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OPEC+ Raises Quotas Again as Middle East Calms

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OPEC Appoints Next Secretary General, Effective August 2022

Seven OPEC+ members decided on Sunday to again raise oil production quotas as Gulf countries reel from the Middle East war.

Ministers from key OPEC+ countries Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman met virtually on Sunday and “decided to implement a production adjustment of 188 thousand barrels per day,” a statement from the organisation said, adding that “this adjustment will be implemented in August 2026”.

Gulf countries had to cut output after the near-paralysis of the Strait of Hormuz orchestrated by Iran during the war in the Middle East, which blocked their oil exports for several months.

Between the first quarter of 2026 and May, combined production by Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Kuwait — three of the seven countries raising their quotas — fell by some six million barrels per day, OPEC data have shown.
But on June 17, Tehran and Washington signed a memorandum of understanding, committing themselves to removing obstacles to maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz for the duration of talks following the signature.

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Giovanni Staunovo, a commodity analyst at the Swiss bank UBS, told AFP that “for now, production is probably still below” OPEC+’s targets.

Time-consuming restart
Since the memorandum of understanding was signed, ship transport in the region has slowly recovered, with oil prices dropping sharply to levels comparable to those seen before the war in anticipation of a gradual return to normal.

Oil supplies through this shipping lane may already have exceeded ten million barrels a day, according to a US official quoted by the Bloomberg agency.

But the oil currently leaving the strait has up to now been sitting in tankers or storage facilities, said Saxo Bank analyst Ole Hansen, adding that “shut-in production takes time to restart”.

“Assuming shipping continues to normalise, July will show an improvement with August probably being the month where the pickup accelerates,” he told AFP.

Cohesion at Stake

“For next year, everybody is anticipating a surplus,” Jorge Leon, an analyst at Rystad Energy, told AFP.

Rebuilding the inventories that countries tapped during the conflict should help absorb the flows at first, but producers may face a strong downward pressure on prices later on.

And OPEC+, already weakened by the departure of the United Arab Emirates from the group in May, will have to manage sliding prices while members will push for production increases.

Iraq, in particular, has asked the cartel to raise production quotas to make up for the shortfall it incurred during the war in the Middle East, the Iraqi Oil Ministry said in late June.

But Hansen said the need for a higher quota “is not imminent” as production volumes are still far from their pre-conflict levels.

“Iraq’s request may become part of the 2027 capacity review, where production baselines will be examined,” he added.

At the end of the year, the OPEC+ is indeed due to reassess members’ quotas based on their ability to produce more, which could become a thorny issue.

Courtesy – AFP

NEWS

Fashola Gives Self Credit for Luring DPRP to Lagos with Land Allocation

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A former Governor of Lagos State, Babatunde Fashola (SAN), has claimed that the state government deliberately discounted the price of land allocated to the Dangote Group to ensure that the multi-billion-dollar refinery project was sited in Lagos.

According to Fashola, the decision made by his administration proved to be a strategic investment that ultimately paved the way for what has become the 650,000-barrel-per-day Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals (DPRP) in the Lekki Free Zone.

He made the assertions at the Chartered Institute of Directors (CIoD) Nigeria Women Directors’ Biennial Conference in Lagos, where he delivered a keynote address titled “From Presence to Power: Advancing Women’s Influence in the Boardroom.”

The former governor was quoted by Nairametrics as saying that the breakthrough came after then Commissioner for Commerce and Industry, Olusola Oworu, urged the state government to look beyond immediate revenue from land sales.

According to him, negotiations with the Dangote Group had reached a stalemate after the company considered the state’s asking price for the land too high.

ALSO READ: Old Stock doesn’t Justify High Fuel Prices – FG

Fashola explained that Lagos operated a fixed pricing regime for land allocations, making it difficult to depart from established rates. However, Oworu argued that attracting a transformational investment was more valuable than insisting on the land’s full price.

