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European Bonds Decline on Manufacturing Data as Kiwi Gain

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LONDON – European government bonds fell after a report confirmed euro-area manufacturing expanded for a fifth month in November. The New Zealand and Australian dollars rallied as Asian economic reports beat estimates.

German 10-year bund yields climbed four basis points to 1.73 percent at 10:35 a.m. in London. Treasury 10-year note yields gained four basis points and the rate on similar-maturity gilts jumped seven basis points. The pound rose to its strongest level versus the dollar since August 2011, the kiwi jumped 0.8 percent and the Aussie added 0.3 percent.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index fell 0.2 percent and Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPA) contracts were little changed. Gold dropped 0.8 percent while crude oil gained 0.4 percent.
Manufacturing in the euro area expanded, with Markit Economics’s factory index rising to 51.6 in November from 51.3 in October and an estimate for 51.5.

European Bonds Decline on Manufacturing Data as Kiwi GainThe gauge in Spain fell to 48.6, the lowest since May, and compared with a forecast 51.1. Manufacturing indexes in China beat estimates for November as gauges in South Korea, India and Taiwan climbed. The U.S. Institute for Supply Management’s index was 55.1 in November, falling from the highest level since April 2011, according to the median economist forecast in a Bloomberg survey.

“The European PMIs were stronger than expected, apart from Spain, and this is weighing on bunds,” said Mathias Van Der Jeugt, a fixed-income strategist at KBC Bank NV in Brussels. “In the short term, the data limits the chance that the ECB will ease further. We believe U.S. manufacturing ISM can also beat consensus today and add downward pressure onto bunds.”

Treasuries, Gilts

Treasury 10-year notes rose to 2.79 percent and the rate on similar-maturity gilts climbed to 2.84 percent. Sterling gained 0.3 percent to $1.641 after advancing to $1.6443, the highest since Aug. 29, 2011.
New Zealand’s dollar strengthened against all of its 16 major counterparts, rising the most against the euro. Australia’s dollar strengthened to 91.32 U.S. cents.

The yen weakened 0.3 percent to 102.77 per U.S. dollar and the euro slipped 0.2 percent to $1.3561. Sterling jumped as much as 0.5 percent to $1.6443 before paring its advance to $1.6421.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index dropped after falling as much as 0.3 percent after the Spanish data. Three stocks declined for every one that rose. The index gained 0.9 percent in November for a third consecutive monthly gain. The gauge has climbed 16 percent this year.
ThyssenKrupp AG slumped 7.8 percent after Germany’s largest steelmaker said it will sell equity equivalent to as much as 10 percent of its market value. ThyssenKrupp agreed to sell its U.S. steel plant to ArcelorMittal and Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Corp. for $1.55 billion, the Essen-based company said in a Nov. 29 statement. ArcelorMittal gained 2.1 percent.

U.S. Futures

Futures (SPX) on the S&P 500 expiring this month declined less than 0.1 percent. The index advanced 27 percent this year and reached an all-time high on Nov. 27.

Spending on a Black Friday weekend fell for the first time since 2009. Purchases at stores and websites fell 2.9 percent to $57.4 billion during the four days beginning with the Nov. 28 Thanksgiving holiday, according to a survey commissioned by the National Retail Federation.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 0.1 percent, Japan’s Topix rose less than 0.1 percent, while Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 slid 0.7 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index added 0.7 percent and India’s Sensex gained 0.5 percent.
A Chinese index of small companies tumbled by a record after the government said it will resume initial public offerings. China’s securities regulator said 50 companies will be ready for IPOs by the end of January as authorities prepare to lift a more than one-year ban on new listings.

China Data

The Shanghai Composite Index dropped 0.6 percent, while the ChiNext Index sank 8.4 percent, paring this year’s gain to 76 percent. There are more than 760 companies in line for approval and it will take about a year to complete an audit of all the applications, the regulator said on Nov. 30.

“Investors are weighing the positive economic data that’s coming out from the different markets, trying to gauge if these are sufficient to extend the rally on equities,” Jonathan Ravelas, chief market strategist at BDO Unibank Inc., said in Manila. “The resumption of China IPOs will spur fund rotation to the newcomers on hopes these will provide better returns.”

China’s official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index came in at 51.4 for November, matching the 18-month high reached in October. The median projection in a Bloomberg News survey was for 51.1, with levels above 50 signaling expansion. A separate gauge from HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics was 50.8, topping estimates. HSBC/Markit’s manufacturing index for South Korea rose to 50.4 from 50.2, while a measure for Taiwan output climbed to 53.4 from 53.

