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Dollar Gains for Third Day Versus Yen as Fed Meets

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…Rand Slides

NEW YORK – The dollar rose for a third day against the yen as the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee began a two-day meeting amid forecasts it won’t announce any major changes to its asset-purchase program.

The Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Index climbed to the highest level in more than a week before the policy makers issue a statement tomorrow. Australia’s dollar slid versus all of its 16 major peers after Reserve Bank Governor Glenn Stevens said it will probably become “materially lower,” and the South African rand dropped against all but the Aussie. The yen gained earlier versus the dollar as jobs and retail sales rose before a Bank of Japan meeting this week.

DOLLAR“Ahead of the FOMC, people might be a bit more prudent and reducing risk positions,” Sebastien Galy, a senior foreign-exchange strategist at Societe Generale SA in New York, said in a phone interview. “The foreign-exchange market in general is more reticent to take on risk than the stock market.”

The dollar strengthened 0.5 percent to 98.19 yen at 5 p.m. New York time, reversing a decline that saw it weaken as much as 0.2 percent. The greenback appreciated 0.3 percent to $1.3745 per euro and touched $1.3737, the strongest level in a week. It has fallen 1.6 percent versus the 17-nation currency this month. The euro gained 0.2 percent to 134.96 yen.

Bloomberg’s dollar gauge, which monitors the greenback against 10 other major currencies, advanced 0.4 percent to 1,006.12 and reached 1,066.22, the highest since Oct. 17. The index dropped on Oct. 23 to 997.94, the least since February.
Stocks rose, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index gaining 0.6 percent.

Volatility Increases

A gauge of price swings among the currencies of Group of Seven nations rose. The JPMorgan G7 Volatility Index was at 7.63 percent after falling yesterday to 7.48 percent, the lowest level since Dec. 21. The 2013 average is 9.39 percent.

South Africa’s rand fell against the dollar for a third day after demand for credit in the country slowed more than predicted, adding to evidence that growth in Africa’s biggest economy is losing momentum. The currency declined 0.6 percent to 9.8919 per dollar.

The Australian dollar dropped for a third day versus its U.S. peer after the Reserve Bank of Australia’s Stevens said the South Pacific currency’s level wasn’t supported by costs and productivity in the economy. The Aussie slid 1 percent to 94.79 U.S. cents.

The greenback lost 0.5 percent over the past month in a basket of 10 developed-market currencies tracked by Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Indexes. The yen fell 0.4 percent, while the euro gained 1.3 percent.

‘Showing Strength

“The dollar is showing strength across the board,” Brian Daingerfield, a Stamford, Connecticut-based currency strategist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc’s RBS Securities unit, said in a telephone interview. “It’s already been very well priced-in that the Fed doesn’t change policy tomorrow. With the dollar being sold off over the last couple of weeks, there could be some profit-taking and positioning ahead of the meeting.”

The Federal Reserve will pare its $85 billion in monthly bond buying at its March meeting, according to a Bloomberg survey of analysts on Oct. 17-18. The purchases, made to push down long-term yields and spur growth, tend to debase the greenback. Policy makers last month refrained from slowing the stimulus to await further evidence of economic recovery.

Japanese retail sales climbed 1.8 percent in September from the previous month, the nation’s statistics bureau said. The unemployment rate fell to 4 percent.

Bank of Japan

The Bank of Japan buys more than 7 trillion yen ($71 billion) of government bonds every month in its bid to combat deflation. It meets Oct. 31. An exchange rate of 100 yen per dollar would be good for the economy, Koichi Hamada, an adviser to Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, said on Jan. 18.

“The Japanese government generally said at the beginning of the year that they’d like to see dollar-yen around about 98-100,” said Neil Mellor, a foreign-exchange strategist at Bank of New York Mellon in London. “The yen has been going sideways ever since because the market believes that’s where the government wants it and will actively strive to keep it.”

Morgan Stanley entered long positions on the dollar and euro versus the yen, according to a client note written by analysts led by Hans Redeker, the firm’s London-based head of global strategy. Long positions are bets currencies will gain.

Japanese policy makers have repeatedly said a weaker yen is important to reaching their 2 percent inflation target, and the firm believes “they will deliver on their promises,” the analysts said. Morgan Stanley’s targets are 105 yen per dollar and 139 yen per euro, the analysts said.

Canada’s Currency

The Canadian dollar slid to the weakest level in seven weeks after Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz told lawmakers in Ottawa he would extend a three-year pause in interest-rate increases. The currency depreciated 0.2 percent to C$1.0469 and touched C$1.0471, the least since Sept. 6. It rose earlier amid bets it had reached a low point.

