NEWS
Tinubu Approves NNPC’s Plan To Spend Federation Dividends On Petrol Subsidy
President Bola Tinubu has approved a measure allowing the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Ltd to allocate the 2023 final dividends due to the federation to cover petrol subsidy expenses.
To bolster NNPC’s cash flow, the president has also sanctioned the suspension of 2024 interim dividend payments.
Additionally, NNPC has notified the president of its inability to remit taxes and royalties to the federation account due to the financial strain caused by the subsidy payments, which it has termed “subsidy shortfall/FX differential.”
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Forecasts from NNPC suggest that the cumulative petrol subsidy bill, which started in August 2023, could reach N6.884 trillion by December 2024. This would result in a deficit of N3.987 trillion in taxes and royalties owed to the federation account.
The total amount of dividends to be withheld or suspended has not been disclosed. NNPC plans to pause interim dividend payments from May to December this year.
Interim dividends, based on monthly inflow projections, are typically shared among the three tiers of government, while final dividends are settled at year-end following reconciliation.
Under the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA), NNPC is required to remit taxes, royalties, and dividends to the federation, its sole shareholder.
However, in June 2024, NNPC alerted President Bola Tinubu that its cash flow was under severe pressure due to the burden of subsidy payments, which threatened the company’s financial stability.
NNPC expressed concerns that it might be unable to sustain petrol imports as the rising subsidy costs, driven by “forex pressure,” continued to escalate.
TheCable reports that Mele Kyari, NNPC’s Group CEO, informed the president that the removal of the subsidy in June 2023 resulted in monthly savings of N400 billion for the federation.
This enabled NNPC to deposit N2.032 trillion in taxes and royalties into a secured account at the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) by January 2024.
Kyari explained that the situation worsened following the naira’s devaluation, leading to a continuous rise in the NAFEX exchange rate.
By August 2023, NNPC’s fuel importation costs had shifted from surplus to deficit, resulting in a subsidy bill of N52.73 billion.
This figure rose to N57.59 billion in September, N212.28 billion in October, and surged to N665.60 billion in November as the exchange rate more than doubled from when the subsidy was initially removed.
The subsidy bill slightly decreased to N537.66 billion in December but spiked again to N693.67 billion by January 2024.
In February, the bill dropped to N592.09 billion and further declined to N497.39 billion in March.
However, it surged once more to N833.68 billion in April, prompting Kyari to issue an urgent appeal to the president.
He stated that the mounting costs have placed “undue pressure” on NNPC, preventing it from remitting taxes and royalties to the federation account.
Kyari also warned that the country’s energy security is at risk, as NNPC may struggle to maintain petrol imports “beyond July 2024.”
In presenting his case to the president, Kyari highlighted that NNPC had implemented various strategies between August 2023 and April 2024, but the situation remained dire.
The measures included enhancing oil production by tackling theft and vandalism, rescheduling debts and initiating forward sales, deferring payments to suppliers and contractors, postponing non-essential projects, and intensifying debt recovery efforts.
Despite these interventions, projections indicated a worsening cash flow deficit driven primarily by the exchange rate fluctuations.
According to NNPC, while an estimated N3.987 trillion in taxes and royalties is expected to be owed to the federation account by December 2024, the company would still face an outstanding N2.897 trillion after reconciling its obligations and subsidy shortfalls.
Kyari urged President Tinubu to approve the use of the 2023 final dividends due to the federation and to delay the 2024 interim dividends to offset the subsidy costs.
It was understood that Tinubu granted Kyari’s request on June 6, 2024.
Recall that in August 2023, when President Tinubu was considering reintroducing the petrol subsidy, his spokesman, Ajuri Ngelale, promptly denied the claim, insisting there was no reversal on the new policy.
However, internal communications between NNPC and the president now frequently reference the term “subsidy.”
It is believed that the All Progressives Congress (APC) government prefers to avoid the term due to its historical use as a key argument against the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) during the 2015 election campaign, when the “subsidy scam” narrative helped dislodge the PDP from power.
During the Muhammadu Buhari administration, the term “under recovery” was used as a substitute for “subsidy,” although the word “subsidy” eventually reappeared in official discourse later on.
The Tinubu administration’s official stance is that “subsidy is gone.” Despite this, NNPC projects that over N5 trillion will be spent on subsidy payments this year alone.
When the subsidy was initially removed in June 2023, the exchange rate stood at N463/$, but it has since surged to approximately N1,500/$. Combined with high crude oil prices, this has created a “double whammy” for NNPC in managing fuel import costs.
NNPC utilizes a “derived FX rate” to keep petrol prices between N600 and N700 per litre. The gap between this derived rate and the official exchange rate represents the subsidy or FX differential.
NEWS
Fuel Price Shock: Nigerians May Soon Pay ₦1,500 Per Litre – Marketers Warn
Oil marketers have warned that Nigerians may soon pay as much as ₦1,500 per litre for Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), commonly known as petrol, as global oil prices surge following the escalating conflict involving Iran in the Middle East.
