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OPEC+ Raises Quotas Again as Middle East Calms

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OPEC Appoints Next Secretary General, Effective August 2022

Seven OPEC+ members decided on Sunday to again raise oil production quotas as Gulf countries reel from the Middle East war.

Ministers from key OPEC+ countries Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman met virtually on Sunday and “decided to implement a production adjustment of 188 thousand barrels per day,” a statement from the organisation said, adding that “this adjustment will be implemented in August 2026”.

Gulf countries had to cut output after the near-paralysis of the Strait of Hormuz orchestrated by Iran during the war in the Middle East, which blocked their oil exports for several months.

Between the first quarter of 2026 and May, combined production by Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Kuwait — three of the seven countries raising their quotas — fell by some six million barrels per day, OPEC data have shown.
But on June 17, Tehran and Washington signed a memorandum of understanding, committing themselves to removing obstacles to maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz for the duration of talks following the signature.

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Giovanni Staunovo, a commodity analyst at the Swiss bank UBS, told AFP that “for now, production is probably still below” OPEC+’s targets.

Time-consuming restart
Since the memorandum of understanding was signed, ship transport in the region has slowly recovered, with oil prices dropping sharply to levels comparable to those seen before the war in anticipation of a gradual return to normal.

Oil supplies through this shipping lane may already have exceeded ten million barrels a day, according to a US official quoted by the Bloomberg agency.

But the oil currently leaving the strait has up to now been sitting in tankers or storage facilities, said Saxo Bank analyst Ole Hansen, adding that “shut-in production takes time to restart”.

“Assuming shipping continues to normalise, July will show an improvement with August probably being the month where the pickup accelerates,” he told AFP.

Cohesion at Stake

“For next year, everybody is anticipating a surplus,” Jorge Leon, an analyst at Rystad Energy, told AFP.

Rebuilding the inventories that countries tapped during the conflict should help absorb the flows at first, but producers may face a strong downward pressure on prices later on.

And OPEC+, already weakened by the departure of the United Arab Emirates from the group in May, will have to manage sliding prices while members will push for production increases.

Iraq, in particular, has asked the cartel to raise production quotas to make up for the shortfall it incurred during the war in the Middle East, the Iraqi Oil Ministry said in late June.

But Hansen said the need for a higher quota “is not imminent” as production volumes are still far from their pre-conflict levels.

“Iraq’s request may become part of the 2027 capacity review, where production baselines will be examined,” he added.

At the end of the year, the OPEC+ is indeed due to reassess members’ quotas based on their ability to produce more, which could become a thorny issue.

Courtesy – AFP

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Nigeria Looks to Local Refining for More Value from Crude

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Nigeria is gunning for more value through domestic refining, petrochemicals and associated industrial activities.

The Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Senator Heineken Lokpobiri, stated this on Monday through his Technical Adviser on Regulation, Umar Gwandu, who represented him at the third Nigeria Oil Refining Summit (NORS) put together by the Crude Oil Refiners Association of Nigeria (CORAN) in Lagos.

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According to him, Nigeria has, for decades, produced crude oil on a significant scale while remaining heavily dependent on imported petroleum products.

He said the strategic direction for Nigeria is “to progressively move from an economy that primarily exports crude to one that increasingly captures value through domestic refining, petrochemicals, and associated industrial activities”.

Lokpobiri said the Federal Government is strengthening the Domestic Supply Obligation to ensure domestic refineries have reliable access to crude, stressing that the policy is critical to the country’s energy security.

“The Domestic Supply Obligation should therefore not be viewed merely as an administrative allocation mechanism. It is an important instrument for advancing national energy security and strengthening the linkage between our upstream and downstream sectors,” he stated.

He said the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) has developed a DCSO framework in consultation with the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd), the Oil Producers Trade Section, the Independent Petroleum Producers Group, CORAN and other domestic refining interests.

“The Federal Government expects this framework to continue evolving from a regulatory obligation into a reliable, transparent, and commercially bankable crude supply system capable of supporting the sustainable operation of domestic refineries,” the minister said.

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Osun Inaugurates Special Taskforce on Environmental Sanitation

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With a view to strengthening the enforcement of environmental laws so as to sustain a clean, healthy and habitable environment throughout the state, the Osun State Government has set up a Special Task Force on Environmental sanitation.

