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UAE Jolts Global Oil Market, Quits OPEC, OPEC+

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The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has withdrawn from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the broader OPEC+ alliance.

The move marks a significant shift in global oil politics even as tensions in the Middle East continue unabated.

The decision, which will take effect from May 1, 2026, was disclosed in a statement issued on Tuesday by the UAE Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure, following what it described as a comprehensive review of its production strategy and future energy outlook.

Announcing the move, the ministry said the exit reflects the country’s evolving energy priorities and long-term economic vision.

The statement read, “The United Arab Emirates today announced its decision to exit the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC and OPEC+), effective 1 May 2026. This decision reflects the UAE’s long-term strategic and economic vision and evolving energy profile, including accelerated investment in domestic energy production, and reinforces its commitment to a responsible, reliable, and forward-looking role in global energy markets.

“This decision follows a comprehensive review of the UAE’s production policy and its current and future capacity and is based on our national interest and our commitment to contributing effectively to meeting the market’s pressing needs.”

The UAE, one of OPEC’s key producers, noted that the decision was anchored on national interest and its desire to respond more flexibly to changing market realities.

“The decision reflects the UAE’s long-term strategic and economic vision and evolving energy profile, including accelerated investment in domestic energy production, and reinforces its commitment to a responsible, reliable, and forward-looking role in global energy markets,” the ministry added.

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The announcement comes against the backdrop of escalating geopolitical tensions in the region, particularly the ongoing Iran conflict, which has disrupted oil supply routes and heightened uncertainty in global energy markets.

Of particular concern is the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil transit corridor through which a significant portion of the world’s crude supply passes. Recent threats and attacks linked to the crisis have raised fears of supply disruptions and price volatility.

The UAE acknowledged these short-term disruptions but maintained that long-term demand fundamentals remain strong.
“While near-term volatility, including disruptions in the Arabian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, continues to affect supply dynamics, underlying trends point to sustained growth in global energy demand over the medium to long term,” the statement noted.

The move effectively ends nearly six decades of the UAE’s involvement in OPEC, which it joined in 1967 through Abu Dhabi, years before the formation of the federation in 1971.

Despite the exit, the UAE expressed appreciation for the organisation and its allies.

“We reaffirm our appreciation for the efforts of both OPEC and the OPEC+ alliance and wish them success. During our time in the organisation, we made significant contributions and even greater sacrifices for the benefit of all,” the ministry stated.

“However, the time has come to focus our efforts on what our national interest dictates and our commitment to our investors, customers, partners and global energy markets.”

The UAE stressed that its withdrawal does not signal a retreat from global energy cooperation but rather a shift towards greater flexibility in managing its oil output.

It pledged to continue supplying the market in a responsible and measured manner.

“Following its exit, the UAE will continue to act responsibly, bringing additional production to market in a gradual and measured manner, aligned with demand and market conditions,” the statement said.

The country also highlighted its competitive advantage in producing lower-carbon crude, positioning itself as a key supplier in an evolving global energy mix.

“The UAE is a trusted producer of some of the world’s most cost-competitive and lower-carbon barrels, which will play an important role in supporting global growth and emissions reduction,” it added.

The exit could weaken OPEC’s cohesion and complicate efforts to manage global oil supply, especially at a time when geopolitical risks are already straining the system.

The alliance, which includes major non-OPEC producers such as Russia, has been central to stabilising oil prices since its formation in 2016.

However, rising tensions in the Middle East, coupled with shifting national priorities among member states, are increasingly testing the group’s unity.

The UAE said it would continue investing across the energy value chain, including oil, gas, renewables, and low-carbon technologies, as part of a broader diversification strategy.

“It will continue investing across the energy value chain, including oil, gas, renewables, and low-carbon solutions, to support resilience and long-term energy system transformation,” the ministry stated.

The development comes at a critical time for the global economy, with energy markets already under pressure from geopolitical conflicts, supply chain disruptions, and the ongoing transition to cleaner energy sources.

For oil-dependent economies such as Nigeria, the implications are significant, as changes within OPEC and OPEC+ often influence crude prices, government revenues, and foreign exchange earnings, the developments present a mixed outlook, with potential revenue gains from higher crude prices but increased costs for refined petroleum products and broader economic instability.

The UAE’s decision could signal a broader shift in how major producers approach cooperation in an increasingly complex energy landscape.

As the Middle East crisis continues to unfold, attention will now turn to how OPEC responds to the exit, and whether the alliance can maintain unity in the face of mounting geopolitical and economic pressures.

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is one of the world’s most influential energy alliances, created in 1960 by five founding members, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Venezuela, during a meeting in Baghdad.

The group was established to coordinate petroleum policies among oil-producing countries, stabilise international oil markets, secure fair prices for producers, and ensure a steady supply of crude to consuming nations.

