Business
Domestic Refineries Supply 75% of Nigeria’s Petrol
Despite a sharp resurgence in petrol imports, domestic refineries, led by the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, emerged as Nigeria’s largest source of petrol supply in the first seven months of 2026, accounting for nearly three-quarters of the country’s total Premium Motor Spirit (petrol) supply, while imports fell sharply compared with the corresponding period of 2025.
This comes amid increasing dependence on imported petrol in June and July after the authority issued import licences and supplies from domestic refineries dropped sharply, forcing a bigger contribution from imports despite the country’s expanding refining capacity.
An analysis of the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority’s monthly fact sheets by The PUNCH on Wednesday showed that domestic refineries supplied approximately 7.41 billion litres of petrol between January and July 2026, compared with about 4.27 billion litres in the corresponding period of 2025.
The figure represents an increase of approximately 3.14 billion litres, or 73.5 per cent, within one year. Petrol imports, however, fell from approximately 6.58 billion litres between January and July 2025 to about 2.48 billion litres in the corresponding period of 2026, representing a decline of about 4.10 billion litres, or 62.3 per cent.
READ ALSO: DPRP Decries Rising Fuel Imports, Despite Strong Local Supply Capacity
The seven-month figures confirm a dramatic reversal in Nigeria’s petrol supply structure, with domestic refining displacing imports as the country’s dominant source of PMS.
Of the approximately 9.89 billion litres of petrol supplied between January and July 2026, domestic refineries accounted for 74.9 per cent, while imported petrol contributed 25.1 per cent.
This contrasts sharply with the corresponding period of 2025, when Nigeria relied primarily on imported petrol. Between January and July 2025, the country received approximately 10.85 billion litres of PMS, comprising 6.58 billion litres from imports and 4.27 billion litres from domestic refineries.
Imports therefore accounted for approximately 60.6 per cent of the total petrol supply during the seven-month period in 2025, while domestic refining accounted for 39.4 per cent.
The data show that domestic refining gained more than 35 percentage points of Nigeria’s petrol supply market within one year, while the share of imports dropped by the same margin.
To reach this conclusion, our correspondent analysed NMDPRA data on daily average domestic and imported petrol supplies from January to July 2025 and compared them with the figures for the corresponding period of 2026. The analysis covered the actual number of days in each month.
The latest NMDPRA fact sheet for July showed that domestic refining supplied an average of approximately 25.8 million litres of petrol per day, while imports contributed about 19.7 million litres daily.
This translates to approximately 799.8 million litres from domestic refineries and 610.7 million litres from imports during July, based on the 31 days in the month.
The July figures showed that while imports increased compared with some of the preceding months, domestic refining remained the larger source of petrol supply.
The development extends the trend recorded in the first half of the year, when domestic refineries supplied approximately 6.61 billion litres, compared with about 1.87 billion litres supplied through imports.
However, the July figures also showed that Nigeria’s domestic refining system remains vulnerable to fluctuations in refinery output, as imported petrol continues to serve as a major source of supply whenever local production declines.
Overall, domestic refinery supply increased by approximately 73.5 per cent between the January-to-July periods of 2025 and 2026, while petrol imports declined by about 62.3 per cent.
A month-by-month analysis revealed that domestic petrol refining supply recorded a mixed performance in the first seven months of 2026. Supply started at 40.1 million litres per day in January but fell by 26.7 per cent to 29.4 million litres daily in February.
It recovered in March, rising by 16.3 per cent to 34.2 million litres per day, before increasing further by 19 per cent to 40.7 million litres daily in April. The upward trend continued in May, when domestic supply rose marginally by two per cent to a seven-month high of 41.5 million litres per day.
However, the gains were reversed in the following months. Domestic refining supply fell by 21.7 per cent to 32.5 million litres daily in June and dropped by another 20.6 per cent to 25.8 million litres per day in July, the lowest level recorded in 2026.
