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UAE Jolts Global Oil Market, Quits OPEC, OPEC+

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The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has withdrawn from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the broader OPEC+ alliance.

The move marks a significant shift in global oil politics even as tensions in the Middle East continue unabated.

The decision, which will take effect from May 1, 2026, was disclosed in a statement issued on Tuesday by the UAE Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure, following what it described as a comprehensive review of its production strategy and future energy outlook.

Announcing the move, the ministry said the exit reflects the country’s evolving energy priorities and long-term economic vision.

The statement read, “The United Arab Emirates today announced its decision to exit the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC and OPEC+), effective 1 May 2026. This decision reflects the UAE’s long-term strategic and economic vision and evolving energy profile, including accelerated investment in domestic energy production, and reinforces its commitment to a responsible, reliable, and forward-looking role in global energy markets.

“This decision follows a comprehensive review of the UAE’s production policy and its current and future capacity and is based on our national interest and our commitment to contributing effectively to meeting the market’s pressing needs.”

The UAE, one of OPEC’s key producers, noted that the decision was anchored on national interest and its desire to respond more flexibly to changing market realities.

“The decision reflects the UAE’s long-term strategic and economic vision and evolving energy profile, including accelerated investment in domestic energy production, and reinforces its commitment to a responsible, reliable, and forward-looking role in global energy markets,” the ministry added.

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The announcement comes against the backdrop of escalating geopolitical tensions in the region, particularly the ongoing Iran conflict, which has disrupted oil supply routes and heightened uncertainty in global energy markets.

Of particular concern is the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil transit corridor through which a significant portion of the world’s crude supply passes. Recent threats and attacks linked to the crisis have raised fears of supply disruptions and price volatility.

The UAE acknowledged these short-term disruptions but maintained that long-term demand fundamentals remain strong.
“While near-term volatility, including disruptions in the Arabian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, continues to affect supply dynamics, underlying trends point to sustained growth in global energy demand over the medium to long term,” the statement noted.

The move effectively ends nearly six decades of the UAE’s involvement in OPEC, which it joined in 1967 through Abu Dhabi, years before the formation of the federation in 1971.

Despite the exit, the UAE expressed appreciation for the organisation and its allies.

“We reaffirm our appreciation for the efforts of both OPEC and the OPEC+ alliance and wish them success. During our time in the organisation, we made significant contributions and even greater sacrifices for the benefit of all,” the ministry stated.

“However, the time has come to focus our efforts on what our national interest dictates and our commitment to our investors, customers, partners and global energy markets.”

The UAE stressed that its withdrawal does not signal a retreat from global energy cooperation but rather a shift towards greater flexibility in managing its oil output.

It pledged to continue supplying the market in a responsible and measured manner.

“Following its exit, the UAE will continue to act responsibly, bringing additional production to market in a gradual and measured manner, aligned with demand and market conditions,” the statement said.

The country also highlighted its competitive advantage in producing lower-carbon crude, positioning itself as a key supplier in an evolving global energy mix.

“The UAE is a trusted producer of some of the world’s most cost-competitive and lower-carbon barrels, which will play an important role in supporting global growth and emissions reduction,” it added.

The exit could weaken OPEC’s cohesion and complicate efforts to manage global oil supply, especially at a time when geopolitical risks are already straining the system.

The alliance, which includes major non-OPEC producers such as Russia, has been central to stabilising oil prices since its formation in 2016.

However, rising tensions in the Middle East, coupled with shifting national priorities among member states, are increasingly testing the group’s unity.

The UAE said it would continue investing across the energy value chain, including oil, gas, renewables, and low-carbon technologies, as part of a broader diversification strategy.

“It will continue investing across the energy value chain, including oil, gas, renewables, and low-carbon solutions, to support resilience and long-term energy system transformation,” the ministry stated.

The development comes at a critical time for the global economy, with energy markets already under pressure from geopolitical conflicts, supply chain disruptions, and the ongoing transition to cleaner energy sources.

For oil-dependent economies such as Nigeria, the implications are significant, as changes within OPEC and OPEC+ often influence crude prices, government revenues, and foreign exchange earnings, the developments present a mixed outlook, with potential revenue gains from higher crude prices but increased costs for refined petroleum products and broader economic instability.

The UAE’s decision could signal a broader shift in how major producers approach cooperation in an increasingly complex energy landscape.

As the Middle East crisis continues to unfold, attention will now turn to how OPEC responds to the exit, and whether the alliance can maintain unity in the face of mounting geopolitical and economic pressures.

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is one of the world’s most influential energy alliances, created in 1960 by five founding members, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Venezuela, during a meeting in Baghdad.

The group was established to coordinate petroleum policies among oil-producing countries, stabilise international oil markets, secure fair prices for producers, and ensure a steady supply of crude to consuming nations.