Emerging Markets

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index advanced 0.1 percent, headed for the highest level in almost two weeks. The Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SHCOMP) retreated 0.6 percent, snapping a three-day gain.
The Thai baht weakened to the lowest level since Sept. 9 versus the dollar as the central bank warned a political standoff was hurting Southeast Asia’s second-largest economy. Protesters seeking Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra’s ouster vowed to incite more unrest.
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia led a 1.5 percent gain in the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) and the rupiah jumped 1.6 percent after data showed a surprise trade surplus. Indian shares climbed to the highest level since Nov. 20 after data showed economic growth quickened last quarter from a four-year low.
The Indonesian rupiah headed for its biggest gain since May 2012. Exports exceeded imports by $42.4 million in October, compared with the median estimate for a $775 million deficit by economists surveyed by Bloomberg, official data showed today.

U.S. Debt

Global stocks beat all assets for a third month in November, the longest winning streak since 2009. The MSCI All-Country World Index of equities rose 1.5 percent including dividends as China pledged to expand economic freedoms, the European Central Bank cut interest rates and speculation increased the Federal Reserve will put off a paring of stimulus.
America’s banks have never been so wary of risking their cash deposits on U.S. government debt. Their $1.8 trillion of the bonds now equal less than 70 percent of their cash, the least since the Federal Reserve began compiling the data in 1973.

Gold, Crude

The cost of insuring corporate bonds against losses fell, with the Markit iTraxx Europe Index of credit-default swaps on 125 investment-grade companies decreasing 0.6 basis points to 78.8 basis points. The gauge fell to 77 basis points last week, the lowest since April 2010.

Gold for immediate delivery fell for the first time in three sessions in London trading, declining 1 percent to $1,237.50 an ounce. Copper declined 0.6 percent to $7,014.50 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange, while aluminum traded 0.4 percent lower at $1,748.25 a ton, near a four-year low.

Crude oil was little changed at $93.73 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Natural gas fell for the first time in eight days in New York, declining 0.8 percent and snapping the longest rising streak since January 2011.
Soybeans advanced 0.6 percent to $13.445 a bushel in Chicago after earlier touching $13.46, the highest in more than two months, on surging demand for U.S. supplies.

– BLOOMBERG

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OPEC+ Hikes Oil Production Quotas, Silent on UAE Pull-out

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Saudi Arabia, Russia and five other OPEC+ countries increased their oil production quota on Sunday in an expected move aimed at demonstrating continuity at the cartel after the shock withdrawal of the United Arab Emirates.

The seven major producers will add 188,000 barrels per day to their total production quota for June amid the price pressure unleashed by the Mideast war, as part of “their collective commitment to support oil market stability”, according to a statement published by OPEC+.

The statement, following an online meeting of Algeria, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Oman, Russia and Saudi Arabia, made no mention of the United Arab Emirates, which quit the body on Friday, three days after announcing its withdrawal.

Rystad Energy analyst Jorge Leon told AFP that the silence on the UAE’s departure was a sign of tense relations.

Oil market analysts had widely expected the increase of 188,000 barrels, similar to the 206,000-barrel daily increases OPEC+ announced in both March and April when the portion allotted to the UAE was subtracted.

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“By sticking to the same production path — just minus the UAE — it’s acting as if nothing has happened, deliberately downplaying internal fractures and projecting stability,” Leon said.

Strait of Hormuz Bottleneck Remains
But raising the quota on paper may not have much impact on actual production, which is already short of the limit.
Untapped OPEC+ reserves are mainly located in the Gulf region, and exports there are trapped by the blockade of the vital Strait of Hormuz, imposed by Iran in response to the US-Israeli strikes that started the war on February 28.

Leon, the Rystad Energy analyst, told AFP on Sunday that the cartel was looking to send “a two-layer message” that the UAE’s exit would not disrupt how OPEC+ operates and that the group still exerts control over global oil markets despite massive disruption to oil trade due to the war.

“While output is increasing on paper, the real impact on physical supply remains very limited given the Strait of Hormuz constraints,” Leon told AFP. “This is less about adding barrels and more about signalling that OPEC+ still calls the shots.”

The Strait of Hormuz blockade is hitting Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The latter’s production will no longer count towards OPEC quotas.

“Total OPEC+ output with quota fell to 27.68 million bpd in March, against a monthly quota of 36.73 million bpd, a shortfall of approximately 9 million bpd driven almost entirely by war-related disruption rather than voluntary restraint,” said Priya Walia, another analyst at Rystad Energy, ahead of Sunday’s meeting.