In contrast, domestic refining supply in 2025 recorded only one month of growth during the January-to-July period. Supply rose by 29.8 per cent from 19.1 million litres per day in January to 24.8 million litres daily in February.
Thereafter, supply declined for five consecutive months. It fell by 7.7 per cent to 22.9 million litres daily in March, declined by 6.1 per cent to 21.5 million litres in April and dropped by 14 per cent to 18.5 million litres daily in May.
The downward trend continued in June, when domestic supply declined by 2.2 per cent to 18.1 million litres per day, before falling by another 8.8 per cent to 16.5 million litres daily in July.
Overall, the figures show that while domestic petrol refining supply in 2026 was significantly higher than in 2025, the sector experienced greater volatility. Supply climbed to a peak of 41.5 million litres per day in May 2026 before declining sharply by about 38 per cent to 25.8 million litres per day in July. In 2025, the decline was more gradual but persistent, with supply falling for five consecutive months after its February peak.
Despite the substantial increase in locally refined petrol, Nigeria’s overall PMS supply declined slightly during the period. Total petrol supply fell from approximately 10.85 billion litres between January and July 2025 to about 9.89 billion litres in the corresponding period of 2026, representing a reduction of about 957 million litres, or 8.8 per cent.
The figures underline the rapid transformation of Nigeria’s downstream petroleum market following the ramp-up of operations at the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and other domestic refining facilities.
The Dangote refinery, with a nameplate capacity of 700,000 barrels per day, has emerged as the dominant contributor to Nigeria’s domestic petrol supply since commencing commercial operations.
Its increased output has significantly reduced Nigeria’s dependence on imported PMS, which for decades accounted for the majority of fuel consumed in the country.
However, the volatility in monthly domestic supply has continued to expose the fragility of the country’s transition away from imports.
In June, for instance, domestic refinery supply fell sharply compared with May, while imports rose substantially to fill the resulting supply gap. The July data showed that imports remained elevated, supplying more than 610 million litres during the month, although domestic refineries still supplied nearly 800 million litres.
The development came amid continuing disagreements between the Federal Government and the Dangote Petroleum Refinery over crude supply, petrol imports and the structure of Nigeria’s downstream petroleum market.
The refinery has repeatedly raised concerns about access to locally produced crude and foreign exchange required to purchase feedstock. According to a recent Bloomberg report, the refinery increasingly directed products towards export markets as it struggled with crude supply and foreign exchange constraints under the naira-for-crude arrangement.
“We are exporting as much as possible,” Bloomberg quoted the Group Vice-President of Dangote Refinery, Devakumar V.G. Edwin, as saying. “We are not able to get enough dollars from the Central Bank, and it doesn’t make any sense to be selling the products in naira and not being able to buy dollars. We need the dollars to buy our feedstock.”
The January-to-July figures nevertheless show that Nigeria’s petrol market has undergone a fundamental shift. Within one year, domestic refineries moved from supplying less than two-fifths of the country’s petrol needs to accounting for about three-quarters of total supply, while the dominance of imported products weakened considerably.
The figures suggest that Nigeria’s transition from an import-dependent petrol market to a domestic-refining-led system is accelerating, although the continued supply of more than 2.48 billion litres of imported petrol in seven months shows that imports remain important in bridging supply gaps.
The development has also renewed the debate over the future of petrol imports.
Amid the crisis, the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria in July urged the Federal Government to halt petrol importation, arguing that imported products had become more expensive than locally refined fuel and were undermining efforts to stabilise prices in the downstream sector.
Speaking with The PUNCH, the National Publicity Secretary of IPMAN, Chinedu Ukadike, said the continued issuance of import licences was failing to achieve its intended objective of moderating domestic fuel prices.
Ukadike said, “Independent marketers have looked at the issues of price volatility, import licences and the sale of petroleum products in dollars. I want to use this opportunity to urge the Federal Government to transparently review these issues through the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, which is the industry’s regulator.