Over the decades, OPEC grew into a major force in the global economy, with its decisions on oil production often influencing crude prices worldwide. By increasing or cutting output quotas, the group can affect supply levels, making it a central player in determining global energy costs.

Its current members include major producers such as Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Nigeria, Algeria, Libya, and Iraq.

While, OPEC+ is an expanded alliance formed in 2016 to include OPEC members and major non-OPEC oil-producing countries.

The “plus” refers to 10 additional producers led by Russia, alongside countries such as Kazakhstan, Mexico, and Oman.
The alliance was created after the 2014–2016 oil price crash, when crude prices plunged due to oversupply and weak demand.

Their monthly meetings are closely watched by governments, investors, refiners, and energy traders because any decision to raise or cut output can immediately influence international crude benchmarks such as Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate.

Energy

NUPRC Presents Successful Bidders with Licences

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As part of a strategy to draw more fresh investments into Nigeria’s upstream sector, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) has presented Petroleum Prospecting Licences (PPL) to successful bidders from the concluded 2022/2023 Mini Bid Round and the Nigeria 2024 Licensing Round.

The PPL were presented to the successful bidders, by the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), during the 25th Nigeria Oil and Gas Energy Week Conference and Exhibition in Abuja on Wednesday.

Among the companies presented with licences were Broron Energy Limited, which received PPL 2009; Petroli Energy Marketing and Supply Limited, awarded PPL 269; Sahara Deepwater Resources Limited, which secured PPLs 270 and 271; and Tulcan Energy E&P Company, awarded PPL 2008.

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Companies whose representatives were not present will have their execution ceremonies scheduled shortly at mutually convenient dates.

In total, the exercise covers 12 successful awardees across 19 Petroleum Prospecting Licences, comprising a balanced portfolio of deep offshore, shallow water and continental shelf acreages, reflecting the diversity of opportunities offered through the licensing rounds.

According to the NUPRC, the awards represent another significant milestone in Nigeria’s continuing efforts to deepen investment in the upstream petroleum sector, accelerate exploration activities, expand the nation’s hydrocarbon reserves, and create long-term value for the Nigerian economy.

The latest developments come as Nigeria intensifies efforts to raise crude oil production above two million barrels per day and attract fresh capital into its oil and gas industry following years of declining investments, ageing infrastructure, oil theft and project delays.

Since the implementation of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA), the Federal Government and industry regulators have introduced fiscal incentives and regulatory reforms to improve competitiveness and restore investor confidence in the country’s upstream petroleum sector.

Industry are optimistic that the award of new exploration licences, could signal renewed momentum for Nigeria’s deepwater segment, which has long been regarded as critical to achieving sustainable crude oil production growth and boosting government revenues.

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Chevron Nigeria, NGIC Sign Network Entry Agreement for Escravos Gas Delivery

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World Environment Day 2022: Chevron Commits to a sustainable Future

Chevron Nigeria Limited (CNL), in collaboration with Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited’s subsidiary – NNPC Gas Infrastructure Company Limited (NGIC), has concluded a Network Entry Agreement (NEA) for the system entry point into the Escravos–Lagos Pipeline System.

It was gathered that the NEA establishes the contractual framework required under the Nigerian Gas Transportation Network Code to govern gas delivery operations and associated interfacing / information exchange between CNL’s Escravos Gas Plant and NGIC.

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According to Jim Swartz, Chairman and Managing Director, CNL, the agreement underscores the NNPCL/CNL Joint Venture’s commitment to safe and reliable gas delivery while supporting Nigeria’s broader gas development.

“By strengthening the interface between CNL’s Escravos Gas Plant and NGIC’s transportation network, we are helping to enhance energy security, infrastructure efficiency and long-term value creation for Nigeria,” he said.

On his part, Olusoga Oduselu, Chief Corporate Affairs Officer, CNL, stated that the development of Nigeria’s uniform NEA framework places Nigeria among the league of countries whose central gas pipeline transporters operate under a standardized framework governing gas injection and offtake.

“By establishing this common gas injection and offtake framework, the NEA reinforces the critical gatekeeping role of the gas Network Operator, NGIC, and delivery facility operators — like CNL, as operator of the NNPCL/CNL Joint Venture— in ensuring that incoming gas does not compromise the safety, integrity, or efficiency of the national gas network,” he noted.

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Energy

Marketers Push N800/l Petrol, Seek Import Licences

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Independent petroleum marketers on Monday pushed for the restoration of importation rights and projected that the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit, popularly called petrol, could fall below N800 per litre as the Federal Government intensified efforts to force down the cost of petrol.

The development came as the Federal Government met with major operators in the downstream petroleum sector, including representatives of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, over what it described as the disconnect between falling global crude oil prices and the relatively high pump prices of petrol in the domestic market.