The National President of the Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria (PETROAN), Dr. Billy Gillis-Harry, issued the warning on Tuesday while speaking on a television programme on the impact of the global crisis on fuel prices.
According to him, the current volatility in the international oil market has already pushed petrol prices above ₦1,000 per litre at the depot level, with the ex-depot price from the Dangote Petroleum Refinery now standing at about ₦1,175 per litre.
He explained that once logistics, transportation, and other operational costs are added, the final pump price could rise significantly, possibly reaching ₦1,500 per litre in the near future.
Despite concerns about the rising cost of fuel, Gillis-Harry noted that steady availability of petroleum products from the Dangote Refinery remains a major relief for Nigeria, stressing that consistent supply is better than a nationwide fuel scarcity.
He added that the refinery’s production capacity is helping to stabilize supply across the country at a time when global markets remain highly unstable.
The latest price adjustment by the Dangote Refinery marks the fourth review within two weeks. Petrol prices increased from ₦995 per litre to ₦1,175 per litre, while diesel rose from ₦1,430 to about ₦1,620 per litre.
The development comes amid a sharp spike in international crude oil prices triggered by fears of supply disruptions due to the ongoing Middle East conflict.
Brent crude recently climbed above $102 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose to around $101 per barrel.
Industry analysts say the rising oil prices are already having a ripple effect on Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector, forcing depot operators and fuel marketers to adjust their prices in response to the global market trend.
Meanwhile, the management of Dangote Petroleum Refinery has stated that although Nigeria introduced a crude-for-naira arrangement to support local refineries, the facility still purchases crude oil at international market prices, leaving it exposed to global price fluctuations.
NEWS
Global Crisis: Attacks on Schools Skyrocket 166% – UN Sounds Alarm on Children’s Safety
The United Nations has raised the alarm over a dramatic surge in attacks on schools worldwide, reporting a 166% increase between 2021 and 2024.
The rise highlights the escalating dangers faced by children in conflict zones.
United Nations Deputy High Commissioner for Human Rights, Nada Al-Nashif, revealed the figures during the annual meeting of the UN Human Rights Council on the rights of the child on Monday.
The session, themed “Mainstreaming the Rights of Children in Armed Conflict: Prevention and Protection,” focused on protecting children amid global conflicts.
Al-Nashif noted that the attacks were particularly concentrated in Sudan, Ukraine, the Gaza Strip, Myanmar, and Ethiopia, where children remain among the most vulnerable victims.
“In 2024, armed conflict directly affected nearly one in six children globally—about 470 million children,” she said. “Years of lost education, trauma, and lasting mental scars shape societies for generations. Long after the fighting subsides, children continue to face deadly risks.”
She highlighted Gaza as having the world’s highest number of child amputees per capita, warning that the impact of war goes far beyond immediate violence.
In Lebanon, government figures show that more than 450,000 people were displaced in less than a week, with at least 394 fatalities, including 83 children, during the 2024 conflict with Israel.
Al-Nashif also stressed the disproportionate risks for displaced children, who are more likely to die from disease linked to unsafe water and sanitation than from direct violence.
In the Democratic Republic of Congo, a 2025 cholera outbreak killed 340 children, underscoring the long-term consequences of conflict.
She called on states to uphold their international obligations to protect children, insisting that protecting children is “both a legal obligation and a humanitarian moral imperative.”
Also speaking at the council, Vanessa Frazier, Special Representative of the UN Secretary-General for Children and Armed Conflict, warned that violence against children continued at extreme levels in 2025.
She urged mainstreaming child protection across peace, security, humanitarian, human rights, and development efforts, emphasizing that children should actively participate in shaping policies designed to safeguard them.
Frazier highlighted her office’s global campaign, “Prove It Matters,” aimed at amplifying children’s voices in conflict resolution and peacebuilding.
The UN report underscores the urgent need for coordinated international action to protect children and ensure their safety in conflict zones worldwide.
International News
After Turbulent Elections, Portugal Swears In Seguro as President
Portugal officially inaugurated its new president, Antonio Jose Seguro, on Monday, pledging to bring stability to a nation shaken by political uncertainty and natural disasters.
Seguro, the centre-left candidate, won last month’s presidential run-off against far-right rival Andre Ventura, following weeks of catastrophic storms that killed at least seven people and caused approximately €4 billion ($4.6 billion) in damage.
Speaking at his swearing-in ceremony in Lisbon’s parliament, Seguro emphasized cooperation with the minority right-wing government and vowed to end the country’s “electoral frenzy.”
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“I will do everything I can to put an end to this electoral frenzy,” he said, pointing to the inability of previous governments to complete their terms.
Amid global crises, including conflicts in the Middle East and a more isolationist US approach under President Donald Trump, Seguro stressed the importance of multilateralism.
“The force of law has been replaced by the power of the strongest,” he remarked.
Seguro succeeds Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, a conservative who leaves office at 77 after serving two five-year terms.
While the Portuguese presidency is largely ceremonial, Seguro’s leadership signals a commitment to political stability and international engagement.





