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Poor economy: Emefiele has failed, sack him now – Youth Council tells Buhari

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Emefiele Proffers Solutions to FX challenges

The National Youth Council of Nigeria (NYCN) has blamed the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr. Godwin Emefiele’s poor economic management policies for the recent free-fall of the Naira.

The Naira within the week depreciated to an all-time low of N730 to a U.S dollar at the parallel market.

President of the NYCN, Comrade Solomon Adodo, stressed that statements credited to the CBN Governor alleging that the current free-fall of the Naira against other major currencies was as a result of the non-remittances of dollars to the foreign reserve by the NNPC Ltd, without highlighting the reality of the causative oil and non-oil related factors including a drop in Nigeria’s crude oil production, growing petrol subsidy, an unsustainable dual exchange rate system, reduction in foreign direct investments and growing dependence on importation across many sectors of the economy as disingenuous and unpatriotic.

The group flayed Emefiele for completely failing to concentrate on his core mandate of price stability as the apex bank’s governor, pointing out that with inflation at about 19 percent and the exchange rate nearing N800 to a dollar, the CBN Governor should be held responsible for deepening poverty in the country as he continues to work at cross-purposes at President Muhammadu Buhari’s objective of reducing poverty and growing the economy.

The statement reads: “We are all witness to the fact that from August 2020 to July 2022, the official exchange rate has moved from N381 to N415/$, representing only a nine percent increase. However, the parallel market has moved from N470 to N710 within the same period representing a 51 percent increase and a record 71 percent arbitrage with the official exchange rate creating a huge incentive for round-tripping, price gouging, sharp market practices, and inflation.

“The NYCN is therefore shocked by the comment of the Governor associating the free-fall of the parallel market rates to NNPC, even though it is purely a monetary policy issue and outside the purview of the NNPC.

“As a youth group, we have noted that the inability of the CBN to promptly release Joint Venture (JV) cash call funding from the Treasury Single Account (TSA) even when the Nigeria National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Ltd had adequate cash cover, leading to the loss of JV Partners’ confidence to restore production and reap the benefits of today’s improved oil prices.

“We are in the know that for over three months now, dollar-denominated cash call payments amounting to over $400 million, properly processed, are yet to be paid by the CBN under Mr. Emefiele.

“The combined impact of CBN’s inability to promptly release JV cash call to restore production, the increasing losses due to crude oil theft, and production deferments has culminated in significant crude oil output losses of over 600, 000 barrels per day.

“We find it curious that the apex governor seems to be unaware of the insecurity and huge oil theft in the Niger Delta which have continued to challenge the country’s oil production and the oil industry and gas industry in general. At present, there are massive losses and declaration of force majeure across the country’s major onshore production export facilities of Bonny, Brass, and Forcados.

“At the current year-to-date average crude oil price of $107 per barrel, Nigeria is counting opportunity losses translating to over $64 million per day, and a monumental impact of about $2 billion per month.

“We are taken aback that Mr. Governor is feigning ignorance that the country’s rising petrol subsidy cost, as well as the rising cost of external debt servicing, are all obligations affecting the economy. These affect the NNPC’s remittances to the Federation Account.

“From January to June 2022, the cost of PMS subsidy has reached N2.2 trillion and it is estimated that the full-year subsidy bill may hit N5 trillion and N6 trillion in 2023.

“Apart from government decision to defer the implementation of PMS deregulation, the subsidy profile is significantly influenced by CBN foreign exchange management.

“From January to June 2022, the cost of PMS subsidy has reached N2.2 trillion and it is estimated that the full-year subsidy bill may hit N5 trillion and N6 trillion in 2023.

“Apart from government decision to defer the implementation of PMS deregulation, the subsidy profile is significantly influenced by CBN foreign exchange management.

“It is however worth noting that the NNPC has recorded significant gains on production ramp-up including attaining ‘first oil’ production from the Anyala – Madu Fields and most recently Ikike fields which cumulatively boost national oil production by almost 80, 000 barrels per day.

“Furthermore, NNPC’s efforts towards attaining additional combined production of over 100, 000 barrels from fields like Obodo, Utapate etc has never abated despite the global setback recorded as a result of the effects of COVID-19 pandemic.

“History shows that Mr. Emefiele is at sea on addressing monetary policy issues. We recall that in 2021, the CBN governor blamed Aboki FX for the depreciation of the Naira. He would later blame members of the Association Bureau De Change, which led to the stoppage of dollar sales to the group. At another time, he blamed the Naira’s depreciation on activities of money laundering, terrorism financing as well as politicians.

“Furthermore, Nigerians are bearing the brunt of the inaction of the CBN Governor as the Emirates Airlines, the flag carrier of the United Arab Emirates (UAE), has reduced its flight operations to Nigeria over the inability of the CBN to repatriate about $85 million in revenue.

“Was the failure to repatriate Emirates funds also caused by the NNPC?

“The International Air Transport Association (IATA) had said Nigeria was withholding revenue worth about $450 million earned by foreign airlines operating in the country. Emirates said the planned reductions in its operations in Nigeria would take effect from August 15, 2022.

