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DPRP Supplies 5.84bn Litres of PMS in Nigerian

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Dangote Refinery to Open Global Markets for Nigeria’s Downstream, Midstream Sectors

The Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals (DPRP) supplied about 5.84 billion litres of petrol to the Nigerian market in the first five months of 2026, which amounts to about 81.4 percent of total supply.

This was detailed in trend statistics from the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) for the period.

This is as the legal fireworks from the matter instituted by the DPRP over the continued importation of the product into Nigeria continue ragging.

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A review of supply data for January to May showed that the refinery supplied approximately 5.836 billion litres of petrol during the period, while importers brought in about 1.330 billion litres, bringing total market supply to roughly 7.166 billion litres.

Further checks indicated that for every litre of imported petrol, Dangote supplied about 4.4 litres, reinforcing the refinery’s growing dominance of Nigeria’s downstream market.

According to the data, the refinery supplied an average of 40.1 million litres per day in January, translating to about 1.243 billion litres for the month, while marketers imported 24.8 million litres daily or approximately 768.8 million litres during the same period.

This means that during that month, Dangote accounted for 61.8 per cent of combined supply, while imports represented 38.2 per cent. Besides, national petrol consumption averaged 60.2 million litres per day during the month, while the refinery operated at 61.27 percent capacity utilisation.

In February, the data showed that the DPRP supplied 36.6 million litres daily, equivalent to about 1.025 billion litres for the month, while imports plunged to 3 million litres per day or 84 million litres in total.

The refinery’s share of market supply rose sharply to 92.4 percent, leaving imports with just 7.6 percent. Consumption averaged 56.9 million litres daily, while capacity utilisation increased significantly to 78.24 percent.

The figures come amid an ongoing court case initiated by the DPRP seeking to halt the issuance of import licences for petrol and other refined petroleum products that can be sufficiently produced locally. The refinery has argued that continued importation undermines investments, discourages domestic refining and weakens Nigeria’s drive towards energy independence.

Also, the DPRP and supporters of the refinery’s position contend that by banning imports, Nigeria would conserve scarce foreign exchange, create jobs and deepen industrialisation. They maintain that allowing substantial imports into a market where local production capacity exists sends the wrong signal to investors.

However, the oil marketers and other stakeholders opposed to a complete halt in imports have argued that maintaining access to foreign supplies remains necessary to guarantee competition and prevent excessive market concentration.

According to them, allowing multiple suppliers helps ensure price discovery, protects consumers from potential supply disruptions and prevents a situation in which a single dominant refinery effectively controls the market. A fully liberalised downstream sector, they argue, should permit marketers to source products from any supplier, local or foreign, provided they meet regulatory requirements and offer competitive pricing.

Similarly, according to them, imports provide an important balancing mechanism and ensure that supply remains stable whenever local production falls below national demand. The outcome of the legal dispute is expected to shape the future structure of Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector.

Still on the NMDPRA data, in March, Dangote supplied 34.2 million litres per day, amounting to approximately 1.060 billion litres during the month. Marketers imported 5.9 million litres daily or about 182.9 million litres in total. During that month, Dangote’s share of supply stood at 85.3 percent compared to imports’ 14.7 percent. Also, national consumption averaged 47.3 million litres daily, while refinery utilisation climbed further to 93.62 percent.

In April, the refinery supplied 40.7 million litres daily or approximately 1.221 billion litres during the month, while imports stood at 3.7 million litres daily, translating to about 111 million litres. Dangote accounted for 91.7 per cent of total supply, while imports represented 8.3 percent, with national consumption averaging 51.1 million litres daily and the refinery operating at 99.22 percent utilisation.

In the same vein, in May, the Dangote Refinery supplied 41.5 million litres daily, equivalent to approximately 1.287 billion litres during the month, while imports stood at 5.9 million litres daily or about 182.9 million litres in total.

The DPRP’s market share for the month stood at 87.5 percent compared to imports’ 12.5 percent, while national consumption averaged 47.4 million litres daily. The refinery utilisation reached 101.25 percent, the highest so far since it started operation.

Overall, the analysis showed that the refinery’s capacity utilisation rose steadily from 61.27 percent in January to 101.25 percent in May, underscoring the increasing role of the facility in meeting domestic fuel demand.

Over the same period, imports declined dramatically from 768.8 million litres in January to 84 million litres in February before fluctuating between 111 million litres and 182.9 million litres in subsequent months.

