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Nigeria’s Debt Per Capita To Surge As KPMG Calls For Borrowing Guidelines

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According to KPMG’s recent Macroeconomic Snapshot, Nigeria’s per capita debt, which was N217,138 in 2022, is projected to reach N365,258 by the conclusion of 2023.

 

KPMG also highlighted that Nigeria’s debt service to actual revenue ratio, which has consistently exceeded 50 percent since 2017, was recorded at 81 percent in 2022.

 

It revealed that Nigeria’s debt service to revenue ratio of 81 percent at the close of 2022 was significantly higher than the average ratio of 22.5 percent observed among low-income nations.

 

“This is however unlikely being a transition year with the outgoing administration winding done and a new one starting which would require time to set up and settle before new policies can be introduced and work,” KPMG said.

 

KPMG stated that the new administration might even be compelled to borrow even more to run its government and stimulate much-needed growth in physical and social capital.

 

“To borrow more might need to widen the various legal and self-imposed restraints and buffers relating to deficit financing,” it said.

 

KPMG emphasized the importance of Nigeria establishing well-thought-out guidelines and frameworks for borrowing in order to avoid defaulting on loan terms, which could potentially harm the country’s credit rating and undermine confidence in borrowing money.

 

KPMG further emphasized the need for the Nigerian government to prioritize sustainable debt management and prioritize investments that generate long-term economic returns.

 

Additionally, KPMG pointed out that despite the intended short-term nature of Ways & Means advances, which are meant to fund delayed expected government cash receipts, they have been utilized over the past eight years in Nigeria to bridge the gap caused by unrealistic revenue projections.

 

The amount of Ways & Means advances rose significantly from N0.6 trillion in 2015 to N22.7 trillion by the conclusion of 2022.

 

The Senate had recently granted approval for the securitization of N22.7 trillion in Ways and Means advances that were provided to the government by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

 

Ways and Means loans serve as a mechanism for the government to borrow funds from the CBN on a short-term basis to address emergency financing needs and support the budget.

 

With Senate approval, these loans from the CBN, once assented to by the president, can now be converted to a type of security such as bonds that can be traded in the capital market,” KPMG said.

 

It stated that the securitisation of the CBN ways and means, as approved by the Senate, provides for the issuing of debt instruments with a 3-year moratorium on the principal, a 40-year term, and an annual interest rate of 9 percent per annum.

 

“The immediate impact of this is that Nigeria’s debt which hit N46.3 trillion by the end of 2022 will immediately rise to about N70 trillion,” KPMG said.

 

“This is representing 35 percent of 2022 nominal GDP which is close to the government’s own self-imposed target of 40 percent.

 

“However, with the N8.8 trillion expected new borrowings from both domestic and external means in the 2023 States and Federal budgets, the total debt stock will likely stand at about N77.8 trillion by the end of 2023.”

 

KPMG highlighted that the aforementioned securitization of Ways and Means advances does not take into account the potential for additional borrowings that may arise from incoming administrations at the State and Federal levels, which are not yet reflected in the 2023 budgets.

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CSOs Urge Further Reduction Of Pump Prices Of Petrol

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NNPCL Raises Official Fuel Pump Price To N537 Per Litre

 

Following the marginal reduction of the pump prices of premium motor spirit (PMS) by the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and the Nigerian National Petrol Company Limited (NNPC Ltd), civil society groups have reacted by calling for further downward review.

Recall that the Dangote Petroleum Refinery had announced a partnership with MRS Oil and Gas to offer petrol at N935 per litre at retail outlets, while it reviewed the ex-depot price from N970 to N899.50 per litre.

The move, saw state oil major, the Nigeria National Petroleum Company peg its retail prices at N965/litre.

ALSO READ: Dangote Partnership: MRS Urges Nigerians To Insist On N935/Litre Petrol Price Nationwide

However, the civil society groups are of the opinion that the price reduction, fall short of expectations.

According to the Chairman, Centre for Accountability and Open Leadership, Debo Adeniran, the reduced price of N935/litre was still expensive and unsatisfactory.

He pointed out that petrol was just one of the products coming out of crude and that both government and private business could still give out free petrol to citizens while making huge profits from the other products.

In his words, “Well, we believe that if NNPC and the private sector actually give out PMS for free, they will still not run their business at a loss, because the other derivatives of petroleum products can still serve them, and can still make them to break even. So, even at that N900 and something, it’s still expensive.

“Dangote has kind of mooted the idea that it could drop to as low as N650. And if he has mulled this, then it means that it is the state, it is the NNPC that will have been the clog in the wheel of such progress. And you know also that we expected that fuel prices, especially PMS prices, will drop below N200 when Dangote was expected to come on stream.

“So, it’s unfortunate that we are still talking about over N900 and they want us to jump up and rejoice for that. That is not satisfactory. They should just let us see the breakdown of their production cost and why it’s still there. I mean, there are countries like Libya under Gaddafi that gave out PMS for free and they didn’t run anything at any loss. So, I believe that it can still go further down.”