READ ALSO: Senate invites Emefiele over naira depreciation

“And in a manner that fits his erratic policy, he has at present shifted all blames to the NNPC. This is clearly a case of a bad workman who blames every other person for his inability to deliver. To us at the NYCN, Emefiele is tired and should be sacked by President Buhari.

“From all indications since his failed presidential bid as well as his rejection by the All Progressives Congress, a partisan Emefiele has been doing all to rubbish the achievements of President Muhammadu Buhari and this should no longer be permitted.

“As Nigerians concerned about the future of this country and before Mr. President heeds our clarion call to send Mr. Eemefiele packing from the CBN, we advise that the CBN considers among other options the World Bank’s recommendation of adopting a single market-responsive sustainable exchange rate, improving access to forex through well-defined periodic forex auctions, and signaling a renewed commitment to price stability as a primary goal of the apex bank.

“The NYCN further expresses the optimism that the NNPC’s transitioning into a limited liability entity in line with the provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA), and its regulation now in line with the provisions of the Companies and Allied Matters Act (CAMA) would help resolve cash call payments delays as the company is now exempted from TSA, among others.

“We also hope that the NNPC Ltd would compete favourably with its peers globally and this in turn would translate to more foreign exchange for the country as well as improved national energy security,” the group noted.

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Nigeria Records Biggest Rise in Multidimensional Poverty Among Five Countries – UN

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Nigeria recorded the largest increase in the number of people experiencing multidimensional poverty among five countries that registered increases over their latest measurement periods, according to the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).

The finding was contained in the 2026 Global Multidimensional Poverty Index report, released on Monday by the UNDP and the Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative (OPHI).

According to the report, Nigeria’s multidimensional poverty rate rose from 33 per cent in 2021 to 38.7 per cent in 2024, representing an increase of 5.7 percentage points.

SEE MORE: NNPC’s 30-Day Petrol Discount Is Not a Policy – Sowunmi

The number of Nigerians living in multidimensional poverty increased from 72.2 million in 2021 to 90.1 million in 2024, leaving an additional 17.9 million people affected.

The report noted that the latest increase reversed the progress Nigeria recorded between 2018 and 2021, when the proportion of people living in multidimensional poverty declined.

Nigeria’s Multidimensional Poverty Index value also increased from 0.175 in 2021 to 0.208 in 2024, reflecting a rise in both the incidence and intensity of deprivation.

The intensity of deprivation among multidimensionally poor Nigerians increased from 52.9 per cent to 53.6 per cent over the same period.

Unlike income-based poverty measures, which assess poverty based on how much people earn or spend, the Multidimensional Poverty Index examines overlapping disadvantages experienced in daily life.

The index measures deprivation across three dimensions: health, education and standard of living.

Its 10 indicators include nutrition, child mortality, years of schooling, school attendance, cooking fuel, sanitation, drinking water, electricity, housing and household assets.

A person is classified as multidimensionally poor when their household experiences deprivation in at least one-third of the weighted indicators.

The report showed that Nigeria had made progress in reducing multidimensional poverty before the latest increase.

The country’s index value declined from 0.230 in 2013 to 0.202 in 2018 and 0.175 in 2021 before rising to 0.208 in 2024.

Similarly, the proportion of Nigerians living in multidimensional poverty fell from 42.3 per cent in 2013 to 37.2 per cent in 2018 and 33 per cent in 2021 before increasing to 38.7 per cent in 2024.

The number of affected Nigerians also declined from 76.3 million in 2018 to 72.2 million in 2021 before climbing to 90.1 million in 2024.

The report further highlighted significant differences in multidimensional poverty across Nigeria’s subnational regions, with incidence ranging from 3.7 per cent to 88.3 per cent across the regions covered by the analysis.

It compared Yobe and Sokoto, two of Nigeria’s poorest subnational regions with similar Multidimensional Poverty Index values, to illustrate how the forms of deprivation experienced by communities can differ despite comparable overall poverty levels.

Globally, the report estimated that 1.2 billion people across 108 countries lived in acute multidimensional poverty.

Sub-Saharan Africa accounted for 616 million people living in multidimensional poverty, while South Asia followed with 393 million.

The report also found that 83.3 per cent of the world’s multidimensionally poor population, equivalent to approximately 998 million people, lived in rural areas, compared with 200 million in urban areas.

Children below the age of 18 accounted for 617 million, or 51.5 per cent, of the world’s multidimensionally poor population.

In sub-Saharan Africa, 355 million children lived in multidimensional poverty, accounting for 57.7 per cent of the region’s poor population.

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ADF Targets 5 Million Students, 2 Million Vulnerable Women

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In a bold move to deepen retail participation in Nigeria’s capital market, the Aliko Dangote Foundation (ADF) has unveiled a share grant initiative aimed at helping up to five million tertiary students and two million vulnerable women become shareholders in Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals (DPRP) through its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of ADF, Zouera Youssoufou, disclosed that the Foundation will match qualifying share subscriptions by eligible beneficiaries. Under the programme, students who subscribe for the minimum 10 shares worth N5,250 will receive an additional 10 shares funded by the Foundation, subject to the approved process and allocation, effectively doubling their holdings to 20 shares.

