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Dangote, NMDPRA Feud Escalates Despite Commission’s Leadership Change

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The dispute between the Dangote Refinery and the Nigerian Midstream Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) continues to flare up.

The two warring sides are presently at loggerheads over the current production capacity at the 650,000 barrels per day Dangote Refinery in the Ibeju-Lekki area of Lagos and its actual contribution to Nigeria’s fuel needs.

The two sides have been making claims and counter claims on the refinery’s actual petrol output. While the refinery claimed it has enough fuel in its storage and that fuel tankers have been loading over 50 million litres of petrol daily from its gantry for local consumption, the NMDPRA is giving a much lower figure.

According to the NMDPRA in its November 2025 Fact Sheet, Nigeria’s average petrol consumption in November 2025 stood at about 52.9 million litres per day. This figure exceeded the long-standing national benchmark of 50 million liters per day.

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The agency also claimed that imported fuel accounted for 73 per cent of Nigeria’s premium motor spirit consumption in November 2025. This means that Dangote Refinery supplied an estimated 18 million to 23.5 million litres per day in November 2025, an amount that is well below its reported output of 35 million liters per day.

The implication of the NMDPRA’s latest figures is that domestic supply remains both unstable and inadequate.

Facts Behind The Figures

NMDPRA’s supply and consumption data have pitched the management of the two organizations against each other, with each side justifying its numbers.

BH recalled that the latest feud between the two parties is a continuation of a public altercation between the President of Dangote Industries Limited (DIL), Alhaji Aliko Dangote and the former NMDPRA CEO, Farouk Ahmed, over the agency’s underreporting of Dangote’s fuel figures, and the continued issuance of licences to marketers to import petroleum products.

The conflict eventually led to the unexpected sacking of the NMDPRA’s boss by President Bola Tinubu in December 2025.

Speaking recently at a media event in Lagos, where he faulted NMDPRA’s data, a visibly angry Aliko Dangote claimed the industry regulator was not telling Nigerians the truth.

He challenged the agency to send a team to the refinery to verify its fuel production and availability status.

“The regulator is very smart. What it is doing is telling Nigerians what was being taken out of the refinery. What has been taken out of the refinery is totally different from what has been produced.

“When we got tired of all this misleading information, we wrote him a letter telling him to come every day to check our stock and publish what we produce and what we have in stock.

“Now, you come every day, check our stock, which we don’t want to share before because people can take a position on that, you know, stocks.

“That’s how the market works. But we don’t even mind losing money. So, that Nigerians can be assured that there’s more than enough to supply the domestic market,” Dangote said.

While Dangote Refinery and NMDPRA’s officials are busy justifying their fuel supply figures, Business Hallmark findings revealed that NMDPRA’s supplied data on the actual fuel consumption figures in the country and who supplied what can not hold ground when juxtaposed with available facts.

For instance, multiple sources confirmed to our correspondent that Dangote’s fuel has gained more inroad into the Nigerian market in the last six months than acknowledged by the regulator, yet it has not changed things much and left room for import by marketers.

Manipulating Supply And Price

Multiple sources, including marketers lifting oil from the refinery and news channels reporting on activities at the mammoth plant, confirmed that the refinery has actually been loading over 1,000 tankers of petrol meant for the local market in the last three months.

Energy

Nigeria’s First Energy Infrastructure Map for Unveiling at NOG 2026

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In what is expected to provide investors and industry stakeholders with a detailed overview of Nigeria’s energy assets and opportunities, her first comprehensive Gas and Power Infrastructure Map will be unveiled at the 25th edition of NOG Energy Week.

It was gathered that the publication, developed by the Gas for Africa programme in partnership with NNPC Limited, will be launched during the annual energy conference in Abuja and is being positioned as a major step towards improving transparency and investment decision-making in Nigeria’s gas and power sectors.

Industry stakeholders have long cited the lack of consolidated and reliable infrastructure data as a major challenge to attracting investment into the sector. The new map seeks to address that gap by providing a single source of information on Nigeria’s gas and power infrastructure, including pipelines, gas processing facilities, power generation assets, LNG terminals and key transmission networks.

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Alongside the infrastructure map, organisers will also release a comprehensive report on Nigeria’s gas sector, which they describe as the most extensive industry intelligence publication ever produced on the country’s gas value chain.

The report examines developments in the sector since 2020 and covers key areas such as the NNPC Gas Master Plan 2026, gas reserves and production trends, pipeline infrastructure, capacity challenges, compressed natural gas (CNG), piped natural gas (PNG), liquefied natural gas (LNG) markets, gas-to-power projects and gas-based industrialisation.

