Energy
NUPRC Aims for 5.13bn Barrels Deepwater Oil Reserves
The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) aims to unlock 5.13 billion barrels of deepwater oil reserves, with a goal to boost Nigeria’s oil production by an additional 810,000 barrels per day (bpd).
According to Chief Executive of the NUPRC, Gbenga Komolafe, Nigeria aims to rejuvenate its offshore oil production and reinforce its standing as a key player in the global energy landscape.
He bared his mind at a stakeholders’ workshop on deep/shallow water cluster/nodal development in Abuja on Thursday.
Komolafe who was represented by the executive commissioner for Economic Regulation and Strategic Planning, Babajide Fashina, said the plan was conceived in response to the industry’s dwindling offshore output and the need to harness untapped reserves for sustainable growth.
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He highlighted the significant untapped potential within the country’s deepwater fields. While Nigeria’s offshore exploration has been successful with major fields such as Banga, Agbami, Erha, and Egina, deepwater production has declined from its 2016 peak of 800,000 bpd to less than 500,000 bpd, currently contributing about 26 per cent of total national output.
“The data shows more than 5.13 billion barrels of oil and 13.53 trillion cubic feet of natural gas remain undeveloped in our deepwater reserves,” Komolafe said. “Embedded in this are 3.59 billion barrels of proven and probable oil and condensate reserves along with approximately 13.53 trillion cubic feet of non-associated gas.”
To capitalise on this vast opportunity, NUPRC has set up the Shallow and Deepwater Cluster Development Committee, tasked with working alongside operators like Star Deepwater, ESSO, Nigeria Agip Exploration, Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company, and Total Energies to accelerate cluster or nodal developments in deepwater fields.
Execution of approved Field Development Plans (FDPs) alone could yield an increase of up to 810,000 bpd in peak production.
Currently, Nigeria averages 1.75 million barrels per day in oil and condensate output, which falls short of the technical potential of 2.2 million bpd. The Commission called on industry stakeholders to intensify collaboration and innovation to bridge this production gap.
“The Commission is committed to unlocking these deepwater resources in a safe, productive, and sustainable manner to secure our nation’s energy future and economic prosperity,” Komolafe said.
The event was themed, “Harnessing the potential of deep/shallow water, oil and gas accumulations through clusters/nodal development in Nigeria.”
“At the peak of our deepwater oil production in 2016, Nigeria was producing about 800,000 barrels of oil per day. Sadly, that figure has now dropped to below 500,000 barrels per day,” he said.
“Our data shows that we have over 5.13 billion barrels of oil and 13.53 trillion cubic feet of gas still sitting untapped in our deepwater acreages. Of this, 3.59 billion barrels fall under 2P reserves, meaning they are proven and probable but yet undeveloped,” Komolafe explained.
He disclosed that a preliminary regulatory deep-dive through the Field Development Plan approvals indicates that current developments-in-view could unlock around 1.55 billion barrels of oil and condensate and another 1.49 trillion cubic feet of associated gas.
“Once these approved FDPs are executed, we could see peak oil production rise by as much as 810,000 barrels of oil per day. The question we must ask is: what’s holding us back, and how can we overcome the barriers together?” he queried.
The Commission boss said a new Shallow and Deepwater Cluster Development Committee had been inaugurated within the NUPRC to work closely with international oil companies and indigenous producers to identify and mature these opportunities.
“Our goal is not just more production, but more value. Through this collaborative approach, we want to maximise returns from existing assets, ramp up volumes, and reduce unit technical costs,” he noted.
Komolafe lamented that deepwater fields, despite their huge potential, had become underutilised due to challenges such as funding gaps, infrastructure limitations, regulatory bottlenecks and delayed project sanctions.
“Our eight FPSOs, Floating Production Storage and Offloading units, are grossly underutilised today. We can do more if we work together,” he said.
He added that deep offshore reserves currently account for 18 per cent of Nigeria’s total oil and condensate reserves, with major discoveries such as Bonga, Agbami, Egina, and Erha fields leading the way.
“Today, we have cumulatively produced over 4.4 billion barrels from our deepwater operations, thanks to companies like Shell, ExxonMobil, TotalEnergies, Agip and Chevron. But we must now move beyond the past and look toward unlocking future barrels,” Komolafe said.
While commending industry stakeholders for their cooperation, he stressed the need for faster project development timelines, saying: “It is time for kinetic interventions, practical steps that will bring results, not more rhetoric.”
The NUPRC boss also disclosed that Nigeria’s average year-to-date crude oil and condensate production currently stands at 1.75 million barrels per day, which is below the country’s technical potential of 2.2 million bpd.
“We believe Nigeria can do much more. This cluster development framework is a realistic step toward bridging the gap and achieving our production targets,” he said.
Komolafe urged operators to embrace the Commission’s collaborative model and commit to delivering results that would drive energy security, economic stability, and prosperity for all stakeholders.