Speaking during a television interview, Youssoufou said the initiative was designed to turn the refinery’s “People’s IPO” vision into reality by giving traditionally underserved groups a direct stake in one of Africa’s largest industrial assets.

“When Aliko announced the IPO, he described it as the IPO of the people and wanted as many Nigerians as possible to participate,” she said.

READ ALSO: FG Lacks Capacity to Meet Dangote Refinery Crude Demand

According to her, students and vulnerable women were specifically selected because they have historically been underrepresented in the capital market.

The ADF said it is prepared to support up to five million students enrolled in Nigerian tertiary institutions, including universities, polytechnics and colleges of education. Eligible applicants must be at least 18 years old and enrolled in a recognised institution. The Foundation is working with relevant educational authorities to verify beneficiaries.

Youssoufou revealed that about N25 billion has been earmarked for the student component of the scheme, while the broader programme for students and vulnerable women is valued at approximately N40 billion.

She emphasised that the intervention is a grant, not an investment, with all shares ultimately belonging to the beneficiaries.

“The shares end up with the beneficiary. Our goal is to help people who may never have had the opportunity to own shares begin building long-term wealth,” she said.

Beyond students, ADF plans to support up to two million vulnerable women, including widows, women living in extreme poverty, persons with disabilities, and widows of members of the Armed Forces. The Foundation is partnering with state governments, the Ministry of Women Affairs, the Armed Forces and other institutions to identify eligible participants.

According to Youssoufou, the initiative is not only about widening ownership in the refinery but also about promoting financial literacy, encouraging a culture of savings and investment, and helping Nigerians build sustainable wealth through participation in the capital market.

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FG Lacks Capacity to Meet Dangote Refinery Crude Demand

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Nigeria’s efforts to increase production and curb crude oil theft still leaves her short of meeting the demands of the 700,000 barrels demand of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals (DPRP).

Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Taiwo Oyedele, made the disclosure during an interview on Channels Television’s Politics Today at the weekend.

The disclosure comes amid renewed debate over government intervention in the petroleum market, with proposals for production subsidies, the 30-days petrol discount and other measures to support domestic refining and reduce the cost of petroleum products.

READ ALSO: Fuel Discount: Presidency Explains Why Atiku’s Production Subsidy Proposal May Fail

He explained that Nigeria’s total crude oil production does not translate into an equivalent volume available for allocation by the government.

Oyedele said Nigeria’s crude oil production of about 1.8 million barrels per day was shared among parties operating under production-sharing contracts and joint ventures, while production costs, royalties and other obligations further reduced the volume available to the government.

“Under the production-sharing contract and joint venture, they share these things, and the ratios vary. Let’s say roughly 45:55,” he said.

He explained that oil producers first recover eligible production costs through cost oil, while royalties and contractual sharing arrangements also determine the quantity ultimately accruing to the government.

“The long and short of what I’m telling you is whatever is left for Nigeria, we exhaust it almost entirely because of fuel subsidy,” he said.

According to the minister, the situation was particularly severe before President Bola Tinubu introduced the economic reforms in May 2023, when the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd), which holds the country’s crude on its behalf, had less than 100,000 barrels of freely available crude remaining.

He said the government had exhausted much of its revenue and resorted to printing money before turning to future crude oil production to secure commitments used to finance present consumption.

“That was a ticking time bomb,” Oyedele said, describing the arrangement under which future oil production was committed to support current fuel consumption.

The minister, however, acknowledged improvements following increased production, efforts to reduce crude oil theft and the renegotiation of some existing commitments that had tied down the country’s crude.

He cited comments by business leader Tony Elumelu, who had previously expressed frustration over the scale of crude oil theft in Nigeria, and subsequently reported an improvement in the situation.

Despite these gains, Oyedele said the country was yet to attain the level of freely available crude required to supply the Dangote refinery with its full daily requirement.

“But we are still not at the point where we can give Dangote 700,000 barrels,” he said.

The minister dismissed proposals for the government to supply the refinery with discounted crude or at production cost, arguing that such proposals failed to recognise the constraints on the volume of oil available for allocation.

“We don’t have enough to service Dangote. Dangote imports crude,” he said.

He added that the naira-for-crude arrangement introduced by the Federal Government had helped provide some stability but had not eliminated the supply constraints.

According to him, sustained increases in crude oil production and the release of additional barrels from existing commitments would eventually enable Nigeria to meet the requirements of Dangote and other domestic refiners.

“As we ramp up production and we free up some barrels, we’ll get to a point where we’ll be able to give Dangote everything he wants and other refiners will be able to get enough,” he said.

Oyedele also expressed hope that Nigeria would eventually refine all the crude oil it produces domestically and export refined petroleum products rather than crude.

The disclosure comes amid renewed debate over government intervention in the petroleum market, with proposals for production subsidies and other measures to support domestic refining and reduce the cost of petroleum products.

Oyedele further maintained that achieving that ambition will depend not only on the expansion of refining capacity but also on sustained growth in crude oil production and the availability of additional volumes for domestic processing.

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