Iran, whose exports are now the target of a retaliatory US blockade, is an OPEC+ member but is not subject to quotas.

Russia, the group’s second-biggest producer, has been the main beneficiary of the situation. But despite soaring energy prices, it appears to be struggling to produce at the level of its current quotas as its own war in Ukraine drags on and Ukrainian drones hit oil industry facilities.

‘A Big Deal’
Amena Bakr, an analyst at Kpler, described the UAE’s exist as “a big deal” for OPEC.

Previous withdrawals from the group by Qatar in 2019 and Angola in 2023 were less significant by comparison, Bakr told a video conference on the UAE withdrawal.

The UAE has invested massively in infrastructure in recent years, and state-owned oil company ADNOC plans to increase output by five million barrels a day by 2027 — far above the country’s last quota of around 3.5 million barrels.

ADNOC also pledged on Sunday to spend $55 billion on new projects over the next two years, confirming that the company is “accelerating growth and delivery of its strategy”.

There is also the risk for OPEC+ that other countries will leave such as Iraq and Kazakhstan, which have faced repeated accusations of surpassing their quotas.

AFP

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Shareholders Laud NGX Group at 65th AGM

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Shareholders of Nigerian Exchange Group Plc (NGX Group) have commended the Board and Management for the Group’s performance and strategic direction, urging continued focus on growth and long-term value creation.

At the Group’s 65th Annual General Meeting (AGM), shareholders approved the audited financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2025, alongside key resolutions including a final dividend of ₦2.00 per share, a one-for-three bonus share issue, and the corresponding increase in share capital. The re-election of Dr. Umaru Kwairanga, Group Chairman, Board of Directors, Dr. Okechukwu Itanyi, Independent Non-Executive Director and Mrs. Ojinika Olaghere, Independent Non-Executive Director reinforced continuity in governance and oversight.

They acknowledged the Group’s disciplined execution and its role in strengthening the Nigerian capital market, noting that recent developments reflect a more structured and better-regulated market environment.

Speaking during the meeting, the President, New Dimension Shareholders Association, Patrick Ajudua, commended the leadership of the Group for delivering a strong financial outcome, noting that the results reflect both improved market conditions and deliberate strategic execution. “The numbers speak to a business that is gaining strength and direction,” he said.

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Similarly, the Chairman of the Progressive Shareholders Association of Nigeria, Boniface Okezie, lauded the Group’s commitment to innovation and infrastructure development. “The market is becoming more forward-looking, supported by strong leadership at the Group level. Initiatives around market infrastructure and participation are yielding results, and this is positive for investors,” he noted.

Commenting during the AGM, Chairman of NGX Group, Umaru Kwairanga, appreciated shareholders for their continued support and reaffirmed the Board’s commitment to sustainable value delivery. He said, “The progress recorded reflects the strength of the Group’s strategy and the performance of its operating businesses. As a Board, our responsibility is to ensure disciplined oversight, uphold strong governance standards, and position NGX Group to deliver sustainable, long-term value to shareholders.”

Temi Popoola, group managing director/chief executive officer, focused on execution priorities, noting that the Group is positioning for scale. He said, “This next phase is about deepening momentum. Our priority is to scale infrastructure, broaden participation, and unlock new pathways for capital formation.”

The meeting reflected strong shareholder confidence in NGX Group’s leadership, with the Group reaffirming its commitment to playing a central role in the evolution of Nigeria’s capital market while delivering sustained returns to investors.

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S’Leone Inks $225m Offshore Oil Deal with Nigeria’s Marginal Energy

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Sierra Leone has announced the signing of a petroleum licence agreement with Nigeria‑based ​Marginal Energy Limited, granting the company offshore exploration ‌and production rights as the government seeks to revive interest in its under‑explored upstream sector.

The licence, signed through the ​Petroleum Directorate of Sierra Leone (PDSL), covers offshore ​blocks G‑145, G‑146, G‑147, G‑160 and G‑161, spanning ⁠about 6,800 square kilometres, according to a government ​statement, a Reuters report said.

Marginal Energy, a Nigerian independent, has committed to ​a seismic and drilling programme with exploration spending expected to exceed $225 million.

Under the agreement, the state will hold a 10 percent ​carried interest in oil projects and 5 percent in ​gas during exploration and development, with an option to acquire an ‌additional ⁠participating interest on a paid basis of up to 9 percent once production begins.

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The deal was signed at the Invest in African Energy conference in Paris, ​where Sierra ​Leone has been ⁠promoting offshore licensing opportunities to international investors, the report added.

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