“It’s not just about barrels; it’s about shared value creation. Through strategic development of our shallow and deepwater assets, we can lift the entire economy,” he added.
In his technical presentation, the Executive Commissioner for Development and Production at NUPRC, Enorense Amadasu, said unlocking the production would rely on executing already-approved Field Development Plans and adopting new cost-saving frameworks.
“Execution of the approved development plans in deep offshore fields is expected to bring in an additional 810,000 barrels per day,” Amadasu stated. “This is not just theoretical. We already have projects like Bonga North that have taken Final Investment Decisions, and several more are in view—Owowo, Zaba Zaba, Eta, NAE, and others.”
Amadasu noted that while Nigeria has offered 31 deepwater blocks between 2022 and 2024, including seven deep offshore blocks in the 2022 mini-bid round and 24 licenses with two continental shelf awards in 2024, actual production volumes have failed to reflect the potential.
He said multiple challenges including high technology costs, uneconomic standalone developments, and delays in Final Investment Decisions have slowed progress.
“Suboptimal project economics mean that many of these assets are not viable if developed in isolation. That’s why we’re pushing for cluster or nodal development, where operators collaborate to share infrastructure, reduce cost, and deliver value,” he explained.
The NUPRC has already set up a Deepwater Cluster Development Committee, made up of technical and commercial experts, to identify viable groupings of assets and map out a path toward joint development. According to Amadasu, a wider industry-wide committee will be inaugurated soon with subcommittees focused on infrastructure, subsurface validation, economics, and policy needs.
“We have identified over 20 key deepwater assets, Owowo, Nsiko, Bolia, Aparo, Bonga South West, Doro, Sheki, Akpo West, and others. While some may lack scale individually, they can become viable if developed together,” he said.
On government incentives, Amadasu cited ongoing interventions, including zero hydrocarbon tax on deepwater fields under the Petroleum Industry Act, as well as Presidential Directives 40, 41 and 42. These directives respectively addressed tax incentives for non-associated gas, accelerated local content compliance, and cost reductions in contracting cycles.
“Despite fiscal reliefs such as zero per cent hydrocarbon tax on deepwater assets and reduced rates for other lease types, 15 per cent for PPLs and 30 per cent for BMLs, we still haven’t unlocked the full value,” he said. “That’s why this collaborative workshop is critical.”
“Let’s be honest, without deepwater volumes, we cannot lift our national production. If we don’t act now, in the next five years, we’ll struggle badly as an upstream nation,” he warned.
Data from the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) shows that crude oil imports by domestic refineries rose by 151.5 percent to 5.13 million barrels in July 2026, from 2.04 million barrels in June.
In a related development, domestic crude supply to refineries fell sharply during the month.
According to the NMDPRA’s July 2026 Midstream and Downstream Statistics, local refineries received a total of 17.88 million barrels of crude in July, comprising 12.75 million barrels supplied domestically and 5.13 million barrels imported.
Imported crude therefore accounted for 28.7 percent of total crude receipts by domestic refineries in July, while domestic supplies contributed the remaining 71.3 percent.
The 5.13 million barrels imported in July represented a significant rebound from the 2.04 million barrels recorded in June. It was also higher than the 2.08 million barrels imported in May and 0.41 million barrels in April.
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However, July’s import volume remained below the 9.43 million barrels recorded in March, the highest monthly volume so far in 2026.
The data showed that crude imports stood at 0.71 million barrels in January before rising to 4.25 million barrels in February and peaking at 9.43 million barrels in March.
Imports subsequently plunged to 0.41 million barrels in April, before recovering to 2.08 million barrels in May, 2.04 million barrels in June and 5.13 million barrels in July.
The report also disclosed that domestic crude supply to refineries declined by 25.4 percent month-on-month, falling from 17.08 million barrels in June to 12.75 million barrels in July.
In January, domestic refineries received 8.83 million barrels of domestic crude and 0.71 million barrels of imported crude, bringing total receipts to 9.54 million barrels.
The figure rose to 13.13 million barrels in February, comprising 8.88 million barrels of domestic crude and 4.25 million barrels of imports.
March recorded the highest total crude receipts at 20.92 million barrels, with domestic supply contributing 11.49 million barrels and imports 9.43 million barrels.
Total receipts stood at 18.37 million barrels in April, made up of 17.96 million barrels of domestic crude and 0.41 million barrels of imports.
In May, refineries received 17.92 million barrels, comprising 15.84 million barrels of domestic crude and 2.08 million barrels of imports, while June recorded 19.12 million barrels, made up of 17.08 million barrels of domestic crude and 2.04 million barrels of imports.
Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE has increased the gantry price of Premium Motor Spirit (petrol) from N1,185 to N1,200 per litre, effective August 26, 2026.
In an official communication to customers issued on Tuesday, the refinery’s Group Commercial Operations announced revised depot prices for gantry and coastal deliveries.
