dollar and euro versus the yen, according to a client note written by analysts led by Hans Redeker, the firm’s London-based head of global strategy. Long positions are bets currencies will gain.
Japanese policy makers have repeatedly said a weaker yen is important to reaching their 2 percent inflation target, and the firm believes “they will deliver on their promises,” the analysts said. Morgan Stanley’s targets are 105 yen per dollar and 139 yen per euro, the analysts said.
Canada’s Currency
The Canadian dollar slid to the weakest level in seven weeks after Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz told lawmakers in Ottawa he would extend a three-year pause in interest-rate increases. The currency depreciated 0.2 percent to C$1.0469 and touched C$1.0471, the least since Sept. 6. It rose earlier amid bets it had reached a low point.
Trading in over-the-counter foreign-exchange options totaled $49 billion, from $30 billion yesterday, according to data reported by U.S. banks to the Depository Trust Clearing Corp. and tracked by Bloomberg. Volume in options on the U.S.- Canada-dollar exchange rate amounted to $9.7 billion, the largest share of trades at 20 percent. Options on the dollar-yen rate totaled $8.9 billion, or 18 percent.
U.S.-Canada options trading was 900 percent more than the average for the past five Tuesdays at a similar time in the day, according to Bloomberg analysis. Dollar-yen options trading was 32 percent above average.
– BLOOMBERG
Business
OPEC+ Hikes Oil Production Quotas, Silent on UAE Pull-out
Saudi Arabia, Russia and five other OPEC+ countries increased their oil production quota on Sunday in an expected move aimed at demonstrating continuity at the cartel after the shock withdrawal of the United Arab Emirates.
The seven major producers will add 188,000 barrels per day to their total production quota for June amid the price pressure unleashed by the Mideast war, as part of “their collective commitment to support oil market stability”, according to a statement published by OPEC+.
The statement, following an online meeting of Algeria, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Oman, Russia and Saudi Arabia, made no mention of the United Arab Emirates, which quit the body on Friday, three days after announcing its withdrawal.
Rystad Energy analyst Jorge Leon told AFP that the silence on the UAE’s departure was a sign of tense relations.
Oil market analysts had widely expected the increase of 188,000 barrels, similar to the 206,000-barrel daily increases OPEC+ announced in both March and April when the portion allotted to the UAE was subtracted.
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“By sticking to the same production path — just minus the UAE — it’s acting as if nothing has happened, deliberately downplaying internal fractures and projecting stability,” Leon said.
Strait of Hormuz Bottleneck Remains
But raising the quota on paper may not have much impact on actual production, which is already short of the limit.
Untapped OPEC+ reserves are mainly located in the Gulf region, and exports there are trapped by the blockade of the vital Strait of Hormuz, imposed by Iran in response to the US-Israeli strikes that started the war on February 28.
Leon, the Rystad Energy analyst, told AFP on Sunday that the cartel was looking to send “a two-layer message” that the UAE’s exit would not disrupt how OPEC+ operates and that the group still exerts control over global oil markets despite massive disruption to oil trade due to the war.
“While output is increasing on paper, the real impact on physical supply remains very limited given the Strait of Hormuz constraints,” Leon told AFP. “This is less about adding barrels and more about signalling that OPEC+ still calls the shots.”
The Strait of Hormuz blockade is hitting Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The latter’s production will no longer count towards OPEC quotas.
“Total OPEC+ output with quota fell to 27.68 million bpd in March, against a monthly quota of 36.73 million bpd, a shortfall of approximately 9 million bpd driven almost entirely by war-related disruption rather than voluntary restraint,” said Priya Walia, another analyst at Rystad Energy, ahead of Sunday’s meeting.
Iran, whose exports are now the target of a retaliatory US blockade, is an OPEC+ member but is not subject to quotas.
Russia, the group’s second-biggest producer, has been the main beneficiary of the situation. But despite soaring energy prices, it appears to be struggling to produce at the level of its current quotas as its own war in Ukraine drags on and Ukrainian drones hit oil industry facilities.
