Business
OPEC+ Hikes Oil Production Quotas, Silent on UAE Pull-out
Saudi Arabia, Russia and five other OPEC+ countries increased their oil production quota on Sunday in an expected move aimed at demonstrating continuity at the cartel after the shock withdrawal of the United Arab Emirates.
The seven major producers will add 188,000 barrels per day to their total production quota for June amid the price pressure unleashed by the Mideast war, as part of “their collective commitment to support oil market stability”, according to a statement published by OPEC+.
The statement, following an online meeting of Algeria, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Oman, Russia and Saudi Arabia, made no mention of the United Arab Emirates, which quit the body on Friday, three days after announcing its withdrawal.
Rystad Energy analyst Jorge Leon told AFP that the silence on the UAE’s departure was a sign of tense relations.
Oil market analysts had widely expected the increase of 188,000 barrels, similar to the 206,000-barrel daily increases OPEC+ announced in both March and April when the portion allotted to the UAE was subtracted.
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“By sticking to the same production path — just minus the UAE — it’s acting as if nothing has happened, deliberately downplaying internal fractures and projecting stability,” Leon said.
Strait of Hormuz Bottleneck Remains
But raising the quota on paper may not have much impact on actual production, which is already short of the limit.
Untapped OPEC+ reserves are mainly located in the Gulf region, and exports there are trapped by the blockade of the vital Strait of Hormuz, imposed by Iran in response to the US-Israeli strikes that started the war on February 28.
Leon, the Rystad Energy analyst, told AFP on Sunday that the cartel was looking to send “a two-layer message” that the UAE’s exit would not disrupt how OPEC+ operates and that the group still exerts control over global oil markets despite massive disruption to oil trade due to the war.
“While output is increasing on paper, the real impact on physical supply remains very limited given the Strait of Hormuz constraints,” Leon told AFP. “This is less about adding barrels and more about signalling that OPEC+ still calls the shots.”
The Strait of Hormuz blockade is hitting Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The latter’s production will no longer count towards OPEC quotas.
“Total OPEC+ output with quota fell to 27.68 million bpd in March, against a monthly quota of 36.73 million bpd, a shortfall of approximately 9 million bpd driven almost entirely by war-related disruption rather than voluntary restraint,” said Priya Walia, another analyst at Rystad Energy, ahead of Sunday’s meeting.
Iran, whose exports are now the target of a retaliatory US blockade, is an OPEC+ member but is not subject to quotas.
Russia, the group’s second-biggest producer, has been the main beneficiary of the situation. But despite soaring energy prices, it appears to be struggling to produce at the level of its current quotas as its own war in Ukraine drags on and Ukrainian drones hit oil industry facilities.
‘A Big Deal’
Amena Bakr, an analyst at Kpler, described the UAE’s exist as “a big deal” for OPEC.
Previous withdrawals from the group by Qatar in 2019 and Angola in 2023 were less significant by comparison, Bakr told a video conference on the UAE withdrawal.
The UAE has invested massively in infrastructure in recent years, and state-owned oil company ADNOC plans to increase output by five million barrels a day by 2027 — far above the country’s last quota of around 3.5 million barrels.
ADNOC also pledged on Sunday to spend $55 billion on new projects over the next two years, confirming that the company is “accelerating growth and delivery of its strategy”.
There is also the risk for OPEC+ that other countries will leave such as Iraq and Kazakhstan, which have faced repeated accusations of surpassing their quotas.
AFP
Business
MDGIF Hunts $20bn in Global Funds for Gas Infrastructure
The Midstream and Downstream Gas Infrastructure Fund (MDGIF) is stepping up efforts to attract international capital for critical gas infrastructure projects as it seeks to help close Nigeria’s estimated $20 billion annual funding gap in the sector.
The Fund is expanding its collaboration with international financial institutions, including a $500 million agreement with the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank), as part of efforts to unlock fresh investment and accelerate the development of Nigeria’s vast gas resources.
Executive Director of the MDGIF, Mr. Oluwole Adama, said the gas infrastructure business remains highly capital-intensive and largely unattractive to conventional commercial lenders because of the long gestation periods and risks associated with such investments.
Adama disclosed this at a recent industry event in Abuja.
He said the Fund was nevertheless supporting about 200 gas infrastructure projects across the country as part of efforts to unlock Nigeria’s estimated 200 trillion cubic feet of gas reserves.
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Adama said the Fund had reached Final Investment Decisions (FID) on 31 projects and supported the construction of more than 200 pieces of gas infrastructure in the past 18 months.
According to him, 10 of the projects have already been commissioned, while another six to eight gas processing plants, as well as more than 50 CNG mother and daughter stations, are expected to be commissioned between October and December 2026.
Established under the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) 2021, the MDGIF was created to de-risk investment in midstream and downstream gas infrastructure and catalyse private sector participation.
Adama said the Fund was deliberately adopting a different financing model by providing “patient capital through equity ownership rather than traditional loans or grants.”
He explained that the strategy was designed to make capital-intensive gas projects more bankable, particularly in an environment where high commercial lending rates make long-term infrastructure financing difficult.