“The recent import licences, which were expected to serve as a guide and a check on the prices of petroleum products refined locally, are not yielding the results we expected. We were shocked that the licences issued to depot owners to import petroleum products are resulting in prices of about N1,350 per litre, which is far higher than what Dangote has been selling to us.”
He stressed that the objective of allowing fuel imports was to create competition capable of checking domestic prices but argued that the policy had failed to deliver the expected outcome.
The latest NMDPRA figures, however, indicate that while domestic refining has now become Nigeria’s largest source of petrol, imported products still play a significant role in maintaining supply whenever refinery output falls.
The seven-month data therefore underscore the importance of reliable crude supply, stable foreign exchange access and consistent refinery operations if Nigeria is to consolidate the gains from its growing domestic refining capacity and further reduce its dependence on imported petrol.
Courtesy – The Punch
Business
Tinubu Promises to Boost Local Production with NNPC Refineries
Given the growing capacity of private refiners and their impact on local supplies, Nigeria’s president, Bola Ahmed Tinubu has assured of his government’s commitment to rehabilitating and repositioning Nigeria’s dormant national refineries.
Represented by the Permanent Secretary of the Ministry of Petroleum Resources, Patience Oyekunle, at the 20th OTL Africa Downstream Energy Week in Lagos, on Monday, Tinubu revealed his government’s priorities for the petroleum industry.
He made it clear that the facilities will not be allowed to become stranded investments.
Recall that three government refineries, including the Port Harcourt, Warri and Kaduna refineries, being managed by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd), have been moribund despite billions of naira spent on turnaround maintenance over the years.
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Speaking at OTL conference, Tinubu said the government was pursuing a more rigorous and commercially sustainable approach to the rehabilitation of the national refineries, with technical assessments, stronger partnerships and improved operational discipline expected to guide the process.
“At the same time, the government remains committed to ensuring that existing national refining assets are not allowed to become stranded investments.
“We are pursuing a more rigorous, commercially sustainable approach to the rehabilitation and repositioning of our refineries, supported by technical assessment, stronger partnerships, and improved operational discipline,“ she stated.
Tinubu emphasised that the objective is to ensure Nigeria refines more of its crude and a fuel supplier to other nations.
“Our objective is clear. Nigeria must first refine more of its crudes, create more value domestically, and become a reliable supplier of energy to Africa,” he said.
The President’s position comes as Nigeria seeks to increase domestic refining capacity and reduce its historical dependence on imported petroleum products, despite having substantial crude oil resources.
He said the country was transitioning from an industry historically characterised by import dependence and infrastructure constraints to one increasingly driven by domestic refining, private investment, market efficiency, value addition and regional competitiveness.
According to him, the reforms introduced under the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) are intended to create a transparent, commercially viable and investment-friendly industry capable of delivering greater value to Nigerians.
“The reforms under the PIA are designed to create a petroleum industry that is transparent, commercially viable, investment-friendly, and capable of delivering value to Nigerians. Today, we are beginning to see the results,” he said.
Tinubu described the emergence of large-scale private refining capacity as an important turning point for Nigeria’s petroleum industry, citing the Dangote Petroleum Refinery as a major development in the country’s ambition to become a net exporter of refined petroleum products.
He said the refinery had reached its nameplate capacity of 650,000 barrels per day, strengthening Nigeria’s prospects of supplying refined products to other African countries.
“The emergence of large-scale private refining capacity represents an important turning point. The Dangote Refinery has reached its 650,000-per-day main-plate capacity, strengthening Nigeria’s prospect of becoming a net exporter of refined petroleum products and creating opportunities for regional supply,” he said.
The president said the government’s ambition extended beyond increasing crude oil production, stressing that Nigeria needed to develop an energy economy in which its petroleum resources would support industrialisation, manufacturing and other productive activities.
