Finance
Recession: FG release fiscal roadmap to reset Nigerian economy to growth
By Yemie ADEOYE
THE Minister of Finance, Mrs Kemi Adeosun, on Friday outlined a 10-point fiscal roadmap to reset the Nigerian economy to a path of growth.
Mrs Adesosun made the presentation to the Vice President, Yemi Osinbajo, at the annual dinner of the Lagos Business School, itemised fiscal policies and actions being rolled out to tackle the key barriers to growth.
Speaking at the session which was attended by industry leaders across key sectors of the economy including oil, banking and telecoms, Adeosun said “The Federal Government’s Fiscal Roadmap is addressing barriers to growth that will drive productivity, generate jobs and broaden wealth creating opportunities to achieve inclusive growth”.
She stated that the President Muhammadu Buhari administration is determined to convert Nigeria to a productive economy rather than one that is consumption driven. To do so, Government would tackle the infrastructure deficit to unlock productivity, improve business competitiveness and create employment. She stated that Government would actively partner with the private sector to achieve this by use of a number of new funding platforms. These include the Road Trust Fund, which will develop potentially tol
lable roads, and the Family Homes Fund which is an ongoing PPP initiative for funding of affordable housing.
In addition she detailed a revision to the Tax provision that allows companies to receive tax relief for investment in roads on a collective basis. She explained that the existing provision that enabled companies to claim relief for road projects had only been taken advantage of by two companies, Lafarge and Dangote Cement. This was because few companies were large enough to fund roads alone. The revision would now allow collective tax relief such that companies will be able to jointly fund roads, subject to approval by FIRS and the Ministry of Works, and share the tax credit. This would be particularly attractive to firms in clusters such as industrial estates, many of which are plagued by poor road conditions.
She emphasised the role of infrastructure in creating inclusive growth, explaining the current barriers to growth in agriculture, solid minerals and manufacturing. She stated that the drivers of inflation were structural and were being addressed through the focus on power, rail and road infrastructure.
The Minister also outlined measures planned to deal with the problem of hidden liabilities, which were affecting the banking sector and efforts to revive the economy. The Minister explained that the conversion from cash accounting to IPSAS (International Public Sector Accounting Standards) had unveiled unrecorded debts owed to contractors, oil marketers, exporters, electricity distribution companies and others. These liabilities were estimated at N2.2 Trillion and would be addressed with a 10 year Promissory Note Issuance programme in conjunction with the Central Bank of Nigeria. This measure would be subject to a rigorous audit process of all claims to ensure validity and mitigate against fraud and the impact of past corrupt practices. Henceforth, the Minister said that measures would be put in place to prevent recurrence of such a problem by ensuring that contracts are managed in a manner that firms have assurance over when they would be paid. She cited the fact that many contractors were owed as a reason that many of those recently paid by Government were slow in remobilising to site: “Some contractors had not been paid in the past 4 years and in some cases the banks they were owing refused them access to the funds released, causing delays”. She explained further that those receiving the Promissory Notes would be expected to provide a material discount to government. The issuance was a solution to a long term problem that was ‘a drag on economic activity’.
Adeosun concluded her remarks by assuring that, despite the current economic challenges facing the Nigerian economy, the outlook is positive due to the strong fundamentals of Nigeria and the ongoing reform programme. She reiterated that Government is determined to create an enabling environment and put in place supportive policies to return to growth in 2017 including greater alignment of monetary and fiscal policies.
