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United States and allies no longer needs Nigerian Oil-investigation

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President Obama

President Obama

 

LAGOS-THERE are high indications that the United States of America and a major part of its western allies may no require Nigerian crude oil to run their country.

This is propelled by surging shale output as the United States is fighting for supremacy in the global oil market even as a pullback in crude prices threatens to challenge the boom.

The US, which is just coming out of debilitating economic recession may have already overtaken other petroleum giants. In terms of crude alone, the US pumped 8.8 million barrels a day in September, still a distance from Russia’s 10.6 million barrels and Saudi Arabia’s 9.7 million, according to official sources.

But when natural gas liquids are included, the US extracted 11.5 million barrels in August, essentially level with OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia, according to data from the International Energy Agency. Regardless of whether it is at or near the top of the global petroleum pecking order, the US is rethinking its decades-old ban on oil exports in light of the boom as energy emerges as an increasingly important foundation of the US economy. At the same time, the US boom “has been changing the worldwide market,” said James Williams, energy economist for WTRG Economics. “It’s the thing that has put pressure on OPEC. ”The pace of growth has been staggering, with US output rising nearly 60 percent since its low in 2008.During previous booms, the US added one million barrels per day of output over the course of a decade.“ Today we’re growing supplies by one million barrels every year,” said Francisco Blanch, head of commodity research at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

“This is by far the biggest and fastest expansion in US oil production in history.”– Nigerian oil not needed –The boom in US oil output has sharply cut the amount of crude the US imports from leading petroleum producers, freeing up more oil for overseas markets and sometime pressuring prices.In July, the US imported no oil from OPEC member Nigeria for the first time since 1973.

“There’s no reason for it now, because we have more light oil from the Bakken, Eagle Ford and the Permian Basin,” Williams said. “We have too much light oil. ”The boom has also spawned calls from oil industry players to ease the US embargo on crude exports, which has been in place since the 1970s oil shocks. Some manufacturers also endorse the move. A report Tuesday by the Aspen Institute said lifting the ban would boost durable goods production by some $8 billion by 2017, in part due to greater sales of mining and construction equipment.

Even as the crude exports ban remains in place, US regulators have shown leniency in allowing more oil-based exports. Exports of diesel and other petroleum products have soared over the last five years.US oil exports reached 420,000 barrels a day in early October, the highest level since 1957. These gains have come from shipments of minimally refined oil. Some companies are also building special refineries to permit such exports.

Consultancy Wood Mackenzie predicted “incremental policy changes” to US trade practices rather than “a material change in the overall export policy.”– Boom at risk? –The IEA has projected that US oil production will continue to increase through 2020, but will level off soon thereafter. However continued growth depends heavily on commodity prices and US output could suffer disproportionately from a big retreat in prices. Surging US production has been a major factor in the 20 percent decline in oil prices since June, even though political tensions have remained high through many parts of the oil-rich Middle East and North Africa region.

 

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NNPC Discovers Over 4,800 Illegal Pipeline Connections

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited  has revealed the detection of more than 4,800 unauthorized connections on oil pipelines within the country, painting a troubling image of the nation’s primary source of revenue.

Mele Kyari, the Group Chief Executive Officer of NNPC Ltd, communicated this information to the Senate Committee on Appropriations last Friday.

He said, “We have over 4,800 illegal connections on our pipelines. That means in some lines, within 100 kilometres of pipelines, you have as much as 300 insertions.

“Therefore, even when you produce the oil, you cannot deliver them at the required pressure and therefore the volume will also be less.”

As per the NNPC Ltd chief, individuals from various regions enter the Niger Delta, inserting unauthorized connections on pipelines in Nigeria’s oil-producing area.

This recent revelation follows a prior discovery of 295 illegal connections to the pipelines by the firm a year ago, underscoring the escalating issue of crude oil theft in Nigeria.

Two years earlier, Kyari had highlighted the country’s daily loss of 200,000 barrels of oil, amounting to $13 million due to theft and vandalism.

He further stated “We have two sets of losses, one coming from our products and the other coming from crude oil. In terms of crude losses, it is still going on. On the average, we are losing 200,000 barrels of crude every day.”

After the discovery, Nigeria’s security forces pledged to enhance security around the country’s pipelines.

To bolster this, the Federal Government granted a multi-billion naira pipelines surveillance contract to Tantita Security Services, headed by former militant leader Government Ekpemepulo, also known as Tompolo.

Despite facing criticism for this decision, Senator Heineken Lokpobiri, the Minister of State for Petroleum, remains convinced that it was the appropriate course of action.

In August, following a tour of oil facilities in the Niger Delta, Senator Heineken Lokpobiri expressed gratitude to Tantita, commissioned by NNPC Ltd, for their ongoing work.

He also hinted at plans for further extensive endeavors in the future.

In 2021, after extensive debate and delays, the Petroleum Industry Bill was finally passed to attract increased foreign investment into the oil sector through amendments to regulations, royalties, and taxes.

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Dangote Refinery Set To Begin Fuel Production With First Crude Arrival

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Nigeria’s colossal $19 billion Dangote Refinery, after encountering several setbacks, is on the verge of kickstarting fuel production.

This achievement is heralded by the arrival of the first crude shipment, transported by the OTIS tanker carrying 950,000 barrels of Nigeria’s Agbami crude.