For decades, Nigeria exported crude oil while importing a substantial portion of the petroleum products required to power its economy. Tinubu said his administration wanted to change that pattern by retaining more value within the country through refining, petrochemicals, gas processing and other energy-intensive industries.
He said the government was also seeking to ensure that the country’s oil and gas resources translated into jobs, investment, technology and broader economic prosperity.
“Our commitment is therefore not to simply produce hydrocarbons. It is to create an ecosystem in which hydrocarbons catalyse industrialisation, jobs, investment, technology, and prosperity,” he said.
Tinubu also called on operators across the petroleum value chain to contribute more to domestic industrial development, particularly through investment in local content, technology, infrastructure and human capital.
He said industry stakeholders were expected to take greater responsibility for environmental protection and community development, warning that extracting resources without creating additional value was no longer consistent with the government’s expectations.
“To our industry stakeholders, I say, the era of extracting value without building value is changing. We expect greater investment in local content, technology, infrastructure, human capital, environmental responsibilities, and boost community development,” he said.
The president further urged investors to take advantage of opportunities in Nigeria’s petroleum industry, saying the country remained open to businesses with the technical competence and financial capacity to develop its oil and gas resources.
In his opening speech, the Chairman of the OTL Advisory Board, Adetunji Oyebanji, said Africa’s downstream petroleum industry had made significant progress since the organisation began in 2007, with developments in refining, logistics and market liberalisation expanding the continent’s capacity to meet its energy needs.
Oyebanji said the emergence of large-scale private refining in Nigeria, particularly the Dangote refinery, had changed the prospects for domestic petroleum supply and regional trade.
Business
Dangote Identifies Power, Financing as Possible Keys to Africa’s Industrial Revolution
Africa’s ambition of becoming a global industrial powerhouse hinges on its ability to mobilise long-term financing, deliver reliable electricity and adopt policies that turn its vast natural resources into manufactured products.
The President/Chief Executive, Dangote Industries Limited, Aliko Dangote expressed these views in London at the Financial Times Africa Summit during a conversation with David Pilling the Africa Editor of the newspaper.
Dangote, who has outlined a $50 billion investment programme for 2026 to 2030, said the continent must build stronger financial institutions capable of funding large-scale industrial projects, expand electricity infrastructure and establish policies that encourage domestic manufacturing, value addition and economic diversification.
The industrialist maintained that Africa possessed the natural resources, population and investment opportunities required to become a global manufacturing powerhouse, but needed stronger institutions and infrastructure to translate those advantages into sustainable economic prosperity.
Responding to a question on why Africa had produced relatively few industrial enterprises of global scale despite its enormous economic potential, Dangote stressed the need for deliberate policies and institutions capable of supporting long-term industrial investment.
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The Africa Summit by the FT is a prestigious platform for Africa’s most influential leaders and this year’s Summit lived up to its billing convening leading policymakers, business leaders, financiers and visionaries to explore how Africa can contribute meaningfully to shape the next era of global development.
Dangote said, “I think the number one thing that the continent has to concentrate on doing is having very strong financial institutions, their own financial institutions, and also to have very strong agricultural policy, and also industrial policy”.
He maintained that infrastructure development was equally important but singled out electricity as perhaps the most urgent requirement for unlocking Africa’s industrial potential, adding; “For Africa, what we need the most today is actually power,” he declared.
Dangote explained that inadequate electricity supply continued to undermine Africa’s ability to process its mineral resources locally, forcing countries to export raw materials rather than capture the greater economic value associated with manufacturing and processing. He cited the mining industry as a particularly striking example, noting that companies frequently identified unreliable electricity supply as a major reason for their inability to establish processing facilities close to extraction sites.
According to him, approximately 650 million Africans remain without access to electricity, a deficit he described as fundamentally incompatible with the continent’s industrial ambitions.
He argued that resolving the power crisis would transform Africa’s manufacturing prospects, encourage investment in mineral processing and create substantial employment opportunities.
