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Trump Presidency An Opportunity For African Leaders, Says Yemi Adeoye

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Energy policy expert, Yemi Adeoye has suggested that a second term for former U.S. President Donald Trump could present significant opportunities for African leaders, particularly in the realm of energy development.

Speaking on TVC News on Monday, Adeoye emphasized that Trump’s focus on reducing global regulations and prioritizing the U.S. economy could allow African nations to better leverage their natural resources without the constraints of climate policies that have historically been imposed by Western powers.

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“Looking at Africa as an economic bloc, I think it will be good, especially when you look at our energy concerns,” Adeoye said.

“I think his administration would be okay because Mr. Trump is very focused on reducing the United States’ global regulations. His focus is more on the internal economy of the United States, and that is his major focus.”

Adeoye pointed out that Trump’s economic strategy has typically been centered around protecting and boosting the U.S. economy, particularly in comparison to economic competitors like China and Western Europe.

“If you look at his comments about the U.S. economy, it has always been ‘America first’—how he is going to grow the economy internally,” he explained.

“He is not really bothered about blocs that are not economic competitors or contemporaries of the United States. Africa is not competing with the U.S. Africa is not an economic contemporary of the U.S., so he is not bothered about Africa.”

On the issue of climate change and energy policies, Adeoye noted that Trump’s historical stance of downplaying climate concerns could be advantageous for African nations looking to develop their energy sectors.

Adeoye said, “He’s not going to impose the climate change policies on Africans. Trump, during his last administration, did not really bother about Africa. He is not concerned about climate change; he even said it was a hoax that it was not real, and he is in full support of fracking.”

Adeoye explained that Trump’s support for shale fracking, a controversial method that has boosted U.S. oil production, could have a ripple effect on global energy markets.

“Shale fracking, which we know has environmental issues, is fully supported by Trump because it is going to grow the United States’ oil production significantly,” he said. “In fact, global oil production should grow by about 10% if shale fracking reaches its full potential.”

He also pointed out that Africa contributes only about 3.8% of global greenhouse gas emissions, much lower than major emitters like China and the U.S. “Africa’s emissions footprint is very low, and that means our mineral resources are being underutilized,” Adeoye said.

“What we probably do majorly is export them across the world. We can now use these resources to develop because our greenhouse gas emissions are so low.”

In this context, Adeoye stressed the importance of Africa being allowed to fully develop its natural resources without restrictions.

He highlighted Nigeria’s ongoing efforts to advocate for the right to utilize its mineral deposits, a message reinforced by President Bola Tinubu at international platforms like the United Nations. “Nigeria has been campaigning in all the major global energy conferences that Africa should be allowed to develop the continent with its mineral deposits,” he said.

In addition, Adeoye urged African leaders to seize the opportunity presented by a Trump presidency, emphasizing that his policies could help unlock the continent’s energy potential.

“I think Trump is an opportunity for African leaders to be very strategic,” he said. “He is not going to impose regulations on them. For all we have seen, we can take it that he would not want to impose regulations with regard to gas emissions or climate change.”

 

Energy

FG Contemplates Direct Crude Supplies, Discounts to Refineries

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Nigeria Earns N12.4tn from Crude Oil in 11 Months – Report

In the bid to ease crude oil offtake by domestic refiners, address pricing and logistics challenges, the Nigerian government is taking a look at proposals for direct crude supplies and discounts to domestic refineries.

The Crude Oil Refinery-owners Association of Nigeria (CORAN), revealed that the proposals touch on allowing producers to deliver crude directly to nearby refineries and granting refiners a discount for transportation and handling costs embedded in the price of crude.

This was disclosed in a report by Reuters on Wednesday.

The report read, “The Federal Government is considering changes to crude allocation and pricing rules to improve feedstock access for its refiners, including Dangote Refinery.”

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The review comes as compliance with the domestic crude supply framework improved sharply in the second quarter of 2026, although refiners continue to complain that the cost and structure of domestic crude transactions make locally sourced feedstock expensive.

A spokesperson for CORAN, Eche Idoko, told Reuters that one of the proposals would enable producers, particularly those operating within international oil companies’ networks, to deliver crude directly to refineries located close to their production facilities.

Under the arrangement, the crude volumes could subsequently be reconciled at the relevant terminal, potentially reducing the need to transport the crude through longer trunkline routes.

Idoko said the proposal would bring crude closer to refineries while reducing some of the logistics costs associated with domestic supply. A second proposal would address the pricing component of domestic crude transactions.

Under the arrangement, refiners that lift crude directly from production facilities could receive a discount corresponding to freight and handling costs incorporated into the Brent-linked price of crude but which the refiners do not actually incur.

