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CPPE Foresees Subsidy Leading Nigeria to Bankruptcy
By Edozie Obasi-Eze
The Centre for Promotion of Private Enterprises (CPPE) has projected that barring changes to the situation in Russia and Ukraine, Nigeria’s subsidy cost may hit N4 trillion by the end of the year, which might lead the country to bankruptcy.
Chief Executive Officer (CEO), CPPE, Nigeria’s subsidy, expressed his opinion yesterday at its first-quarter press conference on the Nigerian economy.
He said, “With current subsidy trajectory, subsidy cost would not be less than N4 trillion by the end of this year. This is clearly a major source of disruption and dislocation for the finances of government at all levels.”
He averred that all things being equal, that is, if crude oil price did not shift from the current levels and the PMS price stayed fixed, Nigeria would be on the brink of bankruptcy, because the current subsidy regime was not sustainable.
He also opined that the deregulation dialogue needs to be brought to the table urgently to save the economy from further deterioration.
Dr Yusuf stressed that brave steps must be taken to ignite the reform process in the petroleum sector with the full activation of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA).
He maintained that in the interim, all charges – import duty, levies, and taxes on importation should be suspended to moderate the cost of fuel, though the ultimate solution would be to revisit the deregulation engagement with stakeholders to pave way for a market-driven, private sector-led investment framework, with the government playing a regulatory role.
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“This is the option we have as a country to stop the bleeding, the distortions, the smuggling and loss of investment that our petroleum downstream sector had suffered over the years,” he added.
He listed the possible benefits of a market-driven pricing regime to include free resources for investment in critical infrastructures such as power, roads, rail systems, health sector, and education sector; unlocking the huge private investment potential in the downstream oil sector, especially in petroleum product refining.
According to him, it would also eliminate the patronage mentality, rent-seeking activities, and corruption that currently characterise the downstream oil sector, in addition to creating more jobs for the teeming youths in the downstream oil sector as an investment in the sector improves; would reduce smuggling of petroleum products outside the country.
The Russia Ukraine war, which he observed has disrupted global oil and gas supplies and resulted in sharp increases in energy prices globally, was already taking a toll on the cost of production, cost of business operations, haulage costs, and consequently on profit margin.
“The cost of the major energy products had increased significantly – diesel, aviation fuel, natural gas, and kerosene. The inflationary outcomes will affect the affordability of many products, leading to further worsening of poverty.
“We will see an increase in subsidy payment as the landing cost of petrol increases. Regrettably, we remain a major importer of petroleum products. Therefore, when oil prices increase, subsidy payment also surges. Only recently the estimate of subsidy was put at N3 trillion by the NNPC. That was before the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
The story would have changed now. We should expect subsidy payments to exceed the N3 trillion by the end of the year, depending on how long the sanctions and invasion last. This of course has very serious implications for our budget and government finances.
“If crude oil price remains at current levels, and the PMS price remains fixed, the country may be teetering on the brink of bankruptcy. The current subsidy payment regime is simply not sustainable. The deregulation dialogue needs to urgently resume to save the economy from further deterioration,” he noted.
The National Assembly management team, led by Clerk Sani Magaji Tambawal, has ramped up efforts to ensure a seamless presentation of the 2025 Appropriation Bill by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
The event, scheduled for a joint session of the Senate and House of Representatives, is regarded as a significant moment in Nigeria’s legislative calendar.
Preparations include a thorough inspection of the assembly chambers to ensure all facilities are fully functional.
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Deputy Clerk Kamoru Ogunlana, who is overseeing the technical arrangements, confirmed that key systems, including microphones, sound equipment, and other audio-visual tools, have been tested to ensure smooth communication during the session.
“We are working tirelessly to ensure that the National Assembly is fully prepared to receive Mr. President and provide a conducive environment for this significant moment in our democratic process,” Ogunlana stated.
Seating arrangements are also being finalized to accommodate lawmakers, government officials, and other dignitaries expected at the session.
Security measures are being reviewed in collaboration with relevant agencies to ensure the safety of all attendees. Meanwhile, press accreditation is being managed to facilitate effective media coverage.
The 2025 budget presentation is expected to highlight the government’s economic priorities while reinforcing the partnership between the executive and legislative arms of government.
As the session approaches, the National Assembly has expressed its commitment to upholding Nigeria’s democratic values and providing a platform for transparent governance.
Edo State Governor, Monday Okpebholo, has announced the establishment of a 14-member Assets Verification Committee to examine the financial records and asset management of the previous administration led by Godwin Obaseki.
In a statement released on Sunday by his Chief Press Secretary, Fred Itua, the governor revealed that the committee would be inaugurated on Tuesday, November 26, in Benin City.
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The panel is tasked with creating a detailed account of the state’s assets and liabilities to ensure transparency and accountability.
The committee will be chaired by Ernest Umakhihe, with Anslem Ojezua as Deputy Chairman and Frank Edebor as Secretary. Other members include Kassim Afegbua, Patrick Ikhariale, Taiwo Akerele, Patrick Idiake, Rasaq Bello-Osagie, Fredrick Unopah, Abdallah Eugenia, Patrick Obahiagbon, Kenny Okojie, Lyndsey Tes-Sorae, and Abass Braimoh.
Explaining the rationale behind the committee, Mr. Itua stated, “Despite repeated calls for a more holistic database of the assets and liabilities of the previous administration, the Godwin Obaseki-led government presented a scanty and limited report.”
He added that the initiative reflects the governor’s commitment to his campaign promises.
“In line with the governor’s campaign promise to ensure probity, accountability, and transparency in government, and to deepen the governance process, a committee made up of respected sons and daughters from Edo State has to be constituted,” the statement noted.
The committee’s work is expected to pave the way for a more accountable and developmental governance structure in Edo State.
In a bid to increase its global presence, the National Examination Council (NECO) has accredited more foreign schools.
This was contained in a statement issued under the signature of its Acting Director of Public Relations, Azeez Sanni, on Saturday.
He revealed that the accredited schools are in Niger Republic and Equatorial Guinea.
Recall that last year, the examination body accredited some centres in Niger Republic to enable Nigerian students in the Francophone country to sit for the examinations.
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The statement read, “Determined to broaden its horizon and expand its global presence, the National Examinations Council has accredited more foreign schools to write the Senior School Certificate Examination and the Basic Education Certificate Examination.
“The newly accredited schools, in addition to the existing ones, are in Niger Republic and Equatorial Guinea.
“NECO accreditation team visited the Schools to assess their readiness to write the SSCE and BECE.
“The accreditation 5eam inspected classrooms, laboratories, libraries, computer laboratories, workshops, examination halls and sports facilities to determine their adequacy and suitability for NECO examinations.
“After a thorough evaluation and comprehensive assessment, the schools were granted full SSCE and full BECE accreditation status.”
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