The industrialist also drew on his experience developing the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals (DPRP) in Lagos to illustrate how Africa’s financing environment could frustrate even commercially promising projects.
He disclosed that the Group had been compelled to finance the refinery against its own balance sheet rather than depend on conventional project financing, which he described as extremely difficult to secure for major African industrial investments.
He explained that prolonged financing negotiations could undermine the viability of industrial projects by delaying execution, increasing costs and exposing investors to changing economic conditions.
For the Dangote Group, the decision to proceed with the refinery without conventional project finance involved extraordinary financial risks, compounded by severe currency depreciation and the enormous cost of developing supporting infrastructure. Dangote said the exchange rate moved from approximately ₦136 to the dollar to as high as ₦1,800 during the refinery’s development, while about 90 percent of the Group’s revenue was denominated in naira.
Dangote said the Group’s proposed $50 billion investment programme was designed partly to encourage other Africans to recognise the opportunities available across the continent.
“The legacy we are trying to set up is how do we industrialise our continent?” he said.
He explained that the Group intended to expand its investments between 2026 and 2030 to demonstrate that African businesses could execute large-scale projects and encourage other investors to participate in developing the continent. The ambition, he stressed, extended beyond the growth of one conglomerate to creating a wider industrial ecosystem capable of supporting businesses, generating employment and retaining more economic value within Africa.
Dangote also challenged African governments to reconsider their approach to industrial protection, warning that allowing cheap imported products to undermine domestic manufacturing could permanently weaken the continent’s productive capacity. He argued that emerging African industries required appropriate policy support to compete against established international manufacturers, particularly where imported products were sold at prices that discouraged investment in local factories.
He, however, distinguished industrial protection from restrictions on trade between African countries, advocating a regional approach that would strengthen manufacturing while preserving the objectives of the African Continental Free Trade Area. He maintained that African economies should trade more freely among themselves while establishing a common framework to protect their industries against unfair external competition.
The industrialist also questioned why Africa continued to experience widespread poverty despite its extensive agricultural land, mineral resources and youthful population.
He cited the continent’s natural endowments as evidence that Africa’s economic challenges were not principally the result of inadequate resources but of insufficient productive investment and industrial capacity. “Why should we remain poor?” he asked.
Dangote expressed confidence that the continent was entering a period in which African governments, entrepreneurs and investors were becoming increasingly determined to develop their own productive capabilities.
Business
Dangote Calls for Stronger Protection of Local Industries, Unveils Pan-African Energy Distribution Network
President and Chief Executive of Dangote Industries Limited (DIL), Aliko Dangote, has urged African governments to adopt policies that protect domestic industries and accelerate industrialisation.
He made the call in London, during the FT Africa Summit where he vented plans to establish an extensive petroleum distribution network across Africa through strategic investments in pipelines, storage facilities and supply corridors.
According to Dangote, the Group is aggressively expanding its petroleum logistics and distribution infrastructure across East, Central and Southern Africa as part of efforts to strengthen energy security, improve access to refined products and eliminate longstanding supply bottlenecks across the continent.
During a wide-ranging interview with Financial Times Africa Editor, David Pilling, the industrialist disclosed that the Group recently acquired a 25 percent stake in a petroleum products pipeline network in Kenya and is pursuing additional infrastructure projects connecting Djibouti and Ethiopia, alongside investments in Cameroon and Namibia.
READ ALSO: NMDPRA Issues Updates on Q3 Crude Supplies to Domestic Refineries
According to him, Africa’s aspiration for economic transformation will remain difficult to achieve without significant investments in infrastructure combined with industrial policies that promote local manufacturing, preserve productive capacity and create sustainable employment opportunities.
“Allowing imports to displace local production means we are exporting our jobs out of the continent and importing poverty into the continent,” Dangote said.
Dangote explained that the expansion forms part of a broader strategy to develop an interconnected African energy supply system capable of linking major refining centres with underserved markets that have historically depended on imported petroleum products and fragmented distribution channels.
