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Nigerian Stock Market Wraps 2023 With A Stellar N13trn Investor Gain

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In 2023, President Bola Tinubu’s reforms spurred a remarkable surge in the Nigerian stock market, with investors witnessing a staggering N13 trillion increase in returns.

Tinubu’s strategic policies, including the removal of fuel subsidies and the streamlining of foreign exchange rates, instilled robust confidence among investors, driving significant growth in fundamental stocks.

Despite facing double-digit inflation, the market’s capitalization closed the year at N40.918 trillion, a striking 46.6% leap from its 2022 closure at N27.91 trillion.

As a result, the Nigerian Exchange Limited All-Share Index (NGX ASI) soared to an unprecedented high of 74,773.77 basis points, marking an impressive Year-to-Date gain of 45.90% from its opening at 51,251.06 basis points for trading.

The addition of new listings significantly influenced the record-breaking trajectory of the NGX ASI, sustaining the stock market’s upward momentum.

Companies like MeCure Industries Plc, VFD Group, Nigeria Infrastructure Debt Fund (NIDF), and Africa Plus Partners notably contributed to the positive trajectory observed in the period.

In 2023, significant stock market indices responded to the market’s trend, influenced by the wide-reaching reforms impacting various sectors within the Exchange.

Specifically, the NGX Banking Index surged by 114.90% to reach 897.20 basis points, while the NGX Oil & Gas Index saw a robust increase of 125.54% to hit 1,043.06 basis points.

Additionally, the NGX Industrial Goods Index experienced a growth of 12.86% to reach 2,712.27 basis points.

Commenting on the 2023 stock market performance, Mr. Tajudeen Olayinka, the Chief Executive Officer of Wyoming Capital and Partners, remarked, “The market in 2023 was notably eventful and bullish.”

He said “We saw a market that picked its 2023 position way back in November 2022, when it was obvious that the three leading presidential candidates, namely: Asiwaju Bola Tinubu, Peter Obi and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, that could succeed former President Muhammadu Buhari, were pro-market.

“And so, the build-up to the bullish run in 2023, that started in November 2022, was a demonstration of market confidence in a private sector-centric president.

“The inaugural speech of President Tinubu, with respect to fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate unification, eventually activated the market-wide pent-up confidence that had always been there but eluded the market ever since.

This market-wide confidence remained throughout the year.” he added

Mr. Tajudeen Olayinka expressed optimism for the Nigerian stock market in 2024, foreseeing a continuation of positive momentum.

Olayinka further stated “And we can draw that from 2024 budget proposal of President Tinubu, where total reliance has been placed on the use of private capital in funding some important developmental projects across the country.

“In a way, we are going to see more public companies get listed on the stock exchange for the purpose of raising new capital, while the existing listed companies will not be left behind in this development.

“So, I see a very bullish and active primary market in 2024, even though, there could be occasional moderation in price movement across the board, as investors take profit and engage in portfolio rebalancing.

“The fact that private sector will take the lead in navigating the economy out of its prolonged state of disequilibrium, we will see a better capital market in 2024.”

Managing Director of ARM Securities Limited, Rotimi Olubi, highlighted that in 2023, the Nigerian stock market demonstrated resilience amid challenges such as global agencies’ downgrades (FTSE and MSCI) and macroeconomic hurdles like persistent inflation, high-interest rates, and foreign exchange losses.

He said “Despite all these, the Nigerian equities market proved to stand strong, hitting historic highs with the NGX All Share Index reaching an unprecedented 70,000 points and achieving an impressive 45.90per cent YtD return, culminating at 74,773.77 basis points by year-end.

“Reforms, notably FX liberalisation and the removal of petrol subsidies, spurred investor optimism, resulting in substantial gains, particularly in the Banking and Oil and Gas sectors.  Furthermore, impressive earnings in the face of inflationary pressures and FX losses further boosted investor confidence, contributing to the remarkable market returns,” Olubi added.

Meanwhile, Nigeria’s external reserves plummeted to a six-year low of $32.87 billion by December’s end, as data indicated. The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) intervened by selling dollars in an attempt to stabilize the declining naira currency.

A combination of unresolved forwards, unfulfilled assurances of dollar inflows, and a twenty-year high in inflation led to a turbulent period for the naira.

As a result, the currency devalued by over 50%, making it the third worst-performing global currency in 2023. Kyle Chapman, an FX markets analyst at London-based Ballinger & Co, highlighted these challenges.

To support the naira, the CBN depleted its foreign exchange reserves, which had peaked at $47.63 billion in June 2018. By December, the country’s dollar reserves dwindled to a level last recorded in September 2017, standing at $32.16 billion.

Chapman said “The naira’s downwards momentum is likely to continue through much of 2024, and its ultimate trajectory will depend on whether the CBN’s rhetoric transforms into concrete policy moves that drive up the flow of U.S dollars into Nigeria and shore up trust in the official market.”

 

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FG Reiterates Commitment To Utilise Gas For Economic Growth, Prosperity

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. . . Tinubu Lauds NNPC Ltd, Partners Over Three Commissioned Gas Projects

In line with its renewed hope agenda, the Federal Government has reiterated determination to utilize Nigeria’s abundant gas resources towards revamping her industrial growth and kick-starting economic prosperity.

Biztellers reports that President Bola Ahmed Tinubu made the assertion while commissioning three critical gas infrastructure projects executed by the NNPC Limited and its partners in Ohaji-Egbema, in Imo State and Kwale, in Delta States, on Wednesday.