On his part, the Executive Director of the Civil Society Legislative Advocacy Centre, Ibrahim Rafsanjani, commended the reduction of fuel prices by the NNPC and Dangote, but said the government could still reduce the price.

“Dangote’s own is about N899 or something like that. Well first and foremost, we are happy that there is a little reduction in the prices. But also based on analysis and based on facts and evidences, we believe that it is possible for the Nigerian government to further reduce the prices.

“Because if a private company can reduce the price and it still makes profit, we wonder why government-owned enterprises cannot really pity its citizens,” he said.

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Non-Oil Sector Fuels Nigeria’s Q3 2024 GDP Growth, Says CBN

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has announced a significant growth in the country’s economy, with a 3.46% increase in gross domestic product (GDP) in the third quarter of 2024.

This marks the third consecutive quarter of expansion, up from 3.19% in Q2 2024 and 2.54% in Q3 2023.

According to the newly published Q3 economic report, Nigeria’s GDP output rose to ₦20.115 trillion, reflecting a notable improvement from ₦18.285 trillion in the previous quarter.

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The CBN attributed this growth primarily to the performance of the non-oil sector, which grew by 3.37% compared to 2.80% in Q2 2024.

The report highlighted transportation, crop production, and other sub-sectors such as financial & insurance services, information & communication, trade, and real estate as major contributors to the expansion.

The non-oil sector accounted for 3.18 percentage points of the total growth rate.

“The expansion of the non-oil sector was driven by the performance of the financial & insurance, information & communication, crop production, trade, transportation & storage, and real estate sub-sectors,” the report stated.

Despite the economic growth, challenges persist. Inflation, particularly in food prices, remains a significant concern, standing at 39.93% as of November 2024.

Rising food and energy costs have also impacted transportation expenses, with intercity bus fares increasing by 20.23% year-on-year to ₦7,117.17 in July 2024, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

Furthermore, the cost of petroleum, now exceeding ₦1,000 per litre, has driven up logistics and transportation expenses, adding pressure to households and businesses alike.

The CBN acknowledged these challenges, noting that the growth was achieved despite headwinds such as high inflation and rising operational costs.

Enhanced security measures in the Niger Delta have boosted domestic crude oil production, while restrictive monetary policies have helped moderate inflation in some areas.

“The growth recorded in the country is a result of continued efforts to improve the business environment, streamline cumbersome business processes, and deepen the quality of business infrastructure,” the CBN noted.

However, the report comes amid concerns over businesses exiting Nigeria due to persistent economic challenges.

 

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CSR: Asharami Synergy Donates Furniture To Gaskiya Junior School

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AOW 2021: Sahara Group advocates measured transition in Africa’s upstream sector

 

Asharami Synergy, a leading downstream energy solutions provider, has demonstrated its commitment to community development and education by donating essential furniture to Gaskiya Junior School in Ijora, Lagos, Nigeria.

Biztellers reports that the social responsibility initiative was executed in collaboration with Sahara Group Foundation – the social impact vehicle of global energy conglomerate, Sahara Group.

It was gathered that the initiative is part of Asharami Synergy’s ongoing efforts to support education in communities.

The donation includes classroom desks and chairs for the JSS1 classes.

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CEO of Asharami Synergy, Nomnso Dike, said the project will create a more comfortable and functional learning environment and enhance student performance.

“We are delighted at the opportunity to support the attainment of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 4, which focuses on ensuring inclusive and equitable quality education. It has been a privilege to collaborate with the management and students of Gaskiya Junior School to deliver this project, and we look forward to future opportunities to enhance academic performance in this historic institution,” Dike said.

According to him, Asharami Synergy’s education-focused social impact initiatives have benefitted over 10,000 individuals. They focus on building capacity and providing the resources necessary to help students learn and grow sustainably.

“Education is the foundation of a brighter future, and at Asharami Synergy, we believe that every child deserves a learning environment that inspires and empowers them” he noted, adding, “This donation is not just about providing furniture; it’s a reminder to the students that their dreams are valid, and we are committed to helping them achieve their goals.”

Vice Principal Academic of Gaskiya Junior School, Sola Oladokun, commended Asharami Synergy for the donation, noting that it would inspire students to perform better with “increased concentration and fewer distractions”.

“These desks and chairs are a game-changer for our students. It’s heartwarming to see their excitement, and as teachers, we are equally thrilled because this will make teaching and learning more effective. We are incredibly grateful to Asharami Synergy and Sahara Group Foundation for this thoughtful intervention,” she added.

Two representatives of the students, Akin Moses and Chukwudi Gift, at the event said the donation would increase their “desire to dream bigger and concentrate better during lessons”.

Also speaking at the commissioning, COO at Asharami Synergy, Adekanmi Adesola, said, “What started as an opportunity to support the communities that host our operations has now come full circle. This donation directly impacts the lives of these students, and we are proud to bring smiles to the faces of the students and teachers.”

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