The fiscal roadmap is detailed in the attached 10-point plan
Fiscal Roadmap 2017
Fiscal Policy Initiative | Expected Impact | |
1. | Recognise inherited debt profile after a robust audit process:
§ Introduce promissory note program to finance verified liabilities § Issue debt certificates to contractors, Ministries, Departments & Agencies (MDAs), and State Governments |
§ Improve cash flow of businesses
§ Improve Banks’ Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) § Free up Banks’ balance sheet for lending to private sector § Improve Government’s business interaction with the private sector
|
2. | Mobilise private capital to complement Government spending on infrastructure:
§ Roads Trust Fund § Family Homes Fund § Extend infrastructure tax relief to a collective model to attract clusters of corporate entities
|
§ Expand the provision of infrastructure
§ Drive growth of non-oil sector. § Drive economic growth |
3. | Strengthen fiscal/monetary handshake:
§ Replace administrative measures on list of 41-items with fiscal measures to reduce demand pressure in parallel market § Encourage domestic food production through specific incentives e.g. accelerated depreciation on food manufacturing equipment and Zero (0%) duty on green houses § Planned revitalisation of refineries § Increase Diaspora remittances via participation in the buyer support scheme for the Family Homes Fund
|
§ Reduce demand for US Dollars
§ Increase supply of US Dollars
|
4. | Incentivise exports:
§ Restructure the Export Expansion Grant (EEG) to a tax credit system § Rationalise tariffs and waivers in key export sectors
|
§ Encourage/incentivise non-oil exports
§ Drive import substitution |
5. | Encourage investment in specific sectors through fiscal incentives:
§ Accelerated depreciation on equipment in strategic sectors e.g. food processing, mining and power § Rationalise tariffs and waivers in priority sectors
|
§ Drive investment in strategic sectors
|
6. | Continue expansion of fiscal space through revenue enhancement and cost consolidation:
§ Customs Single Window (being implemented through a Private Public Partnership (PPP) scheme) § Template for non-allowable expenses for Government Agencies. § Overhead cost control by the Efficiency Unit § Continuous risk based audit by the Presidential Initiative on Continuous Audit
|
§ Revenue enhancement
§ Cost containment |
7. | Improve fiscal discipline at Sub-National level:
§ Extension of efficiency unit at Sub-National level § Fast track municipal bond issues to deepen the bond market § Conversion to International Public Sector Accounting Standards by all State Governments.
|
§ Improved fiscal position at Sub-National level
|
8. | Enable and accelerate Recoveries process:
§ Whistle-blower scheme § Centralised database on recovered assets § Asset tracing § Professional management of recovered assets
|
§ Increased efficiency of Recoveries process
§ Increased budgetary funding availability from Recoveries
|
9. | Rebalance debt portfolio to extend maturity and optimise debt service cost:
§ Rebalance public debt portfolio with increased external borrowing (60:40 target) § Extend maturity profile of public debt portfolio § Deploy long-term debt instruments including Infrastructure and Retail Bonds § Maximise use of concessionary loans
|
§ Rebalanced debt profile withimproved debt service to revenue ratio |
10. | Catalyse Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise (MSME) growth through specific measures to improve capacity and access to finance:
§ Development Bank of Nigeria (US$1.3bn) § Increase share of business awarded to MSMEs from Government contracts § Tax harmonisation and tax incentives § Accelerated depreciation
|
§ Acceleration of MSME growth |
Business
Nigeria pays US$4.9 billion on petrol subsidy in 2024- NNPCL
It was however noted by Biztellers.com.ng, that although subsidy is back in effect, the main reason for that is the increasingly weak state of the Naira and the country’s extreme dependence on products importation. Also unlike the previous subsidy era, where several oil marketers were getting free subsidy refunds for unverified product importation, this subsidy era is witnessing only one importer, the NNPCL, which in effect is the sole receiver of government subsidies.
Yemie ADEOYE
INSPITE of the official position of the Nigerian government that the controversial petrol subsidy is gone for good as announced by the President on assumption of office, the state owned Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited, NNPCL has disclosed that petrol subsidy is still fully operational in Nigeria, although, under a different identity.
Umar Ajiya, Chief Financial Officer at the NNPCL, disclosed that it cost the company a staggering N7.8 trillion (US$4.9) to cover this price gap in the first seven months of 2024.
Rather than simply referring to these claims as subsidies, he stated that the company is merely managing the price difference in petrol imports on behalf of the federation, stressing that this should not be misconstrued as a return to subsidy payments.
This revelation has reignited discussions on whether the NNPC is indirectly offering subsidies, a concept typically defined as selling a product below its cost price.
Documents reviewed by Biztellers.com.ng showed that the term “subsidy” was used extensively in official correspondence between the NNPCL and the presidency, particularly in reference to the “shortfall.”