The email, titled ‘PMS Price Change Communication (N1,185 per Litre To N1,200 Per Litre)’, asked customers to take note of the revised DPRP PMS gantry and coastal price, which is effective 26th August 2026.
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According to the table contained in the notice, the coastal price rose from N1,562,265 per metric tonne to N1,582,380, while the gantry price increased from N1,185 to N1,200 per litre.
The refinery further directed customers to return all Authorisation to Collect documents for repricing, adding that a new volume contract would be issued for immediate loading resumption.
“You are advised to return all ATCs for repricing, and a new volume contract will be issued for immediate loading resumption. Should you require any further clarification, please do not hesitate to contact us,” the notice said.
The latest adjustment represents a N15 per litre increase in the gantry price and comes barely days after the refinery raised the price from N1,165 to N1,185 per litre. The previous increase took effect from midnight on August 21, 2026, according to industry trackers.
However, the latest hike comes against a backdrop of falling international crude oil prices. Data from oilprice.com on Tuesday showed West Texas Intermediate crude trading at $82.13 per barrel, down $2.88 or 3.39 per cent, while Brent crude stood at $88.37 per barrel, declining by $3.80 or 4.12 per cent. Murban crude also fell to $92.71 per barrel, shedding $8.73 or 8.61 per cent.
Our correspondent gathered that marketers and depot operators who received the circular might have begun returning existing ATCs for repricing in line with the refinery’s directive.
The N15 increase could result in higher pump prices as oil marketers factor in transportation, landing and other downstream costs. Petrol is expected to return to an average of N1,250 per litre.
The Dangote Group has yet to respond to messages from our correspondent.
The price increase comes at a time of renewed volatility in the international oil market amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. Reuters reported that oil prices fell as investors viewed the latest US sanctions against Iran as less threatening to global oil supplies than a military escalation. However, analysts warned that the decline could be an overreaction, noting that prices could rise sharply if Iran retaliates militarily.
Reuters also reported that supply disruption risks remained, with only two commodity vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz on Monday, the lowest daily tally since early May. The waterway handled about one-fifth of global oil consumption before the conflict began, leaving the market vulnerable to further disruptions.
The 31 companies that emerged winners of 37 oil and gas blocks in the 2025 Licensing Round must pay their signature bonuses within the stipulated period or risk losing their provisional awards.
The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) handed down the warning on Sunday, one month after it hosted the commercial bid conference in Abuja, where the successful companies emerged as winners of the available blocks.
The NUPRC said the process of compliance with the payment of signature bonuses had commenced following the issuance of provisional awards to the successful bidders.
“Exactly a month ago, the NUPRC hosted the 2025 commercial bid conference in Abuja where 31 companies emerged winners of 37 oil and gas blocks. Having issued the winners with the provisional awards, compliance with the payment of signature bonuses has already begun.
“Winners who fail to pay signature bonuses within the stipulated time frame in line with the Petroleum Industry Act will forfeit their bid guarantee and lose their provisional awards to the reserve bidders,” the NUPRC stated.
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The 37 blocks offered in the licensing round comprise Petroleum Prospecting Licences covering the Niger Delta onshore, shallow water and deep offshore areas, as well as frontier basins.
Among the blocks are PPL 2A29 to PPL 2A62 in the Niger Delta, PPL 2010 in the deep offshore, PPL 308 in the Benin Basin, PPL 900 to PPL 903 in the Anambra Basin, PPL 700 in the Chad Basin and PPL 800 and PPL 801 in the Benue Trough.
The commission also published the names of the 31 successful companies and the ranked reserve bidders for each of the 37 blocks.
A total of 143 companies participated in the licensing round, submitting about 200 bids for the 37 blocks. However, 13 of the 50 blocks initially put up for bidding attracted no bids.
Under the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) and the applicable licensing guidelines, successful bidders are required to pay signature bonuses ranging from $3m to $7m per block.
They are also expected to provide the required guarantees, pay first-year rents and satisfy other post-award conditions within the prescribed period. Failure to meet the requirements will result in the automatic transfer of the affected award to the next-ranked reserve bidder, according to the NUPRC.
The commission’s Chief Executive Officer, Mrs Oritsemeyiwa Eyesan, had earlier urged the successful bidders to make the required payments without delay and commence development of the awarded assets.
The NUPRC urged interested members of the public and stakeholders to visit the 2025 Licensing Round portal for further information on the awards and compliance requirements.
Under the PIA 2021 guidelines, winning bidders are required to pay their signature bonuses within a strict 90-day window. Since provisional award letters were issued immediately following the commercial bid conference on July 21, 2026, it means 30 days have already elapsed, and companies have 60 days left to remit the funds.
This shows that the regulator expects the signature bonuses to be paid on or before October 19, 2026.
If a winning company fails to complete the payment of its statutory signature bonus along with first-year rent within this 90-day window, the company automatically forfeits its bid guarantee. The provisional award will be revoked and immediately reassigned to the designated reserve bidder for the asset.
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