The stakeholders’ meeting on cost-reflective pricing of PMS, held at the headquarters of the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority in Abuja, brought together the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission, the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, the Major Energy Marketers Association of Nigeria, the Depot and Petroleum Products Retailers Association of Nigeria, the Depot and Petroleum Products Marketers Association of Nigeria, the Nigerian Association of Road Transport Owners, and other major operators in the sector.

Also in attendance were chief executives and representatives of TotalEnergies, Eterna Plc, Matrix Energy Group, officials of the NMDPRA, and delegates from the Dangote refinery.

The petrol prices have remained a major source of hardship for households and businesses in Nigeria, with pump prices surging following the spike in global crude oil prices triggered by tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Iran and the United States.

Although crude prices have moderated after diplomatic efforts eased the tensions, the reduction has yet to be fully reflected in domestic petrol prices, prompting the Federal Government to convene a stakeholders’ meeting aimed at driving a fair reduction in pump prices.

The National President of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, Abubakar Maigandi, urged the government to permit independent marketers to import petroleum products directly, saying greater competition would ultimately reduce prices.

Maigandi also called for support for local refineries, particularly the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, while stressing the need to allow marketers to import products whenever necessary.

“Our major concern is that if products are to be distributed, let IPMAN buy products directly from the Dangote refinery and then, if we request importation, let IPMAN import by themselves. What we are trying to encourage is our local refinery. Let the government allow the local refinery to function properly and assist those who intend to refine products too,” he said.

The IPMAN president assured Nigerians that independent marketers were prepared to slash petrol prices significantly and projected that pump prices could fall below N800 per litre under the right market conditions.

“The price of the product is coming down bit by bit. Even when the price was increased, it was not increased at the same time. Likewise, now, as the price is coming down, we too are bringing the price down. If you check prices all over the country, you will see that independent petroleum marketers are reducing their prices gradually. Presently, we have reduced by N125 per litre nationwide,” he stated.

Miagandi added, “At any time when there is a reduction in price, we are ready to reduce the price to even below N800 per litre, not even N900. It depends on the way we buy the product from the private depot owners and the Dangote refinery.

“I thank God that the Dangote refinery has accepted independent petroleum marketers to start purchasing products directly. It is a plus, and very soon the populace will see the change in terms of price.”

The renewed push for importation comes amid an intense pricing battle in the downstream sector following the commencement of large-scale production at the Dangote refinery and the deregulation of the petrol market.

Speaking to journalists after a closed-door session with the stakeholders, the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Senator Heineken Lokpobiri, said the government remained concerned that current petrol prices were not reflective of prevailing crude oil prices in the international market.

According to him, the government had engaged marketers in frank discussions aimed at ensuring that the reduction in global crude prices translates into lower pump prices for Nigerians.

Lokpobiri said, “The engagements are ongoing. We had very fruitful and frank discussions with the marketers and the leaders of the downstream sector of the petroleum industry with a view to driving down the price of PMS.

“My own opinion is that the petrol prices are not cost-reflective; they are not reflective of the cost of crude oil. But the marketers are also saying that crude oil prices are still high.

“In fact, somebody told us right there that the crude oil price for a month is still over $90 per barrel. But we are saying that when Brent crude was over $118 per barrel, the price was rapidly going up. Now that the price has come down drastically, why has petrol not come down correspondingly? That is a worry.”

The minister said the government had communicated the concerns of consumers to operators and directed them to return with practical measures that would lead to lower petrol prices.

“We have said that these are the issues of concern to the government. They have also said they will go back and think about what they can put together with a view to addressing the issue of the high cost of PMS that is not reflective of the price of crude in the market.

“We told them the concern of the Nigerian consumer, and they have also said they will go back and think of what concrete steps can be taken with a view to ensuring that the price drops,” he stated.

On when Nigerians should expect a reduction in petrol prices, Lokpobiri said discussions were still ongoing and declined to give a deadline. “As we called you today, we will call you as soon as possible. But the important thing is that discussions are ongoing,” he added.

Before the closed-door meeting, Lokpobiri warned petroleum marketers against using profits from previously acquired expensive fuel inventories as justification for maintaining high petrol prices, insisting that the benefits of lower replacement costs must be passed on to consumers.

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The government said the continued disconnect between falling international crude oil prices and domestic petrol prices had become a source of concern, warning petroleum marketers against sustaining high pump prices of Premium Motor Spirit despite declining global crude prices and insisting that Nigerians should enjoy the benefits of lower replacement costs in a deregulated market.

He insisted that temporary gains realised from inventories purchased when crude oil prices were higher should not become the basis for sustaining elevated pump prices after global oil prices had declined.