‘A Big Deal’
Amena Bakr, an analyst at Kpler, described the UAE’s exist as “a big deal” for OPEC.
Previous withdrawals from the group by Qatar in 2019 and Angola in 2023 were less significant by comparison, Bakr told a video conference on the UAE withdrawal.
The UAE has invested massively in infrastructure in recent years, and state-owned oil company ADNOC plans to increase output by five million barrels a day by 2027 — far above the country’s last quota of around 3.5 million barrels.
ADNOC also pledged on Sunday to spend $55 billion on new projects over the next two years, confirming that the company is “accelerating growth and delivery of its strategy”.
There is also the risk for OPEC+ that other countries will leave such as Iraq and Kazakhstan, which have faced repeated accusations of surpassing their quotas.
AFP
Business
Shareholders Laud NGX Group at 65th AGM
Shareholders of Nigerian Exchange Group Plc (NGX Group) have commended the Board and Management for the Group’s performance and strategic direction, urging continued focus on growth and long-term value creation.
At the Group’s 65th Annual General Meeting (AGM), shareholders approved the audited financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2025, alongside key resolutions including a final dividend of ₦2.00 per share, a one-for-three bonus share issue, and the corresponding increase in share capital. The re-election of Dr. Umaru Kwairanga, Group Chairman, Board of Directors, Dr. Okechukwu Itanyi, Independent Non-Executive Director and Mrs. Ojinika Olaghere, Independent Non-Executive Director reinforced continuity in governance and oversight.
They acknowledged the Group’s disciplined execution and its role in strengthening the Nigerian capital market, noting that recent developments reflect a more structured and better-regulated market environment.
Speaking during the meeting, the President, New Dimension Shareholders Association, Patrick Ajudua, commended the leadership of the Group for delivering a strong financial outcome, noting that the results reflect both improved market conditions and deliberate strategic execution. “The numbers speak to a business that is gaining strength and direction,” he said.
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Similarly, the Chairman of the Progressive Shareholders Association of Nigeria, Boniface Okezie, lauded the Group’s commitment to innovation and infrastructure development. “The market is becoming more forward-looking, supported by strong leadership at the Group level. Initiatives around market infrastructure and participation are yielding results, and this is positive for investors,” he noted.
Commenting during the AGM, Chairman of NGX Group, Umaru Kwairanga, appreciated shareholders for their continued support and reaffirmed the Board’s commitment to sustainable value delivery. He said, “The progress recorded reflects the strength of the Group’s strategy and the performance of its operating businesses. As a Board, our responsibility is to ensure disciplined oversight, uphold strong governance standards, and position NGX Group to deliver sustainable, long-term value to shareholders.”
Temi Popoola, group managing director/chief executive officer, focused on execution priorities, noting that the Group is positioning for scale. He said, “This next phase is about deepening momentum. Our priority is to scale infrastructure, broaden participation, and unlock new pathways for capital formation.”
The meeting reflected strong shareholder confidence in NGX Group’s leadership, with the Group reaffirming its commitment to playing a central role in the evolution of Nigeria’s capital market while delivering sustained returns to investors.
Business
S’Leone Inks $225m Offshore Oil Deal with Nigeria’s Marginal Energy
Sierra Leone has announced the signing of a petroleum licence agreement with Nigeria‑based Marginal Energy Limited, granting the company offshore exploration and production rights as the government seeks to revive interest in its under‑explored upstream sector.
The licence, signed through the Petroleum Directorate of Sierra Leone (PDSL), covers offshore blocks G‑145, G‑146, G‑147, G‑160 and G‑161, spanning about 6,800 square kilometres, according to a government statement, a Reuters report said.
Marginal Energy, a Nigerian independent, has committed to a seismic and drilling programme with exploration spending expected to exceed $225 million.
Under the agreement, the state will hold a 10 percent carried interest in oil projects and 5 percent in gas during exploration and development, with an option to acquire an additional participating interest on a paid basis of up to 9 percent once production begins.
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The deal was signed at the Invest in African Energy conference in Paris, where Sierra Leone has been promoting offshore licensing opportunities to international investors, the report added.