“We are very aggressive with that,” he said, in response to questions about the Group’s plans for petroleum depots, pipelines and logistics infrastructure.
He revealed that the acquisition of a 25 per cent stake in Kenya’s petroleum pipeline network was achieved with the support of the Kenyan government and would significantly enhance the movement of refined petroleum products within the East African region.
“Just let me tell you, yesterday, with the support from the President of Kenya, we bought 25 percent of the pipeline network for the distribution of petroleum products,” Dangote disclosed.
The Group is also developing a major petroleum distribution corridor linking Djibouti and Addis Ababa, complete with storage terminals and tank farms designed to facilitate the efficient transportation and storage of refined products.
He added that another strategic project in Cameroon is nearing completion, while Namibia has been identified as a critical hub in the Group’s plan to penetrate Southern African markets.
Dangote described Namibia as a particularly attractive location because of its strategic proximity to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals (DPRP) in Lagos.
“From our refinery to Namibia is just about four days of steaming,” he noted.
According to him, refined products from the Lagos refinery will be transported to Namibia and distributed across interconnected markets, including Botswana and South Africa.
The Group is also examining other supply corridors extending into Zimbabwe and Zambia as part of its broader objective of developing a continental network supported by strategically located storage and transportation infrastructure.
The petroleum distribution expansion complements plans to establish another refinery in Lamu, Kenya, with a projected refining capacity of approximately 700,000 barrels per day.
Dangote noted that East Africa’s growing economies, vibrant mining sector and increasing energy demand make the region an attractive destination for refining investments.
He explained that the proposed refinery would source crude oil from multiple markets rather than depend exclusively on supplies from Kenya or Uganda, ensuring greater flexibility and long-term operational sustainability.
According to him, technical assessments identified Lamu as the preferred location because of its deep-water access, marine infrastructure and availability of critical resources required for large-scale refining operations.
Dangote revealed that the investment decision was concluded within four months, although he alleged that vested commercial interests attempted to delay the project through legal proceedings shortly before its public announcement.
Beyond energy infrastructure, Dangote strongly advocated policies aimed at protecting domestic industries from unfair competition, arguing that industrialisation cannot thrive if emerging African manufacturers are exposed to unrestricted imports from more established economies.
He questioned why African countries should be discouraged from supporting local industries when developed economies increasingly deploy similar measures to strengthen domestic manufacturing and employment.
Drawing parallels with recent developments in major global economies, he argued that industrial protection remains a legitimate and widely accepted economic strategy.
“If America is now saying, no, we are going to protect our industries, who are we in Africa not to protect our own industries?” he asked.
Dangote also disclosed that the Group has earmarked approximately $50 billion for investments between 2026 and 2030, describing the programme as part of a broader mission to demonstrate that African businesses can successfully execute transformative industrial projects at scale.
“The legacy we are trying to set up is how do we industrialise our continent?” he said.
According to him, the investment programme is designed not only to expand the Group’s operations but also to inspire other African entrepreneurs and investors to pursue ambitious industrial ventures capable of reshaping the continent’s economic future.
Looking beyond the energy sector, Dangote identified inadequate power supply, weak financial systems and underdeveloped industrial policies as major challenges constraining Africa’s economic growth.
He described electricity as a fundamental requirement for industrialisation, particularly in manufacturing, mining and mineral processing, where reliable power is essential for value addition.
With an estimated 650 million Africans still lacking access to electricity, he stressed that addressing the continent’s energy deficit would unlock significant opportunities for job creation, industrial development and economic diversification.
Questioning why a continent blessed with abundant natural resources, vast arable land and a young population continues to grapple with poverty, Dangote insisted that Africa possesses all the ingredients necessary to become a major industrial powerhouse.
Expressing optimism about the continent’s trajectory, he maintained that Africa’s industrial awakening has already begun.
“The journey has started,” Dangote declared. “But now we’re awake, and we will make it happen.”