Recalling the deliberations at the State Executive Council (SEC), Fashola quoted the former commissioner as saying that with thousands of hectares in the Lekki Free Zone still awaiting development, it was economically wiser to offer a concession to an investor willing to commit about $19 billion to build a refinery.

According to him, she argued that once such a landmark investment took off, it would attract other investors and significantly enhance the value of the remaining land.

“That was a thinking decision. The whole council then looked at me, and I surrendered,” Fashola said, noting that the intervention altered the course of the discussions and ensured that Lagos retained the project.

He said the experience demonstrated that effective leadership should be judged by competence and strategic thinking rather than gender.

“Ineffectiveness is not a gender thing; it is a human thing,” he added.

Fashola cited the episode as an illustration of the value women bring to leadership when allowed to influence critical decisions, stressing that organisations should place greater emphasis on competence, preparation and impact.

Earlier, speakers at the conference urged public and private institutions to move beyond increasing the numerical representation of women on corporate boards and instead create opportunities for them to shape strategic decisions.

First Vice-President of CIoD Nigeria, Amina Oyagbola, observed that although more women served on boards and occupied leadership positions, they remained underrepresented in board chairmanships and executive offices where major corporate decisions are taken.

She called for stronger mentorship and sponsorship programmes to better prepare more women for top leadership roles.

In his remarks, President and Chairman of the Governing Council of CIoD Nigeria, Adetunji Oyebanji, said board appointments should be based on competence, integrity and professional capability rather than traditional pathways that have historically limited women’s access to senior leadership positions.

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NEWS

Old Stock doesn’t Justify High Fuel Prices – FG

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Cost of stock of fuel purchased during the face-off between the United States and Iran should not be the determinant of fuel prices in the Nigerian market.

This is the position of the Nigerian government, who also cautioned petroleum marketers against using the cost of old stock as a benchmark for selling prices, insisting that the benefits of lower replacement costs must reflect on what consumers are paying.

According to the government, the continued disconnect between falling international crude oil prices and domestic petrol prices had become a source of concern. She therefore cautioned petroleum marketers against sustaining high pump prices of fuels, particularly the Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), despite declining global crude prices as doing so would deny Nigerians the benefits of lower replacement costs in a deregulated market.

The concerns were expressed at a stakeholders’ meeting on cost-reflective pricing of PMS held at the headquarters of the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) on Monday in Abuja.

ALSO READ: Dangote Cement Unveils Sustainability Milestones

It was gathered that the government convened a stakeholders’ meeting on the fair and cost-reflective pricing of PMS, which brought together representatives of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals (DPRP), the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC), the Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria (PEPROOAN), and other key players in the downstream petroleum sector.

In attendance were chief executives and representatives of TotalEnergies, Eterna Plc, Matrix Energy Group, the Depot and Petroleum Products Retailers Association of Nigeria (DPPRAN), the Major Energy Marketers Association of Nigeria MEMAN), the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN), the Nigerian Association of Road Transport Owners (NARTO), as well as officials of the NMDPRA.

During the meeting, the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Senator Heineken Lokpobiri, said temporary gains realised from inventories purchased when crude oil prices were higher should not become the basis for sustaining elevated pump prices after global oil prices have declined.

According to the minister, as marketers replenish their stocks at lower costs, reductions in procurement expenses should be reflected promptly in ex-depot and retail petrol prices in line with the principles of a competitive and efficient deregulated market.

Lokpobiri said the government understood that petrol pricing was influenced by several factors beyond crude prices, including exchange rates, logistics and supply chain costs, but insisted that marketers must distinguish between legitimate replacement costs and extraordinary gains arising from inventory management.

“I am aware that PMS pricing is influenced by several factors beyond crude oil prices, but it is equally important to distinguish between genuine replacement cost and windfall gains arising from inventory management.

“Temporary gains realised from inventories acquired at higher prices should not become the basis for sustaining elevated pump prices after replacement costs have declined. As inventories are replenished at lower costs, the benefits of those lower costs should be transmitted to consumers in a timely and transparent manner. That is the essence of a competitive and efficiently functioning market,” he stated.