Trading in over-the-counter foreign-exchange options totaled $49 billion, from $30 billion yesterday, according to data reported by U.S. banks to the Depository Trust Clearing Corp. and tracked by Bloomberg. Volume in options on the U.S.- Canada-dollar exchange rate amounted to $9.7 billion, the largest share of trades at 20 percent. Options on the dollar-yen rate totaled $8.9 billion, or 18 percent.

U.S.-Canada options trading was 900 percent more than the average for the past five Tuesdays at a similar time in the day, according to Bloomberg analysis. Dollar-yen options trading was 32 percent above average.

– BLOOMBERG

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Dangote Calls Refinery IPO ‘People’s IPO’ as N2.15tn Offer Opens

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President of Dangote Industries Limited, Aliko Dangote, has described the Initial Public Offering of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals as a “People’s IPO” as the N2.15tn offer officially opened on the Nigerian Exchange on Monday.

Dangote sounded the gong at the NGX trading floor in Lagos to formally open the offer, marking a major milestone for Nigeria’s capital market.

The IPO comprises 4.1 billion new ordinary shares priced at N525 per share, with a minimum subscription of 10 shares valued at N5,250.

RELATED NEWS: BREAKING: Dangote Refinery IPO Subscription Surpasses ₦1.4trn as Investor Demand Soars

The offer, which opened on September 14, 2026, is scheduled to close on October 13, 2026, subject to the terms contained in the prospectus.

Speaking after sounding the gong, Dangote said the offering was aimed at widening public participation in the ownership of the refinery.

“We fully share all our prosperity with the people. That’s why we call this ‘People’s IPO’. We know the journey has actually just started.

“It’s not only about the refinery.”

The Dangote Refinery IPO is the first refinery offering to investors on the Nigerian stock market in the 66-year history of the Nigerian Exchange.

The offer is open to retail, institutional and eligible African investors, providing members of the public with an opportunity to acquire an interest in one of Africa’s largest industrial projects.

Dangote also disclosed that the IPO was part of a broader plan by the Dangote Group to list more of its companies on the capital market.

He said the group intended to list every company that would operate under its umbrella in the future.

“We, as a group, will list every single company that will operate. I don’t know about the others, but I know our own market cap, even at a 10 times P/E ratio by 2030, should not be less than $350 billion,” he said.

The businessman added that the Nigerian Exchange would provide a platform for the group to pursue listings on other international exchanges.

“From this exchange, then we can go to any other place.

“So, Nigeria and Africa is our base. We want to make sure that we join our continent.”

The Dangote Refinery, located in the Lekki Free Zone, Lagos, has been positioned as a major investment in Nigeria’s domestic refining capacity and efforts to reduce dependence on imported petroleum products.

The opening ceremony was attended by Lagos State Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu, NGX Group Chairman Umaru Kwairanga, the Ooni of Ife, Oba Adeyeye Enitan Ogunwusi Ojaja II, Zenith Bank founder Jim Ovia and other dignitaries.

The N2.15tn IPO will remain open until October 13, 2026, subject to the terms contained in the prospectus.

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Nigeria Meets OPEC Quota for Fourth Consecutive Month

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A 0.4 percent increase from the 1.67 million bpd recorded in July saw Nigeria’s crude and condensate production rise to 1,677,777 barrels per day in August 2026.

The growth, disclosed in a statement by Head, Media and Corporate Communications, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), Eniola Akinkuotu, on Sunday.

Another interesting aspect of the report is that it shows Nigeria’s consistent compliance with the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) crude oil quota for the fourth consecutive month.

READ ALSO: Rufai Oseni Row: NiDCOM Breaks Silence on Nigerians Detained in India, Addresses Ekene’s Case

According to the regulator, crude oil production, excluding condensates, stood at 1,500,190 barrels per day in August.

The report revealed that Nigeria meeting her OPEC quota for the fourth consecutive month, reflects continued efforts by operators to restore affected production capacity and address operational bottlenecks.

The latest increase followed the resolution of operational challenges involving the Single Buoy Mooring at the Erha field, which had affected production performance in the preceding month.

The NUPRC said the restoration of normal evacuation and production operations at the asset contributed positively to the overall output recorded during the month.

The statement read, “The NUPRC attributed the modest improvement in August production largely to the resolution of the Single Buoy Mooring operational challenges at the Erha field, which had adversely impacted production performance in the preceding month.

“The restoration of normal evacuation and production operations at the asset contributed positively to overall production volumes during the period under review.”

The regulator added that production activities across most other producing assets remained relatively stable, with operators sustaining measures aimed at improving efficiency, maintaining asset integrity and reducing operational disruptions.

According to the commission, the lowest daily crude oil and condensate production recorded in August was 1.64 million bpd, while the highest stood at 1.71 million bpd.