He stressed that greater utilisation of gas was critical to Nigeria’s energy transition, noting that gas offers a cheaper alternative fuel for automobiles and has significant potential to meet other energy needs.
Also speaking at the event, Executive Director, Finance and Accounts, Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), Mr. Abiodun Adeniji, expressed optimism that the planned African Energy Bank would help address the financing challenges confronting the continent’s energy sector.
Adeniji said the bank could provide financing at rates closer to those available in international markets, rather than the double-digit interest rates typically charged by Nigerian commercial banks.
He also called for stronger funding support for the MDGIF, arguing that adequate capital would enable the Fund to play a more effective role in developing the country’s gas infrastructure.
The Fund’s intervention has already attracted significant capital into gas infrastructure projects. In May 2026, the MDGIF was reported to have committed more than N430 billion to gas infrastructure projects nationwide amid the Federal Government’s commissioning of four flagship Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) projects.
At the time, Hussaini Basaka, Director-in-Charge of Project Management at the MDGIF, said the Fund’s investment had helped catalyse substantially larger private sector investments.
“In ballpark terms, the MDGIF has invested over N430 billion and catalysed about ten times that amount, about N1.6 trillion, in investments,” Basaka said.
He disclosed that, for one of the projects in Abuja, the MDGIF took a 45 per cent equity stake through a substantial capital commitment.
Beyond infrastructure financing, the Federal Government has also introduced interventions aimed at accelerating the adoption of CNG as an alternative transport fuel.
In March 2025, the government launched a N2.5 billion credit scheme to support vehicle conversions to CNG and the local manufacturing of conversion kits.
The Presidential Compressed Natural Gas Initiative (PCNGi) said the scheme was designed to reduce transportation and energy costs, expand gas-based mobility and provide financial relief to Nigerians.
Business
Inflation Falls to 15.43% as Food Prices Surge to 20.31% — NBS
Nigeria’s headline inflation rate fell to 15.43 per cent in July 2026, from 15.91 per cent in June, according to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).
The NBS, in its report released on Monday, said the July figure represented a 0.48 percentage-point decline compared with the previous month.
On a month-on-month basis, headline inflation stood at 1.57 per cent in July, down from 1.66 per cent recorded in June.
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The statistics agency explained that the decline meant the average price level increased at a slower rate in July than in the preceding month.
Despite the drop in headline inflation, however, food inflation continued to put pressure on consumers, rising to 20.31 per cent year-on-year in July.
According to the NBS, the increase in food inflation was driven by rising prices of commodities including rice, water yam and plantain.
Food inflation also increased significantly on a month-on-month basis, reaching 5.56 per cent in July, compared with 3.75 per cent in June.
The NBS attributed the monthly increase to changes in the prices of crayfish, fresh pepper, onions, carrots, rice, water yam, tomatoes, garri, plantain, beef, eggs, guinea corn, ginger and plantain flour, among other food items.
At the state level, Adamawa recorded the highest month-on-month food inflation at 17.02 per cent, followed by Lagos at 13.48 per cent and Borno at 13.26 per cent.
Meanwhile, Jigawa, Kebbi and Bauchi recorded declines of 3.68 per cent, 3.67 per cent and 1.85 per cent respectively.
On a year-on-year basis, Adamawa recorded the highest food inflation at 51.36 per cent, followed by Katsina at 30.84 per cent and Zamfara at 30.65 per cent.
Borno recorded a slight decline of 0.31 per cent, while Nasarawa and Kebbi recorded the slowest increases at 6.88 per cent and 12.50 per cent respectively.
The latest figures show that while Nigeria’s overall inflation rate eased in July, food prices remained a major source of pressure on households across the country.
Business
EFCC Brokers Structured Repayment Plan over Nestoil
The Chairman of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), Mr. Olanipekun Olukoyede, has led a major breakthrough in the Commission’s ongoing investigation into the alleged criminal aspects of transactions involving Nestoil Limited and a consortium of its lenders.
At a meeting convened and chaired by the EFCC Chairman, a structured repayment plan was agreed between Nestoil Limited and the consortium of lenders as part of efforts to recover outstanding indebtedness. The agreement has already yielded significant results, with US$60 million recovered from Nestoil Limited and paid to the consortium during the course of the investigation.
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The payment by Nestoil, facilitated by a team of operatives from the EFCC Lagos Zonal Directorate 2 led by the Head of Investigation, Mr. Oguzi Moses, represents a significant milestone in the Commission’s commitment to promoting accountability, protecting the interests of financial institutions, and safeguarding depositors’ funds.
While welcoming the payment as an encouraging development, the consortium of lenders noted that it represents only the first phase of the repayment process, as a substantial portion of the outstanding debt remains to be settled. The lenders reaffirmed their commitment to working closely with the EFCC and other relevant stakeholders to ensure the seamless continuation of the recovery process until the outstanding indebtedness is fully liquidated.
The lenders also reiterated their commitment to supporting the EFCC by providing all relevant documents required for the diligent prosecution of the investigation, while ensuring that all parties comply with the law and that the recovery process remains lawful, transparent, and commercially responsible.
The EFCC reaffirmed its resolve to pursue the investigation to its logical conclusion and to ensure the full recovery of depositors’ funds in accordance with the law.