Over the decades, OPEC grew into a major force in the global economy, with its decisions on oil production often influencing crude prices worldwide. By increasing or cutting output quotas, the group can affect supply levels, making it a central player in determining global energy costs.

Its current members include major producers such as Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Nigeria, Algeria, Libya, and Iraq.

While, OPEC+ is an expanded alliance formed in 2016 to include OPEC members and major non-OPEC oil-producing countries.

The “plus” refers to 10 additional producers led by Russia, alongside countries such as Kazakhstan, Mexico, and Oman.
The alliance was created after the 2014–2016 oil price crash, when crude prices plunged due to oversupply and weak demand.

Their monthly meetings are closely watched by governments, investors, refiners, and energy traders because any decision to raise or cut output can immediately influence international crude benchmarks such as Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate.

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Energy

OPEC+ Retains Output at 30.9mbpd

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Nigeria’s crude oil production averaged 1.238m bpd in June – OPEC

In a confirmation of expectations that more policy adjustments will not occur until 2027, OPEC+ oil-producing countries have voted to keep December production targets steady.

The OPEC+ alliance, yesterday, agreed in principle to keep its combined December oil output targets unchanged at 30.9 million barrels per day (bpd), with Saudi Arabia’s individual target held at 10.5 million bpd.

The resolution was passed at a virtual meeting attended by seven core OPEC+ members- Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan and Oman.

This is as the group continues to struggle with export disruptions from the Middle East crisis, while Gulf members have been boosting exports that have been disrupted for months by the conflict, most are still pumping well below their targets.

OPEC+ comprises the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia. Only the seven members — plus the United Arab Emirates (UAE) until it quit OPEC in May — have been involved in monthly output decisions in recent years.

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All members of the 21-country group are due to meet on November 29, when it will decide 2027 quotas.

“Today’s decision was the easy one,” said Jorge Leon, an analyst at Rystad. “The much more important test comes at the November 29 ministerial meeting, when OPEC+ will decide its 2027 production framework.”

Oil prices jumped more than two per cent on Friday, with Brent crude settling at almost $118 a barrel, the highest since April, as traders braced for a potential escalation in the Iran war after the US midterm elections.

“OPEC+ faces an extremely difficult call for 2027,” Leon added. “The group has to plan around huge uncertainty over the US-Iran war, the pace of recovery through the Strait of Hormuz, and the size of the surplus that could emerge once disrupted barrels return.”

The seven members have been boosting output targets for much of 2026 and in September completed the phased rollback of a 1.65 million-barrel-per-day supply cut first agreed in 2023. At earlier meetings, they kept the targets steady for October and November.

OPEC+ still has one more layer ⁠of production cuts of about two million bpd covering most members through the end of 2026.

The group needs to complete a review of members’ production capacity during the fourth quarter before setting the 2027 baselines that will determine future quotas ⁠and shape plans to unwind those cuts, sources have said.

The Iran war has disrupted projects to expand capacity across the Middle East, throwing estimates of future production potential into uncertainty, Reuters reported in October. As a result, the review is now expected to be completed by mid-November.

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Energy

U.S. to Tweak LNG Safety Rules for Foreign Markets

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With a view to accelerating infrastructure development and reducing operating costs, the U.S. Department of Transportation is contemplating a new set of safety regulations for liquefied natural gas facilities.

This is coming as American exporters prepare for another major expansion in global natural gas markets.

It was gathered that the proposal, issued by the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA), would modernize federal LNG safety requirements by incorporating standards developed by the National Fire Protection Association.

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The changes are to address facility location, engineering, construction, operations, and maintenance, with greater flexibility to adopt newer technologies.

Transportation Secretary, Sean Duffy estimates that the updated framework could save LNG operators approximately $100 million annually while maintaining safety protections. The projected savings are an agency estimate, and the proposal has not yet become a final regulation.

The initiative comes as the United States strengthens its position as the world’s largest LNG exporter. American export capacity is expected to increase by approximately 100 million metric tons annually by the end of the decade, supported by projects already under development and additional planned investments.

Global LNG demand has also become more sensitive to geopolitical disruptions. Interruptions to Middle Eastern gas shipments associated with the conflict involving Iran have encouraged international buyers to evaluate alternative suppliers and diversify long-term procurement arrangements.

U.S. LNG developers have responded with additional investment commitments. Projects representing more than 50 million metric tons of annual capacity have reached final investment decisions since the beginning of 2025.

Major exporters, including Cheniere Energy and Venture Global, are pursuing additional development opportunities as federal policy places greater emphasis on expanding domestic energy infrastructure.

However, regulatory modernization does not eliminate the financial or operational challenges associated with LNG construction.