Recall that President Bola Tinubu reportedly approved NNPC’s request to utilize the 2023 final dividends due to the federation to offset these costs.
However, during a media briefing on Monday about the company’s 2023 audited financial statements, Ajiya refuted claims that the NNPC is involved in any subsidy scheme.
Ajiya further disclosed that the Nigerian government owes the NNPC N7.8 trillion ($4.9 billion) in subsidy-related debts for the period from January to July 2024.
In furtherance of his clarification to the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN), Ajiya insisted that no subsidy payments have been made to any marketer in the last nine years, citing the NNPC’s role as the sole importer of petrol under supply contracts.
He said, “In the last eight to nine years, NNPC Ltd. has not paid anyone a dime as a subsidy; no kobo has been disbursed by NNPC Ltd. in the name of subsidy. No marketer has received any payment from us for subsidy.”
“What has been happening is that we have been importing PMS, which has been landing at a specific cost price, and the government tells us to sell it at half price. So the difference between the landing price and that half price is a shortfall.
“And the deal is between the Federation and NNPC Ltd., to reconcile, sometimes they give us money, so there is no money exchanging hands with any marketer in the name of subsidy.”
Ajiya remained silent on how much of the $4.9 billion could have been remitted to the federation account if the NNPC had not been covering the “shortfall.”
It was however noted by Biztellers.com.ng, that although subsidy is back in effect, the main reason for that is the increasingly weak state of the Naira and the country’s extreme dependence on products importation. Also unlike the previous subsidy era, where several oil marketers were getting free subsidy refunds for unverified product importation, this subsidy era is witnessing only one importer, the NNPCL, which in effect is the sole receiver of government subsidies.
Banking
CBN Denies Currency Devaluation
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has refuted claims of devaluing the.
Earlier reports suggested that the CBN had devalued the Naira, lowering its exchange rate from N631 to the dollar, compared to the previous day’s rate of N461.60 at the Importers and Exporters (I&E) window.
However, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) released a statement on Thursday through its Acting Head of Corporate Communications, Dr. Isa Abdulmumin, categorizing the report as false information.
In the statement titled ‘CBN Has Not Devalued The Naira’, he said the attention of the apex bank was drawn to the news report by an Abuja based newspaper edition of June 1, 2023, titled “CB Devalues Naira To 630/51”.
However, the CBN stated categorically that the news report was replete with outright FALSEHOODS and destabilizing innuendos, ‘reflecting potentially willful ignorance of the said medium as to the workings of the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market.’
“For the avoidance of doubt, the exchange rate at the Investors’ & Exporters (I&E) window traded this morning (June 1, 2023) at N465/USS1 and has been stable around this rate for a while.
“The public is hereby advised to ignore the news report by Daily Trust in its entirety, as it is speculative and calculated at causing panic in the market,” the CBN spokesman added.
He, therefore, advised media practitioners to verify their facts from the Central Bank of Nigeria before publishing in order not to misinform the public.
Banking
BREAKING: CBN Increases Interest Rate By 0.5%
The interest rate in Nigeria has been raised to 18.5 percent, up by 0.5 percent, from 18 percent where it was pegged in March 2023.
The Central Banks of Nigeria’s (CBN) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) resolved to this effect at its third meeting of 2023 in Abuja, on Wednesday.
Governor, CBN, Godwin Emefiele, made the disclosure in the communiqué of the MPC’s meeting, thereafter.
While engaging the media at the end of the two-day meeting, Emefiele, said the committee voted to keep the asymmetric corridor at +100 and -700 basis points around the MPR.
In the view of the MPC, rising inflation rate is traceable to the high energy cost and challenges around the supply chain, among others, which lie outside the corridors of the CBN.
Emefiele said, “The current trend in price development would continue to be monitored by the bank with greater collaboration with fiscal authority to address the drivers of inflation.”
Biztellers reports that the CBN had effected six consecutive interest rate increases, which has seen the rate move from 11.5 percent in March 2022 to 18.5 percent in May 2023.