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Why Tinubu ‘Sneaked-In’ Subsidy On Petrol

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#NigeriaDecides: Tinubu Defeats Atiku In Jigawa, Wins 19 Of 27 LGAs

It would appear that an interplay of market forces, business interests, political pressure and harsh economic realities have forced the hand of the Nigerian Government to reintroduce subsidy on Premium Motor Spirit, known along the streets as petrol, albeit secretly.

Reliable media sources, reported that the President Bola Ahmed Tinubu administration paid N169.4bn subsidy in August, 2023.

Citing documents from the Federal Account Allocation Committee (FAAC), the report revealed that the subsidy was funded from dividends paid by the Nigerian Liquefied Natural Gas (NLNG) to the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL), which amounted to $275m.

It was gathered that the NNPCL expended $220m (N169.4bn at N770/$) out of the $275m to pay for the PMS subsidy in the month of August.

In addition, The Punch cites the National Public Relations Officer, Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, Chinedu Ukadike, thus, “I told you earlier that there is no way that the government will sustain the price of petrol at N617/litre without paying subsidy on it, going by the continued fall of the naira.

“The dollar is almost N990 at the parallel market currently, and you can see the effect of this on the pump price of diesel. Diesel is close to N1,000/litre, so the retail price of PMS should be around N890 to N900/litre.

“Therefore, it is better the government assists the masses by paying subsidy. From our records, in the United States, the super product or petrol is sold around $3.9, which is close to about N3,000/litre.

“The premium product is sold at about $2.89, which is over N2,000/litre. And if you check in other African countries you will find out that the product is being sold at between N1,200 and N1,500. But going by the forex rate in Nigeria, it should be around N900/litre.”

Biztellers gathered that aside market forces (local and global), scarcity of forex, fragile economic underbelly and a ready-to-explode civil society and labour elements sent jitters to government quarters, thereby compelling a reintroduction of the subsidy regime.

According to dealers in the downstream oil sector, the cost of crude oil and the exchange rate of the naira-dollar accounted for over 80 percent of the cost of PMS.

For instance, the global benchmark for oil, Brent crude, rose to about $95/barrel on Thursday.

It had peaked to $97/barrel the preceding day, which was the highest figure in 2023.

Recall that oil had started the year at about $82/barrel, dipped to $70/barrel in June, but traded above $94/barrel in the past week.

It is noteworthy that the naira continued its downward trend after exchanging to the dollar at 980 on the parallel market on Wednesday.

And this is just seven days after the naira was exchanged to the dollar at 950/$.

Oil Marketers maintained that forex crisis and the recent rise in crude price, had made it impossible for petrol price to still remain at N617/litre.

According to them, the FG had quietly reintroduced fuel subsidy.

Biztellers findings show that the subsidised ex-depot price of petrol as sold by NNPCL, was between N585 and N600 depending on area of purchase.

By subtracting the ex-depot cost of N600/litre from the projected unsubsidised rate of N890/litre, that the government may have been spending about N290/litre as subsidy currently.

Data from the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) showed that between June 1 to June 28, 2023, which was described as the post-deregulation period, the total petrol consumption across the country stood at 1.36 billion litres, while the average daily consumption was 48.43 million litres.

With an average daily consumption of 48.43 million litres and an estimated subsidy of N290/litre, the government could be incurring N14.04bn as subsidy daily, while this could rise to N421.3bn monthly.

This has the potential of rising to as high as N1.68tn for the months of September, October, November and December 2023, should the naira continues its fall against the dollar and crude price maintains its upward surge.

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Fire Ravages Gombe Technology Centre, N4m Property Lost

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A fire outbreak has ravaged part of the Technology Incubation Centre near the Police Headquarters in Gombe, destroying property estimated at N4 million.

The incident occurred on Friday and affected five shops at the centre, according to the Federal Fire Service, Gombe State Command.

The command said its prompt intervention prevented the fire from spreading further, enabling firefighters to save property estimated at N15 million.

SEE MORE:Tragedy Strikes Algeria: Orphanage Fire Kills 11, Injures 19

The Federal Fire Service said it received a distress call about the incident at approximately 10:14 a.m., after which a multipurpose water tender was immediately deployed to the scene.

The firefighting operation was led by ASF II Mukhtar Shehu, with IF Bernard serving as the driver.

The crew successfully contained the blaze and extinguished it using one medium jet of water.

According to the command, four of the five affected shops were successfully saved, limiting the extent of the damage.

The command’s Public Relations Officer, ASF MB Muazu, said firefighters carried out a thorough inspection after extinguishing the flames and confirmed that there was no immediate threat of re-ignition.

Muazu said, “The Federal Fire Service, Gombe State Command, has successfully contained a fire outbreak involving five shops at the Technology Incubation Centre, near the Police Headquarters, Gombe.”

He added, “Four of the five affected shops were successfully saved, with property estimated at N15m salvaged, while the estimated loss stood at approximately N4m.”

The fire appliance and crew returned to the station at about 11:09 a.m. after confirming that the fire had been completely extinguished.

The Federal Fire Service reaffirmed its commitment to responding promptly to emergencies and protecting lives and property.

Muazu urged members of the public to report fire incidents promptly and adhere to basic fire safety precautions to prevent avoidable losses.