Idoko described the proposed arrangement as beneficial to both sides of the transaction. “Under one proposal, a producer linked to an IOC’s network could deliver crude directly to a nearby refinery, with volumes reconciled later at the terminal.

“This would reduce reliance on trunklines and bring crude closer to refiners. A second proposal would allow refiners that lift crude directly from production facilities to receive a discount reflecting the freight and handling costs embedded in Brent-linked pricing but not actually incurred by them. This could be a win-win for both the producers and refiners,” the report noted.

The proposed changes are coming against the backdrop of complaints by local refiners that the pricing structure for domestic crude makes their feedstock more expensive than necessary.

Recall that the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals (DPRP) had estimated that Nigeria’s pricing structure could add between $3 and $4 per barrel to the cost of crude purchased by domestic refiners because transactions are often routed through trading arms of producers.

Energy analysts have similarly identified pricing, rather than the physical availability of crude, as one of the major challenges facing domestic refiners. The issue is particularly significant for the Dangote Refinery, Africa’s largest refinery, which has a nameplate capacity of 700,000 barrels per day.

Although the refinery has significantly increased its operations, securing adequate volumes of locally produced crude at competitive prices remains a key issue for the development of Nigeria’s refining industry.

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Energy

Nigeria Beats OPEC Quota for Third Month

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Nigeria’s crude oil production averaged 1.238m bpd in June – OPEC

Nigeria has met and exceeded its Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) quota of 1.5mbpd for the third consecutive month.

The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) disclosed this in a statement on Tuesday.

The statement has it that in July 2026, Nigeria produced 1.505mbpd of crude oil and 0.17mbpd of condensate, making combined daily production to 1.67mbpd.

During the month under review, the daily peak production of crude oil and condensate was 1.78mbpd, while the lowest daily production was 1.57mbpd.

Although Nigeria met its OPEC quota in July, the statistics show that, on a month-on-month basis, production fell by 4 per cent.

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The NUPRC attributed the decline in production to operational challenges at the Erha and Akpo fields, which affected output during the period under review.

These disruptions constrained production volumes and contributed significantly to the overall reduction in national crude oil output.

Despite the challenges, production operations across most other producing assets remained relatively stable, with operators implementing measures to maintain production efficiency and minimise the impact of operational constraints.

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Energy

Crude Supply to Local Refineries Rises 88.4% in Q2 — NUPRC

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Crude oil and condensate supply to local refineries rose by 88.4 percent to 53.7 million barrels in the second quarter of 2026, Q2’26, from 28.5 million barrels in the first quarter, Q1’26, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, NUPRC, has said.

The commission, in its Q2 2026 statistics on the enforcement of the Domestic Crude Supply Obligation, DCSO, said the 53.7 million barrels supplied to domestic refiners represented 97.4 percent performance during the quarter.

The DCSO is being enforced by the NUPRC pursuant to Section 109 of the Petroleum Industry Act, PIA, which provides for the supply of crude oil produced in Nigeria to domestic refineries.

According to the commission, the increase in crude supply coincided with higher domestic oil production and the execution of long-term crude supply agreements supported by bankable Sales and Purchase Agreements, SPAs, between producers and domestic refiners.

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The NUPRC said it conducts monthly consultations with crude oil producers and licensed domestic refineries, following which specific volumes of crude oil and condensate are allocated to producers for supply to local refiners.

It, however, noted that the DCSO operates on a “willing buyer, willing seller” basis in accordance with the PIA, which affects the volumes eventually supplied and accepted.

In April, the NUPRC allocated 18.13 million barrels to producers, while producers offered 19.31 million barrels to domestic refiners. Actual supply stood at 20.88 million barrels, representing 114.9 percent performance against the allocation.

In May, the commission allocated 18.78 million barrels, while producers offered 23.19 million barrels to local refiners. Actual supply fell to 14.23 million barrels, representing 75.8 percent compliance.

Supply increased in June, with the NUPRC allocating 18.17 million barrels to producers, while producers offered 26.84 million barrels to refiners. Actual supply stood at 18.61 million barrels, representing 102.4 percent performance.

The commission said the figures showed that the DCSO was being actively administered and enforced, adding that the improvement was supported by increased crude production and stronger commercial arrangements between producers and refiners.

At the refinery level, the NUPRC said Dangote Refinery required 63 million barrels of crude in Q2, while producers offered 68.1 million barrels.

The 68.1 million barrels offered represented 98 percent of the total crude volumes offered by producers during the quarter.

However, the refinery accepted 52.6 million barrels, representing 78 percent of the volume offered to it.

The NUPRC said it remained committed to supporting the Federal Government’s objective of achieving energy sufficiency by leveraging the PIA to sustain the growth in crude oil production and continuously enforce the DCSO.

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