The data further showed that the DPRP exceeded imported volumes by about 474.3 million litres in January, 940.8 million litres in February, 877.3 million litres in March, 1.110 billion litres in April and 1.104 billion litres in May, highlighting the widening gap between local refining output and imported supplies.

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Why SPE Tips Nigeria to Attain 3mbpd Oil Output by 2030

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The Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE) Nigeria Council is of the view that the country will achieve three million barrels of oil production per day by 2030.

Biztellers reports that the thoughts are predicated on the oil and gas sector regaining global investor confidence owing to reforms, transparent licensing rounds and accelerated gas development reposition, factors that have combined to make the country an attractive investment destination for major global players in the sector.

Chairman of the SPE Nigeria Council, Francis Nwaochei, stated this at the opening ceremony of the 49th Nigeria Annual International Conference and Exhibition (NAICE 2026) in Lagos on Monday.

The NAICE 2026 is holding under the theme: Thriving in the Evolving Global Energy Landscape: Collaborative Growth and Resilience”.

ALSO READ: How Will Local Petrol Prices Respond to Tumbling Oil Prices?

He said the recent policy reforms and coordinated actions by government and industry stakeholders were restoring confidence across the petroleum sector after years of declining investment.

According to him, Nigeria’s energy industry is entering a new phase driven by regulatory reforms, improved transparency, indigenous capacity and renewed efforts to attract long term capital.

He cited the successful conclusion of the 2025 Licensing Round, in which 31 companies emerged winners of 37 oil and gas blocks, as evidence of renewed investor appetite and a more transparent competitive bidding process.

“The industry is not standing still. The conclusion of recent licensing and bid rounds signals renewed investor interest and a more transparent competitive process.” The SPE Nigeria Council Chairman noted that the Federal Government’s Decade of Gas initiative was steadily positioning natural gas as the foundation for industrialisation, improved electricity supply, cleaner energy access and economic diversification. He also described the Federal Government’s planned N4 trillion government-backed bond to settle verified debts owed to electricity generation companies and gas suppliers as a significant intervention that would restore liquidity, improve bankability and strengthen confidence across Nigeria’s power and gas value chain.

According to him, these developments complement the broader vision of the Federal Government to increase crude oil production, deepen gas commercialisation and create a more predictable and investor-friendly operating environment.

He noted that the Ministers of State for Petroleum Resources, the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd), the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) had consistently aligned around the goal of attracting investment, improving regulatory efficiency, expanding gas utilisation and growing Nigeria’s production capacity to three million barrels per day by 2030.

“The reforms, investments, regulatory actions and industry commitments we are witnessing today are the beginning of what resilience truly means for Nigeria’s energy industry,” he said.

Nwaochei said Nigeria possesses significant competitive advantages, including abundant hydrocarbon resources, resilient indigenous operators, world-class technical professionals and an expanding technology ecosystem capable of supporting long-term industry growth.

He, however, stressed that sustaining the industry’s momentum would require policy consistency, stronger regulatory coordination, technology deployment, local content development and greater collaboration among government, operators and investors.

“Nigeria’s energy future will be determined not only by the resources beneath our soil, but by how we develop technical solutions to our unique challenges, the quality of our leadership, the strength of our institutions, the clarity and stability of our policies, our willingness to innovate and our commitment to collaboration,” he said.

He urged participants at the three-day conference to move beyond identifying industry challenges and instead develop practical, implementable solutions capable of positioning Nigeria as a globally competitive energy destination.

The conference, one of Africa’s largest annual gatherings of petroleum professionals, will attract government officials, regulators, international and indigenous oil companies, service providers, investors, researchers, technology firms and students from Nigeria and other countries to discuss the future of the energy industry.

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How Will Local Petrol Prices Respond to Tumbling Oil Prices?

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The world is witnessing a sharp drop in crude oil prices, which raises the issue of how the domestic market would react to the global trend.

The fall in oil prices came on Monday after United States President Donald Trump signalled a shift from military action against Iran to renewed diplomatic talks, easing fears of a wider conflict in the Middle East. The development calmed global oil markets, where traders had been worried that fighting in the region could disrupt crude supplies.

Brent crude, the international benchmark used to price Nigerian oil, dropped by more than 4.8 per cent to around $83.70 per barrel, while the U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell by over 5 percent to about $79.60 per barrel. The decline marked one of the biggest single-day losses in recent months.

The price drop followed Trump’s announcement that he had suspended plans for a military strike on Iran and was instead pursuing a deal aimed at ending tensions over Tehran’s nuclear programme and reopening the strategic Strait of Hormuz.