The three projects commissioned include the expansion of the AHL Gas Processing Plant, the ANOH Gas Processing Plant and the 23.3km ANOH to Obiafu-Obrikom-Oben (OB3) Custody Transfer Metering Station Gas Pipeline Projects.

He said, “It is pleasing that approximately, 500MMscf of gas in aggregate would be supplied to the domestic market from these two Gas Processing Plants, which represents over 25% incremental growth in gas supply.

“In practical terms, this translates into more gas to the Power Sector, Gas-Based Industries, and other critical segments of the economy.”

The President pointed out that from the onset, his administration was clear of its intention to leverage on the virtually unlimited capacity of gas to deepen domestic gas utilization, increase national power generation capacity, revitalize industries, and create multiple job opportunities for economic growth.

He said aside the Presidential Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) Initiative which is aimed at moving Nigerians away from petrol and diesel as vehicular combustion fuel, significant progress has also been recorded in incentivizing gas development through Presidential Executive Orders.

While congratulating the projects partners (NNPC Limited, Sterling Oil Exploration & Energy Production Company Limited (SEEPCO) and Seplat Energy for the successful implementation of the three projects, Tinubu particularly charged the NNPC Limited to, as the national energy company of choice, sustain its relentless efforts and record more successes in the energy sector for the benefit of all Nigerians.

President Tinubu described the commissioning as a highly significant milestone for Nigeria as it demonstrates his administration’s efforts to accelerate the development of critical gas infrastructure geared at enhancing the supply of energy to boost industrial growth and create employment opportunities.

He said the projects were fully in line with the Federal Government’s Decade of Gas initiative, and his administration’s quest to grow value from the Nation’s abundant gas assets while concurrently eliminating gas flaring and accelerating industrialization.

“I wish to assure the citizenry that these are just the beginning, as the federal government is stepping up its coordination of other landmark projects and initiatives that will ensure the earliest realization of gas fueled prosperity in our country.

“Consequently, I wish to assure investors in the energy space that this is an investment enabling government and we will not relent in facilitating the ease of doing business,” the President noted.

Earlier in his address, the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Gas) Rt. Hon. Ekperikpe Ekpo highlighted the efforts of his ministry to continue to champion the utilisation of gas as a transition fuel as Nigeria moves towards achieving clean energy efficiency and security by 2060.

Ekpo commended the President for his leadership and support towards the success of the three projects.

In his remarks, the GCEO NNPC, Mele Kyari described the commissioning as a demonstration of Mr. President’s commitment and support to grow the domestic utilization of natural gas for power generation, as feedstock for gas-based industries and overall rapid industrialization of Nigeria on the back of the enormous gas resources in the country.

Kyari assured that as part of its mandate, NNPC Ltd remains committed to maintaining energy security by executing more strategic gas projects for the benefit of Nigeria.

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FG Lists N4.214bn April Savings Bonds On NGX

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DMO Commemorates Listings of Eurobonds, Sukuk on NGX

The Nigerian Government has listed her April 2024 Savings Bonds worth N4.214 billion on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) platform.

This was disclosed in the market bulletin signed by the Head, Issuers Regulation Department of NGX, Godstime Iwenekhai.

According to the bulletin, “Trading License Holders are hereby notified that the April 2024 Issue of the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) Savings Bonds was listed on Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) on May 13, 2024.”

Details of the Bonds include FGS April 2026, 1.228 million units valued at N1.228 billion at a coupon rate of 17.046%, while FGS April 2027, 2.986 million units amounted to N2.986 billion at a coupon rate of 18.046%.

The bonds are backed by the full faith and credit of the FGN and charged upon the general assets of Nigeria, according to the debt office.

FGN Savings Bond is issued monthly in tenors of two and three years with quarterly payment of coupons (interest) at a rate predetermined and published by the DMO every month.

The retail savings bond product was introduced by the DMO on behalf of the FGN in 2017 to democratise its activities in the bond market by making it easily accessible to Nigerians to ensure continuous development of the domestic market and bridge infrastructure deficit which has been a constraint to economic growth.

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JUST IN: Nigeria’s Inflation Soars To 33.69%

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Nigeria’s inflation rate surged to 33.69% in April 2024, up from 33.20% in March, according to the latest data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, released Wednesday, shows a 0.49 percentage point rise within a month.

Year-on-year, the inflation rate has surged by 11.47 percentage points, compared to 22.22% in April 2023, highlighting the ongoing economic challenges and rising costs for consumers.

The report reads “In April 2024, the headline inflation rate increased to 33.69% relative to the March 2024 head line inflation rate which was 33.20%.

“On a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 11.47% points higher compared to the rate recorded in April 2023, which was 22.22%.

This shows that the headline inflation rate (year-on-year basis) increased in the month of April 2024 when compared to the same month in the preceding year (i.e., April 2023).

“Furthermore, on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate in April 2024 was 2.29%, which was 0.73% lower than the rate recorded in March 2024 (3.02%).

“This means that in the month of April 2024, the rate of increase in the average price level is less than the rate of in crease in the average price level in March 2024.”

Prices of food and basic commodities have surged dramatically in recent weeks, as Nigerians grapple with a soaring cost of living and one of the nation’s most severe economic crises.

The crisis has been intensified by the government’s removal of petrol subsidies and the unification of forex windows.

The naira, which had appreciated against the dollar in April, has since plummeted from about N1,100/$1 to roughly N1,500/$1.

Following the latest inflation report from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is anticipated to review the country’s interest rate, currently set at 24.75%.

 

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