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OPEC Hails Tinubu’s Reforms, Oil Output on Nigeria’s Economy

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2021 Global Oil Demand Growth Stands at 5.7 mb/d - OPEC

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has expressed the view that Nigeria’s positive economic outlook is predicated on the strategic reforms of the President Bola Ahmed Tinubu administration and improved crude oil output.

The views were expressed in its latest assessment of the Nigerian economy, in which it noted that the country’s economy expanded by 3.9 percent year-on-year in Q1, 2026.

It added that the growth rate was only slightly below the 4.0 percent recorded in the fourth quarter of 2025, a confirmation that economic growth remained close to recent highs.

ALSO READ: NMDPRA Licenses LCFE for Petroleum Liquids Trading

According to the oil producers’ organisation, the non-oil economy continued to provide the main support for growth, with activity driven by agriculture, manufacturing, construction, trade, finance and insurance.

It pointed out that higher oil output had also improved fiscal revenues, foreign exchange inflows and external buffers. “The economy expanded by 3.9 percent, year-on-year, in 1Q26, only slightly below the 4Q25 pace of 4.0 percent, confirming that growth remains close to recent highs,” OPEC stated.

The organisation said survey indicators pointed to continued, though moderating, momentum in private-sector activity. It noted that the Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) eased to 52.5 in July, from 53.4 in June and 54.1 in May.

The July reading, it said, was the weakest since March but still signalled a sixth consecutive monthly improvement in private-sector conditions. The OPEC said firms again reported a marked increase in new orders, supported by improved customer demand, better pricing and new product launches.

It added that output and employment also rose modestly during the month. The organisation predicted that higher domestic refining capacity, particularly improved fuel supply from the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals (DPRP), should further support energy availability and reduce some of the pressures associated with petroleum imports.

“Higher domestic refining capacity, including improved fuel supply from the Dangote refinery, should continue to support energy availability and reduce some import-related pressures,” OPEC stated.

The DPRP, with a nameplate capacity of 650,000 barrels per day, has become a major source of locally refined petroleum products as its operations have expanded.

The refinery’s increased supply of petrol and other refined products has also reduced some of the country’s reliance on imported petroleum products, in line with the impact highlighted by the OPEC.

On inflation, the OPEC said pressures had begun to soften, with headline inflation standing at 15.9 percent year-on-year in both June and May. “The July PMI pointed to softening input costs, despite higher fuel and raw material costs,” the organisation stated.

The report said the moderation in input costs was an indication that some cost pressures facing businesses had begun to ease, although higher fuel and raw material costs remained a challenge.

The OPEC said Nigeria’s near-term outlook remained positive, with oil production, reform progress, infrastructure investment and stronger business activity providing support.

“Overall, Nigeria’s near-term outlook remains positive, supported by oil production, progress on reforms, infrastructure investment, and stronger business activity,” it stated.

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State Police Bill: FG Extends Deadline for Nigerians to Submit Memoranda

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The Presidential Working Group on the National Policing Bill has extended the deadline for the submission of memoranda and position papers on the proposed legislation to Friday, August 21, 2026.

The extension, announced on Thursday, is aimed at giving Nigerians, institutions and other stakeholders more time to prepare and submit substantive contributions to the proposed reform of the country’s policing architecture.

SEE ALSO: Tinubu Pushes State Police, Sends Constitutional Amendment Bill to Reps

Chairman of the Working Group and Chief of Staff to President Bola Tinubu, Femi Gbajabiamila, said the additional time was necessary to ensure broad consultation and enable stakeholders to make well-considered and technically sound contributions.

“The Presidential Working Group is committed to ensuring that the process of developing the National Policing Bill benefits from broad consultation and the informed perspectives of Nigerians and relevant stakeholders.

“The proposed legislation is intended to provide the operational, administrative, institutional and funding framework necessary for an effective policing architecture that responds to Nigeria’s evolving security needs while providing appropriate safeguards for accountability, professionalism and the protection of citizens’ rights,” Gbajabiamila said.

The Working Group had initially set August 13 as the deadline for public submissions but has now shifted it to 5:00 p.m. WAT on August 21.

Gbajabiamila urged legal practitioners, civil society organisations, security sector professionals, state governments, professional bodies, academics, experts and other interested members of the public to take advantage of the extension.

“All submissions must be made on or before 5:00 p.m. WAT on Friday, August 21, 2026, exclusively through the official National Policing Bill portal, nationalpolicingbill.com,” he stated.

According to the Working Group, the proposed legislation will address critical areas including sustainable funding, command and control structures, recruitment and training standards, operational jurisdiction, inter-agency coordination, accountability mechanisms and safeguards against political interference or abuse.

Gbajabiamila said these issues make extensive stakeholder engagement essential to producing a policing framework that is effective, accountable, sustainable and responsive to the security needs of communities across the federation.

“The Working Group recognises that developing an effective policing framework requires careful consideration of critical issues, including sustainable funding, command and control structures, recruitment and training standards, operational jurisdiction, inter-agency coordination, accountability mechanisms and safeguards against political interference or abuse.

“These considerations underscore the importance of robust stakeholder engagement in developing a framework that is effective, accountable, sustainable and responsive to the peculiar security needs of communities across the Federation,” he said.

The Working Group, inaugurated by President Tinubu to develop the legal framework for the implementation of state police, is expected to present a final, implementation-ready draft of the National Policing Bill for onward legislative processing.

The proposed bill is being developed alongside the constitutional amendment process required to establish state police, with the legislation expected to provide the detailed operational framework for federal and state policing.

 

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