In a message posted on his Truth Social platform, Trump said: “Iran and all other players have requested time to finalize a deal.”

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The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s busiest oil shipping routes, with nearly a fifth of global crude exports passing through it. Any threat to shipping in the area usually pushes oil prices higher because traders fear supply shortages.

For weeks, uncertainty surrounding the conflict had driven oil prices sharply upward, raising the cost of petrol, diesel, aviation fuel and other refined products across many countries, including Nigeria.

Energy analysts say the latest decline in crude prices could eventually translate into lower fuel prices if the trend continues.

Nigeria now operates a deregulated downstream petroleum market, meaning petrol prices largely reflect global crude prices, exchange rates, shipping costs and local distribution expenses.

When crude oil becomes cheaper, the cost of producing refined petroleum products also falls. If marketers are able to buy fuel at lower international prices, consumers could benefit through reduced pump prices, although the adjustment may not happen immediately.

Industry experts, however, caution that Nigerians should not expect an instant reduction because local petrol prices are also influenced by the naira’s exchange rate, transportation costs, taxes and marketers’ existing inventories purchased at higher prices.

They note that marketers typically sell existing stock before adjusting prices to reflect lower replacement costs.

Market still watching Middle East Despite Monday’s sharp decline, analysts say uncertainty remains high as investors continue to monitor developments between the United States and Iran.

While hopes of diplomacy have eased fears of an immediate supply disruption, traders remain cautious because negotiations could still collapse, potentially reigniting tensions and sending oil prices higher again.

Another factor supporting lower prices is the decision by OPEC+ to gradually increase oil production from September. However, supply challenges in parts of the Middle East and other producing countries continue to limit the full impact of additional output.

For Nigeria, lower crude prices present mixed implications. Consumers could benefit from cheaper petrol if marketers pass on the savings, but reduced oil prices may also shrink government revenue since crude oil remains the country’s biggest source of foreign exchange earnings.

Whether Nigerians eventually enjoy cheaper fuel will depend on how long the decline in global oil prices lasts and whether other factors, particularly the exchange rate and distribution costs, remain stable.

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Shell Pledges Support for Nigeria’s Energy Journey

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Shell reiterates commitment to lower CO2 emissions in Nigeria

Shell will continue to support Nigeria in its efforts to build a secure energy future through investments and efficient delivery of its businesses in Nigeria.

“We continue to invest in Nigeria’s future through our projects, our people, and our enduring confidence in the potential of this nation,” General Manager, Development and Subsurface Shell Nigeria Deepwater, Kun Jiang said today while delivering the sponsor’s remarks at the 49th edition of the Nigeria Annual International Conference and Exhibition of the Society of Petroleum Engineers in Lagos.

Kun highlighted current investments in Bonga North, HI and the advancement of Bonga Southwest as testimonies of Shell’s confidence in Nigeria’s deepwater future. The confidence was further reiterated with the recent launch of a US$3 billion contract financing programme by Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company (SNEPCo), which will help Nigerian contractors build capability, create value, and accelerate project delivery.

Shell is a major sponsor of the conference as part of a longstanding support for a professional body which has contributed to the development of the oil and gas industry. Discussing the theme of the conference; “Thriving in the Evolving Global Energy Landscape: Collaborative Growth and Resilience,” Kun said Nigeria had a lot of opportunities despite geopolitical tensions that threaten global supply chains and market volatility and shifting energy dynamics.

“With a population exceeding 240 million people, abundant natural resources, world-class talent, and growing domestic energy needs, Nigeria has all the ingredients to become one of the world’s most attractive energy investment destination,” she pointed out. “But potential alone does not create prosperity. Potential must be converted into progress. Resources must be transformed into value. Opportunity must be matched by action.”

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Nigeria must continue to attract capital, strengthen the business environment, embrace technology to unlock potentials if it will thrive in the global evolving energy landscape. She added: “The future will belong to countries and industries that combine resilience with innovation, ambition with collaboration and investment with execution excellence. Nigeria has the resources. Nigeria has the talent. Nigeria has the opportunity. What is required now is the collective determination to seize it.”

Shell is mounting an exhibition at the SPE conference with SNEPCo’s Senior Production Geologist Abidemi Belgore taking industry leaders and regulators round the stand.

Key areas of interest include technological breakthroughs that have enhanced output at Bonga and facilitated the execution of the Bonga North project. Also highlighted on the stand is the full range of Shell businesses in Nigeria from deepwater oil production and integrated gas to renewables and power solutions as well as social investments across the country.

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