S&P Global, citing industry sources and tanker tracking data on spglobal.com, reported the tanker’s departure on December 6, en route to Lekki, the nearest land port to Dangote’s offshore crude receiving terminal.

Scheduled to reach its destination around 8 PM on December 7, the arrival of this shipment signifies the commencement of crude supplies for the refinery’s operations.

Chartered by the state-owned Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC), the Suezmax tanker is an emblem of the initial crude supply to Dangote’s cutting-edge refinery, as disclosed by a West African oil trader familiar with the matter in the S&P report.

Even though the refinery was officially completed in May, the absence of domestic crude feedstock had hindered oil product manufacturing.

To address this, the NNPC, holding a 20% stake in the refinery, struck an agreement to provide 6 million barrels of crude oil as feedstock to the Dangote refinery in December.

This move aims to jumpstart operations and overcome the previous impediments.

Agbami, operated by Chevron, holds a prominent position among Nigeria’s major deepwater developments, producing around 100,000 barrels per day in the central Niger Delta.

Known for its light sweet crude qualities, with a specific gravity of 47.9 API and a low sulfur content of 0.04%, Agbami produces substantial amounts of naphtha and kerosene.

NNPC has chartered additional shipments from different Nigerian offshore fields to the refinery, marking the start of a sequence of planned crude supplies for the month, as mentioned by the oil trader.

Located on the outskirts of Lagos, Nigeria’s commercial hub, the Dangote Refinery encountered repeated delays since its 2013 announcement, despite significant installation progress in 2019.

The refinery, designed to handle multiple crudes simultaneously, targets three Nigerian crude grades—Escravos, Bonny Light, and Forcados. When operating at full capacity, it aims to produce 327,000 barrels per day (b/d) of gasoline, 244,000 b/d of gasoil/diesel, 56,000 b/d of jet fuel/kerosene, and 290,000 metric tons per year of propane/LPG.

Dangote’s operations starting signify Nigeria’s hopes to lessen its reliance on gasoline imports, addressing the deficiencies of its existing refineries undergoing repairs. This shift is poised to reshape Nigeria’s oil industry, potentially leading to gasoline self-sufficiency by the 2040s.

Dangote officials anticipate an initial output of 370,000 barrels per day (b/d), emphasizing jet fuel and diesel production.

Industry analysts, however, project the refinery to reach its full operational capacity by mid-2025, although potential delays remain a looming concern.

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NNPCL Sets Dec 2024 Terminal Date For Fuel Importation

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) has announced intentions to cease importing refined petroleum products by December 2024, anticipating full operational functionality for all national refineries by that time.

Group CEO, NNPC Ltd, Mele Kyari, shared this at a meeting with Speaker Tajudeen Abbas of the House of Representatives, who advocated for the privatisation of Nigeria’s refineries on Thursday.

Projections indicated the national oil firm’s revenue could climb to N4.5 trillion by the conclusion of 2023. Moreover, the rehabilitation of the Port Harcourt Refining Company, managed by NNPCL, was slated for completion by December of the current year.

Meanwhile, Oil marketers verified on Thursday that the Port Harcourt refinery is set for operations, potentially starting in January 2024. They emphasized that once operational, this refinery could notably reduce the prices of refined petroleum products.

During the meeting in Abuja, Kyari asserted Nigeria’s intention to cease importing refined petroleum products by 2024, envisioning the country’s emergence as a net exporter of these commodities within the same year.

He outlined the plans for launching operations at the Port Harcourt, Warri, and Kaduna refineries.

Kyari reiterated that all refineries would operate at full capacity, ultimately paving the way for Nigeria to transition into a net exporter of petroleum products by the conclusion of 2024.

He attributed the inactivity of Nigeria’s refineries over the years to the petroleum subsidy, emphasizing that the removal of this subsidy was drawing significant private-sector investments into the sector.

Kyari said “I can confirm to you that by the end of December this year, we will start the Port Harcourt refinery; early in the first quarter of 2024, we will start the Warri refinery and by the end of 2024, Kaduna refinery will come into operation.

“This is the commitment we are giving today and you can hold us accountable for this. In 2024, many of the initiatives including the rehabilitation of our refineries and also the efforts of small-scale refineries, and the upcoming Dangote refinery, will make Nigeria a net exporter of petroleum products in 2024.

“We will no longer be talking about fuel importation by the end of 2024. I am very optimistic that this will crystallise.

Kyari promised that by the conclusion of 2023, the government’s anticipated revenue from the company would reach N4.5 trillion, emphasizing NNPCL’s adherence to the Petroleum Industry Act and its commitment to delivering value to shareholders.

Recall that in October 2023, it was reported that Nigeria’s monthly spending on the importation of Premium Motor Spirit, known as petrol, had reached approximately N843 billion due to NNPCL’s cessation of oil swaps.

In July of this year, the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority reported that during the post-deregulation period, spanning June 1 to June 28, 2023, the country’s total petrol consumption amounted to 1.36 billion litres, with an average daily consumption of 48.43 million litres.

The average ex-depot price of petrol, sourced solely from NNPCL as the importer, stands at about N580 per litre.

However, both NNPCL and oil marketers declared on Thursday that this substantial oil import expenditure would soon diminish.

They anticipated a drop once the Port Harcourt refinery commences production of refined petroleum products from January 2024, barring any unforeseen circumstances.

 

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