“I am aware that PMS pricing is influenced by several factors beyond crude oil prices, but it is equally important to distinguish between genuine replacement cost and windfall gains arising from inventory management.

“Temporary gains realised from inventories acquired at higher prices should not become the basis for sustaining elevated pump prices after replacement costs have declined. As inventories are replenished at lower costs, the benefits of those lower costs should be transmitted to consumers in a timely and transparent manner. That is the essence of a competitive and efficiently functioning market,” he stated.

According to the minister, as marketers replenish their stocks at lower costs, reductions in procurement expenses should be reflected promptly in ex-depot and retail petrol prices in line with the principles of a competitive and efficient deregulated market.

The minister added that the Federal Government remained committed to protecting consumers in the post-subsidy era, stressing that deregulation was not designed to create opportunities for excessive pricing or market distortions but to deepen competition, improve efficiency, and deliver value to Nigerians.

He further warned that sustaining high energy costs beyond what prevailing market conditions justify could worsen inflationary pressures and undermine the gains recorded in moderating the country’s inflation rate.

The minister urged petroleum marketers and operators to immediately transmit the benefits of falling global crude oil prices to Nigerian consumers, warning that deregulation should not be exploited to sustain high petrol prices and generate windfall gains.

His comments come amid growing public concerns over the slow pace of reductions in petrol prices despite the sharp moderation in crude oil prices in recent months.

According to the minister, international crude prices traded between $61 and $65 per barrel in January before surging above $118 per barrel in April following heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. However, prices have since declined to around $71 per barrel after the easing of the tensions.

He noted that while the earlier rise in crude prices exerted upward pressure on petrol prices, the subsequent decline had not been reflected proportionately in domestic pump prices.

“Ordinarily, such movements in crude oil prices should be reflected in the pricing of refined petroleum products. While the initial increase in crude prices understandably exerted upward pressure on PMS prices, the subsequent moderation in crude oil prices has not translated into a commensurate reduction in pump prices across the domestic market.

“This disconnect has understandably raised concerns. PMS peaked at about N1,596 per litre in May and currently sells at around N1,296 per litre. While there has been some reduction, the adjustment has not been commensurate with the decline in underlying market conditions,” the minister said.

He also called for the speedy operationalisation of the National Strategic Stock, describing it as a critical instrument for safeguarding national energy security and moderating future price shocks.

“The National Strategic Stock will strengthen national energy security, reduce exposure to supply disruptions, and moderate price volatility. There is urgency in ensuring that this mechanism becomes fully operational,” he said.

Nigeria’s petrol market has witnessed sharp fluctuations in prices over the past year, with pump prices peaking at over N1,500 per litre in some parts of the country following spikes in global crude oil prices and exchange rate volatility.

However, the recent decline in international oil prices and improved domestic refining capacity have increased pressure on marketers to cut prices, with many consumers expecting further reductions in the coming weeks.

The outcome of the government’s engagement with operators could determine the next phase of competition in the downstream sector and whether Nigerians will eventually see petrol prices fall to the N800 per litre level projected by marketers.

Earlier in his opening remarks, the Authority Chief Executive of the NMDPRA, Rabiu Umar, said the meeting was convened at the directive of the minister to address the growing concerns surrounding petrol pricing and ensure that Nigerians benefit from improvements in global market conditions.

Umar recalled that a similar engagement with operators in the domestic gas sector had recently resulted in a noticeable reduction in liquefied petroleum gas prices, expressing optimism that the same collaborative approach could deliver results in the petrol market.

“Just two weeks ago, many of us gathered in a similar forum to discuss the domestic gas sector. The candid dialogue and the actionable wins we secured during that session are already bearing fruit. Notably, we have seen LPG prices coming down significantly across the market, and we look forward to seeing even more reduction within the next two weeks.

“It is exactly this kind of tangible success that inspired today’s gathering. When regulators and industry operators sit at the same table, we do not just debate challenges; we engineer solutions,” he said.

The NMDPRA boss acknowledged that global crude prices had moderated significantly in recent weeks but lamented that the domestic retail market had yet to adjust accordingly.

“As a responsible regulatory authority, it is our duty to step in alongside you, our valued partners, to interrogate the market forces, understand the operational bottlenecks, and directly address this disconnect between falling replacement costs and sustained retail prices.

“Deregulation is not a licence for market distortion or unfair consumer pricing. It is intended to drive efficiency, maximise value, and protect the public interest. Sustainable profitability for marketers and consumer welfare are not mutually exclusive. We need to build a transparent ecosystem where the benefits of market improvements are passed down to the Nigerian consumer in a timely and fair manner,” Umar added.

He stressed that the objective of the meeting was not to dictate prices but to collaborate with industry stakeholders on practical solutions that would keep businesses viable while protecting consumers.

Courtesy The Punch

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