The minister added that the government remained committed to protecting consumers in the post-subsidy era, stressing that deregulation was not designed to create opportunities for excessive pricing or market distortions but to deepen competition, improve efficiency and deliver value to Nigerians.

He further warned that sustaining high energy costs beyond what prevailing market conditions justify could worsen inflationary pressures and undermine the gains recorded in moderating the country’s inflation rate.

The minister urged petroleum marketers and operators to immediately transmit the benefits of falling global crude oil prices to Nigerian consumers, warning that deregulation should not be exploited to sustain high petrol prices and generate windfall gains.

His comments come amid growing public concerns over the slow pace of reductions in petrol prices despite the sharp moderation in crude oil prices in recent months.

According to the minister, international crude prices traded between $61 and $65 per barrel in January before surging above $118 per barrel in April following heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. However, prices have since declined to around $71 per barrel after the easing of the tensions.

He noted that while the earlier rise in crude prices exerted upward pressure on petrol prices, the subsequent decline had not been reflected proportionately in domestic pump prices.

“Ordinarily, such movements in crude oil prices should be reflected in the pricing of refined petroleum products. While the initial increase in crude prices understandably exerted upward pressure on PMS prices, the subsequent moderation in crude oil prices has not translated into a commensurate reduction in pump prices across the domestic market.

“This disconnect has understandably raised concerns. PMS peaked at about N1,596 per litre in May and currently sells at around N1,296 per litre. While there has been some reduction, the adjustment has not been commensurate with the decline in underlying market conditions,” the minister said.

The minister warned that keeping energy prices artificially high could worsen inflationary pressures and undermine the economic gains achieved by the government over the past year.

He said energy remained a critical input across virtually every segment of the economy and that unjustified high fuel prices translated into higher transportation costs, food prices and production expenses.

“When the cost of energy remains elevated beyond what prevailing market conditions justify, the results translate to inflation. While considerable progress has been made in moderating inflation from the highs experienced in 2024, when inflation stood at 34 per cent, the latest figures show that inflation currently stands at 15.9 per cent.

“Sustaining high energy costs where underlying market fundamentals have improved risks undermining these gains and slowing down the recovery that Nigerians are beginning to experience,” he added.

The minister, however, commended the economic reforms of President Bola Tinubu, saying the removal of fuel subsidy, the crude-for-naira initiative and other executive interventions had laid the foundation for a more competitive and investment-driven downstream petroleum industry.

He said, “The Federal Government remains unwavering in its commitment to protect public interest post-deregulation. Deregulation was never intended to create opportunities for excessive pricing or market distortions but rather to promote efficiency, deepen competition and ultimately deliver value to Nigerians.”

Lokpobiri consequently directed the NMDPRA to intensify market surveillance and enforce pricing transparency across the downstream value chain.

“I urge the Authority to strengthen market surveillance and enforce pricing transparency across the supply chain to ensure that reductions in underlying costs are reflected promptly in ex-depot and retail prices. Consumers should have confidence that prices are determined fairly and not by information asymmetry or anti-competitive practices.”

He also called for the speedy operationalisation of the National Strategic Stock, describing it as a critical instrument for safeguarding national energy security and moderating future price shocks.

“The National Strategic Stock will strengthen national energy security, reduce exposure to supply disruptions and moderate price volatility. There is urgency in ensuring that this mechanism becomes fully operational,” he said.

Earlier in his opening remarks, the Authority Chief Executive of the NMDPRA, Rabiu Umar, said the meeting was convened at the directive of the minister to address the growing concerns surrounding petrol pricing and ensure that Nigerians benefit from improvements in global market conditions.

Umar recalled that a similar engagement with operators in the domestic gas sector had recently resulted in a noticeable reduction in liquefied petroleum gas prices, expressing optimism that the same collaborative approach could deliver results in the petrol market.