A breakdown of production by terminals and streams showed that the Bonny Terminal recorded the highest average output during the month, accounting for 320.04 thousand bpd.

Forcados Terminal followed with 317.40 thousand bpd, while the Qua Iboe Terminal recorded an average of 171.72 thousand bpd of crude oil and condensates.

Escravos Oil Terminal posted a daily average of 131.71 thousand bpd, while Bonga ranked fifth among the leading producing terminals with an average of 92.50 thousand bdp of crude oil.

The August output represented an increase of 6,777 bpd from July’s 1,671,000 barrels per day, based on the rounded July figure. It was also 57,621 bpd, lower than the 1,735,398 bpd recorded in June.

The June figure represented a decline of about 3.3 per cent in August when compared with the latest available June production data.

The NUPRC said the August performance reflected the industry’s continued efforts to resolve operational constraints and restore affected production capacity.

It stated, “While the increase recorded in August was modest, it reflects the industry’s continued efforts to address operational bottlenecks and restore affected production capacity.

“Stakeholders remain focused on enhancing asset reliability, improving operational resilience and advancing intervention programs to support sustained production growth in the coming months.”

The regulator further emphasised the importance of timely intervention, effective asset management and collaboration among industry stakeholders in safeguarding the country’s crude oil production capacity.

Nigeria’s oil production has remained a major focus of government efforts to increase revenue, improve foreign exchange earnings and strengthen the country’s ability to meet its OPEC production quota.

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Dangote Elevates Micro Investors with IPO

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Alhaji Aliko Dangote, President, Dangote Industries Limited (DIL), Aliko Dangote, has assured small-scale investors eager to own equities through his refinery’s Initial Public Offering ((IPO) that they would be prioritised in the allocation of shares.

He delivered his message in Hausa during an interview with Abis Fulani, which was translated by Google Gemini, while discussing the planned IPO and its potential benefits to investors.

The interview was published on Thursday but gained traction on Saturday.

According to Dangote, retail investors seeking to buy shares worth N50,000, N100,000 and other smaller amounts would receive priority over large institutional investors.

READ ALSO: DPRP Set for Landmark IPO to Raise ₦2.15 Trillion

He said, “When you do something like this—what is called an IPO—all the small-scale investors are the ones who will be given priority first.

“The big institutional investors who request large allocations will not get everything they ask for. But the small retail investors who want to buy N50,000 worth, or some buying N100,000 worth, and so on, they are the ones who will be given priority allocations.”

He said the remaining shares would subsequently be distributed among investors.

On the potential value of the shares, Dangote said the current N525 price could increase substantially, projecting that it could eventually reach N10,000.

He said, “As I was saying, this share, if you look at it, we are currently at N525. A day will come when this share will reach N10,000.

“Therefore, if you hold it, having bought it, and it rises to N10,000, where you previously invested N5m, it will now be worth over N50m. You see, you have become wealthy.”

Dangote further said shareholders could choose to receive dividends in either naira or dollars, saying the option could help investors cope with currency depreciation.

He said the dollar option would be particularly useful to Nigerians with financial obligations abroad, including parents with children studying in the United Kingdom.

Dangote said, “The benefit of buying it is that holding this share will not prevent you from carrying out your regular work. You hold this share, and when dividends are paid, you won’t need to fear currency devaluation.

“That is because you can choose to receive your dividend in Naira or in Dollars. If you have a child studying at a school in England, for example, even if there is economic instability or currency devaluation—may God protect us—having this means what you receive is in Dollars.”

He recalled the sharp depreciation of the naira against the dollar, saying the exchange rate had risen from about N400 to the dollar to N1,800.

“So your child won’t have to… avoid exchange rate shocks, like when rates moved from N400 up to N1,800.

“Most children were brought back home as a result. So what we want to prevent is that kind of situation,” he said.

The Dangote Refinery IPO comprises 4.1 billion ordinary shares priced at N525 each. A full subscription is expected to raise about N2.15tn, while the minimum subscription is 10 shares, costing N5,250. The offer is scheduled to run from September 14 to October 13, 2026.

After the offer closes, applications will be processed and investors will be informed of their allotments. Applying for a particular number of shares does not guarantee that an investor will receive the full amount requested, particularly if the offer is oversubscribed.

The shares are expected to be listed on the Nigerian Exchange Main Board after the allotment process, after which their market price will be determined by demand and supply.

While Dangote projected that the shares could eventually reach N10,000, the N525 offer price does not guarantee a future market price or return.

The share price could rise or fall after listing depending on the company’s performance, investor sentiment, refining margins, demand and broader economic conditions.

The IPO proceeds are expected to support the refinery’s expansion, with the company planning to increase its refining capacity from about 650,000–700,000 barrels per day to 1.4 million barrels per day.

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