According to the organisers, the publication provides an end-to-end assessment of Nigeria’s gas industry and offers critical insights for investors, policymakers and industry operators.

The launch comes at a time when global energy markets are undergoing significant shifts, driven by geopolitical tensions and increasing demand for alternative and secure energy supplies.

Organisers noted that Nigeria is strengthening its position as a major energy player, supported by rising crude oil production, implementation of a new Gas Master Plan and expanding refining capacity.

They said the infrastructure map and accompanying report are expected to help convert investor interest into concrete projects by providing accurate data on existing assets, infrastructure gaps and future opportunities across the sector.

Attendees at NOG Energy Week will be the first to access both publications as government officials, energy executives, investors and industry leaders gather in Abuja for the five-day event.

The conference is also expected to feature investment discussions, joint venture announcements, memorandum of understanding signings and project partnerships aimed at advancing Nigeria’s energy development agenda.

With preparations gathering momentum ahead of the event, organisers said NOG Energy Week 2026 will provide a platform for stakeholders to examine the future of Nigeria’s energy sector and its role in Africa’s broader energy transition and industrial growth.

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Energy

OPEC+ Increases Production Quotas for July

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OPEC+ ministers decided Sunday to increase oil quotas by a total 188,000 barrels per day for July, in a move analysts said would be unlikely to have an impact on prices sent higher by the Mideast war.

Jorge Leon, analyst at Rystad Energy, said ahead of the expected increase that it “means very little while the Strait of Hormuz remains closed”.

He added: “The market is not short of quota announcements; it is short of physical barrels that can actually move. In that sense, the 188,000 barrels per day increase would be more of a policy signal than a real supply boost.”

The hiked production output was agreed Sunday in a video meeting of oil ministers from key OPEC+ countries Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman, a statement from the organisation said.

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The increase was similar to ones decided in previous months.

The OPEC+ statement said the latest agreed hike was “to support oil market stability” but that the seven countries also saw an opportunity “to accelerate their compensation” in a time of historically high oil prices.

It added that the ministers “reaffirmed the importance of adopting a cautious approach and retaining full flexibility to increase, pause or reverse the phase out of the voluntary production adjustments, including reversing the previously implemented voluntary adjustments announced in November 2023”.

Leon, at Rystad Energy, said that OPEC+ was wary in case the Mideast war changes, and Iran’s stranglehold on the Strait of Hormuz eases.

“When the Strait of Hormuz reopens, the market could move very quickly from fear of shortage to fear of surplus,” he said.

“Returning OPEC+ supply, a stronger US shale response and weaker demand after a period of very high prices could leave the market with a very large oversupply problem,” he said.

AFP

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Nigeria, Algeria, Niger Back Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline Project

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Nigeria, Algeria, and Niger have expressed joint commitment to the Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline (TSGP) project, which is set to significantly strengthen Africa’s regional energy security.

Nigeria’s Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, made the disclosure on Thursday at the 5th Ministerial Meeting of the TSGP Steering Committee in Algiers.

The high-level session included ministerial delegations from the three participating nations and a strategic consultation with Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune.

The minister reaffirmed Nigeria’s commitment to the successful delivery of the multi-billion-dollar infrastructure project, describing it as a landmark initiative that will redefine energy security across the continent.

ALSO READ: Dangote Refinery Hits 700,000bpd Output, Eyes Global Leadership

According to Ekpo, technical and commercial discussions are ongoing among stakeholders to reinforce the regulatory and financial frameworks required for the project’s implementation.

He noted that officials from the three countries have reviewed the latest feasibility reports and officially resolved that the project proceeds immediately into its next development phases.

“This project means a lot to the three countries in terms of industrialisation and job creation,” Ekpo asserted.

“We’ve talked about the Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline, and the President of Algeria has expressed his interest in the completion of the project,” Ekpo said. “I assure him that on the part of Nigeria, we will do everything possible to ensure the project sees the light of day.”

The minister pledged to work closely with his counterparts in Algeria and Niger, as well as the respective national oil companies — including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd) and Algeria’s Sonatrach — to accelerate project implementation.

On his part, President Tebboune reaffirmed Algeria’s full diplomatic and financial commitment to the pipeline.
He expressed confidence that with the robust political will demonstrated by the three governments, the pipeline will seamlessly move from planning to execution.

Tebboune noted that when completed, the transnational pipeline would deliver energy security, lucrative investment opportunities, and sustainable economic development for millions of people across Africa and European export markets.

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