Developers must still secure the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approvals, complete environmental reviews, arrange financing, and address potential legal challenges. Pipeline connections, specialized equipment availability, construction costs, and long-term customer contracts also influence project schedules.

Delfin LNG, which is developing a floating export facility, illustrates the importance of infrastructure safety approvals. Its associated pipeline has not received publicly confirmed PHMSA clearance to resume operations following an explosion earlier this year.

Separately, FERC has proposed a streamlined authorization framework for certain modifications and expansions at existing LNG facilities, including activities that could qualify for automatic approval or shortened review periods.

For energy investors, the combined regulatory initiatives could improve development visibility and reduce some costs, although their financial impact will depend on final requirements and individual project circumstances.

Additional LNG export capacity could support demand for U.S. natural gas production, particularly from major producing regions connected to Gulf Coast terminals.

Midstream operators, engineering companies, compression equipment manufacturers, and construction contractors could also benefit from continued infrastructure investment.

At the same time, greater export demand may increase domestic natural gas price sensitivity to international markets, creating different implications for producers, utilities, and industrial consumers.

Investors will be monitoring the final PHMSA regulations, FERC permitting developments, LNG project financing decisions, and the pace at which proposed export capacity enters commercial service.

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Energy

NALPGAM Preaches Innovation, Safety to LPG Operators

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GAS: New Temile/Hyundai LPG Vessel to bring down high cost of cooking gas in Nigeria-NCDMB

The Nigerian Association of Liquefied Petroleum Gas Marketers (NALPGAM) has urged operators in Nigeria’s liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) industry to strengthen safety standards, improve regulatory compliance and adopt digital technologies to reduce operational losses and drive business growth.

The association said improved operational practices would help protect investments, enhance efficiency, build consumer confidence and support the sustainable expansion of C.

The call followed its 2026 webinar, themed “Downstream LPG Operational Excellence and Compliance,” which brought together industry operators, regulators and other stakeholders to discuss safety risks, market volatility, operational inefficiencies and regulatory requirements in the downstream LPG sector.

Speaking at the event, NALPGAM National President, Edu Inyang, said the industry’s long-term growth would depend on more than increased consumption and supply volumes, stressing the need to embed safety and operational efficiency in everyday business practices.

“The future of Nigeria’s LPG industry cannot be achieved by increasing volumes alone. We must grow safely, responsibly, efficiently and sustainably. Safety is not an occasional campaign; it must become a continuous industry culture,” he said.

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A major outcome of the webinar was a proposal for a NALPGAM Standard of Operational Excellence, anchored on four principles: safe and well-maintained facilities, competent and adequately trained operators, regulatory-compliant processes, and consumer protection.

Participants urged operators to integrate safety into routine operations, strengthen preventive maintenance and comply with licensing and incident-reporting requirements.

They also called for an end to unsafe practices, including unauthorised propane blending and illegal decanting, warning that such activities could expose businesses and consumers to avoidable risks.

Inyang said compliance should be viewed as a means of strengthening business performance rather than merely fulfilling regulatory obligations.

“Compliance is not merely a regulatory burden; it is a business advantage. Well-managed LPG operations reduce accidents, improve efficiency, protect investments and strengthen public confidence in our industry,” he said.

The webinar also highlighted the role of digital technologies in improving operational efficiency and accountability across the LPG value chain.

Participants identified smart filling systems, automated tank gauges, load cells, flow meters and vehicle-tracking systems as practical tools for monitoring product movements, reducing losses and improving inventory management.

Wider adoption of these technologies, they said, could help operators strengthen operational controls, minimise discrepancies and improve the reliability of LPG distribution.

The discussions come as Nigeria seeks to expand LPG consumption to approximately five million tonnes annually by 2030, a target that will require increased investment, stronger distribution networks and wider consumer access.

Stakeholders called for greater industry participation in the Decade of Gas LPG penetration programme, alongside stronger collaboration to expand access, improve cylinder traceability and promote certified local manufacturing.

The NALPGAM also urged regulators and programme coordinators to involve its members more actively in implementing LPG penetration and cylinder recirculation initiatives.

According to the association, its members’ nationwide presence and proximity to consumers could help improve the reach and effectiveness of programmes designed to increase LPG adoption.

Reiterating the association’s position, Inyang said the industry must establish clear operational standards that protect consumers while supporting efficient and sustainable business practices.

“Our aspiration is clear: every LPG facility must be safe and properly maintained, every operator competent and adequately trained, every process compliant, and every customer protected. This is the standard of operational excellence we must collectively pursue,” he said.

The NALPGAM reaffirmed its commitment to working with government agencies, regulators and industry stakeholders to develop a safer, more efficient and competitive LPG market.

The association maintained that embedding safety, strengthening compliance and deploying appropriate technologies would be critical to improving operational performance and supporting the long-term growth of Nigeria’s LPG industry.

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