“Just two weeks ago, many of us gathered in a similar forum to discuss the domestic gas sector. The candid dialogue and the actionable wins we secured during that session are already bearing fruit. Notably, we have seen LPG prices coming down significantly across the market, and we look forward to seeing even more reduction within the next two weeks.

“It is exactly this kind of tangible success that inspired today’s gathering. When regulators and industry operators sit at the same table, we do not just debate challenges, we engineer solutions,” he said.

The NMDPRA boss acknowledged that global crude prices had moderated significantly in recent weeks but lamented that the domestic retail market had yet to adjust accordingly.

“As a responsible regulatory authority, it is our duty to step in alongside you, our valued partners, to interrogate the market forces, understand the operational bottlenecks and directly address this disconnect between falling replacement costs and sustained retail prices.

“Deregulation is not a licence for market distortion or unfair consumer pricing. It is intended to drive efficiency, maximise value and protect the public interest.

“Sustainable profitability for marketers and consumer welfare are not mutually exclusive. We need to build a transparent ecosystem where the benefits of market improvements are passed down to the Nigerian consumer in a timely and fair manner,” Umar added.

He stressed that the objective of the meeting was not to dictate prices but to collaborate with industry stakeholders on practical solutions that would keep businesses viable while protecting consumers.

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International News

Hamas Dissolves Gaza Government After 19 Years in Power

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Gaza Deadline Expires: Palestinians Flee Amidst Israeli Troop Buildup

The Palestinian Islamist movement, Hamas, has officially dissolved the governing body that administered the Gaza Strip for nearly 19 years, marking a major political development amid ongoing efforts to implement a ceasefire agreement with Israel.

The announcement was made on Monday by Ismail al-Thawabta, head of Hamas’ Government Media Office, who confirmed that the head of the government’s emergency committee, Mohammed al-Farra, had resigned and the committee had been dissolved to facilitate a peaceful transition of civilian governance.

ALSO READ: Israel Says Slain Al Jazeera Journalist Was Hamas Operative

According to al-Thawabta, administrative responsibilities will now be transferred to the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza (NCAG), a technocratic body established by the Board of Peace created by US President Donald Trump following the ceasefire brokered between Hamas and Israel in October 2025.

Hamas spokesperson Hazem Qassem described the decision as a significant step aimed at removing obstacles to the political process.

“Hamas has taken a new step in that it will no longer be in charge of the Gaza Strip in order to remove any pretexts for the occupation, which continues its aggression and war of extermination,” Qassem said.

He added that the movement is fully prepared to hand over governmental responsibilities to the NCAG and expressed hope that the committee would soon be allowed to enter Gaza and begin its work.

A Hamas official also revealed that the group had informed other Palestinian factions of the decision during recent meetings in Cairo. The factions reportedly welcomed the move, describing it as a serious effort to enable the new committee to assume responsibility for governing the territory.

The NCAG, headed by Palestinian technocrat Ali Shaath, has so far remained outside Gaza due to reported Israeli objections to its entry into the enclave.

Hamas has governed Gaza since 2007 after seizing control from rival Palestinian faction Fatah following its victory in the 2006 legislative elections.

ALSO READ: Israel Says Slain Al Jazeera Journalist Was Hamas Operative

Although the movement has repeatedly expressed its willingness to step away from day-to-day governance since the ceasefire took effect, negotiations over its disarmament and the future political administration of Gaza have remained deadlocked.

The first phase of the ceasefire agreement saw the release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas in exchange for Palestinian prisoners detained by Israel.

However, talks on the second phase—which includes Hamas’ disarmament and a gradual withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza—have stalled.

Israeli forces have instead expanded their military presence in the territory, reportedly controlling nearly 70 percent of Gaza.

Hamas insists that a Palestinian administration must first be established before it considers surrendering its weapons, while Israel continues to reject both Hamas remaining in power and an immediate return of the Palestinian Authority to govern Gaza.

The future governance of Gaza remains one of the biggest unresolved issues in negotiations aimed at securing a lasting peace in the region.

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