The Task Force, according to a government house statement issued on Monday in Osogbo, is to be chaired by the state Head Of Service, Samuel Ayanleye Aina and deputised by the Hon. Commissioner for Environment and Sanitation, Hon Mayowa Adejoorin.

The core mandate of the taskforce according to a statement issued by the state commissioner for Information and Public Enlightenment, Oluomo Kolapo Alimi, is to tackle environmental infractions throughout Osun state particularly indiscriminate waste disposals in drains and roadsides as well as other places that have the potential of constituting environmental nuisances.

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The state government particularly viewed with great concern and accordingly flayed the indiscriminate manner with which people litter many places including road medians with dirts and debris of different kinds, an act which it further noted could cause serious environmental hazards.

The State Government while putting in place the taskforce urged its members to ensure that all enforcement activities are diligently carried out in accordance with the law.

The government warned that offenders will be prosecuted if, henceforth, they are caught or found culpable in one way or the other in negating all the environmental laws of the state.

It also urged the Special Task Force on Environmental sanitation to remain committed to due process in the discharge of its core duties and mandates.

Other members of the Samuel Ayanleye Aina led Special Task Force on Environmental sanitation are the Hon. Commissioner for Information and Public Enlightenment, Oluomo Kolapo Alimi, Special Adviser to the Governor on Political Affairs, Alh.Muniru Raji, General Manager, Osun State Waste Management Agency(OWMA), Mr Oyewole Fatai Oladosu and Mr.K.K.Oyelami.

Other members of the taskforce are Osun Amotekun Corps Commander, Hon. Omoyele Isaac Adekunle, Hon. Commissioner for Women Affairs, Chief (Mrs) Ayobola Fadeyi Awolowo and Special Adviser to the Governor on Market Affairs, Mrs Eniola Omotoso.

The task force is to commence work with immediate effect.

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Petrol Price Will Drop To ₦400, ₦500 Under Atiku’s Plan — Dino Melaye

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Senator Dino Melaye, a chieftain of the African Democratic Congress (ADC), has said petrol prices could fall to between ₦400 and ₦500 per litre if the party’s proposed fuel subsidy policy is implemented under an Atiku Abubakar-led government.

Melaye made the statement during an appearance on Democracy Today, an AIT programme, on Monday, while explaining the ADC’s economic agenda ahead of the 2027 general elections.

According to him, the proposed restoration of fuel subsidy is aimed at making Nigeria more affordable by reducing the cost of petroleum products and easing pressure on transportation and the prices of goods and services.

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Melaye said the high cost of petrol has affected several sectors of the economy, including transportation, movement of goods, aviation and other businesses.

“Everything is around this subsidy. Once transportation is affected, movement of goods and commodities is affected,” he said.

He added that aviation fuel was also contributing to increased costs within the aviation sector, describing petroleum products as an important link across different areas of the economy.

Defending the ADC’s position on subsidy, Melaye argued that resources which he alleged were previously lost to corruption could instead be redirected towards Nigerians through the proposed policy.

“What we intend to do is that at the initial, there is no subsidy. What you have is corruption. It’s money being stolen. So, instead of the corruption, we are replacing corruption now by leveraging on the people,” he said.

Asked whether the ADC would restore fuel subsidy, Melaye said the party intended to bring it back fully.

“We are bringing back subsidies 100% because subsidies, there is nothing like subsidies. What we have is corruption,” he said.

Melaye further linked the proposed policy to the price of petrol and other petroleum products.

He said the policy would result in a reduction in the price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), diesel, kerosene, aviation fuel and other petroleum products.

“And once there is reduction from 1,400, you start buying fuel at 500 or at 400, definitely it’s going to have a resultant effect on every other facet, including price of goods and commodities,” Melaye said.

He argued that cheaper petrol would reduce transportation costs and contribute to lower prices of goods and commodities.

Melaye also questioned the Federal Government’s borrowing levels, comparing borrowing under former President Muhammadu Buhari, when fuel subsidy was in place, with borrowing under the current administration.

He claimed that Buhari’s administration borrowed ₦87 trillion over eight years with fuel subsidy, while the current administration had borrowed ₦157 trillion without subsidy.

 

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